Carlos Soto
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | A+/INTL2 orgs | 284 | .223/.335/.345 | 4 | 0 | 67 | — | .146/.239/.242 |
| 2023 | 24 | INTLCaneros de lo… | 141 | .242/.345/.400 | 3 | 0 | 111 | — | |
| 2025 | 26 | INTLCaneros de lo… | 128 | .212/.339/.337 | 3 | 1 | 92 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | — | 127 | 99 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 303 | 448 | 394 | 842 | 91 | 349 | 13 | 20 | 384 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | — | 125 | 113 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 312 | 257 | 569 | 18 | 290 | 16 | 9 | 269 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | — | 166 | 138 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 254 | 364 | 428 | 792 | 174 | 294 | 21 | 13 | 348 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 78 | 69 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 286 | 261 | 547 | 58 | 255 | 23 | 8 | 255 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 111 | 97 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 186 | 288 | 227 | 515 | 41 | 290 | 32 | 11 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 43 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 209 | 171 | 380 | 250 | 30 | 2 | 181 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 322 | 264 | 60 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 52 | 73 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 361 | 390 | 751 | 163 | 280 | 23 | 16 | 339 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | INTL | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 67 | 53 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 264 | 409 | 453 | 862 | 189 | 375 | 30 | 18 | 383 | 145 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | — | 179 | 149 | 27 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 181 | 307 | 315 | 622 | 134 | 250 | 29 | 15 | 285 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | INTL | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 105 | 89 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 292 | 382 | 393 | 776 | 101 | 362 | 19 | 10 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 141 | 120 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 345 | 400 | 745 | 158 | 271 | 16 | 13 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 128 | 104 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 339 | 337 | 675 | 125 | 218 | 13 | 15 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 127 | 106 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 320 | 264 | 584 | 66 | 224 | 17 | 14 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 125 | 118 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 224 | 186 | 410 | 8 | 244 | 23 | 5 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 166 | 146 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 178 | 259 | 301 | 561 | 123 | 222 | 30 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 78 | 72 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 234 | 236 | 470 | 56 | 238 | 31 | 4 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 322 | 283 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 96 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 184 | 276 | 314 | 590 | 131 | 240 | 30 | 10 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 179 | 157 | 23 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 62 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 146 | 239 | 242 | 481 | 96 | 216 | 35 | 10 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 127 | 106 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 320 | 264 | 584 | 66 | 233 | 17 | 14 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Cardinals | — | 127 | 99 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 303 | 448 | 394 | 842 | 91 | 349 | 13 | 20 | 384 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 125 | 118 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 224 | 186 | 410 | 8 | 236 | 23 | 5 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Cardinals | — | 125 | 113 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 312 | 257 | 569 | 18 | 290 | 16 | 9 | 269 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 166 | 146 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 178 | 259 | 301 | 561 | 123 | 229 | 30 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Cardinals | — | 166 | 138 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 254 | 364 | 428 | 792 | 174 | 294 | 21 | 13 | 348 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 189 | 176 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 57 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 176 | 229 | 222 | 450 | 45 | 246 | 30 | 4 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 189 | 166 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 53 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 193 | 287 | 241 | 528 | 48 | 274 | 28 | 10 | 251 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | INTL MLE | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 43 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 209 | 171 | 380 | 250 | 30 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2020 | 21 | INTL RAW | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 43 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 209 | 171 | 380 | 250 | 30 | 2 | 181 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 389 | 341 | 62 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 116 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 182 | 275 | 308 | 583 | 126 | 244 | 30 | 10 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 389 | 317 | 74 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 64 | 93 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 233 | 369 | 401 | 769 | 167 | 294 | 24 | 16 | 347 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 284 | 247 | 37 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 99 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 150 | 245 | 247 | 492 | 97 | 230 | 35 | 10 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 284 | 238 | 53 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 37 | 72 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 223 | 335 | 345 | 679 | 122 | 297 | 25 | 13 | 307 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL MLE | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 141 | 120 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 345 | 400 | 745 | 158 | 271 | 16 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL RAW | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 141 | 120 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 345 | 400 | 745 | 158 | 271 | 16 | 13 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | INTL MLE | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 128 | 104 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 339 | 337 | 675 | 125 | 218 | 13 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | INTL RAW | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 128 | 104 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 339 | 337 | 675 | 125 | 218 | 13 | 15 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 127 | 107 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 320 | 262 | 582 | 65 | 224 | 17 | 14 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 125 | 117 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 224 | 188 | 412 | 9 | 244 | 23 | 5 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 166 | 149 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 174 | 259 | 295 | 555 | 121 | 222 | 30 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 189 | 175 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 57 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 177 | 229 | 223 | 452 | 46 | 238 | 30 | 4 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 389 | 342 | 62 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 116 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 181 | 275 | 307 | 582 | 126 | 240 | 30 | 10 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 284 | 251 | 37 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 99 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 147 | 245 | 243 | 488 | 96 | 216 | 35 | 10 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1592 | 1399 | 256 | 55 | 3 | 24 | 151 | 425 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 183 | 272 | 278 | 550 | 95 | 239 | 27 | 9 | 191 | 15 | -161 | -1 | +0 | +28 | +34 | -10.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 571 | 104 | 22 | 1 | 10 | 62 | 174 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 182 | 272 | 277 | 549 | 95 | 238 | 27 | 10 | 191 | 15 | -66 | -1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -4.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 A+Peoria Chiefs · 179 PAwOBA .279 → .223 (−56)K% 29.1% → 34.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.05% | ÷1.064 | ×1.270 | — | — | 34.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.97% | ÷0.992 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 9.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.56% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.40% | ÷1.012 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 12.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.34% | ÷0.989 | ×0.810 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 9.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.929 | ×0.850 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.09% | ÷1.114 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.22% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 102, 2B 98, 3B 86, K 113, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .279 → .223; ISO .134 → .106; BABIP .250 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 APalm Beach Cardinals · 322 PAwOBA .334 → .262 (−73)K% 22.7% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.67% | ÷1.034 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.15% | ÷1.071 | ×0.690 | — | — | 10.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.32% | ÷1.037 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | — | 16.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.85% | ÷1.014 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | — | 6.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | — | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.19% | ÷0.924 | ×0.800 | — | — | 3.63% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 107, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 107, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .334 → .262; ISO .163 → .138; BABIP .280 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 APeoria Chiefs · 78 PAwOBA .246 → .205 (−41)K% 23.1% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.08% | ÷1.033 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.41% | ÷1.073 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 4.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.56% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 2.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷0.996 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 22.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.96% | ÷1.103 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.030 | 1.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.96% | ÷1.105 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 1.46% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 99, 2B 121, 3B 102, K 107, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .246 → .205; ISO .058 → .042; BABIP .255 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKGCL Cardinals · 166 PAwOBA .348 → .248 (−100)K% 21.1% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.08% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 7.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.81% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.960 | ×1.008 | 16.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.960 | ×1.008 | 6.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.960 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 3.81% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .348 → .248; ISO .174 → .127; BABIP .294 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKGCL Cardinals · 125 PAwOBA .259 → .198 (−61)K% 16.0% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 23.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 5.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.80% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.010 | ×1.022 | 22.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.010 | ×1.022 | 1.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.010 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .259 → .198; ISO .018 → .013; BABIP .290 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 DSLDSL Cardinals · 127 PAwOBA .381 → .263 (−119)K% 13.4% → 16.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.39% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 14.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 18.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 4.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.59% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .381 → .263; ISO .091 → .053; BABIP .349 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .