Jacob May
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 24 | AAACWS | 321 | .266/.309/.352 | 1 | 19 | 67 | — | .246/.281/.325 | |
| 2017 | 25 | AAACWS | 467 | .248/.307/.325 | 4 | 31 | 55 | — | .236/.280/.302 | |
| 2017 | 25 | MLBCWS | 42 | .056/.150/.056 | 0 | 0 | -39 | -0.4 | ||
| 2018 | 26 | AAACWS | 342 | .255/.304/.341 | 2 | 15 | 47 | — | .222/.259/.284 | |
| 2019 | 27 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 21 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 230 | 206 | 59 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 4 | 19 | 5 | 286 | 350 | 461 | 811 | 175 | 325 | 19 | 7 | 354 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 55 | 45 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 378 | 481 | 444 | 926 | 67 | 436 | 11 | 13 | 415 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | INTL | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 198 | 182 | 49 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 269 | 325 | 407 | 731 | 137 | 278 | 8 | 7 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 472 | 415 | 107 | 31 | 10 | 2 | 42 | 71 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 258 | 328 | 395 | 723 | 137 | 305 | 15 | 9 | 314 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 432 | 389 | 107 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 73 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 275 | 330 | 334 | 664 | 59 | 332 | 17 | 7 | 296 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | ROK | ACL White Sox | — | 17 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 294 | 312 | 607 | 62 | 308 | 18 | 6 | 276 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 321 | 301 | 80 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 72 | 4 | 19 | 8 | 266 | 309 | 352 | 662 | 86 | 346 | 22 | 5 | 298 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 42 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 150 | 56 | 206 | 105 | 40 | 7 | 110 | -39 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | -0.4 | |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 467 | 415 | 103 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 112 | 5 | 31 | 8 | 248 | 307 | 325 | 632 | 77 | 331 | 24 | 6 | 278 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 342 | 314 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 73 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 255 | 304 | 341 | 644 | 86 | 325 | 21 | 6 | 287 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 42 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 150 | 56 | 206 | 105 | 40 | 7 | 110 | -39 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | -0.4 | |||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 230 | 210 | 53 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 56 | 4 | 19 | 5 | 252 | 305 | 390 | 696 | 138 | 306 | 24 | 5 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | ROK MLE | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 55 | 48 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 312 | 389 | 375 | 764 | 62 | 347 | 16 | 7 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 472 | 431 | 101 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 105 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 234 | 279 | 339 | 618 | 104 | 291 | 22 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 432 | 398 | 108 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 91 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 271 | 311 | 334 | 645 | 63 | 333 | 21 | 5 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 17 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 250 | 485 | 62 | 236 | 24 | 6 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 321 | 305 | 75 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 82 | 4 | 19 | 8 | 246 | 281 | 325 | 606 | 79 | 334 | 26 | 3 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 42 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 150 | 56 | 206 | 105 | 40 | 7 | 110 | -39 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | -0.4 | |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 467 | 424 | 100 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 141 | 5 | 31 | 8 | 236 | 280 | 302 | 582 | 66 | 327 | 30 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 342 | 320 | 71 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 89 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 222 | 259 | 284 | 543 | 62 | 295 | 26 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 483 | 442 | 114 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 110 | 8 | 41 | 10 | 258 | 312 | 376 | 688 | 118 | 321 | 23 | 6 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 483 | 433 | 125 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 65 | 8 | 41 | 10 | 289 | 354 | 436 | 791 | 148 | 316 | 13 | 7 | 349 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 472 | 431 | 101 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 105 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 234 | 279 | 339 | 618 | 104 | 304 | 22 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ RAW | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 472 | 415 | 107 | 31 | 10 | 2 | 42 | 71 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 258 | 328 | 395 | 723 | 137 | 305 | 15 | 9 | 314 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 449 | 415 | 112 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 95 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 270 | 308 | 333 | 641 | 63 | 344 | 21 | 4 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 449 | 405 | 111 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 76 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 274 | 329 | 333 | 662 | 59 | 331 | 17 | 7 | 296 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 321 | 305 | 75 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 82 | 4 | 19 | 8 | 246 | 281 | 325 | 606 | 79 | 333 | 26 | 3 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA RAW | Charlotte Knights | — | 321 | 301 | 80 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 72 | 4 | 19 | 8 | 266 | 309 | 352 | 662 | 86 | 346 | 22 | 5 | 298 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 509 | 460 | 102 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 158 | 6 | 31 | 8 | 222 | 269 | 283 | 552 | 61 | 331 | 31 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 509 | 451 | 105 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 129 | 6 | 31 | 8 | 233 | 294 | 304 | 598 | 71 | 318 | 25 | 6 | 264 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 342 | 320 | 71 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 89 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 222 | 259 | 284 | 543 | 62 | 303 | 26 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA RAW | Charlotte Knights | — | 342 | 314 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 73 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 255 | 304 | 341 | 644 | 86 | 325 | 21 | 6 | 287 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 483 | 445 | 114 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 110 | 8 | 41 | 10 | 256 | 312 | 373 | 685 | 117 | 314 | 23 | 6 | 302 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 472 | 442 | 101 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 105 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 229 | 279 | 330 | 610 | 102 | 291 | 22 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 449 | 423 | 112 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 95 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 265 | 308 | 326 | 634 | 61 | 329 | 21 | 4 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 321 | 303 | 75 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 82 | 4 | 19 | 8 | 248 | 281 | 327 | 608 | 79 | 334 | 26 | 3 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 509 | 474 | 102 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 158 | 6 | 31 | 8 | 215 | 269 | 274 | 544 | 59 | 309 | 31 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 342 | 323 | 71 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 89 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 220 | 259 | 282 | 541 | 62 | 295 | 26 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 42 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 150 | 56 | 206 | 105 | 40 | 7 | 110 | 65 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | -0.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 557 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 263 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 149 | 56 | 204 | 105 | 40 | 7 | 110 | 65 | -108 | +0 | +1 | +28 | +14 | -6.5 | ||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2576 | 2373 | 575 | 94 | 22 | 19 | 122 | 639 | 24 | 181 | 62 | 242 | 286 | 324 | 611 | 82 | 323 | 25 | 5 | 264 | 65 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 599 | 146 | 24 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 161 | 6 | 46 | 16 | 244 | 288 | 329 | 617 | 85 | 324 | 25 | 5 | 264 | 65 | -108 | +0 | +1 | +28 | +14 | -6.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAACharlotte Knights · 342 PAwOBA .280 → .238 (−42)K% 21.3% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.35% | ÷0.986 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.85% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 3.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.58% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.07% | ÷1.030 | ×0.930 | ×1.029 | ×1.018 | 22.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.88% | ÷1.077 | ×0.830 | ×1.029 | ×1.018 | 6.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.41% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.029 | ×1.018 | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.83% | ÷1.319 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.54% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 106, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .280 → .238; ISO .086 → .066; BABIP .325 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAACharlotte Knights · 467 PAwOBA .270 → .249 (−21)K% 24.0% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.98% | ÷0.952 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.21% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.07% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.72% | ÷1.012 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 27.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.30% | ÷0.958 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 3.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.65% | ÷1.077 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 1.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.32% | ÷1.150 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 1.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 102, 2B 92, 3B 115, K 90, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .270 → .249; ISO .077 → .067; BABIP .331 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAACharlotte Knights · 321 PAwOBA .290 → .267 (−23)K% 22.4% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.43% | ÷1.053 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.67% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 3.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.25% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.33% | ÷1.031 | ×0.930 | ×1.031 | ×1.048 | 24.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.30% | ÷0.974 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | ×1.048 | 7.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.87% | ÷0.926 | ×0.970 | ×1.031 | ×1.048 | 0.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.44% | ÷0.950 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 0.40% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 85, K 111, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .290 → .267; ISO .086 → .081; BABIP .346 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AABirmingham Barons · 432 PAwOBA .290 → .277 (−14)K% 16.9% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.90% | ÷0.981 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.71% | ÷1.019 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 4.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.69% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.16% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 27.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.75% | ÷0.875 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 5.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷1.087 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.63% | ÷1.102 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.47% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 101, 2B 75, 3B 117, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .290 → .277; ISO .059 → .060; BABIP .332 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKACL White Sox · 17 PAwOBA .269 → .186 (−83)K% 17.6% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.65% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 3.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 18.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 5.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .269 → .186; ISO .062 → .040; BABIP .308 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 472 PAwOBA .307 → .263 (−44)K% 15.0% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.04% | ÷0.961 | ×1.420 | — | — | 22.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.90% | ÷1.012 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 5.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.21% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 0.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.60% | ÷0.949 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 19.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.01% | ÷1.069 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 7.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.91% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 2.15% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.065 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 0.50% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 90, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 92, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .307 → .263; ISO .137 → .108; BABIP .305 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AKannapolis Intimidators · 230 PAwOBA .347 → .299 (−48)K% 18.7% → 24.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.70% | ÷1.024 | ×1.340 | — | — | 24.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.96% | ÷0.924 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 5.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.74% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 1.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.77% | ÷0.994 | ×0.920 | ×1.025 | ×1.015 | 24.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.68% | ÷0.980 | ×0.820 | ×1.025 | ×1.015 | 3.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.84% | ÷1.004 | ×0.940 | ×1.025 | ×1.015 | 1.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.91% | ÷1.053 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 3.88% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 99, 2B 96, 3B 101, K 105, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .347 → .299; ISO .175 → .142; BABIP .325 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKGreat Falls Voyagers · 55 PAwOBA .405 → .312 (−93)K% 10.9% → 15.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.91% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 15.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.985 | 7.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.64% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 2.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 38.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 31.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .405 → .312; ISO .067 → .049; BABIP .436 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .