Jared Hoying
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 27 | AAATEX | 435 | .269/.339/.474 | 16 | 18 | 82 | — | .226/.278/.398 | |
| 2016 | 27 | MLBTEX | 49 | .217/.265/.261 | 0 | 1 | 45 | -0.9 | ||
| 2017 | 28 | AAATEX | 399 | .262/.323/.421 | 10 | 16 | 46 | — | .191/.236/.297 | |
| 2017 | 28 | MLBTEX | 77 | .222/.263/.306 | 1 | 3 | 53 | -0.2 | ||
| 2021 | 32 | AAATOR | 28 | .333/.357/.815 | 3 | 0 | 93 | — | .222/.250/.556 | |
| 2022 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 22 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 484 | 420 | 99 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 45 | 98 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 236 | 323 | 355 | 678 | 119 | 295 | 20 | 9 | 303 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 273 | 246 | 68 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 50 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 276 | 333 | 378 | 711 | 102 | 330 | 18 | 7 | 314 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 248 | 218 | 60 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 53 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 275 | 352 | 404 | 756 | 128 | 348 | 21 | 8 | 336 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | INTL | Leones de Ponce | — | 63 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 236 | 311 | 327 | 639 | 91 | 283 | 16 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 196 | 188 | 50 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 60 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 266 | 292 | 473 | 766 | 207 | 347 | 31 | 3 | 332 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 169 | 153 | 37 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 242 | 304 | 438 | 741 | 196 | 308 | 27 | 8 | 324 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 557 | 509 | 138 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 40 | 140 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 271 | 325 | 517 | 842 | 246 | 324 | 25 | 7 | 363 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 519 | 485 | 104 | 25 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 110 | 3 | 20 | 6 | 214 | 263 | 433 | 696 | 219 | 229 | 21 | 6 | 303 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 49 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 265 | 261 | 526 | 43 | 263 | 16 | 6 | 243 | 45 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +1 | -0.9 |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 435 | 390 | 105 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 78 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 269 | 339 | 474 | 813 | 205 | 297 | 18 | 9 | 355 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 77 | 72 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 222 | 263 | 306 | 569 | 83 | 306 | 30 | 5 | 254 | 53 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 399 | 366 | 96 | 24 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 80 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 262 | 323 | 421 | 744 | 158 | 312 | 20 | 8 | 331 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 32 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 28 | 27 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 357 | 815 | 1.172 | 481 | 429 | 36 | 4 | 496 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 126 | 118 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 220 | 264 | 288 | 552 | 68 | 287 | 25 | 6 | 250 | 55 | -7 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +3 | -1.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 484 | 438 | 83 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 140 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 189 | 251 | 276 | 527 | 87 | 258 | 29 | 6 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 273 | 252 | 64 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 62 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 254 | 296 | 337 | 633 | 83 | 308 | 23 | 4 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 248 | 229 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 74 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 227 | 275 | 319 | 593 | 92 | 315 | 30 | 4 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 196 | 189 | 38 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 79 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 201 | 226 | 360 | 585 | 159 | 296 | 40 | 3 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 169 | 159 | 33 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 56 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 208 | 250 | 365 | 615 | 157 | 275 | 33 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 557 | 523 | 112 | 24 | 6 | 19 | 28 | 178 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 214 | 257 | 392 | 649 | 178 | 277 | 32 | 5 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 519 | 495 | 81 | 19 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 138 | 3 | 20 | 6 | 164 | 199 | 313 | 512 | 149 | 190 | 27 | 4 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 49 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 265 | 261 | 526 | 43 | 263 | 16 | 6 | 235 | 45 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +1 | -0.9 |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 435 | 402 | 91 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 100 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 226 | 278 | 398 | 676 | 172 | 257 | 23 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 77 | 72 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 222 | 263 | 306 | 569 | 83 | 306 | 30 | 5 | 246 | 53 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 399 | 377 | 72 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 100 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 191 | 236 | 297 | 533 | 106 | 244 | 25 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 32 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 28 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 250 | 556 | 806 | 333 | 326 | 43 | 4 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 484 | 438 | 83 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 140 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 189 | 251 | 276 | 527 | 87 | 267 | 29 | 6 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ RAW | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 484 | 420 | 99 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 45 | 98 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 236 | 323 | 355 | 678 | 119 | 295 | 20 | 9 | 303 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 584 | 538 | 131 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 153 | 9 | 20 | 12 | 243 | 288 | 335 | 623 | 91 | 325 | 26 | 4 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 584 | 519 | 141 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 113 | 9 | 20 | 12 | 272 | 339 | 383 | 723 | 112 | 332 | 19 | 8 | 320 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 365 | 349 | 69 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 135 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 198 | 229 | 352 | 581 | 155 | 286 | 37 | 3 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 365 | 341 | 87 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 19 | 105 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 255 | 298 | 457 | 755 | 202 | 329 | 29 | 5 | 328 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 557 | 523 | 112 | 24 | 6 | 19 | 28 | 178 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 214 | 257 | 392 | 649 | 178 | 283 | 32 | 5 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA RAW | Round Rock Express | — | 557 | 509 | 138 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 40 | 140 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 271 | 325 | 517 | 842 | 246 | 324 | 25 | 7 | 363 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 519 | 495 | 81 | 19 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 138 | 3 | 20 | 6 | 164 | 199 | 313 | 512 | 149 | 192 | 27 | 4 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA RAW | Round Rock Express | — | 519 | 485 | 104 | 25 | 6 | 23 | 29 | 110 | 3 | 20 | 6 | 214 | 263 | 433 | 696 | 219 | 229 | 21 | 6 | 303 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 484 | 448 | 101 | 16 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 108 | 4 | 19 | 4 | 225 | 277 | 384 | 661 | 158 | 261 | 22 | 6 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 484 | 436 | 115 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 86 | 4 | 19 | 4 | 264 | 331 | 452 | 783 | 188 | 293 | 18 | 8 | 344 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 476 | 449 | 88 | 20 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 123 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 196 | 240 | 298 | 538 | 102 | 251 | 26 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 476 | 438 | 112 | 27 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 103 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 256 | 314 | 402 | 716 | 146 | 311 | 22 | 7 | 319 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 32 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 28 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 250 | 556 | 806 | 333 | 308 | 43 | 4 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 32 | AAA RAW | Buffalo Bisons | — | 28 | 27 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 357 | 815 | 1.172 | 481 | 429 | 36 | 4 | 496 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 484 | 445 | 83 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 140 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 187 | 251 | 272 | 523 | 85 | 258 | 29 | 6 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 584 | 545 | 131 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 153 | 9 | 20 | 12 | 240 | 288 | 330 | 619 | 90 | 311 | 26 | 4 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 365 | 348 | 69 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 135 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 198 | 229 | 353 | 582 | 155 | 286 | 37 | 3 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 557 | 522 | 112 | 24 | 6 | 19 | 28 | 178 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 215 | 257 | 393 | 650 | 178 | 277 | 32 | 5 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 519 | 492 | 81 | 19 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 138 | 3 | 20 | 6 | 165 | 199 | 315 | 514 | 150 | 190 | 27 | 4 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 484 | 449 | 101 | 16 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 108 | 4 | 19 | 4 | 225 | 277 | 383 | 660 | 158 | 258 | 22 | 6 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 476 | 447 | 88 | 20 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 123 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 197 | 240 | 300 | 540 | 103 | 254 | 26 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 32 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 28 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 250 | 556 | 806 | 333 | 326 | 43 | 4 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 126 | 118 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 220 | 264 | 288 | 552 | 68 | 287 | 25 | 6 | 250 | 57 | -7 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +3 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 609 | 134 | 26 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 160 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 220 | 264 | 287 | 551 | 67 | 287 | 25 | 6 | 250 | 57 | -35 | +4 | -14 | -18 | +14 | -5.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3497 | 3267 | 671 | 130 | 32 | 80 | 164 | 987 | 31 | 115 | 47 | 205 | 250 | 338 | 588 | 133 | 267 | 28 | 5 | 253 | 57 | -7 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +3 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 607 | 125 | 24 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 183 | 6 | 21 | 9 | 206 | 250 | 339 | 590 | 133 | 267 | 28 | 5 | 253 | 57 | -35 | +4 | -14 | -18 | +14 | -5.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAABuffalo Bisons · 28 PAwOBA .480 → .306 (−174)K% 35.7% → 44.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.71% | ÷0.965 | ×1.200 | — | — | 44.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.57% | ÷1.024 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 2.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.071 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.952 | 9.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷0.962 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.952 | 19.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.081 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 10.88% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 114, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 93, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .480 → .306; ISO .481 → .287; BABIP .429 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAARound Rock Express · 399 PAwOBA .322 → .236 (−85)K% 20.1% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.05% | ÷1.033 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.52% | ÷1.037 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 5.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.50% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.98% | ÷1.039 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 17.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.39% | ÷1.039 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 6.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.70% | ÷1.046 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.50% | ÷1.117 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 2.42% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 108, 2B 108, 3B 109, K 107, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .322 → .236; ISO .158 → .109; BABIP .312 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAARound Rock Express · 435 PAwOBA .348 → .289 (−58)K% 17.9% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.93% | ÷1.004 | ×1.290 | — | — | 23.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.28% | ÷1.039 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 5.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.19% | ÷0.949 | ×0.900 | ×0.967 | ×1.003 | 18.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.41% | ÷1.079 | ×0.810 | ×0.967 | ×1.003 | 4.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.92% | ÷0.977 | ×0.810 | ×0.967 | ×1.003 | 1.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.13% | ÷0.839 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 4.78% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 90, 2B 116, 3B 95, K 101, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .348 → .289; ISO .205 → .173; BABIP .297 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAARound Rock Express · 519 PAwOBA .293 → .219 (−74)K% 21.2% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.19% | ÷1.031 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.01% | ÷1.014 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 3.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.58% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.007 | ×0.900 | ×0.963 | ×1.018 | 11.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.029 | ×0.810 | ×0.963 | ×1.018 | 5.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.60% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.963 | ×1.018 | 1.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.13% | ÷1.184 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 4.11% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 106, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .293 → .219; ISO .219 → .151; BABIP .229 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAARound Rock Express · 557 PAwOBA .354 → .277 (−77)K% 25.1% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.13% | ÷1.015 | ×1.290 | — | — | 31.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.00% | ÷1.033 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 4.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.36% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.51% | ÷0.984 | ×0.900 | ×0.972 | ×1.033 | 17.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.94% | ÷1.055 | ×0.810 | ×0.972 | ×1.033 | 6.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.90% | ÷0.953 | ×0.810 | ×0.972 | ×1.033 | 1.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.05% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 5.53% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 97, 2B 111, 3B 91, K 103, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .354 → .277; ISO .246 → .183; BABIP .324 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAARound Rock Express · 196 PAwOBA .324 → .246 (−78)K% 30.6% → 40.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.61% | ÷0.978 | ×1.290 | — | — | 40.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.06% | ÷0.984 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 2.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.51% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.056 | ×0.900 | ×0.963 | ×1.048 | 21.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.91% | ÷1.009 | ×0.810 | ×0.963 | ×1.048 | 3.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.91% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.963 | ×1.048 | 3.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.915 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 5.58% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 111, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 96, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .324 → .246; ISO .207 → .160; BABIP .347 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 169 PAwOBA .317 → .251 (−66)K% 26.6% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.63% | ÷0.984 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.162 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.59% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.52% | ÷0.933 | ×0.920 | ×0.959 | ×1.012 | 17.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.035 | ×0.840 | ×0.959 | ×1.012 | 6.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.78% | ÷0.986 | ×0.940 | ×0.959 | ×1.012 | 2.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.63% | ÷1.114 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.37% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 87, 2B 107, 3B 97, K 97, BB 132 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .317 → .251; ISO .196 → .149; BABIP .308 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 273 PAwOBA .308 → .270 (−38)K% 18.3% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.32% | ÷0.982 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.59% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 4.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.55% | ÷0.978 | ×0.920 | ×0.989 | ×1.027 | 26.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.035 | ×0.840 | ×0.989 | ×1.027 | 2.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.53% | ÷1.016 | ×0.940 | ×0.989 | ×1.027 | 1.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.04% | ÷1.137 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.47% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 103, K 96, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .308 → .270; ISO .102 → .082; BABIP .330 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).