Alex McGarry — OGILVIE

Alex McGarry1B Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 28 L/L 6'1" / 213 lbs AA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .288 / .354

PA15

HR0

K%29

BB%8

ISO134

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	289	270	62	16	0	7	15	101	4	6	1	230	280	367	647	137	340	35	5	290	82	-6	+1	—	—	+6	0.1
2021	23	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	32	25	9	1	1	4	6	9	0	0	0	360	484	960	1.444	600	385	28	19	566	269	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2022	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	26	24	5	2	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	208	269	292	561	83	278	23	8	257	60	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	256	238	61	11	3	16	16	73	2	9	1	256	309	529	838	273	302	29	6	363	132	+10	+1	—	—	+6	1.7
2022	24	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	167	154	44	10	3	11	10	57	2	6	3	286	337	604	941	318	379	34	6	402	158	+12	+0	—	—	+4	1.5
2023	25	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	52	48	8	3	0	2	4	20	0	0	0	167	231	354	585	188	231	38	8	260	62	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	416	371	104	19	5	9	38	107	2	14	6	280	350	431	782	151	365	26	9	345	119	+10	+0	—	—	+9	1.9
2023	25	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	20	18	6	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	333	368	500	868	167	333	15	5	365	133	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	28	24	3	0	0	0	4	14	0	0	0	125	250	125	375		300	50	14	197	19	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	26	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	32	28	6	2	0	0	3	7	0	3	0	214	290	286	576	71	273	22	9	259	61	-1	+1	—	—	+1	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	289	274	44	11	0	5	11	138	4	6	1	161	204	255	460	95	292	48	4	198	20	-27	+1	—	—	+6	-2.1
2021	23	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	32	27	8	1	1	3	4	12	0	0	0	296	387	741	1.128	444	332	38	12	467	202	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2022	24	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	26	25	5	2	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	200	231	280	511	80	252	31	4	205	25	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	256	243	51	8	3	12	11	88	2	9	1	210	250	416	666	206	272	34	4	281	76	-7	+1	—	—	+6	-0.0
2022	24	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	167	157	32	6	2	8	7	73	2	6	3	204	247	420	667	217	305	44	4	277	74	-5	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2023	25	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	52	49	6	2	0	1	3	24	0	0	0	122	173	224	398	102	204	46	6	183	10	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2023	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	416	385	93	16	4	7	24	136	2	14	6	242	290	358	648	117	338	33	6	280	76	-12	+0	—	—	+9	-0.3
2024	26	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	28	25	2	0	0	0	3	17	0	0	0	80	179	80	259		281	61	11	141	-18	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	32	29	5	1	0	0	2	9	0	3	0	172	226	207	433	34	242	28	6	218	34	-3	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	321	301	51	12	1	8	15	150	4	6	1	169	219	296	514	126	299	47	5	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	321	295	71	17	1	11	21	110	4	6	1	241	300	417	717	176	343	34	7	318	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	449	425	86	16	5	19	19	169	4	15	4	202	243	398	641	195	282	38	4	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	449	416	110	23	6	27	28	136	4	15	4	264	317	543	860	279	327	30	6	371	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	488	452	102	19	4	8	28	167	2	14	6	226	274	338	612	113	332	34	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	488	437	118	22	5	12	43	130	2	14	6	270	338	426	764	156	352	27	9	337	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	60	54	7	1	0	0	5	25	0	3	0	130	203	148	352	19	233	42	8	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	60	52	9	2	0	0	7	21	0	3	0	173	271	212	483	38	281	35	12	230	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	321	299	51	12	1	8	15	150	4	6	1	171	219	298	516	127	296	47	5	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	449	423	86	16	5	19	19	169	4	15	4	203	243	400	643	196	283	38	4	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	488	455	102	19	4	8	28	167	2	14	6	224	274	336	610	112	323	34	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	60	55	7	1	0	0	5	25	0	3	0	127	203	145	349	18	260	42	8	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	488	455	102	19	4	8	28	167	2	14	6	224	274	336	610	112	323	34	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	60	55	7	1	0	0	5	25	0	3	0	127	203	145	349	18	260	42	8	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	CIN	2%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	214	267	286	552	71	298	27	7	290	82	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CIN	23%	243	220	49	9	1	6	19	69	2	5	1	223	290	355	645	132	296	28	8	291	83	-5	+1	-1	-4	+5	-0.5
2027	29	MLB CTX	CIN	23%	55	51	10	2	0	1	4	16	0	1	0	196	255	294	549	98	299	29	7	292	83	-1	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	55	51	10	2	0	1	4	16	0	1	0	196	255	294	549	98	265	29	7	292	64	-1	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	603	119	24	0	12	47	189	0	12	0	197	255	297	552	100	266	29	7	292	64	-13	+2	-4	-12	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	1576	1466	298	58	11	41	87	584	12	43	12	203	254	342	595	138	302	37	6	262	64	-5	+1	-1	-5	+6	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	605	124	24	5	17	36	241	5	18	5	205	255	345	601	140	305	37	6	262	64	-13	+2	-4	-12	+14	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex McGarry (OGILVIE)	28	—	—	—	—	222/288/354	133	298	4	3	29%	8%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brian O'Grady 2019 · AAA	27	40→38	47→55	52→50	45	206/276/349	144	272	14	12	29%	8%	76	-0.4	214/274/384	170	291	20	15	32%	7%	84	+0.1	200/265/376	176	270	21	17	33%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Brett Carroll 2011 · MLB	28	40→45	48→55	45→50	44	207/283/349	141	260	15	8	26%	7%	80	-0.2	210/276/339	129	270	14	11	27%	7%	74	-0.5	201/267/326	125	260	14	11	27%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Luke Allen 2007 · AAA	28	44→43	48→50	49→45	45	227/276/368	141	273	16	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	246/296/363	117	287	12	7	18%	7%	86	+0.3	272/321/371	98	305	8	3	13%	6%	95	+0.5
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2019 · AAA	28	45	44→45	48→45	40	223/273/341	119	304	12	10	30%	6%	72	-0.7	233/284/375	142	336	15	10	34%	6%	85	+0.2	232/278/378	146	339	17	6	35%	5%	82	-0.0
✕Travis Ishikawa 2012 · MLB	28	48→49	44→55	46→45	47	235/303/353	118	307	11	6	26%	8%	87	+0.4	237/307/370	133	312	12	4	26%	8%	93	+0.8	238/309/373	135	313	13	1	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Carlos Moncrief 2017 · AAA	28	45→51	44→50	51→50	47	222/287/337	115	283	11	11	25%	8%	77	-0.3	221/280/328	107	301	9	10	28%	7%	72	-0.7	223/273/312	90	329	4	9	32%	6%	63	-0.5
✕Sócrates Brito 2021 · MLB	28	44→54	48→50	50→55	41	223/268/371	148	291	14	13	28%	6%	78	-0.3	220/273/328	108	295	10	21	28%	6%	70	-0.9	212/265/298	85	287	8	28	27%	5%	58	-1.2
✕Scott Cousins 2013 · MLB	28	47→50	45→50	52→55	42	232/281/360	128	300	12	17	27%	6%	80	-0.2	216/275/316	100	293	9	16	28%	6%	68	-1.0	184/248/234	49	261	2	16	28%	5%	36	-1.2
✕Aaron Rifkin 2007 · AAA	28	43→45	48→50	47→45	45	216/279/362	146	271	15	8	26%	7%	80	-0.1	228/279/366	138	304	14	6	29%	6%	81	-0.1	224/272/360	136	300	14	3	29%	5%	75	-0.4
✕Corey Brown 2014 · MLB	28	43→48	51→55	50	40	218/274/379	161	305	19	14	34%	7%	82	+0.0	198/245/345	147	287	18	13	36%	6%	63	-1.3	201/259/370	168	288	21	17	37%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Mike Costanzo 2012 · AAA	28	43→47	46→45	46→40	41	212/268/343	131	299	12	6	32%	7%	72	-0.7	208/269/331	123	295	12	4	32%	8%	69	-0.9	196/260/310	114	275	12	1	32%	8%	60	-0.9
✕Tyler Colvin 2014 · MLB	28	43→53	51→60	51→45	41	224/273/389	165	290	18	8	29%	6%	84	+0.1	209/250/324	115	298	9	7	32%	5%	59	-1.6	195/227/290	95	285	5	3	33%	4%	41	-1.6
✕Cory Aldridge 2007 · AAA	28	43→49	47→55	49→45	37	219/258/352	133	299	14	12	32%	5%	70	-0.9	229/285/372	143	307	15	6	29%	7%	84	+0.2	240/288/415	175	308	22	2	29%	6%	94	+0.5
✕Luis Liberato 2023 · AAA	27	42→49	49→50	52→50	43	214/277/367	153	293	16	8	32%	8%	80	-0.1	219/283/349	130	311	12	12	31%	8%	78	-0.3	218/283/331	113	310	10	13	31%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Adam Engel 2020 · MLB	28	44→48	45→50	52→60	39	218/274/342	124	296	11	16	30%	5%	74	-0.6	235/293/378	143	305	15	19	27%	6%	89	+0.5	203/276/332	129	289	14	30	33%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Deik Scram 2011 · AAA	27	40→50	46→50	53→50	44	203/272/339	136	279	13	13	31%	8%	72	-0.7	213/292/342	129	305	11	10	31%	9%	80	-0.1	208/300/341	134	297	10	4	31%	11%	81	-0.0
✕Billy McKinney 2023 · MLB	28	41→51	49→55	53→45	46	207/284/358	152	283	16	5	32%	9%	82	-0.0	218/297/362	144	287	17	7	29%	9%	87	+0.4	209/290/344	135	268	17	6	27%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Brandon Allen 2014 · MLB	28	42→47	51→55	52→50	45	217/279/382	165	274	18	7	28%	8%	84	+0.2	215/279/350	135	270	15	5	25%	8%	77	-0.3	202/271/322	120	252	13	3	25%	8%	67	-0.7
✕Nate Spears 2013 · AAA	28	42→52	43→45	52→50	48	209/281/324	115	260	11	10	24%	8%	72	-0.7	215/277/316	101	289	8	11	27%	8%	68	-1.0	212/275/299	87	288	6	12	27%	8%	62	-0.5
✕Brad Snyder 2010 · AAA	28	41→51	49→55	52→50	36	212/255/366	153	298	16	14	34%	5%	72	-0.7	233/278/401	168	323	19	14	33%	6%	88	+0.5	235/281/404	169	324	19	15	33%	6%	89	+0.4