Wuilfredo Antunez
LF Reading Fightin Phils| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A+/A2 orgs | 395 | .264/.327/.458 | 10 | 19 | 67 | — | .203/.250/.355 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA/A+CLE | 426 | .275/.337/.521 | 18 | 16 | 81 | — | .215/.266/.401 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA/AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 446 | .227/.287/.409 | 16 | 12 | 52 | — | .181/.226/.327 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBPHI | 4 | .197/.244/.358 | 0 | 0 | 63 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 26 | MLBPHI | 78 | .202/.250/.371 | 3 | 2 | 68 | -0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ42% MLB | 27 | MLBPHI | 118 | .203/.253/.371 | 4 | 2 | 69 | -0.3 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 60
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Indians | — | 53 | 46 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 261 | 358 | 435 | 793 | 174 | 333 | 19 | 9 | 354 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | ACL Guardians | — | 99 | 78 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 295 | 444 | 538 | 983 | 244 | 333 | 17 | 19 | 432 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 384 | 338 | 93 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 72 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 275 | 357 | 420 | 777 | 145 | 331 | 19 | 10 | 346 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 64 | 62 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 306 | 328 | 452 | 780 | 145 | 347 | 17 | 3 | 345 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 331 | 294 | 75 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 72 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 255 | 326 | 459 | 785 | 204 | 309 | 22 | 9 | 341 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 133 | 123 | 37 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 301 | 336 | 528 | 864 | 228 | 347 | 20 | 5 | 369 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 293 | 259 | 68 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 68 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 263 | 338 | 517 | 855 | 255 | 300 | 23 | 9 | 368 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 25 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 292 | 320 | 583 | 903 | 292 | 375 | 28 | 4 | 385 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 330 | 300 | 60 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 26 | 108 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 200 | 264 | 403 | 667 | 203 | 253 | 33 | 8 | 291 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 69 | 61 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 279 | 348 | 361 | 708 | 82 | 340 | 19 | 10 | 322 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 22 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 381 | 409 | 429 | 838 | 48 | 533 | 27 | 5 | 378 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 53 | 47 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 149 | 245 | 234 | 479 | 85 | 218 | 23 | 8 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 99 | 85 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 212 | 323 | 388 | 711 | 176 | 256 | 24 | 12 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 384 | 351 | 79 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 100 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 225 | 286 | 342 | 628 | 117 | 291 | 26 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 64 | 63 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 238 | 250 | 317 | 567 | 79 | 301 | 22 | 2 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 331 | 306 | 60 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 99 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 196 | 250 | 363 | 613 | 167 | 261 | 30 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 133 | 125 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 256 | 290 | 440 | 730 | 184 | 317 | 26 | 4 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 293 | 269 | 53 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 85 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 197 | 255 | 383 | 638 | 186 | 235 | 29 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 25 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 292 | 320 | 583 | 903 | 292 | 365 | 32 | 4 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 330 | 308 | 50 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 132 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 162 | 209 | 312 | 520 | 149 | 232 | 40 | 5 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 69 | 65 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 231 | 275 | 308 | 583 | 77 | 290 | 25 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 53 | 47 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 149 | 245 | 234 | 479 | 85 | 200 | 23 | 8 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Indians | — | 53 | 46 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 261 | 358 | 435 | 793 | 174 | 333 | 19 | 9 | 354 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 99 | 85 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 212 | 323 | 388 | 711 | 176 | 259 | 24 | 12 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK RAW | ACL Guardians | — | 99 | 78 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 295 | 444 | 538 | 983 | 244 | 333 | 17 | 19 | 432 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 384 | 351 | 79 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 100 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 225 | 286 | 342 | 628 | 117 | 297 | 26 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A RAW | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 384 | 338 | 93 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 72 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 275 | 357 | 420 | 777 | 145 | 331 | 19 | 10 | 346 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 395 | 368 | 76 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 113 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 207 | 255 | 361 | 617 | 155 | 272 | 29 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 395 | 356 | 94 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 83 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 264 | 327 | 458 | 784 | 194 | 316 | 21 | 8 | 342 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 426 | 394 | 86 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 118 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 218 | 268 | 404 | 672 | 185 | 270 | 28 | 5 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 426 | 382 | 105 | 26 | 7 | 18 | 33 | 94 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 275 | 337 | 521 | 858 | 246 | 316 | 22 | 8 | 368 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 446 | 417 | 76 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 165 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 182 | 229 | 331 | 559 | 149 | 259 | 37 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 446 | 406 | 92 | 16 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 134 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 227 | 287 | 409 | 696 | 182 | 292 | 30 | 8 | 305 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 53 | 47 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 149 | 245 | 234 | 479 | 85 | 218 | 23 | 8 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 99 | 85 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 212 | 323 | 388 | 711 | 176 | 256 | 24 | 12 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 384 | 351 | 79 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 100 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 225 | 286 | 342 | 628 | 117 | 291 | 26 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 395 | 368 | 76 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 113 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 207 | 255 | 361 | 617 | 155 | 267 | 29 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 426 | 396 | 86 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 118 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 217 | 268 | 402 | 670 | 184 | 261 | 28 | 5 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 446 | 418 | 76 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 165 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 182 | 229 | 330 | 559 | 148 | 249 | 37 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 395 | 368 | 76 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 113 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 207 | 255 | 361 | 617 | 155 | 267 | 29 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 426 | 396 | 86 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 118 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 217 | 268 | 402 | 670 | 184 | 261 | 28 | 5 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 446 | 418 | 76 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 165 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 182 | 229 | 330 | 559 | 148 | 249 | 37 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | PHI | 2% | 380 | 355 | 69 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 138 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 195 | 242 | 349 | 592 | 155 | 277 | 36 | 6 | 261 | 63 | -17 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +8 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | PHI | 2% | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 244 | 358 | 602 | 161 | 278 | 25 | 0 | 265 | 63 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | PHI | 31% | 253 | 236 | 47 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 90 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 199 | 248 | 362 | 610 | 163 | 278 | 36 | 6 | 269 | 68 | -10 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | PHI | 42% | 281 | 262 | 53 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 98 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 201 | 251 | 362 | 613 | 161 | 279 | 35 | 6 | 270 | 69 | -10 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +6 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | PHI | 31% | 78 | 74 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 202 | 250 | 371 | 621 | 169 | 279 | 36 | 5 | 273 | 68 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | PHI | 42% | 118 | 109 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 41 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 203 | 253 | 371 | 623 | 168 | 279 | 35 | 6 | 274 | 69 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 196 | 183 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 69 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 208 | 256 | 383 | 639 | 175 | 287 | 35 | 6 | 274 | 67 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +4 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 607 | 126 | 23 | 7 | 23 | 36 | 229 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 208 | 255 | 382 | 637 | 175 | 288 | 35 | 6 | 274 | 67 | -24 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -1.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2547 | 2356 | 479 | 93 | 36 | 66 | 152 | 796 | 18 | 87 | 29 | 203 | 257 | 357 | 614 | 154 | 273 | 31 | 6 | 267 | 67 | -29 | +2 | +0 | -8 | +16 | -2.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 601 | 122 | 24 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 203 | 5 | 22 | 7 | 203 | 258 | 358 | 616 | 155 | 272 | 31 | 6 | 267 | 67 | -26 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -1.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAReading Fightin Phils · 330 PAwOBA .286 → .229 (−57)K% 32.7% → 39.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.73% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 39.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.986 | ×1.012 | 15.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.986 | ×1.012 | 5.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.986 | ×1.012 | 1.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 5.76% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .286 → .229; ISO .203 → .156; BABIP .253 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 69 PAwOBA .314 → .248 (−65)K% 18.8% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.84% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 24.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 6.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×1.006 | ×0.988 | 25.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.006 | ×0.988 | 3.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.006 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 1.81% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .314 → .248; ISO .082 → .068; BABIP .340 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 25 PAwOBA .374 → .322 (−52)K% 28.0% → 33.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 2.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 22.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 11.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 4.32% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .374 → .322; ISO .292 → .244; BABIP .375 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Lake County Captains · 293 PAwOBA .361 → .275 (−86)K% 23.2% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.21% | ÷1.020 | ×1.270 | — | — | 28.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.87% | ÷0.991 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 6.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.02% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.80% | ÷1.031 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 15.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.38% | ÷1.138 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 5.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.09% | ÷0.952 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 1.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.33% | ÷1.011 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 5.79% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 106, 2B 128, 3B 90, K 104, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .361 → .275; ISO .255 → .192; BABIP .300 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAkron RubberDucks · 133 PAwOBA .364 → .316 (−48)K% 19.5% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.55% | ÷0.948 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.51% | ÷0.953 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 3.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.75% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.62% | ÷1.004 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 19.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.31% | ÷0.986 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 8.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.09% | ÷0.935 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 3.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.12% | ÷0.926 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 3.57% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 87, K 90, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .364 → .316; ISO .228 → .196; BABIP .347 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ALynchburg Hillcats · 331 PAwOBA .335 → .267 (−69)K% 21.8% → 30.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.75% | ÷0.985 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.76% | ÷1.041 | ×0.690 | — | — | 5.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.91% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.02% | ÷1.056 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | — | 14.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.11% | ÷0.941 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | — | 6.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.05% | ÷0.906 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | — | 3.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.60% | ÷0.844 | ×0.800 | — | — | 3.42% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 111, 2B 88, 3B 81, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .335 → .267; ISO .204 → .177; BABIP .309 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Lake County Captains · 64 PAwOBA .335 → .267 (−68)K% 17.2% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.19% | ÷1.023 | ×1.270 | — | — | 21.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.12% | ÷0.999 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 2.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.45% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×0.957 | ×1.012 | 24.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.978 | ×0.810 | ×0.957 | ×1.012 | 4.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.850 | ×0.957 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.92% | ÷1.190 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.67% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 99, 2B 96, 3B 105, K 105, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .335 → .267; ISO .145 → .100; BABIP .347 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ALynchburg Hillcats · 384 PAwOBA .339 → .273 (−66)K% 18.8% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.75% | ÷0.981 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.90% | ÷1.020 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 6.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.68% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 21.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.39% | ÷0.947 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 5.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.63% | ÷0.982 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 2.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.26% | ÷1.017 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.80% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 96, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .339 → .273; ISO .145 → .117; BABIP .331 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .