Joe Mack — OGILVIE

Joe MackC Miami Marlins

Age 23 L/R 6'0" / 210 lbs MLB HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION275 act + 245 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .296 / .389

PA245

HR9

K%27

BB%8

BABIP277

ISO163

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT40

xwOBA

520.311

POWER55

Barrel%

528.5

Avg EV

4488.7

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED41

Sprint

3026.5

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.8	$3M	+$3M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.3	$17M	+$16M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.4	$16M	+$16M
2029	Arb-1	$5M	+2.5	$16M	+$12M
2030	Arb-2	$8M	+2.5	$15M	+$9M
2031	Arb-3	$12M	+2.4	$13M	+$6M
Totals		$28M		$81M	+$62M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	75	60	6	1	0	1	13	31	1	0	1	100	270	167	437	67	172	41	17	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	75	53	7	1	0	1	20	22	1	0	1	132	378	208	586	75	194	29	27	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	3 teams	—	255	216	38	3	1	6	36	99	2	0	0	176	299	282	582	106	286	39	14	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	3 teams	—	255	209	50	6	1	9	43	70	2	0	0	239	374	407	781	167	313	27	17	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	503	461	85	8	0	7	30	158	8	0	0	184	246	247	494	63	261	31	6	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	503	449	98	13	0	6	42	118	8	0	0	218	297	287	584	69	280	23	8	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	2 teams	—	535	492	105	25	0	19	37	160	5	3	0	213	275	380	655	167	274	30	7	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	2 teams	—	535	472	119	30	0	24	57	133	5	3	0	252	339	468	807	216	301	25	11	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA	2 teams	—	468	424	86	17	1	20	29	160	8	9	3	203	267	389	656	186	263	34	6	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA	2 teams	—	468	408	105	22	2	21	45	127	8	9	3	257	343	475	818	218	315	27	10	356	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	MLB	MIA	—	275	243	57	8	0	10	26	66	2	1	0	235	314	391	705	156	280	24	9	304	91	-3	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.0
YTD	23	MLB	MIA	—	275	237	58	8	0	10	32	62	2	1	0	245	339	405	745	160	289	23	12	331	112	+4	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.7
ROS	23	MLB	MIA	100%	245	221	50	9	0	9	19	65	3	2	0	226	296	389	685	163	272	27	8	304	91	-3	+0	+1	+4	+7	1.0
ROS	23	MLB	MIA	100%	245	221	49	9	0	9	19	65	3	2	0	222	292	385	677	163	267	27	8	291	81	-5	+0	+1	+4	+7	0.7
FULL	23	MLB	MIA	—	520	464	106	17	0	19	45	131	5	3	0	228	304	388	691	159	275	25	9	298	86	-8	+1	+1	+9	+15	1.8
TOT	23	MLB	MIA	—	520	464	107	17	0	19	45	131	5	3	0	231	305	390	696	159	278	25	9	304	91	-5	+1	+1	+9	+15	2.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	MIA	98%	520	469	108	19	1	20	41	134	5	4	1	230	299	403	702	173	275	26	8	309	95	-3	+0	+2	+9	+15	2.4
2028	25	MLB	MIA	98%	520	467	108	19	1	20	42	132	6	4	1	231	303	405	708	173	277	25	8	313	98	-1	+0	+2	+9	+15	2.5
2029	26	MLB	MIA	98%	520	467	108	19	1	20	42	131	6	4	1	231	303	405	708	173	277	25	8	315	99	-1	+0	+2	+9	+15	2.6
2030	27	MLB	MIA	98%	520	466	108	19	1	20	43	131	6	4	1	232	305	406	710	174	278	25	8	315	99	-1	+0	+2	+9	+15	2.6
2031	28	MLB	MIA	98%	520	465	108	19	1	20	44	132	6	4	1	232	307	406	713	174	277	25	8	314	98	-1	+0	+1	+9	+15	2.5
2032	29	MLB	MIA	98%	520	466	107	19	1	19	44	133	5	3	1	230	303	397	700	167	276	26	8	312	97	-2	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.3
2033	30	MLB	MIA	98%	520	466	107	19	1	19	44	134	5	3	1	230	303	397	700	167	275	26	8	309	95	-3	+0	-0	+9	+15	2.1
2034	31	MLB	MIA	98%	504	451	102	18	1	18	43	132	5	3	1	226	301	390	691	164	272	26	9	305	92	-5	+0	-1	+9	+14	1.8
2035	32	MLB	MIA	98%	489	440	97	17	1	17	41	130	5	2	1	220	294	380	674	159	269	27	8	299	87	-7	+0	-2	+9	+14	1.4
2036	33	MLB	MIA	98%	450	405	87	15	0	15	38	122	4	2	0	215	289	363	652	148	265	27	8	292	82	-9	+0	-3	+8	+13	0.9
2027	24	MLB	MIA	98%	510	460	104	18	1	19	40	132	5	4	1	226	295	393	689	167	270	26	8	297	85	-9	+0	+2	+9	+14	1.7
2028	25	MLB	MIA	98%	510	459	104	18	1	19	41	130	5	4	1	227	297	394	691	168	272	25	8	300	88	-7	+0	+2	+9	+14	1.9
2029	26	MLB	MIA	98%	510	458	105	19	1	19	42	129	5	4	1	229	301	400	701	170	272	25	8	302	89	-6	+0	+2	+9	+14	2.0
2030	27	MLB	MIA	98%	510	458	105	19	1	19	42	129	5	4	1	229	301	400	701	170	273	25	8	302	89	-6	+0	+2	+9	+14	2.0
2031	28	MLB	MIA	98%	510	457	104	18	1	19	43	130	5	4	1	228	301	396	697	168	272	25	8	301	89	-7	+0	+1	+9	+14	1.9
2032	29	MLB	MIA	98%	510	457	103	18	1	18	43	131	5	3	1	225	299	387	686	162	271	26	8	299	87	-7	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.7
2033	30	MLB	MIA	98%	510	457	102	18	1	18	43	132	5	3	1	223	297	385	682	162	270	26	8	297	85	-9	+0	-0	+9	+14	1.5
2034	31	MLB	MIA	98%	494	444	98	17	1	17	42	129	5	3	1	221	295	378	674	158	267	26	9	293	82	-10	+0	-1	+9	+14	1.2
2035	32	MLB	MIA	98%	479	431	93	16	1	16	40	127	5	2	1	216	290	369	659	153	264	27	8	287	78	-12	+0	-2	+9	+14	0.9
2036	33	MLB	MIA	98%	441	397	83	14	0	14	37	119	4	1	0	209	283	350	633	141	260	27	8	281	73	-13	+0	-3	+8	+12	0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5229	4699	1050	184	9	187	432	1353	52	34	9	223	296	386	682	162	271	26	8	296	85	-91	+3	+2	+93	+148	15.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	130	23	1	23	54	168	6	4	1	223	295	384	678	161	270	26	8	296	85	-11	+0	+0	+12	+18	2.0
Career	—			—	7164	6436	1410	246	11	250	586	1984	80	47	13	219	292	377	670	158	273	28	8	297	85	-119	+4	+2	+128	+203	22.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	128	22	1	23	53	180	7	4	1	219	292	378	670	159	273	28	8	297	85	-11	+0	+0	+12	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	75	53	7	1	0	1	20	22	1	0	1	132	378	208	586	75	194	29	27	301	89	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.1
2022	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	152	121	28	4	1	3	29	40	1	0	0	231	384	355	739	124	316	26	19	343	120	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
2022	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	31	27	8	0	0	2	4	7	0	0	0	296	387	519	906	222	333	23	13	399	164	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	19	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	72	61	14	2	0	4	10	23	1	0	0	230	347	459	806	230	294	32	14	359	133	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2023	20	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	503	449	98	13	0	6	42	118	8	0	0	218	297	287	584	69	280	23	8	270	65	-20	+0	—	—	+14	-0.6
2024	21	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	475	423	102	25	0	22	46	122	5	2	0	241	323	456	779	215	286	26	10	344	121	+12	+0	—	—	+13	2.6
2024	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	60	49	17	5	0	2	11	11	0	1	0	347	467	571	1.038	224	417	18	18	455	206	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2025	22	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	412	364	91	18	2	18	35	115	6	8	3	250	326	459	785	209	307	28	8	341	119	+9	+0	—	—	+12	2.1
2025	22	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	56	44	14	4	0	3	10	12	2	1	0	318	464	614	1.078	295	379	21	18	467	216	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Matt Wieterslast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,387 PA	11	4,387	146	9	250	313	411	+78	+81	30.0	28.4
	/162	664	22	1	250	313	411	+11.9	+12.2	4.5	pk7: 27
#2Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	5,673	210	37	228	296	396	+101	+48	22.0	18.7
	/162	664	25	4	228	296	396	+11.9	+5.7	2.6	pk7: 15
#3Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#4Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#5John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#5John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#6Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joe Mack (OGILVIE)	23	37→40	50→55	43→41	48	231/305/390	159	278	19	3	25%	9%	91	+2.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joey Bart 2020 · AA	23	43	54→55	45→40	38	228/271/405	177	288	23	7	30%	5%	85	+0.7	236/291/384	148	336	17	5	33%	6%	89	+0.9	253/338/392	139	338	17	1	28%	9%	109	+1.1
✕Max Stassi 2014 · AA	23	43	52→55	44→40	39	226/276/388	162	283	20	4	28%	5%	83	+0.6	205/250/323	118	284	13	3	32%	5%	55	-1.4	218/304/386	168	282	22	0	30%	10%	93	+0.6
●Devin Mesoraco 2011 · AAA	23	43→49	52→60	41→40	43	226/283/398	171	279	20	3	27%	6%	89	+0.9	228/283/384	156	267	17	3	21%	7%	85	+0.7	233/324/433	200	262	26	1	22%	9%	110	+1.3
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2023 · MLB	23	44→48	52→60	45	49	231/306/395	163	263	22	7	22%	8%	98	+1.6	237/300/420	183	287	26	5	27%	7%	102	+1.9	232/287/415	183	287	28	2	29%	6%	94	+0.9
✕Ian Rice 2018 · AA	24	39	53→50	41→30	49	209/293/378	169	268	22	3	30%	10%	89	+0.9	199/283/322	123	287	14	3	33%	9%	69	-0.4	179/269/275	96	268	10	1	34%	9%	50	-0.8
●Ryan Lavarnway 2011 · AA	23	45	51→55	44→30	44	226/296/384	158	302	19	2	30%	8%	91	+1.1	230/293/378	148	285	18	2	25%	7%	88	+0.9	231/300/392	161	282	20	0	25%	7%	90	+0.4
●Pedro Álvarez 2011 · MLB	24	46	56→60	42→45	44	239/302/433	194	316	24	4	31%	8%	105	+2.1	232/302/422	190	306	24	3	31%	9%	103	+1.9	238/310/455	217	291	31	4	29%	9%	108	+2.1
✕Addison Barger 2023 · AAA	23	44→45	53→55	46→45	38	226/283/397	171	318	22	7	35%	6%	89	+0.9	224/289/386	162	288	19	7	28%	8%	89	+0.9	220/290/392	172	269	20	6	26%	8%	86	+0.6
✕Reese Havens 2011 · AA	24	44→40	51→45	40	47	225/301/385	160	282	19	4	27%	8%	94	+1.3	213/287/341	128	307	14	4	33%	9%	76	+0.1	195/275/309	114	284	12	3	33%	9%	60	-0.4
✕Brandon Laird 2011 · AAA	23	46→48	52→55	43→30	41	243/284/409	166	282	21	3	23%	5%	92	+1.2	227/263/370	143	270	17	2	23%	4%	72	-0.2	218/259/354	136	265	17	1	25%	4%	65	-0.6
✕Ryan Casteel 2015 · AA	24	45→48	55	43→40	41	239/285/420	181	296	24	4	28%	6%	95	+1.4	226/263/353	127	312	14	5	31%	5%	68	-0.5	194/252/391	198	247	28	0	34%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Nick Weglarz 2011 · AAA	23	45→47	51→55	43→45	51	230/313/398	168	277	18	5	24%	10%	102	+1.8	208/298/359	151	305	17	5	35%	10%	85	+0.7	176/279/315	139	282	17	2	40%	11%	64	-0.4
✕Nick Hundley 2008 · AA	24	41→46	51→55	39→40	45	217/274/376	159	259	19	3	25%	7%	79	+0.3	223/280/380	157	271	18	4	24%	7%	82	+0.5	255/322/429	174	321	17	4	25%	8%	109	+1.2
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2022 · AAA	24	44	54→55	44→45	37	235/270/411	177	272	22	4	24%	3%	87	+0.8	220/266/378	158	254	21	3	23%	5%	76	+0.1	209/259/354	144	237	21	1	22%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Chris Wallace 2012 · AA	24	44→41	52→60	43→45	38	228/280/397	169	295	20	4	30%	5%	88	+0.9	219/268/341	122	318	12	4	33%	5%	67	-0.5	217/265/317	100	332	9	3	35%	5%	57	-0.5
●Hunter Goodman 2023 · AA	23	41→44	56→60	47→40	35	218/268/403	186	305	25	5	37%	5%	85	+0.7	209/262/408	199	261	26	3	31%	6%	83	+0.6	224/280/438	214	267	30	4	29%	6%	96	+1.1
✕Joe Rizzo 2023 · AA	25	46→50	54→55	42→40	42	242/290/414	172	295	22	4	26%	6%	96	+1.5	226/275/372	146	285	17	5	26%	6%	79	+0.3	199/248/328	129	250	15	1	27%	6%	52	-0.9
●Nolan Gorman 2022 · AAA	22	41→43	52→60	49→45	37	220/262/376	156	288	21	6	32%	5%	74	-0.1	223/287/423	200	298	29	7	34%	8%	98	+1.6	213/287/426	213	282	31	7	35%	9%	96	+1.2
●Nomar Mazara 2018 · MLB	23	50→51	51→55	40	49	252/316/408	156	292	19	3	21%	8%	105	+2.1	254/314/423	169	303	20	4	22%	7%	108	+2.3	253/312/420	168	304	20	3	23%	7%	103	+1.2
✕Michael Chavis 2019 · AAA	23	42→46	53→60	48→45	36	222/271/393	171	295	22	5	32%	5%	83	+0.6	232/287/410	178	314	24	6	33%	6%	94	+1.3	227/283/408	181	303	25	5	33%	6%	89	+0.5