Eduardo Diaz
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 390 | .265/.326/.513 | 21 | 13 | 71 | — | .191/.240/.369 |
| 2022 | 25 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 547 | .254/.313/.412 | 14 | 15 | 59 | — | .211/.257/.333 |
| 2023 | 26 | INTLCaribes de An… | 34 | .172/.273/.241 | 0 | 0 | 48 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | Missoula Osprey | — | 260 | 221 | 66 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 44 | 5 | 23 | 8 | 299 | 392 | 394 | 786 | 95 | 356 | 17 | 11 | 352 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | Missoula Osprey | — | 268 | 247 | 77 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 47 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 312 | 358 | 510 | 869 | 198 | 361 | 18 | 4 | 377 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Kane County Cougars | — | 128 | 120 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 225 | 262 | 350 | 612 | 125 | 321 | 31 | 2 | 269 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | — | 198 | 187 | 53 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 43 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 283 | 320 | 422 | 742 | 139 | 352 | 22 | 4 | 327 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Kane County Cougars | — | 324 | 286 | 81 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 57 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 283 | 359 | 430 | 789 | 147 | 327 | 18 | 8 | 350 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 111 | 98 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 316 | 391 | 633 | 1.024 | 316 | 369 | 24 | 6 | 437 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | — | 234 | 216 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 63 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 227 | 280 | 463 | 743 | 236 | 248 | 27 | 6 | 322 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | INTL | Caribes de Anzoategui | — | 45 | 41 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 341 | 400 | 488 | 888 | 146 | 412 | 16 | 4 | 395 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 466 | 426 | 112 | 29 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 116 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 263 | 322 | 423 | 744 | 160 | 336 | 25 | 6 | 329 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | INTL | Caribes de Anzoategui | — | 81 | 74 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 263 | 351 | 614 | 149 | 218 | 21 | 7 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | INTL | Caribes de Anzoategui | — | 34 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 273 | 241 | 514 | 69 | 278 | 32 | 6 | 240 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 260 | 232 | 56 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 63 | 5 | 23 | 8 | 241 | 310 | 310 | 620 | 69 | 301 | 24 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 268 | 251 | 56 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 223 | 264 | 355 | 619 | 131 | 280 | 25 | 3 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 128 | 121 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 56 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 149 | 183 | 215 | 397 | 66 | 272 | 44 | 2 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 198 | 189 | 41 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 59 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 217 | 249 | 307 | 556 | 90 | 297 | 30 | 3 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 324 | 295 | 67 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 78 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 227 | 287 | 346 | 633 | 119 | 276 | 24 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 111 | 100 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 250 | 318 | 460 | 778 | 210 | 316 | 32 | 5 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Hillsboro Hops | — | 234 | 221 | 36 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 88 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 163 | 203 | 326 | 528 | 163 | 197 | 38 | 4 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 466 | 436 | 92 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 140 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 211 | 257 | 333 | 590 | 122 | 284 | 30 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 260 | 232 | 56 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 63 | 5 | 23 | 8 | 241 | 310 | 310 | 620 | 69 | 318 | 24 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK RAW | Missoula Osprey | — | 260 | 221 | 66 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 44 | 5 | 23 | 8 | 299 | 392 | 394 | 786 | 95 | 356 | 17 | 11 | 352 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 268 | 251 | 56 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 223 | 264 | 355 | 619 | 131 | 285 | 25 | 3 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK RAW | Missoula Osprey | — | 268 | 247 | 77 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 47 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 312 | 358 | 510 | 869 | 198 | 361 | 18 | 4 | 377 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 128 | 121 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 56 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 149 | 183 | 215 | 397 | 66 | 266 | 44 | 2 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A RAW | Kane County Cougars | — | 128 | 120 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 225 | 262 | 350 | 612 | 125 | 321 | 31 | 2 | 269 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 522 | 485 | 108 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 137 | 10 | 18 | 5 | 223 | 271 | 338 | 609 | 115 | 288 | 26 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 522 | 473 | 134 | 26 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 100 | 10 | 18 | 5 | 283 | 344 | 427 | 771 | 144 | 337 | 19 | 7 | 341 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 390 | 362 | 68 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 139 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 188 | 240 | 365 | 605 | 177 | 248 | 36 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 390 | 355 | 94 | 17 | 4 | 21 | 23 | 97 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 265 | 326 | 513 | 838 | 248 | 304 | 25 | 6 | 363 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 547 | 513 | 107 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 165 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 209 | 252 | 326 | 578 | 117 | 287 | 30 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 547 | 500 | 127 | 31 | 3 | 14 | 35 | 133 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 254 | 313 | 412 | 725 | 158 | 317 | 24 | 6 | 321 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | INTL MLE | Caribes de Anzoategui | — | 34 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 273 | 241 | 514 | 69 | 278 | 32 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | INTL RAW | Caribes de Anzoategui | — | 34 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 273 | 241 | 514 | 69 | 278 | 32 | 6 | 240 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 260 | 235 | 56 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 63 | 5 | 23 | 8 | 238 | 310 | 306 | 616 | 68 | 301 | 24 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK MLE | Missoula Osprey | — | 268 | 252 | 56 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 222 | 264 | 353 | 617 | 131 | 280 | 25 | 3 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 128 | 122 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 56 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 148 | 183 | 213 | 396 | 66 | 272 | 44 | 2 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 522 | 485 | 108 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 137 | 10 | 18 | 5 | 223 | 271 | 338 | 609 | 115 | 284 | 26 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 390 | 362 | 68 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 139 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 188 | 240 | 365 | 605 | 177 | 235 | 36 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 547 | 512 | 107 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 165 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 209 | 252 | 326 | 578 | 117 | 284 | 30 | 4 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2149 | 1993 | 418 | 79 | 17 | 42 | 89 | 639 | 44 | 83 | 27 | 210 | 259 | 330 | 589 | 120 | 283 | 30 | 4 | 252 | 56 | -111 | +6 | +0 | +8 | +47 | -5.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 603 | 127 | 24 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 193 | 13 | 25 | 8 | 211 | 260 | 332 | 591 | 121 | 284 | 30 | 4 | 252 | 56 | -34 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 466 PAwOBA .321 → .253 (−68)K% 24.9% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.89% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.01% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 3.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.26% | ÷1.048 | ×0.920 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 19.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.35% | ÷1.022 | ×0.840 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 7.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.97% | ÷0.938 | ×0.940 | ×0.992 | ×0.998 | 0.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.55% | ÷1.094 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.59% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 110, 2B 104, 3B 88, K 102, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .321 → .253; ISO .160 → .122; BABIP .336 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Hillsboro Hops · 234 PAwOBA .314 → .226 (−88)K% 26.9% → 37.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.92% | ÷0.970 | ×1.350 | — | — | 37.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.011 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 3.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.033 | ×0.910 | ×0.986 | ×0.988 | 15.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.58% | ÷1.304 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | ×0.988 | 2.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷1.108 | ×0.820 | ×0.986 | ×0.988 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.15% | ÷0.972 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 7.72% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 107, 2B 161, 3B 122, K 94, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .314 → .226; ISO .236 → .169; BABIP .248 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 111 PAwOBA .429 → .322 (−107)K% 24.3% → 31.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.32% | ÷0.946 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.31% | ÷0.992 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.012 | 4.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.50% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 3.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.54% | ÷1.025 | ×0.940 | ×0.975 | ×1.012 | 20.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.45% | ÷1.034 | ×0.870 | ×0.975 | ×1.012 | 7.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.82% | ÷0.945 | ×0.920 | ×0.975 | ×1.012 | 2.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.86% | ÷1.271 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 6.12% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 154, 1B 105, 2B 107, 3B 89, K 89, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .429 → .322; ISO .316 → .210; BABIP .369 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AKane County Cougars · 324 PAwOBA .345 → .275 (−70)K% 17.6% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.59% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.02% | ÷1.083 | ×0.690 | — | — | 5.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.47% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.45% | ÷1.038 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | — | 20.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.55% | ÷0.920 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | — | 5.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.31% | ÷1.056 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | — | 1.07% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.06% | ÷0.875 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.79% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 108, 2B 84, 3B 111, K 98, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .345 → .275; ISO .147 → .126; BABIP .327 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Visalia Rawhide · 198 PAwOBA .320 → .243 (−77)K% 21.7% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.72% | ÷0.979 | ×1.340 | — | — | 29.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.04% | ÷0.986 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 2.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.974 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 22.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.64% | ÷1.148 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 5.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.08% | ÷0.909 | ×0.760 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 1.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.095 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 1.77% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 95, 2B 130, 3B 82, K 96, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .320 → .243; ISO .139 → .098; BABIP .352 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AKane County Cougars · 128 PAwOBA .261 → .188 (−73)K% 31.2% → 43.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.25% | ÷0.975 | ×1.360 | — | — | 43.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.34% | ÷0.974 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 1.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.34% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.50% | ÷1.014 | ×0.920 | ×0.957 | ×1.015 | 19.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.039 | ×0.830 | ×0.957 | ×1.015 | 4.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.50% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.957 | ×1.015 | 1.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.50% | ÷0.937 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.17% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 103, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .261 → .188; ISO .125 → .086; BABIP .321 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKMissoula Osprey · 268 PAwOBA .368 → .264 (−104)K% 17.5% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.54% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.995 | 2.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.61% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.001 | ×0.995 | 19.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.001 | ×0.995 | 6.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.001 | ×0.995 | 1.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.995 | 2.61% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .368 → .264; ISO .198 → .136; BABIP .361 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKMissoula Osprey · 260 PAwOBA .348 → .270 (−78)K% 16.9% → 24.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.92% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 24.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×1.008 | 6.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.92% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 25.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 3.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.008 | 1.28% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .348 → .270; ISO .095 → .071; BABIP .356 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .