Ben RortvedtC Syracuse Mets
Age 28 L/R 5'10" / 210 lbs AAA Svc 3.785 · Ctrl thru 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION138 act + 169 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 5157vR 59
AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .275 / .313
PA169
HR4
K%26
BB%8
BABIP243
ISO120
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -15.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-15BATRUN: -1.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: +0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +5.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+5POSREP: +8.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.0-$1M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025
CONTACT35
Whiff%
5110.9%
xwOBA
100.261
POWER40
Barrel%
163.8
Avg EV
1085.3
Bat Spd
2668.8
EYE50
Chase%
5930.0%
SPEED40
Sprint
1625.8
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 456 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
65
391
wRC+
54
62
R
wOBA
256
267
R
ISO
017
078
▶▶R
BABIP
317
273
L
K%
24.6%
24.3%
BB%
9.2%
10.0%
R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2021
Service   3.785 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2028
First FA Year   2029
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$0.5M
2027Arb-2$0.4M
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.5M $-0.8M -$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201618 ROKElizabethton Twins 113103 19200 6142 00 184243204447 19213 125 208 17
201618 ROKElizabethton Twins 11399 22300 10102 00 222306253559 30247 99 261 58
201719 ACedar Rapids Kernels 336312 561103 18864 10 179234244477 64237 265 213 21
201719 ACedar Rapids Kernels 336308 691604 22604 10 224284315599 91265 187 272 67
201820 A+2 teams 353327 751334 21903 10 229282324606 95302 256 265 61
201820 A+2 teams 353317 831635 31643 10 262333379712 117312 189 320 103
201921 AA2 teams 320290 611416 22886 00 210280328607 117278 287 266 62
201921 AA2 teams 320277 661617 35676 00 238336379716 141288 2111 324 106
202123 AAA2 teams 234214 40606 13734 00 187247299546 112250 316 241 43
202123 AAA2 teams 234211 46708 16644 00 218286365651 147271 277 290 80
202224 AAA3 teams 233212 35906 16922 11 165230292523 127250 397 232 36
202224 AAA3 teams 233201 391006 27752 11 194296333629 139270 3212 285 76
202325 AAA2 teams 203179 36607 21563 20 201296352648 151250 2810 285 76
202325 AAA2 teams 203173 38608 27503 20 220335393728 173261 2513 331 111
202426 MLBTampa Bay Rays 328290 651403 34884 10 224314303617 79312 2710 284 75 -9 +0 +8 +6 +9 1.5
202426 MLBTampa Bay Rays 328290 661303 34884 10 228317303621 76317 2710 289 79 -8 +0 +8 +6 +9 1.6
202527 AAA2 teams 265235 40804 19775 01 170247255502 85229 297 228 33
202527 AAA2 teams 265229 41904 25665 01 179274271545 92228 259 250 50
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD28 AAANYM 138124 23504 8373 01 185252323574 137224 276 254 53 -7 -0 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
YTD28 AAANYM 138120 26605 12313 01 217304392695 175244 229 306 93 -1 -0 +0 +2 +4 0.5
ROS28 AAANYM 10% 169150 29604 14443 11 193275313589 120242 268 264 60 -8 -0 +0 +3 +5 0.0
ROS28 MLBNYM 10% 1716 3100 140 00 188235250485 62242 246 252 51 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL28 AAANYM 155140 26604 9413 01 186250314564 129227 266 254 52 -8 -0 +0 +3 +4 -0.2
TOT28 AAANYM 307274 521108 22816 12 190265318582 128234 267 260 57 -15 -1 +0 +5 +9 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729 MLBNYM 27% 332297 561207 27865 11 189267300567 111241 268 263 59 -15 -0 -1 +6 +9 -0.1
202729 MLBNYM 27% 9183 15302 7241 00 181253289542 108241 268 251 50 -5 +0 -0 +2 +3 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 741658 12422011 701878 10 188274272546 84246 259 255 53 -39 +0 +21 +20 +21 2.4
/ 162G 650577 10919010 611647 10 189274274548 85246 259 255 53 -34 +0 +18 +18 +18 2.1
Career 28862609 512101450 21179441 84 196267296563 99260 287 252 51 -160 +0 +21 +52 +82 -0.6
/ 162G 650588 11523111 481799 21 196267294561 99259 287 252 51 -36 +0 +5 +12 +18 -0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201618 ROKElizabethton Twins 11399 22300 10102 00 222306253559 30247 99 261 58 -5 +0 +3 -0.2
201719 ACedar Rapids Kernels 336308 691604 22604 10 224284315599 91265 187 272 67 -13 +0 +10 -0.3
201820 A+Fort Myers Miracle 196172 43714 21292 00 250338372711 122279 1511 322 105 +1 +0 +6 0.7
201820 ACedar Rapids Kernels 157145 40921 10351 10 276327386713 110355 226 318 101 +0 +0 +4 0.5
201921 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos 226197 47805 23515 00 239333355689 117296 2310 315 99 -0 +0 +6 0.6
201921 A+Fort Myers Miracle 9480 19812 12161 00 237344438782 200270 1713 345 122 +2 +0 +3 0.5
202123 MLBMinnesota Twins 9889 15103 6291 00 169229281510 112211 306 229 33 -7 +0 +7 +4 +3 0.6
202123 AAASt. Paul Saints 136122 31605 10353 00 254326426752 172313 267 334 114 +2 +0 +4 0.6
202224 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders 177154 34906 18572 00 221310396706 175301 3210 312 97 -1 +0 +5 0.5
202224 A+Hudson Valley Renegades 1512 1000 360 00 8326783350 167 4020 200 11 -2 +0 +0 -0.1
202224 INTLLeones del Escogido 4135 4100 6120 11 114244143387 29174 2915 200 11 -4 -0 +1 -0.3
202325 MLBNew York Yankees 7968 8102 11190 00 118241221461 103128 2414 223 29 -6 +0 +4 +4 +2 0.3
202325 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders 124105 30506 16313 20 286395505900 219353 2513 399 163 +9 +0 +4 1.3
202426 MLBTampa Bay Rays 328290 661303 34884 10 228317303621 76317 2710 289 79 -8 +0 +8 +6 +9 1.6
202527 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 128112 17301 11232 00 152240205445 54182 189 210 19 -12 +0 +2 +5 +4 -0.1
202527 AAAOklahoma City Comets 137117 24603 14433 01 205306333639 128284 3110 288 79 -3 -0 +4 0.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 633559 1061809 621597 10 190279270549 81248 2510 256 54 -33 +0 +21 +18 +18 2.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20
career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA
153,0035312194253300+54+13611.310.9
/162664123+11.9+30.12.5pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#4Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#5Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
4754121191276277+13+21-0.2-0.2
/162664101+11.9+18.6-0.2pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Ben Rortvedt (OGILVIE) 28 35 40 40 50 190/265/318 128234 81 26% 7% 57 -0.1
Dan Butler
2015 · MLB
28 43→38 43→45 44→40 43 213/270/326 113269 113 25% 6% 64 -0.8 220/284/316 96287 63 24% 7% 67 -0.5 220/291/305852865023%8%65-0.3
Tres Barrera
2023 · MLB
28 44→42 44→45 40 47 218/286/328 110273 123 24% 8% 72 -0.2 206/270/321 115260 145 25% 7% 63 -0.8 179/247/2719222613226%7%38-1.1
Dom Nuñez
2023 · MLB
28 34→44 44→45 46→45 49 175/264/291 116246 114 32% 11% 54 -1.4 169/258/274 105260 106 36% 10% 47 -1.9 135/237/2319621710339%11%27-1.2
Michael Pérez
2021 · MLB
28 42 46→50 40 46 212/276/338 127270 144 27% 8% 70 -0.3 185/257/323 138236 184 29% 8% 59 -1.1 167/245/28411721616131%8%43-0.9
Anthony Bemboom
2019 · AAA
29 40 40→45 45 46 197/266/289 91260 85 26% 8% 53 -1.5 205/269/325 120267 135 27% 7% 64 -0.8 209/279/32611726812226%8%66-0.2
Michael Papierski
2023 · MLB
27 41→44 42→45 38→40 50 202/285/301 99257 103 24% 9% 65 -0.7 212/291/323 111274 114 25% 9% 72 -0.2 207/292/31410726811126%10%70-0.2
Brian Jeroloman
2013 · AAA
28 43→37 37→45 42→40 48 204/286/272 68290 67 30% 9% 58 -1.2 197/267/264 67274 65 28% 8% 47 -1.9 176/255/236602376026%9%33-0.9
Jackson Williams
2015 · MLB
29 41 43→45 42→40 43 205/260/314 109265 115 27% 7% 56 -1.3 197/252/268 71254 54 23% 6% 41 -2.3 183/237/230472343122%6%22-1.6
Grayson Greiner
2020 · MLB
27 42 45 45→30 45 212/276/331 119282 133 29% 8% 68 -0.5 203/266/324 121314 144 37% 7% 63 -0.9 179/245/2678833110145%7%36-0.9
Jesus Flores
2013 · MLB
28 42→38 45→50 41→30 40 211/246/332 120259 134 24% 4% 55 -1.4 189/227/282 93246 94 27% 4% 33 -2.9 151/181/214622027029%3%-8-2.0
Gavin Collins
2022 · AAA
27 41 45→50 44→40 44 208/276/324 116260 136 25% 7% 67 -0.5 222/290/349 127278 156 25% 7% 79 +0.3 211/275/31810724412318%6%62-0.3
Luke Carlin
2009 · MLB
28 41 40→45 40→45 49 198/281/290 92275 73 29% 10% 60 -1.0 221/301/327 106293 107 26% 10% 78 +0.2 217/303/312952839525%10%72-0.1
Brad Davis
2010 · AAA
27 39 46→50 42→45 44 201/260/336 135254 133 26% 7% 63 -0.9 220/274/344 124286 125 26% 6% 70 -0.3 217/271/33011328410426%6%61-0.5
JD Closser
2009 · MLB
29 40 45→50 43→45 50 204/275/324 121249 136 24% 9% 66 -0.6 212/270/298 86269 87 23% 7% 56 -1.3 209/267/281722627622%7%48-0.9
Spencer Kieboom
2019 · MLB
28 45 41→40 46→30 51 217/286/311 94261 93 20% 8% 67 -0.5 208/267/301 93263 86 23% 7% 56 -1.3 164/215/211462172024%6%7-1.5
Jeff Kunkel
2011 · AAA
28 43 42→40 44→30 41 214/263/313 99275 104 26% 5% 57 -1.2 206/262/301 95284 97 29% 5% 54 -1.4 138/197/176382064033%3%-7-1.2
Steven Lerud
2012 · AAA
27 39→41 42→45 43→40 38 193/255/293 100279 103 33% 6% 50 -1.8 203/279/295 92305 84 33% 8% 61 -1.0 199/291/280822907231%9%60-0.3
Alberto Concepcion
2008 · AAA
27 40 45 39→30 40 206/264/329 124272 133 29% 6% 63 -0.9 226/290/352 126285 136 25% 6% 80 +0.4 235/305/34510929111222%7%83+0.2
Tyler LaTorre
2012 · AAA
29 44 41→40 42→40 44 213/275/313 99289 85 28% 7% 63 -0.9 216/274/316 100297 96 29% 7% 63 -0.8 239/294/317783256327%7%69-0.1
Tuffy Gosewisch
2012 · AAA
28 45 44→45 38→40 44 222/276/338 117265 114 21% 6% 69 -0.4 209/253/314 105253 94 21% 5% 54 -1.4 216/262/32210625111218%5%57-0.4