Jhon Nuñez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 27 | INTLToros del Este | 21 | .222/.300/.278 | 0 | 0 | 60 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | INTLGigantes del … | 42 | .293/.286/.390 | 0 | 1 | 85 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | INTLGigantes del … | 23 | .111/.304/.278 | 1 | 1 | 78 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox | — | 233 | 200 | 48 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 240 | 336 | 300 | 636 | 60 | 268 | 10 | 11 | 293 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK | GCL Red Sox | — | 48 | 41 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 293 | 383 | 390 | 773 | 98 | 353 | 17 | 12 | 345 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 20 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 316 | 350 | 421 | 771 | 105 | 353 | 10 | 5 | 344 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 202 | 182 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 286 | 333 | 396 | 729 | 110 | 331 | 17 | 4 | 316 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 261 | 232 | 56 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 46 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 241 | 318 | 323 | 641 | 82 | 290 | 18 | 8 | 292 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 50 | 42 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 286 | 375 | 333 | 708 | 48 | 353 | 20 | 12 | 316 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 51 | 44 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 227 | 277 | 295 | 572 | 68 | 286 | 18 | 2 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 233 | 211 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 280 | 332 | 412 | 744 | 133 | 323 | 17 | 6 | 327 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 34 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 111 | 242 | 111 | 354 | 130 | 15 | 15 | 182 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2020 | 25 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 17 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 133 | 235 | 133 | 369 | 143 | 6 | 12 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 26 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 57 | 49 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 204 | 304 | 367 | 671 | 163 | 229 | 21 | 5 | 302 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 21 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 300 | 278 | 578 | 56 | 364 | 33 | 10 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 42 | 41 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 293 | 286 | 390 | 676 | 98 | 343 | 14 | 0 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 23 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 111 | 304 | 278 | 582 | 167 | 83 | 22 | 17 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox | — | 233 | 209 | 34 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 28 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 163 | 236 | 201 | 437 | 38 | 180 | 12 | 7 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 48 | 43 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 209 | 277 | 279 | 556 | 70 | 276 | 25 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 20 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 316 | 350 | 421 | 771 | 105 | 328 | 15 | 5 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 202 | 186 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 50 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 258 | 292 | 360 | 653 | 102 | 309 | 25 | 2 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 261 | 239 | 55 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 57 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 230 | 287 | 293 | 580 | 63 | 286 | 22 | 5 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 50 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 227 | 292 | 250 | 542 | 23 | 300 | 30 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 233 | 216 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 48 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 241 | 284 | 343 | 626 | 102 | 287 | 21 | 4 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 57 | 50 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 160 | 250 | 260 | 510 | 100 | 200 | 26 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox | — | 233 | 209 | 34 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 28 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 163 | 236 | 201 | 437 | 38 | 186 | 12 | 7 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Red Sox | — | 233 | 200 | 48 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 240 | 336 | 300 | 636 | 60 | 268 | 10 | 11 | 293 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 48 | 43 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 209 | 277 | 279 | 556 | 70 | 281 | 25 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Red Sox | — | 48 | 41 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 293 | 383 | 390 | 773 | 98 | 353 | 17 | 12 | 345 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 20 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 316 | 350 | 421 | 771 | 105 | 375 | 15 | 5 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A RAW | Greenville Drive | — | 20 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 316 | 350 | 421 | 771 | 105 | 353 | 10 | 5 | 344 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 202 | 186 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 50 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 258 | 292 | 360 | 653 | 102 | 331 | 25 | 2 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ RAW | Salem Red Sox | — | 202 | 182 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 286 | 333 | 396 | 729 | 110 | 331 | 17 | 4 | 316 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 362 | 325 | 76 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 84 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 234 | 295 | 298 | 593 | 65 | 305 | 23 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 362 | 318 | 78 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 65 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 245 | 320 | 321 | 641 | 75 | 298 | 18 | 8 | 288 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 267 | 248 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 55 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 242 | 282 | 347 | 629 | 105 | 291 | 21 | 4 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 267 | 238 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 44 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 261 | 321 | 378 | 699 | 118 | 300 | 16 | 7 | 308 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | INTL MLE | Toros del Este | — | 17 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 133 | 235 | 133 | 369 | 143 | 6 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2020 | 25 | INTL RAW | Toros del Este | — | 17 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 133 | 235 | 133 | 369 | 143 | 6 | 12 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 26 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 57 | 50 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 160 | 250 | 260 | 510 | 100 | 206 | 26 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA RAW | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 57 | 49 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 204 | 304 | 367 | 671 | 163 | 229 | 21 | 5 | 302 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | INTL MLE | Toros del Este | — | 21 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 300 | 278 | 578 | 56 | 364 | 33 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | INTL RAW | Toros del Este | — | 21 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 300 | 278 | 578 | 56 | 364 | 33 | 10 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | INTL MLE | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 42 | 41 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 293 | 286 | 390 | 676 | 98 | 343 | 14 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | INTL RAW | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 42 | 41 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 293 | 286 | 390 | 676 | 98 | 343 | 14 | 0 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | INTL MLE | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 23 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 111 | 304 | 278 | 582 | 167 | 83 | 22 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | INTL RAW | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 23 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 111 | 304 | 278 | 582 | 167 | 83 | 22 | 17 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Red Sox | — | 233 | 211 | 34 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 28 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 161 | 236 | 199 | 435 | 38 | 180 | 12 | 7 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 48 | 44 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 205 | 277 | 273 | 549 | 68 | 276 | 25 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 20 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 316 | 350 | 421 | 771 | 105 | 328 | 15 | 5 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 202 | 191 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 50 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 251 | 292 | 351 | 643 | 99 | 309 | 25 | 2 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 362 | 331 | 76 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 84 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 230 | 295 | 293 | 588 | 63 | 288 | 23 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 267 | 251 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 55 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 239 | 282 | 343 | 625 | 104 | 287 | 21 | 4 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 57 | 51 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 157 | 250 | 255 | 505 | 98 | 200 | 26 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1292 | 1172 | 261 | 40 | 8 | 12 | 68 | 266 | 23 | 39 | 23 | 223 | 278 | 301 | 580 | 78 | 275 | 21 | 5 | 230 | 42 | -89 | -1 | +0 | +23 | +28 | -4.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 131 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 134 | 12 | 20 | 12 | 222 | 279 | 300 | 579 | 78 | 274 | 21 | 5 | 230 | 42 | -45 | -1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 57 PAwOBA .294 → .238 (−55)K% 21.1% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.05% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.26% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.978 | 3.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.02% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 5.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.22% | ÷1.011 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.978 | 14.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.026 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 4.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.011 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 4.08% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 102, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .294 → .238; ISO .163 → .125; BABIP .229 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 233 PAwOBA .318 → .270 (−48)K% 16.7% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.74% | ÷0.991 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.58% | ÷0.997 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 3.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.42% | ÷1.016 | ×0.970 | ×0.982 | ×0.998 | 22.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.40% | ÷1.158 | ×0.860 | ×0.982 | ×0.998 | 4.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | ×0.998 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.91% | ÷0.953 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.37% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 132, 3B 130, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .318 → .270; ISO .133 → .104; BABIP .323 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 261 PAwOBA .287 → .256 (−31)K% 17.6% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.62% | ÷0.982 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.05% | ÷1.051 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.92% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.66% | ÷1.001 | ×0.970 | ×1.036 | ×1.012 | 24.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.76% | ÷1.052 | ×0.860 | ×1.036 | ×1.012 | 3.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.61% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.036 | ×1.012 | 1.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.08% | ÷1.166 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.73% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 100, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .287 → .256; ISO .082 → .066; BABIP .290 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Salem Red Sox · 50 PAwOBA .321 → .251 (−71)K% 20.0% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.960 | ×1.420 | — | — | 29.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.00% | ÷0.939 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 7.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.25% | ÷1.066 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.988 | 27.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.102 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 4.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.037 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.936 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 113, 2B 120, 3B 107, K 92, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .321 → .251; ISO .048 → .035; BABIP .353 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Salem Red Sox · 202 PAwOBA .311 → .271 (−39)K% 16.8% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.83% | ÷0.958 | ×1.420 | — | — | 24.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.96% | ÷1.043 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 2.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.98% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 1.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.35% | ÷1.042 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 24.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.08% | ÷0.977 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 5.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷0.956 | ×0.800 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.03% | ÷0.956 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 1.90% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 108, 2B 95, 3B 91, K 92, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .311 → .271; ISO .110 → .097; BABIP .331 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AGreenville Drive · 20 PAwOBA .335 → .296 (−39)K% 10.0% → 13.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.034 | ×1.340 | — | — | 12.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷1.044 | ×0.660 | — | — | 3.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷0.978 | ×0.920 | — | — | 22.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷0.908 | ×0.820 | — | — | 10.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.001 | ×0.820 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 96, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 107, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .335 → .296; ISO .105 → .094; BABIP .353 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKGCL Red Sox · 48 PAwOBA .344 → .251 (−93)K% 16.7% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 24.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 7.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 19.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 8.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .344 → .251; ISO .098 → .069; BABIP .353 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 DSLDSL Red Sox · 233 PAwOBA .287 → .199 (−87)K% 9.9% → 12.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.87% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 7.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.29% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.012 | ×0.995 | 15.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.012 | ×0.995 | 2.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.012 | ×0.995 | 1.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .287 → .199; ISO .060 → .038; BABIP .268 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .