Ronaiker Palma
C Hartford Yard Goats| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | AA/A+/ROKCOL | 260 | .251/.310/.319 | 1 | 5 | 43 | — | .221/.267/.283 |
| 2024 | 24 | AACOL | 209 | .242/.348/.281 | 1 | 7 | 59 | — | .226/.304/.258 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA/AACOL | 163 | .250/.296/.303 | 1 | 1 | 46 | — | .233/.266/.285 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 27 | MLBCOL | 2 | .235/.295/.353 | 0 | 0 | 74 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 28 | MLBCOL | 44 | .234/.295/.352 | 1 | 1 | 73 | 0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Colorado | — | 211 | 191 | 65 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 340 | 388 | 398 | 786 | 58 | 354 | 6 | 6 | 349 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 73 | 68 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 254 | 235 | 489 | 15 | 238 | 8 | 3 | 220 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 19 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 294 | 368 | 353 | 721 | 59 | 294 | 0 | 5 | 334 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 247 | 227 | 68 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 300 | 340 | 401 | 741 | 101 | 322 | 11 | 5 | 325 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 39 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 282 | 342 | 624 | 79 | 323 | 18 | 3 | 278 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 206 | 183 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 240 | 308 | 311 | 620 | 71 | 262 | 10 | 8 | 278 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 15 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 357 | 400 | 357 | 757 | 455 | 20 | 7 | 348 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 209 | 178 | 43 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 34 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 242 | 348 | 281 | 629 | 39 | 294 | 16 | 12 | 297 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 81 | 74 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 324 | 375 | 378 | 753 | 54 | 375 | 12 | 7 | 339 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 82 | 78 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 179 | 220 | 231 | 450 | 51 | 200 | 15 | 5 | 208 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Colorado | — | 211 | 195 | 45 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 231 | 272 | 262 | 533 | 31 | 237 | 8 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 73 | 69 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 239 | 232 | 471 | 14 | 237 | 11 | 1 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 19 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 235 | 316 | 294 | 610 | 59 | 225 | 0 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 247 | 231 | 61 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 264 | 295 | 346 | 641 | 82 | 289 | 15 | 3 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 39 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 256 | 316 | 572 | 79 | 305 | 21 | 3 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 206 | 188 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 213 | 264 | 277 | 540 | 64 | 228 | 14 | 5 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 15 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 333 | 286 | 619 | 369 | 27 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 209 | 186 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 42 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 226 | 304 | 258 | 562 | 32 | 285 | 20 | 8 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 81 | 76 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 303 | 338 | 355 | 693 | 53 | 356 | 16 | 5 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 82 | 79 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 165 | 195 | 215 | 410 | 51 | 191 | 17 | 4 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Colorado | — | 211 | 195 | 45 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 231 | 272 | 262 | 533 | 31 | 246 | 8 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Colorado | — | 211 | 191 | 65 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 340 | 388 | 398 | 786 | 58 | 354 | 6 | 6 | 349 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 92 | 86 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 221 | 256 | 244 | 500 | 23 | 241 | 9 | 2 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 92 | 85 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 278 | 259 | 537 | 24 | 250 | 7 | 3 | 244 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 247 | 231 | 61 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 264 | 295 | 346 | 641 | 82 | 299 | 15 | 3 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | Spokane Indians | — | 247 | 227 | 68 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 300 | 340 | 401 | 741 | 101 | 322 | 11 | 5 | 325 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 260 | 241 | 52 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 41 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 216 | 259 | 274 | 533 | 58 | 252 | 16 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 260 | 235 | 59 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 31 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 251 | 310 | 319 | 629 | 68 | 282 | 12 | 7 | 282 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 209 | 186 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 42 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 226 | 304 | 258 | 562 | 32 | 287 | 20 | 8 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 209 | 178 | 43 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 34 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 242 | 348 | 281 | 629 | 39 | 294 | 16 | 12 | 297 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 163 | 155 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 232 | 265 | 277 | 543 | 45 | 276 | 17 | 4 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 163 | 152 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 296 | 303 | 599 | 53 | 287 | 13 | 6 | 273 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Colorado | — | 211 | 198 | 45 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 227 | 272 | 258 | 529 | 30 | 237 | 8 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 92 | 88 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 256 | 239 | 494 | 23 | 235 | 9 | 2 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 247 | 235 | 61 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 260 | 295 | 340 | 635 | 81 | 289 | 15 | 3 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 260 | 244 | 52 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 41 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 213 | 259 | 270 | 529 | 57 | 248 | 16 | 5 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 209 | 186 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 42 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 226 | 304 | 258 | 562 | 32 | 285 | 20 | 8 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 163 | 155 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 232 | 265 | 277 | 543 | 45 | 273 | 17 | 4 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 209 | 186 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 42 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 226 | 304 | 258 | 562 | 32 | 285 | 20 | 8 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 163 | 155 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 232 | 265 | 277 | 543 | 45 | 273 | 17 | 4 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | COL | 2% | 213 | 194 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 48 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 224 | 285 | 329 | 614 | 106 | 277 | 23 | 7 | 277 | 74 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | COL | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 295 | 353 | 648 | 118 | 290 | 0 | 0 | 291 | 74 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | COL | 27% | 163 | 150 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 223 | 285 | 329 | 613 | 106 | 277 | 23 | 7 | 277 | 73 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | COL | 27% | 44 | 41 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 295 | 352 | 647 | 118 | 289 | 23 | 7 | 290 | 73 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 44 | 41 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 244 | 295 | 366 | 661 | 122 | 300 | 23 | 7 | 290 | 56 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 606 | 148 | 30 | 0 | 15 | 44 | 148 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 244 | 295 | 368 | 663 | 124 | 300 | 23 | 7 | 290 | 56 | -21 | +3 | -3 | +12 | +14 | 0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1457 | 1346 | 312 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 73 | 233 | 15 | 31 | 16 | 232 | 279 | 293 | 572 | 62 | 270 | 16 | 5 | 252 | 56 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 600 | 140 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 104 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 233 | 281 | 297 | 578 | 63 | 272 | 16 | 5 | 252 | 56 | -21 | +1 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAHartford Yard Goats · 82 PAwOBA .202 → .175 (−27)K% 14.6% → 17.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.63% | ÷1.025 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.88% | ÷0.940 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 3.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.008 | ×0.970 | ×1.002 | ×0.998 | 17.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.52% | ÷0.913 | ×0.860 | ×1.002 | ×0.998 | 1.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.002 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.52% | ÷1.255 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.94% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 102, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 105, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .202 → .175; ISO .051 → .035; BABIP .200 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 81 PAwOBA .330 → .299 (−31)K% 12.3% → 15.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.35% | ÷0.945 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷1.019 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.25% | ÷1.047 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 30.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.029 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 5.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.017 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 109, 2B 106, 3B 106, K 89, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .330 → .299; ISO .054 → .047; BABIP .375 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAHartford Yard Goats · 209 PAwOBA .290 → .256 (−33)K% 16.3% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.27% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.96% | ÷1.066 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.91% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.39% | ÷1.041 | ×0.970 | ×1.047 | ×1.012 | 26.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.102 | ×0.860 | ×1.047 | ×1.012 | 2.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.047 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.69% | ÷0.916 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.60% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 108, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 97, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .290 → .256; ISO .039 → .034; BABIP .294 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Spokane Indians · 206 PAwOBA .276 → .229 (−46)K% 10.2% → 14.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.19% | ÷0.983 | ×1.350 | — | — | 14.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.77% | ÷1.075 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 5.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.97% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.99% | ÷1.019 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | ×0.998 | 18.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.94% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×0.998 | 3.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷0.936 | ×0.820 | ×0.993 | ×0.998 | 0.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.047 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 0.49% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 104, 2B 105, 3B 87, K 97, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .276 → .229; ISO .071 → .059; BABIP .262 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAHartford Yard Goats · 39 PAwOBA .270 → .247 (−24)K% 17.9% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.95% | ÷1.052 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.56% | ÷1.009 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 1.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.81% | ÷1.065 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.027 | 24.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 2.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.027 | 3.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.040 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 113, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 110, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .270 → .247; ISO .079 → .078; BABIP .323 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Rockies · 15 PAwOBA .339 → .245 (−94)K% 20.0% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.996 | ×1.440 | — | — | 28.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷0.999 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 3.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 45.45% | ÷0.976 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 36.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.137 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.031 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 95, 2B 101, 3B 127, K 99, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .339 → .245; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .455 → .369. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Spokane Indians · 247 PAwOBA .320 → .273 (−47)K% 10.9% → 15.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.93% | ÷0.975 | ×1.350 | — | — | 15.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.86% | ÷1.022 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 3.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.81% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.00% | ÷1.039 | ×0.910 | ×1.027 | ×1.012 | 24.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.50% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | ×1.027 | ×1.012 | 3.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.50% | ÷0.953 | ×0.820 | ×1.027 | ×1.012 | 0.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.316 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 1.28% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 163, 1B 108, 2B 96, 3B 91, K 95, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .320 → .273; ISO .101 → .076; BABIP .322 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AFresno Grizzlies · 73 PAwOBA .218 → .209 (−9)K% 8.2% → 11.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.22% | ÷0.972 | ×1.360 | — | — | 11.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.74% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 1.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷0.967 | ×0.920 | ×1.042 | ×1.015 | 22.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.61% | ÷1.057 | ×0.830 | ×1.042 | ×1.015 | 1.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.132 | ×0.910 | ×1.042 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.218 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 93, 2B 111, 3B 126, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .218 → .209; ISO .015 → .012; BABIP .238 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).