Joe Mack — OGILVIE

Joe MackC Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 23 L/R 6'0" / 210 lbs AAA HR -4%BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 2.3 · 2029

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .272 / .369

PA320

HR11

K%32

BB%7

MLB%34%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

24↗37

PWR

48↗54

SPD

43↘41

FLD

60→60

EYE

47↘45

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.1peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2027

DEF 10%

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$16M	+$15M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.1	$18M	+$17M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+2.3	$20M	+$19M
2030	Arb-2	$4M	+2.3	$21M	+$16M
2031	Arb-3	$7M	+2.1	$19M	+$12M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+2.0	$19M	+$10M
Totals		$23M		$113M	+$90M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	75	60	7	1	0	1	13	30	1	0	1	.117	.284	.183	.467	.067	.200	40	17	.218	25	-6	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
2022	19	A	3 teams	255	217	40	4	1	6	35	97	2	0	0	.184	.303	.295	.598	.111	.296	38	14	.268	64	-11	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.1
2023	20	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	503	461	87	9	0	6	30	149	8	0	0	.189	.251	.247	.498	.059	.262	30	6	.224	30	-40	+0	+0	+9	+14	-1.7
2024	21	AA	2 teams	535	492	105	26	0	20	37	166	5	3	0	.213	.275	.388	.663	.175	.277	31	7	.288	79	-13	+1	+0	+10	+15	1.3
2025	22	AAA	2 teams	468	423	87	18	0	19	30	157	8	9	3	.206	.271	.383	.654	.177	.268	34	6	.284	76	-13	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	23	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	73	63	14	2	0	3	10	18	0	1	0	.222	.329	.397	.726	.175	.262	25	14	.304	91	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.3
ROS	23	MLB	MIA	247	223	47	9	0	9	19	76	3	3	1	.211	.282	.372	.654	.161	.276	31	8	.294	83	-5	+0	+1	+4	+7	0.8
TOT	23	MLB	MIA	320	286	61	11	0	12	29	94	3	4	1	.213	.292	.378	.670	.164	.271	29	9	.296	85	-5	+0	+1	+6	+9	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB 50%	MIA	520	470	103	20	1	19	40	153	5	6	1	.219	.287	.387	.675	.168	.276	29	8	.297	86	-9	+1	+2	+9	+15	1.9
2028	25	MLB 69%	MIA	520	468	104	20	1	19	41	150	6	6	1	.222	.293	.391	.684	.169	.279	29	8	.302	90	-6	+1	+2	+9	+15	2.1
2029	26	MLB 85%	MIA	520	467	104	20	1	19	42	148	6	6	1	.223	.295	.392	.687	.169	.280	28	8	.305	92	-5	+1	+2	+9	+15	2.3
2030	27	MLB	MIA	520	466	104	20	1	19	43	148	6	6	1	.223	.297	.393	.690	.170	.280	28	8	.306	92	-5	+1	+2	+9	+15	2.3
2031	28	MLB	MIA	520	465	104	20	1	19	44	149	6	5	1	.224	.299	.394	.693	.170	.280	29	8	.305	91	-5	+1	+1	+9	+15	2.1
2032	29	MLB	MIA	520	466	102	20	1	18	44	150	5	4	0	.219	.293	.382	.675	.163	.279	29	8	.302	90	-6	+1	+1	+9	+15	2.0
2033	30	MLB	MIA	520	466	102	20	1	18	44	152	5	3	0	.219	.293	.382	.675	.163	.277	29	8	.299	87	-8	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2034	31	MLB	MIA	504	452	97	19	1	17	42	149	5	1	0	.215	.289	.374	.662	.159	.276	30	8	.296	84	-9	+0	-1	+9	+14	1.4
2035	32	MLB	MIA	489	440	93	18	1	16	41	147	5	0	0	.211	.286	.366	.652	.155	.274	30	8	.291	81	-11	+0	-1	+9	+14	1.1
2036	33	MLB	MIA	450	405	84	16	1	14	38	139	4	0	0	.207	.282	.356	.637	.148	.272	31	8	.285	76	-12	+0	-2	+8	+13	0.7
2037	34	MLB	MIA	393	353	72	14	0	12	33	125	4	0	0	.204	.279	.346	.625	.142	.270	32	8	.278	71	-13	+0	-3	+7	+11	0.2
2038	35	MLB	MIA	334	301	59	11	0	10	27	109	3	0	0	.196	.269	.332	.601	.136	.267	33	8	.270	65	-13	+0	-4	+6	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7893	7095	1501	285	11	261	643	2394	87	52	10	.212	.285	.365	.650	.154	.276	30	8	.288	79	-188	+6	+0	+141	+224	18.7
/ 162G	—			650	584	123	23	1	21	53	197	7	4	1	.211	.284	.361	.645	.151	.276	30	8	.288	79	-15	+0	+0	+12	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	75	53	7	1	0	1	20	22	1	0	1	.132	.378	.208	.586	.075	.194	29	27	.301	89	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.1
2022	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	152	121	28	4	1	3	29	40	1	0	0	.231	.384	.355	.739	.124	.316	26	19	.343	120	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
2022	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	31	27	8	0	0	2	4	7	0	0	0	.296	.387	.519	.906	.222	.333	23	13	.399	164	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	19	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	72	61	14	2	0	4	10	23	1	0	0	.230	.347	.459	.806	.230	.294	32	14	.359	133	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2023	20	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	503	449	98	13	0	6	42	118	8	0	0	.218	.297	.287	.584	.069	.280	23	8	.270	65	-20	+0	—	—	+14	-0.6
2024	21	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	475	423	102	25	0	22	46	122	5	2	0	.241	.323	.456	.779	.215	.286	26	10	.344	121	+12	+0	—	—	+13	2.6
2024	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	60	49	17	5	0	2	11	11	0	1	0	.347	.467	.571	1.038	.224	.417	18	18	.455	206	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2025	22	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	412	364	91	18	2	18	35	115	6	8	3	.250	.326	.459	.785	.209	.307	28	8	.341	119	+9	+0	—	—	+12	2.1
2025	22	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	56	44	14	4	0	3	10	12	2	1	0	.318	.464	.614	1.078	.295	.379	21	18	.467	216	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joe Mack (OGILVIE)	23	24→37	48→54	43→41	45	.210/.272/.369	.160	.278	11	3	32%	7%	78	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Tom Murphy 2014 · AA	23	40→35	50→65	43→45	38	.208/.269/.365	.156	.292	18	6	34%	6%	75	-0.0	.209/.263/.380	.171	.291	21	5	35%	6%	76	+0.1	.244/.316/.459	.215	.308	30	2	30%	9%	117	+1.2
✕Isan Díaz 2020 · MLB	24	40	49→55	45	43	.205/.275/.353	.148	.282	17	8	33%	8%	74	-0.1	.211/.285/.363	.152	.282	18	7	30%	9%	81	+0.4	.191/.269/.374	.183	.233	28	8	32%	9%	74	-0.0
●Nolan Gorman 2023 · MLB	23	42→43	56→60	50→45	39	.227/.278/.408	.182	.297	26	6	33%	6%	90	+1.0	.221/.293/.425	.204	.294	29	7	34%	9%	101	+1.8	.211/.294/.417	.206	.276	29	6	34%	10%	96	+1.1
✕Joey Bart 2020 · AA	23	43	52→50	45→40	38	.228/.270/.393	.165	.288	21	7	29%	5%	82	+0.5	.229/.283/.369	.140	.329	16	5	34%	5%	81	+0.4	.234/.323/.349	.115	.320	13	1	28%	9%	90	+0.6
✕Rodolfo Castro 2022 · MLB	23	37→42	53→55	45→50	36	.206/.249/.375	.169	.268	22	7	32%	5%	69	-0.4	.216/.278/.374	.158	.286	20	8	31%	7%	81	+0.4	.207/.276/.361	.154	.269	19	11	30%	7%	74	-0.1
✕Addison Barger 2023 · AAA	23	44→46	53→55	47→45	38	.224/.280/.395	.171	.319	22	7	36%	6%	87	+0.8	.223/.288/.382	.159	.291	18	7	29%	8%	87	+0.8	.220/.291/.385	.165	.272	18	6	25%	8%	84	+0.5
✕Zack Collins 2018 · AA	23	37→42	47→50	42→40	46	.185/.275/.321	.137	.291	15	3	39%	11%	66	-0.6	.198/.295/.349	.151	.306	17	3	37%	12%	82	+0.5	.196/.301/.351	.156	.289	18	2	35%	13%	83	+0.4
✕Christin Stewart 2017 · AA	23	41→45	52→55	46→45	48	.212/.303/.381	.169	.284	20	5	32%	10%	94	+1.3	.217/.292/.385	.168	.281	20	3	29%	8%	89	+1.0	.222/.297/.399	.177	.273	22	1	27%	8%	93	+1.0
✕George Valera 2023 · AAA	22	42→40	53→55	44→45	48	.217/.302/.388	.171	.294	21	6	32%	10%	95	+1.4	.213/.290/.367	.154	.295	19	6	32%	9%	84	+0.6	.206/.283/.354	.148	.282	18	4	32%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Max Stassi 2014 · AA	23	43	52→55	44→40	40	.225/.278/.387	.162	.282	20	4	28%	5%	84	+0.6	.207/.252/.331	.124	.284	14	3	32%	5%	58	-1.2	.208/.295/.359	.151	.271	20	0	30%	10%	81	+0.2
✕Brennen Davis 2023 · AAA	23	40→41	49→50	43→45	40	.203/.283/.349	.146	.303	17	7	37%	7%	77	+0.1	.191/.276/.326	.135	.260	17	9	32%	7%	69	-0.4	.172/.265/.319	.148	.217	21	9	31%	7%	61	-0.4
✕Ian Rice 2018 · AA	24	40	52→50	41→30	49	.211/.293/.374	.163	.269	21	3	29%	10%	88	+0.9	.201/.284/.327	.126	.285	14	3	32%	9%	72	-0.2	.180/.269/.278	.098	.267	10	1	34%	9%	51	-0.8
✕Michael Chavis 2019 · AAA	23	42→47	53→60	48→45	37	.224/.274/.396	.171	.292	22	5	31%	5%	85	+0.7	.238/.294/.423	.185	.320	25	6	32%	6%	100	+1.7	.232/.288/.419	.186	.309	26	5	33%	6%	93	+0.7
✕Ryan Costello 2019 · A	23	42→39	50	43→30	48	.218/.288/.374	.156	.274	18	4	27%	9%	85	+0.7	.201/.278/.341	.140	.288	16	3	33%	9%	72	-0.2	.168/.257/.303	.134	.252	16	0	37%	10%	52	-1.1
✕Chris Wallace 2012 · AA	24	43→39	53→60	43→45	37	.226/.278/.395	.169	.291	21	4	30%	5%	86	+0.8	.219/.270/.345	.126	.313	13	4	33%	5%	69	-0.4	.218/.268/.316	.098	.333	9	3	35%	5%	58	-0.5
✕Reese Havens 2011 · AA	24	44→40	51→45	40	47	.226/.303/.384	.158	.283	19	5	27%	8%	94	+1.3	.218/.291/.346	.128	.310	14	4	32%	9%	79	+0.3	.201/.280/.310	.109	.292	11	3	33%	9%	62	-0.4
✕Sam Huff 2021 · MLB	23	39→40	50→55	45	30	.202/.242/.352	.151	.313	19	6	41%	4%	59	-1.1	.218/.272/.392	.174	.332	25	3	40%	6%	83	+0.6	.214/.277/.391	.177	.310	27	1	38%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Travis Scott 2008 · A	23	44	49→55	44→40	44	.225/.283/.368	.143	.289	17	4	28%	7%	81	+0.4	.224/.278/.378	.154	.290	18	5	28%	7%	81	+0.4	.218/.272/.379	.160	.276	18	3	27%	6%	78	+0.1
●Ryan Schimpf 2013 · AA	25	39	50→60	48→45	43	.204/.276/.365	.162	.275	17	7	32%	8%	78	+0.2	.196/.274/.375	.179	.254	22	4	31%	9%	80	+0.4	.201/.284/.419	.218	.235	28	2	28%	9%	91	+0.9
●Scott Moore 2008 · MLB	24	44→51	52→55	45→50	41	.224/.288/.393	.169	.305	20	10	33%	7%	90	+1.0	.219/.279/.370	.151	.276	17	7	27%	6%	80	+0.4	.237/.304/.380	.142	.292	16	5	23%	7%	90	+0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)