Josh Hatcher — OGILVIE

Josh HatcherOF Frisco RoughRiders

Age 28 L/L 6'1" / 200 lbs AA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .242 / .316

PA5

HR0

K%40

BB%3

BABIP297

ISO105

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	23	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	45	41	7	2	0	0	4	11	0	2	0	171	244	220	464	49	233	24	9	220	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	41	39	11	4	0	0	2	13	0	1	2	282	317	385	702	103	423	32	5	314	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	200	180	47	5	1	7	12	51	2	3	0	261	314	417	731	156	315	26	6	316	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	199	186	46	8	2	7	12	57	1	6	2	247	296	425	721	177	320	29	6	319	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	454	417	125	20	3	12	30	122	4	23	7	300	353	448	801	149	395	27	7	354	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	376	359	84	11	1	9	13	106	1	10	5	234	263	345	608	111	304	28	3	269	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	127	113	25	4	0	3	8	29	3	1	0	221	290	336	627	115	262	23	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	23	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	45	43	6	2	0	0	2	14	0	2	0	140	178	186	364	47	193	31	4	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	41	40	6	2	0	0	1	19	0	1	2	150	171	200	371	50	310	46	2	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	200	184	44	5	1	6	8	62	2	3	0	239	278	375	653	136	294	31	4	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	199	192	34	6	1	6	6	77	1	6	2	177	206	312	519	135	259	39	3	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	454	428	108	17	2	8	19	148	4	23	7	252	290	357	648	105	360	33	4	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	376	364	73	9	1	7	8	133	1	10	5	201	220	288	508	88	287	35	2	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	86	82	12	4	0	0	4	33	0	3	2	146	186	195	381	49	245	38	5	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	86	80	18	6	0	0	6	24	0	3	2	225	279	300	579	75	321	28	7	265	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	399	376	77	11	2	11	14	138	3	9	2	205	239	332	572	128	284	35	4	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	399	366	93	13	3	14	24	108	3	9	2	254	305	421	726	167	317	27	6	317	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	454	428	108	17	2	8	19	148	4	23	7	252	290	357	648	105	364	33	4	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	—	454	417	125	20	3	12	30	122	4	23	7	300	353	448	801	149	395	27	7	354	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	503	482	97	12	1	9	11	178	4	11	5	201	225	286	512	85	292	35	2	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	503	472	109	15	1	12	21	135	4	11	5	231	270	343	613	112	293	27	4	272	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	86	82	12	4	0	0	4	33	0	3	2	146	186	195	381	49	249	38	5	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	399	379	77	11	2	11	14	138	3	9	2	203	239	330	569	127	277	35	4	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	454	428	108	17	2	8	19	148	4	23	7	252	290	357	648	105	360	33	4	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	503	483	97	12	1	9	11	178	4	11	5	201	225	286	511	85	287	35	2	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	454	428	108	17	2	8	19	148	4	23	7	252	290	357	648	105	360	33	4	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	503	483	97	12	1	9	11	178	4	11	5	201	225	286	511	85	287	35	2	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	TEX	2%	380	364	78	12	2	7	11	123	2	9	3	213	241	312	553	99	297	32	3	245	52	-22	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	TEX	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	214	242	316	557	102	297	40	0	247	52	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	TEX	23%	258	247	52	8	1	5	8	83	1	5	2	212	242	310	552	99	295	32	3	246	52	-15	+0	-1	-2	+6	-1.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	TEX	23%	58	56	12	2	0	1	2	19	0	1	0	213	243	314	557	102	295	33	3	247	52	-3	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	58	56	12	2	0	1	2	19	0	1	0	214	241	304	545	89	306	33	3	247	52	-3	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	628	134	22	0	11	22	213	0	11	0	213	240	301	541	88	304	33	3	247	52	-37	+2	-4	-4	+14	-2.9
Career	—	MLE		—	1950	1854	397	60	7	38	64	661	13	57	20	214	245	316	561	101	307	34	3	246	52	-29	+1	-1	-3	+11	-2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	618	132	20	2	13	21	220	4	19	7	214	244	316	559	102	305	34	3	246	52	-37	+1	-2	-4	+14	-2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josh Hatcher (OGILVIE)	28	40	40	50	20	211/239/309	98	297	5	6	32%	3%	52	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕JJ Muno 2022 · AA	28	38	42→40	54→60	39	189/272/294	105	273	10	21	33%	6%	63	-1.3	204/283/294	90	287	8	27	30%	7%	67	-1.1	189/275/254	65	268	5	39	29%	7%	53	-1.1
✕Anderson Miller 2021 · AA	27	41→47	42→45	47→50	38	206/245/309	103	273	10	12	28%	5%	54	-2.0	206/268/335	129	284	16	15	32%	7%	70	-0.8	167/239/293	126	217	19	18	32%	7%	48	-1.0
✕Andy Vasquez 2016 · AAA	28	44→50	46→45	48→50	35	225/250/351	126	291	14	15	28%	3%	66	-1.1	227/266/342	115	301	11	11	27%	5%	70	-0.9	233/265/320	88	312	8	9	27%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Jesus Loya 2019 · AAA	27	44	39→40	52→50	38	213/258/296	83	294	7	13	29%	5%	56	-1.9	218/257/322	104	285	11	7	27%	4%	62	-1.4	208/236/288	81	269	9	0	26%	3%	45	-1.2
✕Ryan Ripken 2021 · AA	28	43→41	41→40	45→40	35	212/242/304	92	288	9	4	30%	3%	51	-2.2	196/241/280	84	304	6	7	35%	5%	46	-2.6	144/183/194	50	234	2	3	38%	4%	1	-1.6
✕Jack López 2021 · AAA	28	44→45	45	49→55	35	221/257/336	115	296	14	13	30%	4%	65	-1.2	206/251/314	108	296	9	18	32%	4%	58	-1.7	196/238/306	110	282	9	19	33%	4%	48	-1.3
✕Kevin Mattison 2014 · AAA	28	39→47	42→45	55→60	37	189/247/298	109	293	9	23	37%	6%	53	-2.1	189/248/308	119	316	12	21	41%	6%	56	-1.9	146/208/265	119	242	13	27	44%	6%	30	-1.5
✕Zach Collier 2018 · AAA	27	45→47	43→45	49→55	38	216/264/331	115	315	10	10	34%	6%	66	-1.1	201/268/319	118	289	10	9	32%	7%	66	-1.1	165/242/275	109	243	8	6	33%	8%	45	-1.6
✕Bret Boswell 2022 · AA	27	40→42	45	43→45	37	203/255/324	121	295	13	9	35%	6%	62	-1.4	198/268/320	122	299	12	9	35%	8%	67	-1.1	174/249/292	118	260	12	7	36%	9%	50	-1.1
✕Myles Schroder 2016 · AA	28	45	41→45	53→50	38	221/261/316	96	284	9	14	25%	4%	62	-1.4	211/257/306	95	273	8	9	25%	4%	59	-1.7	202/250/299	97	265	8	7	26%	4%	52	-1.3
✕Ian Dawkins 2022 · AA	27	44→49	40	53→50	38	216/256/306	90	283	8	15	27%	4%	57	-1.8	212/259/318	106	284	10	14	28%	5%	62	-1.4	199/246/301	101	262	9	16	27%	5%	49	-1.0
✕Isaac Galloway 2017 · AAA	27	41→42	41→45	53→55	36	205/240/299	95	279	9	22	30%	4%	50	-2.3	215/262/345	130	286	15	24	29%	5%	70	-0.9	205/252/344	139	272	17	25	31%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Parker Chavers 2024 · A	26	40	44→40	53→55	39	201/255/313	113	286	12	18	33%	6%	60	-1.6	199/269/282	83	281	6	21	29%	8%	57	-1.8	194/274/263	69	265	4	26	26%	10%	52	-1.2
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2022 · AA	28	43	40→30	48→45	39	208/260/298	90	289	7	9	30%	5%	58	-1.7	218/290/292	74	278	5	8	22%	7%	68	-1.0	204/285/234	31	262	0	2	20%	7%	51	-0.9
✕Brantley Bell 2023 · AAA	28	42→43	39→40	52→55	41	202/253/287	85	276	6	14	28%	6%	52	-2.2	211/265/320	109	324	10	16	35%	6%	65	-1.2	163/209/244	81	278	5	25	41%	5%	24	-0.8
✕Jason Martinson 2017 · AAA	28	37→42	44→45	52→50	34	186/239/300	114	296	12	12	40%	6%	51	-2.2	190/247/308	118	319	13	8	42%	6%	56	-1.9	144/202/236	92	253	13	0	46%	6%	20	-1.5
✕Zach Remillard 2022 · AAA	28	39→49	42→40	50→55	40	194/261/292	97	270	11	14	31%	6%	58	-1.7	210/276/295	85	286	7	18	27%	7%	63	-1.3	205/270/278	73	279	6	19	27%	7%	56	-1.2
✕Corey Ray 2022 · AAA	27	43→37	47→50	50→55	36	211/259/348	137	320	15	10	38%	6%	70	-0.9	203/246/348	145	302	17	14	37%	5%	65	-1.2	164/202/307	142	240	18	16	39%	4%	36	-1.7
✕Willie Abreu 2021 · AA	26	43→46	40→45	49→55	39	207/259/297	91	297	7	15	32%	6%	57	-1.8	213/264/330	117	307	12	10	33%	5%	67	-1.1	195/241/313	118	279	13	9	34%	4%	52	-0.9
✕Dusty Coleman 2015 · AAA	28	37→42	43→50	49→50	34	180/239/291	111	304	10	13	42%	6%	49	-2.4	201/253/324	123	308	12	14	37%	5%	61	-1.5	193/245/323	131	288	14	15	36%	5%	57	-1.1