Parker Meadows — OGILVIE

Parker MeadowsCF Detroit Tigers

Age 26 L/R 6'5" / 205 lbs MLB HR -8% Svc 1.983 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 266 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 7691vR 96

AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .311 / .395

PA266

HR7

SB14

K%26

BB%9

BABIP299

ISO160

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

5310.7%

xwOBA

370.294

POWER45

Barrel%

366.4

Avg EV

2086.8

Bat Spd

3870.1

EYE55

Chase%

7826.3%

SPEED60

Sprint

7128.3

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 549 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

108

441

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

286

310

▶R

ISO

101

166

▶▶R

BABIP

337

292

◀L

28.7%

25.2%

▶R

BB%

7.4%

9.1%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2023

Service 1.983 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.5	$2M	+$2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.0	$15M	+$14M
2028	Arb-1	$4M	+1.9	$13M	+$10M
2029	Arb-2	$6M	+1.7	$11M	+$6M
2030	Arb-3	$8M	+1.4	$8M	+$3M
Totals		$19M		$49M	+$35M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	GCL Tigers West	—	85	78	15	1	1	3	4	36	3	3	1	192	259	346	605	154	308	42	5	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	GCL Tigers West	—	85	74	21	2	1	4	8	25	3	3	1	284	376	500	876	216	378	29	9	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	504	456	86	15	2	7	34	137	2	14	8	189	248	276	524	88	249	27	7	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	504	443	98	15	2	7	47	113	2	14	8	221	299	312	610	90	277	22	9	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	408	366	62	13	1	9	26	146	6	9	8	169	236	284	520	115	245	36	6	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	408	355	74	15	2	8	37	99	6	9	8	208	294	330	624	121	261	24	9	279	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	3 teams	—	632	572	129	23	8	24	44	164	6	19	2	226	288	420	707	194	267	26	7	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	3 teams	—	632	553	146	28	8	23	63	124	6	19	2	264	346	468	814	204	296	20	10	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	2 teams	—	662	592	131	21	7	23	56	186	4	27	3	221	293	397	690	176	276	28	8	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	2 teams	—	662	574	144	31	9	22	74	160	4	27	3	251	340	451	792	200	304	24	11	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	MLB	2 teams	—	535	483	119	21	8	22	44	128	4	28	9	246	315	460	774	213	289	24	8	334	114	+8	+2	+5	+2	+15	3.3
2024	24	MLB	2 teams	—	535	472	125	23	9	17	55	121	4	28	9	265	347	460	806	195	320	23	10	354	129	+18	+2	+5	+2	+15	4.2
2025	25	MLB	2 teams	—	268	239	56	9	6	6	28	75	0	5	0	234	315	397	712	163	314	28	10	308	94	-2	+1	+1	+1	+8	0.9
2025	25	MLB	2 teams	—	268	236	53	9	5	5	31	74	0	5	0	225	315	369	683	144	304	28	12	308	94	-2	+1	+1	+1	+8	0.9
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	MLB	DET	—	39	36	9	1	1	0	2	10	1	3	0	250	308	333	641	83	346	26	5	288	79	-1	+1	+1	+0	+1	0.2
YTD	26	MLB	DET	—	39	36	9	1	1	0	2	10	1	3	0	250	308	333	641	83	346	26	5	291	81	-1	+1	+1	+0	+1	0.2
ROS	26	MLB	DET	100%	266	238	56	9	4	7	24	68	2	14	2	235	311	395	706	160	293	26	9	311	96	-1	+2	+1	+1	+8	1.1
ROS	26	MLB	DET	100%	266	238	55	9	4	7	24	68	2	14	2	231	307	391	698	160	289	26	9	301	89	-3	+2	+1	+1	+8	0.9
FULL	26	MLB	DET	—	305	274	64	10	5	7	26	78	3	17	2	234	307	383	690	150	300	26	9	300	88	-4	+3	+2	+1	+9	1.1
TOT	26	MLB	DET	—	305	274	65	10	5	7	26	78	3	17	2	237	310	387	697	150	305	26	9	308	94	-2	+3	+2	+1	+9	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	DET	92%	453	406	94	15	6	12	41	115	3	24	4	232	307	387	693	155	293	25	9	311	96	-2	+3	+3	+2	+13	1.9
2028	28	MLB	DET	92%	449	402	93	15	6	12	41	115	3	23	4	231	307	388	695	157	293	26	9	310	96	-2	+3	+2	+2	+13	1.7
2029	29	MLB	DET	92%	438	392	90	15	6	11	40	113	3	21	3	230	306	383	688	153	292	26	9	309	94	-3	+3	+1	+2	+12	1.5
2030	30	MLB	DET	92%	428	383	88	14	6	11	39	112	3	18	3	230	306	384	690	154	291	26	9	306	92	-4	+2	+0	+2	+12	1.3
2031	31	MLB	DET	92%	413	369	83	13	6	10	38	109	3	15	3	225	302	374	676	149	288	26	9	302	89	-5	+2	-1	+1	+12	1.0
2032	32	MLB	DET	92%	394	353	77	12	5	9	36	105	2	12	2	218	294	357	651	139	285	27	9	296	85	-7	+2	-1	+1	+11	0.6
2033	33	MLB	DET	92%	364	326	70	10	5	8	33	99	2	9	1	215	291	350	641	135	280	27	9	289	79	-9	+1	-2	+1	+10	0.2
2034	34	MLB	DET	88%	319	285	59	8	4	7	29	89	2	6	1	207	285	337	622	130	274	28	9	280	73	-10	+1	-3	+1	+9	-0.2
2027	27	MLB	DET	92%	417	373	86	14	6	11	38	106	3	22	4	231	307	389	696	158	289	25	9	301	89	-5	+3	+2	+1	+12	1.3
2028	28	MLB	DET	92%	413	369	84	13	6	10	38	106	3	21	3	228	305	377	682	149	288	26	9	301	88	-6	+3	+2	+1	+12	1.3
2029	29	MLB	DET	92%	403	360	82	13	6	10	37	104	3	19	3	228	305	381	686	153	288	26	9	299	87	-6	+3	+1	+1	+11	1.1
2030	30	MLB	DET	92%	394	352	80	12	6	10	36	103	3	17	3	227	304	381	685	153	287	26	9	296	85	-7	+2	+0	+1	+11	0.9
2031	31	MLB	DET	92%	380	340	75	12	5	9	35	100	2	14	2	221	297	365	662	144	284	26	9	293	82	-8	+2	-0	+1	+11	0.6
2032	32	MLB	DET	92%	362	324	70	11	5	8	33	97	2	11	2	216	292	355	647	139	281	27	9	287	78	-9	+1	-1	+1	+10	0.3
2033	33	MLB	DET	92%	335	299	63	9	5	7	31	91	2	8	1	211	289	344	634	134	276	27	9	281	73	-10	+1	-2	+1	+9	-0.0
2034	34	MLB	DET	88%	279	250	52	7	4	6	25	78	2	5	1	208	285	340	625	132	270	28	9	272	66	-11	+1	-3	+1	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3905	3491	783	122	57	94	360	1022	25	152	26	224	301	373	674	148	288	26	9	296	85	-68	+20	+9	+17	+111	9.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	130	20	9	16	60	170	4	25	4	224	301	372	673	148	286	26	9	296	85	-11	+3	+2	+3	+18	1.5
Career	—			—	6618	5940	1308	214	81	181	557	1797	48	247	54	220	292	375	667	155	281	27	8	294	83	-126	+28	+9	+24	+188	12.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	129	21	8	18	55	176	5	24	5	221	294	377	671	156	282	27	8	294	83	-12	+3	+1	+2	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	GCL Tigers West	—	85	74	21	2	1	4	8	25	3	3	1	284	376	500	876	216	378	29	9	388	155	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2019	19	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	504	443	98	15	2	7	47	113	2	14	8	221	299	312	610	90	277	22	9	274	68	-18	-0	—	—	+14	-0.4
2021	21	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	408	355	74	15	2	8	37	99	6	9	8	208	294	330	624	121	261	24	9	279	71	-13	-1	—	—	+12	-0.3
2022	22	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	489	425	117	21	6	16	52	90	4	17	2	275	360	466	826	191	309	18	11	360	134	+19	+3	—	—	+14	3.6
2022	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	67	61	14	4	1	4	4	18	1	0	0	230	288	525	812	295	256	27	6	345	122	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	76	67	15	3	1	3	7	16	1	2	0	224	307	433	740	209	245	21	9	323	106	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2023	23	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	145	125	29	4	2	3	17	37	2	8	1	232	333	368	701	136	302	26	12	318	101	+0	+1	+3	+2	+4	1.1
2023	23	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	517	449	115	27	7	19	57	123	2	19	2	256	343	474	817	218	305	24	11	354	129	+17	+3	—	—	+15	3.5
2024	24	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	298	270	66	12	6	9	25	76	1	9	4	244	311	433	744	189	306	26	8	326	108	+3	+0	+5	+2	+8	1.8
2024	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	237	202	59	11	3	8	30	45	3	19	5	292	391	495	887	203	338	19	13	389	156	+15	+2	—	—	+7	2.4
2025	25	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	213	191	41	6	2	4	21	56	0	4	0	215	292	330	622	115	280	26	10	282	74	-6	+1	+1	+1	+6	0.3
2025	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	55	45	12	3	3	1	10	18	0	1	0	267	400	533	933	267	423	33	18	405	168	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	656	586	136	22	10	16	63	169	3	21	5	232	310	386	695	154	297	26	10	310	96	-3	+2	+9	+5	+19	3.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	3,944	98	155	228	301	380	+5	+28	9.6	8.9
	/162	664	17	26	228	301	380	+0.9	+4.7	1.6	pk7: 8
#2Manuel Margotlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA	8	3,154	56	94	254	307	380	-5	+27	8.4	8.8
	/162	664	12	20	254	307	380	-1.1	+5.6	1.8	pk7: 9
#3Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA	11	2,871	79	42	226	302	380	+10	+16	8.1	8.5
	/162	664	18	10	226	302	380	+2.3	+3.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Jake Marisnicklast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,213 PA	10	2,213	63	81	227	280	381	+5	+54	8.3	8.2
	/162	664	19	24	227	280	381	+1.4	+16.2	2.5	pk7: 8
#6Peter Bourjoslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,241 PA	8	2,241	42	66	241	298	382	-0	+38	7.4	7.5
	/162	664	12	20	241	298	382	-0.1	+11.3	2.2	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Parker Meadows (OGILVIE)	26	45	45	60	55	237/310/387	150	305	7	17	26%	9%	94	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Max Schuemann 2023 · AAA	26	46→47	46→45	59→60	46	223/313/356	133	303	14	29	29%	9%	92	+1.2	222/312/331	109	296	11	21	26%	10%	85	+0.7	215/311/310	95	283	9	20	25%	10%	77	+0.1
✕Josh Rojas 2020 · MLB	26	46→54	47→50	55	49	230/296/376	146	276	14	25	22%	8%	89	+0.9	243/316/375	132	305	12	19	23%	10%	96	+1.5	251/325/369	118	318	10	18	23%	10%	95	+1.2
●Jake McCarthy 2023 · MLB	26	51→59	49→50	62→60	46	251/315/408	156	318	15	33	25%	7%	105	+2.1	257/320/382	125	308	11	32	19%	7%	99	+1.7	263/323/401	137	306	11	27	17%	6%	102	+1.3
✕Drew Stubbs 2012 · MLB	27	50→51	47→50	59→60	47	242/315/376	134	325	15	33	29%	9%	96	+1.5	229/296/359	130	316	15	27	30%	8%	84	+0.6	227/297/360	133	323	13	24	32%	9%	81	+0.3
●Nate McLouth 2008 · MLB	26	50→55	50→60	60	50	251/323/413	162	289	16	27	19%	8%	109	+2.4	253/338/441	188	277	20	20	16%	10%	123	+3.3	244/335/426	182	264	20	19	16%	10%	111	+2.4
✕José Caballero 2023 · AA	26	46→45	46→45	58→70	60	225/336/357	132	282	14	33	24%	13%	101	+1.8	227/323/345	118	296	11	49	25%	10%	92	+1.2	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
✕Bradley Zimmer 2018 · MLB	25	48→51	48→50	58→60	42	228/299/373	145	335	15	29	34%	8%	89	+1.0	230/301/365	135	338	14	22	34%	8%	88	+0.9	203/292/309	105	325	12	23	37%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Flavio Romero 2007 · AAA	27	50→57	44→45	55→60	53	245/323/359	114	293	12	31	20%	9%	95	+1.4	236/324/329	93	292	7	23	20%	11%	88	+0.9	240/335/317	78	296	5	20	19%	12%	88	+0.6
✕Kevin Thompson 2006 · AAA	26	51→52	47→50	57→60	49	248/320/397	149	309	13	29	23%	8%	104	+2.0	239/304/371	132	293	11	27	21%	8%	90	+1.0	237/302/360	123	287	10	31	20%	8%	82	+0.3
✕Samad Taylor 2023 · AAA	25	46→55	51→50	58→65	42	234/296/390	156	317	20	33	32%	7%	92	+1.2	235/305/350	115	323	11	40	28%	8%	85	+0.7	233/305/335	103	318	8	43	27%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Nick Gordon 2022 · MLB	26	48→56	45→50	57→55	42	239/285/360	122	299	12	25	24%	5%	79	+0.3	240/285/379	139	297	13	12	23%	5%	84	+0.6	238/279/378	140	293	13	8	23%	4%	79	+0.1
●Desmond Jennings 2013 · MLB	26	49→59	48→50	62→60	50	243/315/390	147	288	15	31	21%	8%	100	+1.7	242/316/389	147	288	14	20	20%	9%	100	+1.7	240/318/381	142	284	12	19	19%	9%	97	+1.1
✕Richie Palacios 2023 · MLB	26	52	44→50	59→55	51	251/323/381	130	310	9	20	21%	9%	100	+1.7	231/317/354	123	272	12	19	19%	10%	92	+1.2	219/314/336	116	253	12	20	18%	11%	83	+0.3
✕Roman Quinn 2020 · MLB	27	50→53	46→45	63→65	45	243/302/380	138	325	13	32	28%	8%	91	+1.1	227/299/359	132	324	12	30	31%	8%	85	+0.7	178/270/282	103	310	9	41	41%	9%	52	-0.4
✕Blake Tekotte 2012 · MLB	25	44→48	53→55	53→55	44	228/293/405	176	290	21	24	29%	8%	95	+1.4	199/253/331	132	275	13	16	31%	6%	59	-1.1	189/253/305	116	256	9	10	28%	6%	49	-0.9
✕Drew Avans 2022 · AAA	26	51→55	45→50	60	46	244/308/378	134	335	11	26	29%	8%	93	+1.3	224/296/334	110	323	8	28	30%	8%	77	+0.1	225/296/318	92	315	8	30	29%	9%	70	-0.3
✕Elijah Dunham 2023 · AA	25	43→42	49→50	58→60	47	220/294/377	156	286	16	28	28%	8%	88	+0.9	208/278/359	151	291	16	25	32%	8%	76	+0.1	191/261/336	146	274	15	24	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Alen Hanson 2019 · MLB	26	51	48→50	57→60	42	254/290/407	152	300	14	23	21%	4%	93	+1.3	224/268/349	125	284	12	16	25%	5%	69	-0.4	198/243/294	96	261	7	17	26%	5%	39	-0.8
✕Manuel Margot 2021 · MLB	26	50→53	46→50	54→60	51	248/309/388	140	286	13	24	18%	8%	96	+1.5	254/311/376	122	295	11	17	17%	7%	94	+1.3	256/312/371	114	298	10	15	17%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Tyler Greene 2012 · MLB	28	50→53	48→50	59→55	44	244/317/394	150	330	15	26	29%	8%	102	+1.8	228/282/364	136	320	14	18	31%	6%	79	+0.3	219/264/338	119	315	12	13	33%	5%	61	-0.6