Cam Collier — OGILVIE

Cam Collier3B Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 21 L/R 6'1" / 210 lbs AA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION369 act + 246 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .258 / .315

PA246

HR6

K%32

BB%8

BABIP254

ISO131

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER57

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED37

scouting grade only

DEFENSE44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$6M	+$5M
2031	Arb-2	$4M	+1.1	$6M	+$4M
2032	Arb-3	$5M	+1.1	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$13M		$19M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	ACL Reds	—	35	30	9	1	0	2	4	9	1	0	2	300	400	533	933	233	368	26	11	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	ACL Reds	—	35	27	10	1	0	2	7	6	1	0	2	370	514	630	1.144	259	421	17	20	497	239	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	461	405	77	16	1	4	42	149	8	5	1	190	279	264	543	74	283	32	9	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	461	390	96	21	2	6	57	106	8	5	1	246	354	356	710	110	317	23	12	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	507	444	83	19	1	10	49	169	8	2	1	187	279	302	581	115	269	33	10	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	507	427	106	21	1	20	66	127	8	2	1	248	359	443	802	194	301	25	13	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA	4 teams	—	491	441	105	20	1	4	44	166	5	2	2	238	314	315	629	77	371	34	9	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA	4 teams	—	491	410	110	26	1	5	75	128	5	2	2	268	388	373	761	105	378	26	15	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	AA	CIN	—	369	335	62	15	1	11	25	127	6	1	0	185	254	334	588	149	255	34	7	258	56	-18	+0	+0	+1	+10	-0.7
YTD	21	AA	CIN	—	369	323	71	18	1	13	37	98	6	1	0	220	311	402	714	183	270	27	10	318	101	+1	+0	+0	+1	+10	1.3
ROS	21	AA	CIN	2%	246	222	41	9	1	6	19	79	3	1	0	185	258	315	574	131	253	32	8	255	53	-13	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.6
ROS	21	MLB	CIN	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		255	40	0	248	48	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	AA	CIN	—	374	340	63	15	1	11	25	129	6	1	0	185	253	332	586	147	256	34	7	258	56	-19	+0	-0	+1	+11	-0.7
TOT	21	AA	CIN	—	615	557	103	24	2	17	44	206	9	2	0	185	256	327	582	142	254	33	7	257	55	-31	+0	-1	+2	+17	-1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	CIN	35%	581	522	102	22	1	17	47	178	7	2	1	195	271	339	610	144	257	31	8	275	68	-21	+0	-2	+2	+16	-0.4
2028	23	MLB	CIN	49%	609	546	112	23	2	20	50	181	8	2	1	205	281	364	646	159	261	30	8	287	77	-16	+0	-2	+2	+17	0.2
2029	24	MLB	CIN	53%	627	562	118	24	2	22	52	182	8	2	1	210	286	377	663	167	264	29	8	295	84	-11	+0	-2	+2	+18	0.7
2030	25	MLB	CIN	55%	636	569	120	24	2	23	54	182	8	2	1	211	288	381	670	170	265	29	8	300	88	-9	+0	-2	+2	+18	1.0
2031	26	MLB	CIN	56%	631	564	121	24	2	24	54	181	8	2	1	215	292	392	684	177	265	29	9	302	89	-7	+0	-2	+2	+18	1.1
2032	27	MLB	CIN	55%	623	556	118	24	2	23	54	179	8	2	1	212	291	387	678	174	265	29	9	302	90	-7	+0	-2	+2	+18	1.1
2033	28	MLB	CIN	55%	614	547	116	23	2	23	54	177	8	2	1	212	292	388	680	176	264	29	9	301	89	-8	+0	-2	+2	+17	1.0
2034	29	MLB	CIN	53%	603	538	113	23	1	22	53	175	7	2	0	210	289	379	668	169	263	29	9	299	87	-9	+0	-3	+2	+17	0.8
2035	30	MLB	CIN	57%	593	529	110	22	1	22	52	174	7	2	0	208	287	378	665	170	261	29	9	296	85	-10	+0	-4	+2	+17	0.6
2036	31	MLB	CIN	60%	581	518	106	21	1	21	51	172	7	1	0	205	285	371	655	166	258	30	9	292	82	-12	+0	-4	+2	+16	0.2
2037	32	MLB	CIN	61%	570	508	102	20	1	20	50	171	7	1	0	201	281	362	644	161	254	30	9	286	77	-15	+0	-5	+2	+16	-0.1
2027	22	MLB	CIN	35%	204	183	36	8	0	6	16	62	3	1	0	197	272	339	611	142	259	30	8	269	64	-8	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.2
2028	23	MLB	CIN	49%	297	267	56	12	1	10	24	88	4	1	0	210	285	375	659	165	264	30	8	281	73	-9	+0	-1	+1	+8	-0.0
2029	24	MLB	CIN	53%	332	297	63	13	1	12	28	96	4	1	0	212	289	384	673	172	267	29	8	290	80	-8	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.2
2030	25	MLB	CIN	55%	349	312	67	14	1	13	30	100	4	1	0	215	292	391	683	176	268	29	9	295	84	-6	+0	-1	+1	+10	0.4
2031	26	MLB	CIN	56%	351	314	68	14	1	14	30	101	4	1	0	217	293	401	694	185	268	29	9	297	85	-6	+0	-1	+1	+10	0.5
2032	27	MLB	CIN	55%	343	306	65	13	1	13	30	99	4	1	0	212	291	389	680	176	267	29	9	297	85	-6	+0	-1	+1	+10	0.5
2033	28	MLB	CIN	55%	336	300	64	13	1	13	29	97	4	1	0	213	291	393	685	180	267	29	9	296	85	-6	+0	-1	+1	+10	0.4
2034	29	MLB	CIN	53%	322	287	61	12	1	12	28	94	4	1	0	213	292	387	678	174	266	29	9	294	83	-6	+0	-2	+1	+9	0.3
2035	30	MLB	CIN	57%	338	301	64	13	1	13	30	99	4	1	0	213	293	392	685	179	264	29	9	291	81	-7	+0	-2	+1	+10	0.2
2036	31	MLB	CIN	60%	346	309	65	13	1	13	30	103	4	1	0	210	289	385	674	175	261	30	9	287	78	-9	+0	-3	+1	+10	-0.0
2037	32	MLB	CIN	61%	349	311	64	13	1	12	31	105	4	1	0	206	286	370	656	164	257	30	9	281	73	-10	+0	-3	+1	+10	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3572	3192	674	138	10	131	306	1046	43	11	0	211	289	384	673	173	267	29	9	290	80	-82	+2	-16	+13	+101	1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	123	25	2	24	56	190	8	2	0	212	290	386	676	174	267	29	9	290	80	-15	+0	-3	+2	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	8408	7501	1553	315	21	263	729	2524	108	30	13	207	287	360	646	153	271	30	9	288	79	-203	+1	-30	+30	+238	3.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	120	24	2	20	56	195	8	2	1	207	286	359	644	152	271	30	9	288	79	-16	+0	-2	+2	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	ACL Reds	—	35	27	10	1	0	2	7	6	1	0	2	370	514	630	1.144	259	421	17	20	497	239	+5	-1	—	—	+1	0.6
2023	18	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	461	390	96	21	2	6	57	106	8	5	1	246	354	356	710	110	317	23	12	323	105	+3	+1	—	—	+13	1.7
2024	19	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	507	427	106	21	1	20	66	127	8	2	1	248	359	443	802	194	301	25	13	355	130	+17	+0	—	—	+14	3.2
2025	20	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	308	259	68	16	0	2	45	86	3	0	1	263	378	347	725	85	384	28	15	336	115	+5	-0	—	—	+9	1.4
2025	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	46	41	12	2	0	1	5	10	0	0	0	293	370	415	784	122	367	22	11	354	129	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	20	ROK	ACL Reds	—	42	33	13	3	1	1	9	8	0	1	0	394	524	636	1.160	242	500	19	21	502	242	+7	+0	—	—	+1	0.8
2025	20	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	95	77	17	5	0	1	16	24	2	1	1	221	368	325	693	104	308	25	17	327	109	+1	-0	—	—	+3	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#3Pedro Álvarezlast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,287 PA	8	3,287	161	15	235	309	447	+1	-40	10.0	10.2
	/162	664	33	3	235	309	447	+0.2	-8.0	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	9	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	1	244	293	414	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#5Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,573	128	11	209	284	377	+13	-12	4.6	4.4
	/162	664	24	2	209	284	377	+2.4	-2.3	0.8	pk7: 4
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cam Collier (OGILVIE)	21	39→45	50→57	40→37	48	185/256/327	142	254	17	2	33%	7%	55	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	40→47	42→60	46→55	43	200/256/299	99	268	10	9	28%	7%	51	-1.7	204/265/350	146	271	17	13	30%	7%	69	-0.4	226/293/417	190	275	23	21	26%	8%	95	+1.4
✕Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	35→45	42→55	45→50	44	176/254/278	102	265	9	7	35%	9%	46	-2.0	196/287/331	135	277	14	9	32%	11%	73	-0.1	224/298/396	172	291	21	8	29%	9%	92	+0.9
✕Shed Long Jr. 2016 · A	20	42→47	42→50	43→50	42	210/262/309	99	277	9	6	27%	6%	56	-1.3	229/287/360	131	315	13	11	30%	7%	80	+0.4	233/295/385	151	314	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.6
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	41→45	39→55	49→45	44	198/267/288	90	270	6	5	28%	7%	53	-1.5	217/280/375	158	316	19	7	36%	7%	82	+0.5	220/290/392	172	269	20	6	26%	8%	86	+0.6
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	43	40→50	42→45	47	204/282/302	97	297	7	6	32%	10%	63	-0.8	179/241/260	81	267	8	5	34%	7%	35	-2.8	183/233/258	75	242	8	4	27%	6%	29	-0.9
✕John Whittleman 2008 · A	21	41→43	44→50	42→45	48	204/276/324	121	273	11	5	29%	9%	66	-0.6	200/279/315	115	276	10	3	29%	10%	66	-0.6	171/259/324	153	234	18	1	34%	11%	58	-0.8
✕Leopoldo Correa 2013 · A	21	45	39→45	42→30	46	216/274/302	86	272	6	3	22%	7%	59	-1.1	206/259/285	79	274	5	5	25%	6%	48	-1.9	178/223/244	66	223	3	0	21%	4%	17	-0.9
●Nomar Mazara 2015 · AA	20	41→51	45→55	43→40	42	205/268/329	124	288	12	3	32%	7%	64	-0.8	243/303/383	140	298	16	2	23%	7%	93	+1.3	253/317/430	176	296	21	3	22%	8%	106	+1.9
●Jack Suwinski 2019 · A	21	39→42	40→60	47→50	39	193/248/285	92	277	7	6	32%	6%	44	-2.1	194/261/328	134	293	15	6	37%	8%	61	-1.0	208/305/416	207	281	28	10	34%	11%	100	+1.5
●Max Moroff 2014 · A	21	41→51	40→50	43→50	46	199/263/286	87	265	8	8	27%	8%	51	-1.7	217/278/309	92	311	6	12	29%	8%	63	-0.9	235/313/371	135	309	14	10	27%	10%	91	+0.9
✕Kyle Higashioka 2011 · A	21	40→43	42→60	41→40	44	200/256/304	103	244	10	3	22%	6%	53	-1.5	197/242/316	119	241	13	4	24%	5%	50	-1.8	229/285/425	196	263	28	4	25%	7%	95	+0.6
✕Joe Rizzo 2019 · A	21	43→50	38→55	47→40	40	208/258/282	75	298	6	5	31%	6%	47	-1.9	227/270/349	122	294	14	4	27%	5%	69	-0.4	239/284/396	157	292	21	2	25%	5%	85	+0.6
✕Jason Vosler 2016 · A	22	41→43	45→55	42→40	47	204/265/320	116	237	13	5	20%	7%	61	-1.0	205/266/339	134	263	15	3	27%	6%	66	-0.6	215/280/388	173	267	23	3	28%	7%	82	+0.3
✕John Drennen 2008 · A	21	45→55	43→50	42→45	43	220/278/329	109	283	11	6	26%	6%	69	-0.4	225/273/327	102	278	8	4	21%	5%	65	-0.7	246/296/375	130	293	10	1	19%	6%	85	+0.5
✕Eric Wood 2014 · A	21	42→48	40→55	39→45	38	205/249/297	92	281	8	4	30%	5%	47	-1.9	210/263/304	94	296	7	5	30%	6%	55	-1.4	218/275/390	173	279	21	6	29%	6%	81	+0.2
✕Lewin Díaz 2018 · A	21	43→44	45→60	46→30	39	217/254/337	120	268	13	3	24%	4%	59	-1.1	213/247/354	141	263	16	2	25%	4%	62	-0.9	211/261/421	210	239	29	1	26%	5%	85	+0.6
✕Danny Ortiz 2012 · A	22	38→48	43→60	46→45	39	195/236/308	114	252	10	5	27%	5%	44	-2.1	220/253/347	127	275	12	4	24%	4%	62	-0.9	226/264/410	184	264	25	2	25%	4%	84	+0.5
●Angelo Songco 2010 · A	21	36→46	45→55	47→40	36	189/238/315	126	264	13	4	33%	5%	48	-1.9	221/272/373	152	276	16	4	26%	6%	78	+0.2	218/270/377	159	267	18	3	26%	6%	75	+0.0
✕Blake DeWitt 2007 · AA	21	46→55	45→50	42→40	44	229/275/350	121	275	14	4	22%	6%	72	-0.2	241/293/373	132	277	13	4	18%	6%	85	+0.7	245/319/368	123	281	10	3	16%	9%	87	+0.7
✕Imanol Vargas 2019 · A	21	42→44	40→50	45	51	200/293/295	95	288	7	9	30%	11%	67	-0.5	207/285/347	140	314	15	7	36%	9%	76	+0.1	205/290/360	154	326	18	2	39%	10%	79	+0.2