Jacob Scavuzzo
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 23 | AALAD | 294 | .237/.279/.456 | 16 | 3 | 38 | — | .176/.207/.305 |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 429 | .258/.314/.523 | 26 | 12 | 67 | — | .198/.243/.378 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAACWS | 204 | .245/.300/.553 | 16 | 2 | 63 | — | .182/.227/.385 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | ROK | AZL Dodgers | — | 90 | 82 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 220 | 281 | 317 | 598 | 98 | 315 | 30 | 6 | 270 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK | Ogden Raptors | — | 266 | 244 | 75 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 47 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 307 | 355 | 578 | 933 | 270 | 326 | 18 | 6 | 398 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 444 | 402 | 84 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 126 | 6 | 17 | 4 | 209 | 277 | 311 | 588 | 102 | 290 | 28 | 7 | 266 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK | Ogden Raptors | — | 48 | 45 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 289 | 333 | 489 | 822 | 200 | 353 | 21 | 6 | 361 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 255 | 227 | 70 | 18 | 1 | 13 | 21 | 54 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 308 | 379 | 568 | 948 | 260 | 352 | 21 | 8 | 410 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 227 | 214 | 56 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 45 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 262 | 295 | 425 | 720 | 164 | 305 | 20 | 3 | 313 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 72 | 69 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 377 | 394 | 623 | 1.018 | 246 | 512 | 32 | 3 | 438 | 182 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 459 | 421 | 112 | 21 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 100 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 266 | 321 | 397 | 718 | 131 | 324 | 22 | 6 | 319 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 294 | 274 | 65 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 13 | 81 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 237 | 279 | 456 | 736 | 219 | 271 | 28 | 4 | 318 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 54 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 259 | 340 | 599 | 140 | 286 | 37 | 7 | 270 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 375 | 342 | 91 | 25 | 0 | 24 | 22 | 88 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 266 | 322 | 550 | 871 | 284 | 285 | 23 | 6 | 373 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 204 | 188 | 46 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 66 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 245 | 300 | 553 | 854 | 309 | 280 | 32 | 6 | 366 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 90 | 84 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 167 | 213 | 250 | 463 | 83 | 268 | 43 | 3 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 266 | 251 | 55 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 68 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 219 | 252 | 402 | 654 | 183 | 253 | 26 | 4 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 444 | 412 | 69 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 158 | 6 | 17 | 4 | 167 | 220 | 245 | 466 | 78 | 254 | 36 | 5 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 48 | 46 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 196 | 229 | 348 | 577 | 152 | 268 | 29 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 255 | 232 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 75 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 254 | 316 | 487 | 803 | 233 | 306 | 29 | 6 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 227 | 217 | 45 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 59 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 207 | 232 | 336 | 569 | 129 | 256 | 26 | 2 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 459 | 427 | 101 | 19 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 123 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 237 | 284 | 347 | 630 | 110 | 305 | 27 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 294 | 279 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 103 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 176 | 207 | 305 | 512 | 129 | 229 | 35 | 3 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 54 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 137 | 185 | 216 | 401 | 78 | 263 | 50 | 6 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 375 | 349 | 72 | 20 | 0 | 16 | 15 | 111 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 206 | 251 | 401 | 652 | 195 | 239 | 30 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 204 | 192 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 82 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 182 | 227 | 385 | 612 | 203 | 243 | 40 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 90 | 84 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 167 | 213 | 250 | 463 | 83 | 295 | 43 | 3 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Dodgers | — | 90 | 82 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 220 | 281 | 317 | 598 | 98 | 315 | 30 | 6 | 270 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 266 | 251 | 55 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 68 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 219 | 252 | 402 | 654 | 183 | 254 | 26 | 4 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK RAW | Ogden Raptors | — | 266 | 244 | 75 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 47 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 307 | 355 | 578 | 933 | 270 | 326 | 18 | 6 | 398 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 492 | 458 | 79 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 172 | 6 | 19 | 4 | 172 | 223 | 258 | 481 | 85 | 262 | 35 | 5 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 492 | 447 | 97 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 136 | 6 | 19 | 4 | 217 | 283 | 329 | 612 | 112 | 297 | 28 | 7 | 276 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 554 | 517 | 120 | 27 | 4 | 20 | 23 | 153 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 232 | 276 | 416 | 691 | 184 | 286 | 28 | 4 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 554 | 510 | 152 | 37 | 4 | 22 | 30 | 122 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 298 | 347 | 516 | 862 | 218 | 349 | 22 | 5 | 374 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 459 | 427 | 101 | 19 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 123 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 237 | 284 | 347 | 630 | 110 | 310 | 27 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA RAW | Tulsa Drillers | — | 459 | 421 | 112 | 21 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 100 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 266 | 321 | 397 | 718 | 131 | 324 | 22 | 6 | 319 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 294 | 279 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 103 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 176 | 207 | 305 | 512 | 129 | 234 | 35 | 3 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA RAW | Tulsa Drillers | — | 294 | 274 | 65 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 13 | 81 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 237 | 279 | 456 | 736 | 219 | 271 | 28 | 4 | 318 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 429 | 400 | 79 | 20 | 0 | 18 | 18 | 138 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 198 | 243 | 383 | 625 | 185 | 245 | 32 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 429 | 392 | 101 | 26 | 0 | 26 | 26 | 108 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 258 | 314 | 523 | 837 | 265 | 285 | 25 | 6 | 360 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 204 | 192 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 82 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 182 | 227 | 385 | 612 | 203 | 248 | 40 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA RAW | Charlotte Knights | — | 204 | 188 | 46 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 66 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 245 | 300 | 553 | 854 | 309 | 280 | 32 | 6 | 366 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 90 | 85 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 165 | 213 | 247 | 461 | 82 | 268 | 43 | 3 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 266 | 253 | 55 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 68 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 217 | 252 | 399 | 651 | 182 | 253 | 26 | 4 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 492 | 459 | 79 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 172 | 6 | 19 | 4 | 172 | 223 | 257 | 480 | 85 | 255 | 35 | 5 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 554 | 518 | 120 | 27 | 4 | 20 | 23 | 153 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 232 | 276 | 415 | 691 | 183 | 282 | 28 | 4 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 459 | 428 | 101 | 19 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 123 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 236 | 284 | 346 | 629 | 110 | 305 | 27 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 294 | 281 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 103 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 174 | 207 | 302 | 509 | 128 | 229 | 35 | 3 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 429 | 402 | 79 | 20 | 0 | 18 | 18 | 138 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 197 | 243 | 381 | 624 | 184 | 242 | 32 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 204 | 191 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 82 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 183 | 227 | 387 | 614 | 204 | 243 | 40 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2788 | 2608 | 532 | 112 | 14 | 81 | 117 | 878 | 34 | 57 | 22 | 204 | 248 | 351 | 598 | 147 | 269 | 31 | 4 | 257 | 60 | -132 | +3 | +0 | -30 | +60 | -10.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 608 | 124 | 26 | 3 | 19 | 27 | 205 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 204 | 247 | 350 | 598 | 146 | 269 | 32 | 4 | 257 | 60 | -31 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAACharlotte Knights · 204 PAwOBA .357 → .262 (−95)K% 32.4% → 40.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.35% | ÷0.962 | ×1.200 | — | — | 40.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.37% | ÷1.077 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.98% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.03% | ÷1.061 | ×0.930 | ×0.978 | ×1.033 | 15.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.92% | ÷0.921 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×1.033 | 4.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.64% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.978 | ×1.033 | 1.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 13.11% | ÷1.212 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 9.39% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 112, 2B 84, 3B 80, K 92, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .357 → .262; ISO .309 → .214; BABIP .280 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AATulsa Drillers · 375 PAwOBA .367 → .278 (−89)K% 23.5% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.47% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.87% | ÷1.033 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.60% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.54% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 14.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.84% | ÷0.991 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 8.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.907 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.45% | ÷1.147 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 6.67% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 81, K 93, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .367 → .278; ISO .284 → .199; BABIP .285 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 54 PAwOBA .262 → .190 (−73)K% 37.0% → 49.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.04% | ÷0.970 | ×1.290 | — | — | 49.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷1.021 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 5.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.33% | ÷0.992 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.048 | 22.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.029 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.048 | 2.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.020 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 5.34% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 106, 3B 104, K 94, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .262 → .190; ISO .140 → .092; BABIP .286 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AATulsa Drillers · 294 PAwOBA .311 → .225 (−87)K% 27.6% → 35.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.55% | ÷0.955 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.08% | ÷1.058 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 2.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.02% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.17% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 17.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 5.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.29% | ÷1.295 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 5.26% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 159, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 91, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .311 → .225; ISO .219 → .137; BABIP .271 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AATulsa Drillers · 459 PAwOBA .313 → .275 (−38)K% 21.8% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.79% | ÷0.996 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.10% | ÷0.935 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 4.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.31% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 1.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.61% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×0.982 | ×1.042 | 23.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.54% | ÷0.926 | ×0.840 | ×0.982 | ×1.042 | 6.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.982 | ×1.042 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.020 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 2.55% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 99, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .313 → .275; ISO .131 → .111; BABIP .324 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 255 PAwOBA .401 → .335 (−66)K% 21.2% → 29.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.18% | ÷0.970 | ×1.340 | — | — | 29.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.24% | ÷0.958 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 6.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.96% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 1.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.97% | ÷1.046 | ×0.910 | ×1.022 | ×1.027 | 20.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.40% | ÷1.109 | ×0.820 | ×1.022 | ×1.027 | 8.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×1.022 | ×1.027 | 0.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.51% | ÷0.898 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 7.90% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 109, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 94, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .401 → .335; ISO .260 → .230; BABIP .352 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AGreat Lakes Loons · 227 PAwOBA .307 → .247 (−60)K% 19.8% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.82% | ÷1.039 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.64% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 1.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.32% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.12% | ÷1.028 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 17.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.28% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 6.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.78% | ÷0.978 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 1.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.96% | ÷0.894 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.69% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 106, 2B 105, 3B 96, K 108, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .307 → .247; ISO .164 → .134; BABIP .305 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AGreat Lakes Loons · 444 PAwOBA .258 → .206 (−53)K% 28.4% → 35.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.38% | ÷1.083 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.76% | ÷0.973 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 4.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.35% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.65% | ÷1.017 | ×0.920 | ×0.972 | ×1.030 | 18.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.52% | ÷1.022 | ×0.830 | ×0.972 | ×1.030 | 5.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.45% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.972 | ×1.030 | 1.15% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.81% | ÷1.002 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 1.49% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 103, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 117, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .258 → .206; ISO .102 → .078; BABIP .290 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .