Alex McGarry — OGILVIE

Alex McGarry1B Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 28 L/L 6'1" / 213 lbs AA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .284 / .352

PA170

HR4

K%30

BB%8

ISO134

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	2 teams	—	321	302	50	11	1	9	14	152	4	6	1	166	212	298	511	132	289	47	4	221	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	2 teams	—	321	295	71	17	1	11	21	110	4	6	1	241	300	417	717	176	343	34	7	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	3 teams	—	449	425	87	15	5	21	19	171	4	15	4	205	246	412	657	207	282	38	4	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	3 teams	—	449	416	110	23	6	27	28	136	4	15	4	264	317	543	860	279	327	30	6	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	3 teams	—	488	454	99	18	3	9	26	181	2	14	6	218	263	330	594	112	333	37	5	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	3 teams	—	488	437	118	22	5	12	43	130	2	14	6	270	338	426	764	156	352	27	9	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	2 teams	—	60	54	7	1	0	0	5	26	0	3	0	130	203	148	352	19	241	43	8	177	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	2 teams	—	60	52	9	2	0	0	7	21	0	3	0	173	271	212	483	38	281	35	12	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	CIN	—	170	154	34	6	1	4	13	51	1	3	1	221	286	351	636	130	298	30	8	287	78	-4	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	CIN	23%	243	220	48	9	1	6	19	72	2	5	1	218	286	350	636	132	296	30	8	289	79	-6	+1	-1	-4	+7	-0.4
2027	29	MLB	CIN	23%	55	51	10	2	0	1	4	16	0	1	0	196	255	294	549	98	299	29	7	287	78	-1	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	55	51	10	2	0	1	4	16	0	1	0	196	255	294	549	98	265	29	7	287	78	-1	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	603	119	24	0	12	47	189	0	12	0	197	255	297	552	100	266	29	7	287	78	-16	+2	-4	-12	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	1731	1609	325	60	11	49	96	653	13	46	13	202	253	344	597	142	301	38	6	262	59	-80	+4	-1	-31	+49	-6.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	604	122	23	4	18	36	245	5	17	5	202	253	343	595	141	301	38	6	262	59	-30	+1	-1	-12	+18	-2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	289	270	62	16	0	7	15	101	4	6	1	230	280	367	647	137	340	35	5	290	80	-6	+1	—	—	+8	0.3
2021	23	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	32	25	9	1	1	4	6	9	0	0	0	360	484	960	1.444	600	385	28	19	566	291	+7	+0	—	—	+1	0.8
2022	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	26	24	5	2	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	208	269	292	561	83	278	23	8	257	55	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	256	238	61	11	3	16	16	73	2	9	1	256	309	529	838	273	302	29	6	363	136	+10	+1	—	—	+7	1.9
2022	24	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	167	154	44	10	3	11	10	57	2	6	3	286	337	604	941	318	379	34	6	402	166	+12	+0	—	—	+5	1.7
2023	25	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	52	48	8	3	0	2	4	20	0	0	0	167	231	354	585	188	231	38	8	260	57	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	416	371	104	19	5	9	38	107	2	14	6	280	350	431	782	151	365	26	9	345	122	+10	+0	—	—	+12	2.3
2023	25	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	20	18	6	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	333	368	500	868	167	333	15	5	365	138	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	28	24	3	0	0	0	4	14	0	0	0	125	250	125	375		300	50	14	197	9	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	26	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	32	28	6	2	0	0	3	7	0	3	0	214	290	286	576	71	273	22	9	259	56	-2	+1	—	—	+1	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex McGarry (OGILVIE)	28	—	—	—	—	219/284/352	133	298	4	3	30%	8%	78	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2019 · AAA	28	44	46→50	47→45	39	221/268/347	126	302	14	10	31%	6%	69	-0.4	233/281/382	149	336	17	10	34%	5%	83	+0.6	233/280/392	159	341	19	6	36%	5%	84	+0.3
✕Carlos Moncrief 2017 · AAA	28	45→49	45→55	51→50	46	224/286/348	124	283	13	11	25%	8%	76	+0.1	221/277/331	110	302	10	10	28%	7%	68	-0.5	222/274/316	94	328	5	9	32%	7%	59	-0.4
✕Tyler Colvin 2014 · MLB	28	41→51	49→60	51→45	40	212/261/366	154	278	16	8	30%	6%	71	-0.3	206/247/318	112	298	9	7	32%	5%	51	-1.7	195/228/290	94	290	5	3	33%	4%	33	-1.6
✕Brett Carroll 2011 · MLB	28	41→45	48→55	45→50	45	209/287/354	145	260	16	8	26%	7%	80	+0.4	213/279/357	144	273	17	11	28%	7%	77	+0.1	204/270/349	145	263	18	11	29%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Brian O'Grady 2019 · AAA	27	40→37	49→60	52→50	45	205/274/357	151	272	16	12	30%	8%	75	-0.0	214/272/399	185	289	23	15	33%	7%	85	+0.7	198/260/387	189	265	25	17	35%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Aaron Rifkin 2007 · AAA	28	42→44	48→50	47→45	45	216/276/361	145	270	15	8	26%	7%	76	+0.1	227/276/371	144	307	15	6	30%	5%	79	+0.3	223/271/368	145	302	16	3	31%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Luke Allen 2007 · AAA	28	44→43	48→50	49→45	44	227/275/367	140	272	16	8	23%	6%	77	+0.1	246/294/368	122	287	12	7	18%	6%	85	+0.7	274/322/381	107	306	10	3	13%	6%	98	+0.8
✕Mike Costanzo 2012 · AAA	28	41→48	47→50	45→40	40	208/265/348	140	301	15	6	35%	7%	68	-0.5	205/265/334	129	294	14	4	33%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/313	121	273	13	1	33%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Sócrates Brito 2021 · MLB	28	44→54	49→50	50→55	40	222/267/377	155	290	16	13	29%	6%	76	+0.0	224/276/336	112	301	11	21	28%	6%	69	-0.4	220/274/310	90	298	8	28	28%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Deik Scram 2011 · AAA	27	39→49	48→50	53→50	44	200/271/344	144	279	14	13	33%	8%	70	-0.3	209/288/340	131	307	11	10	33%	9%	76	+0.0	201/293/332	132	297	10	4	33%	11%	74	-0.0
✕Jason Cooper 2008 · AAA	27	42→38	49→55	51→45	43	213/273/372	159	280	16	9	29%	7%	78	+0.2	213/281/351	138	268	12	8	24%	7%	76	+0.0	209/292/352	144	249	13	3	21%	8%	79	+0.2
✕Slade Heathcott 2018 · MLB	27	46→43	48→45	46→50	42	227/288/367	140	312	16	10	31%	7%	82	+0.5	226/285/356	130	327	13	13	33%	7%	79	+0.3	217/273/305	88	346	4	17	36%	6%	55	-0.3
✕Luis Liberato 2023 · AAA	27	41→51	48→55	52→50	42	209/271/355	146	291	16	8	33%	8%	72	-0.2	218/281/345	127	314	12	12	32%	8%	74	-0.1	221/287/335	114	319	10	13	32%	8%	70	-0.1
●Cory Aldridge 2007 · AAA	28	43→50	48→55	49→45	36	218/257/360	142	302	16	12	33%	5%	67	-0.5	228/284/378	150	309	16	6	30%	7%	83	+0.6	231/291/398	167	301	19	3	29%	7%	90	+0.6
✕Eli White 2022 · MLB	28	43→49	47→50	48→60	44	213/287/345	132	291	15	13	31%	8%	77	+0.1	227/302/365	138	317	17	28	31%	9%	88	+0.9	238/302/384	146	318	18	31	30%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Billy McKinney 2023 · MLB	28	41→51	49→55	53→45	46	207/285/359	152	283	16	5	32%	9%	79	+0.3	221/299/375	154	288	19	7	28%	9%	90	+1.0	214/296/366	152	268	19	6	27%	9%	83	+0.3
✕Matt Cepicky 2005 · MLB	27	46→43	48→50	50→30	41	232/277/378	145	295	16	10	27%	6%	80	+0.4	220/273/360	140	288	14	4	28%	7%	74	-0.1	208/262/348	140	273	15	2	29%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Donald Lutz 2016 · MLB	27	42→49	47→50	52→45	37	214/264/349	135	296	14	8	32%	5%	68	-0.5	203/249/291	88	325	8	9	38%	5%	46	-2.0	167/207/219	52	286	5	2	42%	4%	7	-1.8
✕Clete Thomas 2013 · MLB	29	40→50	48→50	56→55	36	207/249/352	145	287	16	20	33%	5%	62	-0.9	220/279/347	127	296	13	14	28%	7%	73	-0.1	219/290/337	118	293	12	12	28%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Joe McCarthy 2021 · AAA	27	38→48	46→50	49→50	43	190/272/319	129	288	14	7	37%	9%	64	-0.8	247/309/426	179	300	21	9	24%	7%	107	+2.2	262/327/469	207	303	25	6	22%	7%	123	+1.7