Gabriel Cancel — OGILVIE

Gabriel Cancel2B Puerto Rico

Age 29 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs INTL Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .267 / .322

PA14

HR0

K%29

BB%8

ISO132

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2015	18	ROK	AZL Royals	—	150	134	28	5	4	2	10	44	3	6	1	209	279	351	630	142	295	29	7	277	74	-5	+1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2016	19	ROK	Burlington Royals	—	189	172	50	18	1	5	15	32	0	1	2	291	348	494	842	203	331	17	8	366	134	+8	-1	—	—	+4	1.1
2017	20	A	Lexington Legends	—	433	401	111	30	2	14	23	99	6	9	8	277	326	466	792	190	334	23	5	347	121	+11	-1	—	—	+9	1.9
2017	20	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	22	20	6	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	300	333	350	683	50	353	14	5	296	86	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2018	21	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	507	455	118	31	1	8	35	91	7	7	4	259	322	385	707	125	301	18	7	312	97	-2	-0	—	—	+11	0.9
2018	21	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	33	30	4	1	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	133	188	267	454	133	125	18	6	199	21	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2019	22	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	513	464	114	30	0	18	34	144	10	15	2	246	311	427	738	181	313	28	7	325	106	+4	+2	—	—	+11	1.7
2019	22	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	88	78	13	0	0	1	9	27	1	0	0	167	261	205	466	38	240	31	10	227	40	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2021	24	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	227	206	49	12	1	14	20	68	0	12	2	238	305	510	815	272	280	30	9	353	125	+7	+2	—	—	+5	1.3
2021	24	ROK	ACL Royals Blue	—	18	18	6	1	0	0	0	9	0	2	0	333	333	389	722	56	667	50	0	323	105	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2021	24	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	85	69	11	2	0	2	15	28	0	0	1	159	310	275	585	116	225	33	18	277	73	-3	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2022	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	302	267	59	15	0	5	28	97	5	6	2	221	307	333	640	112	323	32	9	292	84	-6	+0	—	—	+7	0.1
2022	25	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	136	125	19	5	1	2	10	47	1	2	0	152	221	256	477	104	224	35	7	220	35	-11	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2023	26	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	153	131	27	2	0	1	13	31	6	3	1	206	307	244	551	38	260	20	8	260	62	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2024	27	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	138	114	26	6	0	6	23	43	1	3	1	228	362	439	801	211	308	31	17	360	130	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2024	27	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	141	115	25	9	0	2	20	35	5	9	3	217	357	348	705	130	291	25	14	326	107	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.5
2025	28	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	166	138	34	8	0	4	16	28	3	11	0	246	338	391	729	145	270	17	10	312	98	-0	+2	—	—	+4	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2015	18	ROK MLE	AZL Royals	—	150	138	20	3	3	1	6	63	3	6	1	145	197	232	429	87	239	42	4	184	11	-16	+1	—	—	+3	-1.2
2016	19	ROK MLE	Burlington Royals	—	189	177	39	13	1	4	10	45	0	1	2	220	262	373	635	153	269	24	5	270	69	-7	-1	—	—	+4	-0.4
2017	20	A MLE	Lexington Legends	—	433	411	94	23	2	10	13	134	6	9	8	229	263	367	630	139	305	31	3	269	68	-16	-1	—	—	+9	-0.9
2018	21	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	507	471	104	25	1	9	19	128	7	7	4	221	262	335	597	115	267	25	4	259	61	-23	-0	—	—	+11	-1.3
2019	22	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	513	475	90	24	0	15	23	183	10	15	2	189	242	335	577	145	257	36	4	247	53	-29	+2	—	—	+11	-1.5
2021	24	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	227	213	37	9	1	9	13	83	0	12	2	174	221	352	573	178	229	37	6	249	55	-12	+2	—	—	+5	-0.6
2021	24	ROK MLE	ACL Royals Blue	—	18	18	2	0	0	0	0	13	0	2	0	111	111	111	222		536	72	0	140	-19	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	302	276	47	11	0	3	19	122	5	6	2	170	237	243	479	72	280	40	6	218	34	-24	+0	—	—	+7	-1.7
2024	27	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	138	122	21	5	0	4	15	51	1	3	1	172	268	311	580	139	261	37	11	266	66	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2015	18	ROK MLE	AZL Royals	—	150	138	20	3	3	1	6	63	3	6	1	145	197	232	429	87	257	42	4	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK RAW	AZL Royals	—	150	134	28	5	4	2	10	44	3	6	1	209	279	351	630	142	295	29	7	277	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK MLE	Burlington Royals	—	189	177	39	13	1	4	10	45	0	1	2	220	262	373	635	153	271	24	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK RAW	Burlington Royals	—	189	172	50	18	1	5	15	32	0	1	2	291	348	494	842	203	331	17	8	366	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	455	431	99	24	2	11	14	141	6	9	8	230	264	371	635	142	313	31	3	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	455	421	117	31	2	14	24	102	6	9	8	278	326	461	787	183	336	22	5	344	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	540	501	110	26	1	10	21	136	7	7	4	220	261	335	596	116	274	25	4	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	540	485	122	32	1	9	37	97	7	7	4	252	314	377	691	126	290	18	7	305	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	601	559	105	28	0	17	26	214	11	15	2	188	238	329	567	141	264	36	4	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	601	542	127	30	0	19	43	171	11	15	2	234	304	395	699	161	303	28	7	311	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	330	310	53	13	1	12	18	129	0	14	3	171	216	335	552	165	240	39	5	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	330	293	66	15	1	16	35	105	0	14	3	225	308	447	755	222	287	32	11	331	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	438	403	68	16	0	5	27	177	6	8	2	169	232	246	477	77	283	40	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	438	392	78	20	1	7	38	144	6	8	2	199	280	309	588	110	292	33	9	269	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	INTL MLE	Gigantes de Carolina	—	153	131	27	2	0	1	13	31	6	3	1	206	307	244	551	38	260	20	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	INTL RAW	Gigantes de Carolina	—	153	131	27	2	0	1	13	31	6	3	1	206	307	244	551	38	260	20	8	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	279	241	43	10	0	8	31	104	6	12	4	178	288	320	607	141	269	37	11	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	279	229	51	15	0	8	43	78	6	12	4	223	360	393	753	170	299	28	15	343	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	INTL MLE	Puerto Rico	—	166	138	34	8	0	4	16	28	3	11	0	246	338	391	729	145	270	17	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	INTL RAW	Puerto Rico	—	166	138	34	8	0	4	16	28	3	11	0	246	338	391	729	145	270	17	10	312	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK MLE	AZL Royals	—	150	140	20	3	3	1	6	63	3	6	1	143	197	229	426	86	239	42	4	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK MLE	Burlington Royals	—	189	177	39	13	1	4	10	45	0	1	2	220	262	373	635	153	269	24	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	455	432	99	24	2	11	14	141	6	9	8	229	264	370	634	141	305	31	3	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	540	507	110	26	1	10	21	136	7	7	4	217	261	331	592	114	267	25	4	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	601	559	105	28	0	17	26	214	11	15	2	188	238	329	567	141	257	36	4	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	330	309	53	13	1	12	18	129	0	14	3	172	216	337	553	165	252	39	5	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	438	402	68	16	0	5	27	177	6	8	2	169	232	246	478	77	280	40	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	279	240	43	10	0	8	31	104	6	12	4	179	288	321	609	142	261	37	11	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	27	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	279	240	43	10	0	8	31	104	6	12	4	179	288	321	609	142	261	37	11	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	29	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	14	13	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	154	214	154	368		249	29	7	268	68	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	TOR	22%	243	219	43	8	1	6	20	69	2	5	1	196	270	324	594	128	252	28	8	271	70	-9	+1	-2	+1	+5	-0.4
2027	30	MLB CTX	TOR	22%	52	48	9	2	0	1	4	15	0	1	0	188	250	292	542	104	253	29	8	265	70	-2	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	52	48	9	2	0	1	4	15	0	1	0	188	250	292	542	104	250	29	8	265	40	-2	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	112	25	0	12	50	188	0	12	0	187	249	288	538	102	250	29	8	265	40	-24	+2	-6	+2	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3558	3261	643	151	9	79	203	1141	50	91	28	197	255	322	577	125	272	32	6	227	40	-9	+1	-2	+1	+6	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	118	28	2	14	37	208	9	17	5	198	255	322	578	124	274	32	6	227	40	-24	+2	-5	+2	+14	-1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	222	6	5	195	267	327	+1	+1	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	17	14	+2.4	+3.0	-0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gabriel Cancel (OGILVIE)	29	—	—	—	—	192/267/322	130	249	4	4	29%	8%	68	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Austin Hedges 2022 · MLB	29	34→40	49→60	46→45	42	188/244/326	137	230	19	5	28%	6%	59	-1.6	181/242/276	95	225	12	6	25%	6%	47	-2.6	190/263/292	101	234	13	4	24%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Camden Duzenack 2023 · AAA	28	39→36	49→50	51→50	37	207/247/351	144	269	17	13	30%	4%	65	-1.2	231/288/355	124	292	12	10	24%	6%	82	-0.0	243/308/345	102	303	9	6	22%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Brett Carroll 2012 · MLB	29	42→45	47→55	48→50	44	214/281/347	133	264	14	11	25%	6%	78	-0.3	205/271/329	124	273	14	10	29%	7%	70	-0.8	191/262/312	122	255	14	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0
✕Brandon Hicks 2015 · MLB	29	36→40	49→50	46→50	42	189/267/338	149	282	18	7	38%	9%	71	-0.8	189/261/304	115	312	13	8	40%	8%	61	-1.5	166/235/251	85	293	9	8	44%	8%	36	-1.3
✕Aaron Sisk 2007 · AA	28	39	49→50	48→45	43	205/263/348	142	263	17	10	29%	7%	71	-0.8	223/279/369	146	284	18	8	27%	7%	82	-0.0	227/285/382	154	278	22	3	26%	6%	86	+0.1
✕Jake Hager 2022 · MLB	29	37→47	48→50	52→50	42	197/253/337	140	262	16	10	31%	7%	65	-1.2	204/263/315	111	281	10	9	29%	7%	63	-1.4	194/252/287	94	273	6	7	30%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Brian Serven 2023 · MLB	28	39	49→50	48→30	45	205/270/349	144	240	18	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	198/264/302	104	283	11	4	32%	7%	61	-1.5	217/296/335	118	314	12	1	32%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	39	45	48→40	49	198/286/319	122	254	12	5	26%	9%	74	-0.5	216/298/331	115	289	12	7	27%	9%	80	-0.1	197/296/255	58	267	7	0	26%	12%	61	-0.3
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	43	46→50	49→50	42	215/271/341	126	287	13	11	30%	6%	72	-0.7	204/270/355	151	326	19	14	41%	7%	76	-0.4	143/213/283	140	229	22	18	47%	7%	37	-1.2
✕Adam Fox 2011 · AAA	29	39→44	46→45	49→45	41	202/251/325	124	250	14	9	26%	5%	61	-1.5	201/247/324	123	254	12	9	25%	5%	59	-1.7	178/216/303	125	218	11	6	24%	4%	38	-1.3
✕René Rivera 2012 · MLB	29	43→33	45→55	46→30	40	216/259/340	123	270	13	3	25%	5%	68	-1.0	231/281/355	124	284	12	3	22%	6%	79	-0.2	238/298/393	156	304	23	0	29%	6%	88	+0.2
✕Yamid Haad 2007 · MLB	29	40	46→45	46→40	42	207/248/336	129	240	14	6	21%	5%	62	-1.4	213/256/310	97	271	10	6	24%	5%	59	-1.7	218/259/304	86	277	8	1	23%	5%	57	-0.7
✕David Matranga 2007 · AAA	30	38	44→45	47→50	42	193/261/309	116	251	13	9	28%	6%	61	-1.5	213/285/338	125	283	14	11	28%	7%	78	-0.3	212/294/334	122	284	13	9	28%	8%	78	-0.1
✕Jeff Mathis 2013 · MLB	30	39→46	46→50	45	39	202/243/331	129	258	14	5	28%	5%	59	-1.6	205/265/325	120	279	12	4	29%	7%	66	-1.1	210/260/314	105	285	8	1	28%	6%	58	-0.4
✕John Ryan Murphy 2019 · MLB	28	39→46	46→50	46→40	43	204/252/325	121	249	15	3	25%	6%	61	-1.5	205/257/356	151	281	20	5	33%	6%	71	-0.8	172/222/349	176	212	27	0	34%	6%	55	-0.8
✕Jay Caligiuri 2009 · AA	29	43→37	48→45	47→30	48	220/295/358	138	265	16	7	24%	8%	86	+0.3	207/278/312	105	248	11	8	20%	8%	68	-1.0	167/249/243	76	191	9	2	18%	8%	40	-1.0
✕Brandon Larson 2004 · MLB	28	39→42	47→50	45	52	202/289/335	133	250	16	11	26%	10%	78	-0.3	224/295/372	148	288	17	7	27%	8%	88	+0.5	224/283/376	152	290	20	4	29%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Clint Sammons 2012 · AAA	29	35→45	43→40	44→45	43	181/241/285	104	224	12	8	26%	6%	49	-2.4	202/250/335	133	276	17	8	32%	5%	63	-1.3	148/174/263	115	189	19	0	35%	2%	16	-1.2
✕Gabe Johnson 2008 · AAA	28	38	47→50	45→40	40	199/259/332	133	276	16	5	33%	7%	65	-1.2	210/269/319	109	308	10	9	33%	7%	66	-1.1	181/242/260	79	275	6	4	34%	7%	41	-0.7
✕Jeff Nettles 2008 · AA	29	44→40	47→50	49→40	40	224/265/356	132	284	15	6	27%	5%	73	-0.6	220/266/364	144	250	18	4	20%	6%	76	-0.4	210/256/355	145	226	20	0	18%	5%	68	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps