Jesus LopezC
Hickory Crawdads
Age 21
L/R
6'1" / 180 lbs
A
K +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 1.5 · 2031
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .264 / .310
PA120
HR2
K%33
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20↗25
PWR
34↗39
SPD
43↗48
EYE
42↗47
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.5peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Pre-Arb | $0.9M | +1.5 | $14M | +$13M |
| 2032 | Pre-Arb | $0.9M | +1.5 | $14M | +$13M |
| 2033 | Pre-Arb | $1.0M | +1.4 | $14M | +$13M |
| 2034 | Arb-1 | $2M | +1.3 | $13M | +$11M |
| 2035 | Arb-2 | $3M | +1.1 | $11M | +$8M |
| 2036 | Arb-3 | $3M | +0.8 | $4M | +$0.8M |
| Totals | $12M | $71M | +$59M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL TEX Blue | 138 | 118 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 3 | .169 | .279 | .271 | .551 | .102 | .196 | 19 | 10 | .243 | 44 | -9 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 53 | 47 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .170 | .264 | .383 | .647 | .213 | .250 | 40 | 6 | .262 | 59 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 232 | 217 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 95 | 2 | 1 | 2 | .189 | .238 | .267 | .505 | .078 | .322 | 41 | 5 | .223 | 29 | -19 | -1 | +0 | +4 | +7 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 20 | A | 2 teams | 122 | 107 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .093 | .192 | .150 | .341 | .056 | .130 | 32 | 10 | .160 | -20 | -16 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | TEX | 120 | 109 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .193 | .261 | .303 | .563 | .110 | .281 | 32 | 8 | .262 | 58 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB 11% | TEX | 214 | 193 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 67 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .207 | .278 | .337 | .615 | .130 | .283 | 31 | 8 | .276 | 69 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB 28% | TEX | 324 | 291 | 62 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 97 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .213 | .287 | .351 | .637 | .137 | .284 | 30 | 8 | .285 | 77 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +9 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB 45% | TEX | 400 | 358 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 117 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .218 | .295 | .363 | .658 | .145 | .285 | 29 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB 60% | TEX | 443 | 395 | 85 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 129 | 5 | 8 | 2 | .215 | .295 | .357 | .652 | .142 | .286 | 29 | 9 | .295 | 84 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +13 | 1.4 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB 77% | TEX | 470 | 419 | 91 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 43 | 136 | 5 | 8 | 2 | .217 | .298 | .360 | .658 | .143 | .286 | 29 | 9 | .297 | 86 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +13 | 1.5 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB 92% | TEX | 480 | 428 | 92 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 44 | 140 | 5 | 8 | 2 | .215 | .296 | .355 | .651 | .140 | .286 | 29 | 9 | .297 | 86 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +14 | 1.5 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 483 | 430 | 92 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 142 | 5 | 8 | 2 | .214 | .296 | .353 | .649 | .140 | .286 | 29 | 9 | .296 | 85 | -8 | +1 | -1 | +9 | +14 | 1.4 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 477 | 424 | 91 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 141 | 5 | 8 | 2 | .215 | .297 | .356 | .654 | .142 | .285 | 30 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -9 | +1 | -1 | +9 | +14 | 1.3 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 470 | 418 | 88 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 44 | 141 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .211 | .293 | .347 | .640 | .136 | .283 | 30 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -10 | +1 | -2 | +8 | +13 | 1.1 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 443 | 395 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 134 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .208 | .289 | .339 | .628 | .132 | .282 | 30 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -11 | +1 | -3 | +8 | +13 | 0.8 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 414 | 368 | 76 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 128 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .207 | .290 | .337 | .626 | .130 | .280 | 31 | 9 | .282 | 74 | -12 | +1 | -4 | +7 | +12 | 0.5 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 374 | 332 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 118 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .202 | .286 | .331 | .617 | .130 | .278 | 32 | 9 | .277 | 70 | -13 | +1 | -4 | +7 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 323 | 287 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 105 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .195 | .278 | .310 | .588 | .115 | .276 | 33 | 9 | .270 | 65 | -13 | +1 | -5 | +6 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2040 | 35 | MLB | TEX | 266 | 238 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 89 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .193 | .273 | .311 | .584 | .118 | .274 | 33 | 9 | .263 | 59 | -12 | +1 | -6 | +5 | +8 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6246 | 5574 | 1146 | 219 | 28 | 152 | 559 | 1904 | 67 | 93 | 25 | .206 | .286 | .337 | .623 | .131 | .280 | 30 | 9 | .281 | 73 | -188 | +9 | -25 | +112 | +177 | 8.5 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 580 | 120 | 23 | 3 | 16 | 58 | 198 | 7 | 10 | 3 | .207 | .286 | .340 | .626 | .133 | .282 | 30 | 9 | .281 | 73 | -20 | +1 | -3 | +12 | +18 | 0.9 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL TEX Blue | 138 | 110 | 26 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 3 | .236 | .382 | .391 | .773 | .155 | .250 | 12 | 16 | .351 | 126 | +4 | -0 | — | — | +4 | 0.8 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 53 | 45 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .289 | .396 | .644 | 1.041 | .356 | .345 | 25 | 9 | .444 | 198 | +6 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.8 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 232 | 211 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 68 | 2 | 1 | 2 | .242 | .307 | .351 | .658 | .109 | .340 | 29 | 8 | .297 | 86 | -4 | -1 | — | — | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 91 | 78 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .128 | .253 | .218 | .471 | .090 | .167 | 25 | 13 | .229 | 34 | -7 | -0 | — | — | +3 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 31 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .095 | .345 | .095 | .440 | .000 | .105 | 13 | 26 | .238 | 41 | -2 | -0 | — | — | +1 | -0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Jesus Lopez (OGILVIE) | 21 | 20→25 | 34→39 | 43→48 | 47 | .196/.264/.310 | .114 | .281 | 2 | 2 | 33% | 8% | 58 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A |
21 | 37 | 44→50 | 49→50 | 40 | .188/.259/.305 | .117 | .281 | 12 | 9 | 36% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .194/.278/.291 | .097 | .346 | 7 | 8 | 42% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .146/.273/.221 | .075 | .359 | 3 | 4 | 52% | 12% | 39 | -0.5 |
|
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A |
20 | 38 | 40→45 | 47→45 | 45 | .183/.271/.272 | .089 | .286 | 7 | 6 | 36% | 10% | 52 | -1.6 | .190/.265/.267 | .077 | .298 | 5 | 6 | 35% | 9% | 47 | -1.9 | .182/.268/.267 | .085 | .274 | 6 | 3 | 33% | 10% | 48 | -0.6 |
|
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A |
21 | 38→33 | 43→45 | 51→50 | 43 | .192/.259/.300 | .108 | .274 | 11 | 13 | 33% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .205/.268/.319 | .114 | .301 | 12 | 12 | 34% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .179/.252/.298 | .118 | .265 | 14 | 11 | 36% | 8% | 49 | -1.0 |
|
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A |
21 | 40→31 | 41→45 | 46→30 | 38 | .191/.255/.294 | .102 | .304 | 8 | 4 | 38% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .187/.253/.289 | .102 | .316 | 10 | 2 | 41% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .246/.293/.382 | .135 | .322 | 19 | 1 | 29% | 4% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Aaron Bracho 2022 · A |
21 | 34→38 | 44→45 | 44→40 | 41 | .177/.247/.288 | .112 | .267 | 12 | 5 | 37% | 8% | 45 | -2.1 | .181/.246/.300 | .119 | .261 | 14 | 4 | 35% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .192/.255/.327 | .134 | .243 | 18 | 4 | 29% | 7% | 56 | -0.7 |
|
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A |
21 | 33 | 41→45 | 41→50 | 41 | .168/.252/.259 | .091 | .262 | 9 | 8 | 37% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .197/.275/.307 | .110 | .307 | 11 | 5 | 36% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .204/.303/.338 | .134 | .292 | 14 | 2 | 32% | 11% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
●Bo Naylor 2021 · A |
21 | 41→43 | 44→55 | 50 | 43 | .203/.259/.325 | .122 | .273 | 11 | 7 | 29% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .199/.278/.352 | .153 | .276 | 18 | 12 | 33% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .216/.308/.399 | .183 | .269 | 22 | 12 | 28% | 11% | 97 | +1.2 |
|
✕Randy Florentino 2023 · A |
23 | 36 | 41→50 | 47→45 | 40 | .183/.244/.273 | .090 | .273 | 9 | 7 | 35% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .196/.244/.284 | .088 | .259 | 9 | 6 | 27% | 6% | 42 | -2.3 | .184/.224/.260 | .076 | .231 | 7 | 4 | 23% | 4% | 25 | -1.0 |
|
✕Isan Díaz 2017 · A |
21 | 41→40 | 46→55 | 45 | 43 | .207/.273/.343 | .136 | .289 | 13 | 8 | 32% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .201/.272/.338 | .137 | .290 | 15 | 8 | 34% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .204/.284/.367 | .164 | .263 | 21 | 5 | 30% | 9% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Tucker Mitchell 2023 · A |
22 | 38 | 43→50 | 51→45 | 35 | .183/.259/.287 | .104 | .311 | 11 | 11 | 42% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .198/.263/.310 | .112 | .287 | 13 | 7 | 34% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .185/.242/.280 | .095 | .261 | 13 | 5 | 33% | 5% | 38 | -1.0 |
|
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A |
22 | 35 | 46→50 | 45→40 | 40 | .185/.251/.313 | .128 | .265 | 15 | 5 | 35% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .209/.268/.329 | .120 | .279 | 13 | 4 | 28% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .211/.271/.321 | .110 | .275 | 12 | 2 | 27% | 7% | 61 | -0.4 |
|
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A |
20 | 38→41 | 46→50 | 53→55 | 45 | .189/.278/.319 | .129 | .289 | 14 | 15 | 37% | 10% | 67 | -0.5 | .210/.289/.331 | .121 | .326 | 12 | 16 | 36% | 9% | 74 | -0.1 | .216/.296/.349 | .133 | .314 | 15 | 19 | 33% | 9% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Carter Jensen 2023 · A |
20 | 38→47 | 43→50 | 46→50 | 46 | .188/.269/.299 | .110 | .273 | 10 | 7 | 33% | 10% | 58 | -1.2 | .198/.288/.331 | .133 | .275 | 13 | 9 | 30% | 11% | 74 | -0.1 | .206/.294/.357 | .151 | .275 | 17 | 10 | 30% | 11% | 81 | +0.4 |
|
✕Steven Lerud 2006 · A |
21 | 36→42 | 43→45 | 47→40 | 37 | .184/.240/.299 | .114 | .262 | 11 | 5 | 33% | 5% | 45 | -2.1 | .189/.249/.301 | .112 | .288 | 11 | 4 | 37% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .202/.293/.284 | .082 | .291 | 7 | 2 | 30% | 9% | 62 | -0.3 |
|
✕Michael Pérez 2014 · A |
21 | 36 | 43→50 | 45→40 | 30 | .176/.221/.288 | .112 | .309 | 11 | 3 | 45% | 5% | 33 | -2.9 | .185/.248/.288 | .103 | .272 | 9 | 3 | 33% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .224/.284/.351 | .127 | .286 | 14 | 0 | 26% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A |
21 | 37→36 | 45→50 | 54→50 | 38 | .192/.253/.319 | .127 | .271 | 12 | 13 | 33% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .204/.262/.355 | .151 | .295 | 18 | 14 | 36% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .197/.258/.362 | .165 | .284 | 22 | 15 | 38% | 7% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jacob Wetzel 2022 · A |
22 | 43→34 | 43→45 | 49→50 | 41 | .208/.279/.316 | .107 | .311 | 12 | 8 | 35% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .193/.270/.302 | .109 | .277 | 11 | 12 | 32% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .180/.260/.295 | .115 | .256 | 10 | 14 | 32% | 9% | 50 | -1.0 |
|
✕Ashton McGee 2021 · A |
22 | 41 | 39→50 | 50→40 | 41 | .194/.258/.283 | .089 | .288 | 5 | 5 | 33% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .206/.290/.322 | .116 | .364 | 11 | 3 | 42% | 10% | 72 | -0.2 | .191/.284/.307 | .117 | .346 | 12 | 2 | 44% | 11% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Omar Martinez 2022 · A |
21 | 40→38 | 42→45 | 41→40 | 46 | .192/.281/.292 | .100 | .290 | 10 | 4 | 34% | 10% | 61 | -1.0 | .200/.284/.323 | .123 | .291 | 14 | 5 | 33% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 | .180/.261/.303 | .123 | .268 | 16 | 3 | 37% | 9% | 53 | -1.1 |
|
✕Daury Arias 2023 · A |
21 | 40→38 | 43→40 | 46→45 | 50 | .198/.284/.309 | .111 | .250 | 11 | 8 | 24% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .184/.265/.269 | .085 | .268 | 7 | 9 | 31% | 9% | 49 | -1.8 | .162/.246/.233 | .072 | .243 | 6 | 9 | 33% | 9% | 28 | -1.7 |