Nathan Hickey — OGILVIE

Nathan HickeyC Worcester Red Sox

Age 26 L/R 5'11" / 210 lbs AAA HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION211 act + 21 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%10

BABIP270

ISO53

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	28	20	5	2	0	0	6	8	1	0	0	250	444	350	794	100	385	29	21	364	133	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	146	115	29	6	0	9	24	39	5	0	0	252	403	539	942	287	290	27	16	408	162	+11	+0	—	—	+3	1.4
2022	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	182	140	38	12	0	7	39	39	1	0	1	271	433	507	940	236	323	21	21	413	165	+14	-0	—	—	+4	1.8
2023	23	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	335	291	75	18	0	15	40	91	3	3	0	258	353	474	828	216	323	27	12	366	134	+13	+1	—	—	+7	2.2
2023	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	82	68	20	6	1	4	12	20	1	0	0	294	407	588	996	294	356	24	15	426	174	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2023	23	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	70	55	10	1	0	0	15	24	0	0	0	182	357	200	557	18	323	34	21	284	78	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2024	24	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	365	300	63	15	1	13	58	114	3	4	0	210	343	397	740	187	282	31	16	333	111	+5	+1	—	—	+8	1.4
2024	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	106	82	17	10	0	0	23	28	1	1	1	207	387	329	716	122	315	26	22	339	116	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	25	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	514	448	105	23	2	17	59	141	3	2	0	234	327	408	736	174	299	27	11	328	108	+5	+0	—	—	+11	1.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	28	22	4	1	0	0	4	12	1	0	0	182	333	227	561	45	301	43	14	261	63	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	146	123	25	5	0	8	16	49	5	0	0	203	319	439	758	236	241	34	11	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2022	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	182	154	33	10	0	7	25	60	1	0	1	214	328	416	743	201	286	33	14	326	107	+1	-0	—	—	+4	0.5
2023	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	335	304	62	13	0	11	27	111	3	3	0	204	275	355	631	151	272	33	8	272	70	-12	+1	—	—	+7	-0.4
2023	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	82	72	17	5	1	3	8	27	1	0	0	236	321	458	779	222	295	33	10	324	105	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	24	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	365	320	53	13	1	9	38	136	3	4	0	166	260	297	557	131	237	37	10	250	55	-19	+1	—	—	+8	-1.1
2024	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	106	90	14	7	0	0	15	33	1	1	1	156	283	233	516	78	247	31	14	248	54	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	25	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	514	470	88	19	2	12	37	167	3	2	0	187	251	313	564	126	253	32	7	249	55	-28	+0	—	—	+11	-1.7
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	28	22	4	1	0	0	4	12	1	0	0	182	333	227	561	45	364	43	14	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	28	20	5	2	0	0	6	8	1	0	0	250	444	350	794	100	385	29	21	364	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	328	277	58	15	0	14	41	109	6	0	1	209	324	415	739	206	278	33	12	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	328	255	67	18	0	16	63	78	6	0	1	263	420	522	941	259	309	24	19	410	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	487	441	91	20	1	17	40	161	4	3	0	206	278	372	650	166	279	33	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	487	414	105	25	1	19	67	135	4	3	0	254	363	457	819	203	328	28	14	364	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	471	410	66	20	1	9	53	169	4	5	1	161	263	280	544	120	242	36	11	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	471	382	80	25	1	13	81	142	4	5	1	209	353	382	736	173	290	30	17	334	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	514	470	88	19	2	12	37	167	3	2	0	187	251	313	564	126	258	32	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	Worcester Red Sox	—	514	448	105	23	2	17	59	141	3	2	0	234	327	408	736	174	299	27	11	328	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	28	23	4	1	0	0	4	12	1	0	0	174	333	217	551	43	301	43	14	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	328	278	58	15	0	14	41	109	6	0	1	209	324	414	738	205	266	33	12	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	487	440	91	20	1	17	40	161	4	3	0	207	278	373	651	166	277	33	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	471	411	66	20	1	9	53	169	4	5	1	161	263	280	543	119	239	36	11	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	514	469	88	19	2	12	37	167	3	2	0	188	251	313	564	126	253	32	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	487	440	91	20	1	17	40	161	4	3	0	207	278	373	651	166	277	33	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	471	411	66	20	1	9	53	169	4	5	1	161	263	280	543	119	239	36	11	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	514	469	88	19	2	12	37	167	3	2	0	188	251	313	564	126	253	32	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	BOS	—	211	187	31	6	2	5	23	70	0	0	0	166	257	299	557	134	230	33	11	246	53	-12	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA RAW	BOS	—	211	177	37	8	2	7	33	58	0	0	0	209	333	395	729	186	265	27	16	328	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	26	AAA MLE	BOS	10%	21	19	3	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	158	238	211	449	53	265	33	10	269	68	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	26	MLB CTX	BOS	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						270	50	0	268	68	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	26	MLB A+C	BOS	—	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0							50	0	268	54	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	26	AAA MLE	BOS	—	232	206	34	7	2	5	25	77	0	0	0	165	255	291	547	126	232	33	11	248	54	-13	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	BOS	31%	336	299	58	13	2	8	32	106	2	2	0	194	276	331	607	137	267	32	10	274	72	-11	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.2
2028	28	MLB MLE	BOS	42%	364	324	64	14	2	9	35	113	2	2	0	198	280	336	616	139	268	31	10	277	73	-11	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.3
2029	29	MLB MLE	BOS	46%	373	332	66	14	2	9	36	115	2	2	0	199	281	334	615	136	269	31	10	277	74	-12	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.2
2030	30	MLB MLE	BOS	48%	378	337	67	15	2	9	36	117	2	1	0	199	280	335	615	136	268	31	10	276	73	-12	+0	-2	+7	+8	0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	BOS	31%	104	93	17	4	0	2	10	33	0	0	0	183	262	290	552	108	272	32	10	273	72	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	BOS	42%	153	136	28	6	1	4	15	47	1	1	0	206	289	353	642	147	274	31	10	275	73	-5	+0	-0	+3	+3	0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	BOS	46%	172	153	31	7	1	4	16	53	1	1	0	203	282	340	622	137	274	31	9	275	74	-5	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.1
2030	30	MLB CTX	BOS	48%	183	162	32	7	1	4	18	56	1	1	0	198	282	327	609	130	274	31	10	274	73	-6	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	614	546	108	24	3	14	59	190	3	3	0	198	280	330	609	132	272	31	10	274	71	-20	+1	-2	+11	+13	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	114	25	3	15	62	201	3	3	0	197	278	329	607	131	270	31	10	274	71	-21	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3300	2931	565	132	12	87	316	1076	26	17	2	193	277	335	612	142	267	33	10	273	71	-48	+1	-4	+26	+32	0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	111	26	2	17	62	212	5	3	0	192	276	333	609	140	266	33	10	273	71	-21	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.0	637	15	3	198	277	334	+11	+8	0.8	0.8
/162	664	16	3	+11.9	+8.3	0.8	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nathan Hickey (OGILVIE)	26	40	55	45	55	188/269/321	133	265	6	1	33%	10%	68	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Johnny Monell 2012 · AAA	26	44	46→50	44→45	44	220/276/351	132	284	13	5	27%	7%	76	-0.4	219/283/358	139	288	14	6	28%	8%	80	-0.1	226/287/350	124	285	13	8	24%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Zack Short 2021 · AAA	26	41→39	46→50	47→45	47	202/290/335	132	294	13	8	33%	10%	78	-0.3	190/285/318	128	262	14	9	31%	11%	74	-0.6	177/277/301	125	240	14	9	31%	11%	65	-0.9
✕Reese Havens 2013 · AA	26	43→40	45	44→40	45	210/287/333	123	305	13	4	34%	9%	77	-0.3	213/281/321	108	288	10	8	28%	8%	72	-0.7	194/254/260	66	236	4	5	19%	7%	45	-0.5
✕Erik Ostberg 2023 · AA	27	40	49→50	46→45	42	205/268/347	142	292	17	6	35%	8%	73	-0.6	207/263/337	130	288	14	9	31%	7%	68	-1.0	171/219/308	136	223	14	6	30%	5%	43	-0.7
✕Patrick Dorrian 2022 · AAA	26	40→38	47→50	47→45	42	202/270/337	135	297	15	6	36%	8%	71	-0.8	191/257/327	136	288	16	6	37%	8%	64	-1.3	171/238/297	126	254	16	5	38%	7%	47	-1.5
✕Hunter Feduccia 2023 · AAA	26	41→47	49→50	47→40	46	212/276/360	148	270	18	3	28%	8%	79	-0.2	225/305/353	128	302	13	3	27%	10%	88	+0.4	229/318/340	111	310	9	3	27%	11%	88	+0.2
✕Zack Collins 2021 · MLB	26	42	49→50	49→40	50	207/301/356	149	301	16	4	34%	11%	88	+0.4	198/290/338	140	289	15	6	33%	11%	80	-0.2	185/279/317	132	276	14	4	35%	11%	69	-0.5
✕Dom Nuñez 2021 · MLB	26	38→45	50	46→45	45	200/276/350	150	264	18	8	31%	8%	77	-0.3	185/275/321	136	265	14	5	33%	10%	70	-0.8	159/256/274	115	227	11	3	33%	11%	49	-1.1
✕Brett Cumberland 2021 · AA	26	43→40	45	45→30	46	209/302/337	128	294	13	4	31%	9%	84	+0.2	194/298/298	104	297	11	5	36%	8%	75	-0.5	163/281/251	89	258	11	1	37%	8%	56	-0.8
✕Shayne Fontana 2023 · AAA	26	42	44→45	45→55	45	202/289/315	113	301	12	8	34%	9%	74	-0.6	222/298/320	98	293	9	18	26%	8%	78	-0.3	223/300/309	86	285	7	25	23%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Dusty Ryan 2011 · MLB	26	42→46	47→50	45→40	45	205/285/342	137	307	14	5	36%	9%	78	-0.3	213/285/346	133	341	13	7	38%	8%	79	-0.2	197/265/335	138	339	11	0	42%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Ian Rice 2019 · AA	25	41→40	48→50	44→30	49	209/298/347	138	281	16	3	30%	10%	84	+0.2	201/275/300	99	287	9	5	31%	8%	65	-1.2	159/231/218	59	232	5	0	31%	7%	30	-1.7
✕Tristan Gray 2022 · AAA	26	41→35	46→50	42→40	42	209/270/342	132	281	14	5	30%	7%	72	-0.7	186/239/339	153	263	20	4	37%	5%	61	-1.5	198/254/329	130	265	15	3	30%	6%	62	-0.9
✕Cam Devanney 2023 · AAA	26	38→41	48→50	45	41	201/263/342	141	261	16	6	29%	6%	70	-0.8	216/279/360	144	284	15	8	28%	7%	80	-0.2	212/276/353	142	282	15	7	29%	7%	74	-0.4
✕David Sheaffer 2021 · AAA	26	42	47→50	49→40	38	215/261/348	134	294	15	6	32%	5%	70	-0.8	201/249/297	96	290	8	5	32%	5%	53	-2.1	175/221/257	82	253	6	1	32%	5%	33	-1.0
✕Ryan Ortiz 2014 · AAA	26	40	43→45	45→40	47	199/279/309	110	267	11	4	28%	9%	69	-0.9	206/297/296	90	292	7	5	29%	10%	73	-0.6	185/301/243	58	270	3	0	28%	13%	59	-0.8
✕Jake Rogers 2021 · MLB	26	38→40	50→55	49→45	43	199/276/351	152	271	19	5	33%	8%	77	-0.3	233/299/433	200	318	25	7	33%	8%	105	+1.7	216/279/422	206	274	28	2	32%	7%	93	+0.4
✕Ford Proctor 2023 · MLB	26	42→49	45→40	43→45	47	203/291/316	113	304	14	5	35%	10%	75	-0.5	213/298/319	106	295	12	8	29%	10%	78	-0.3	199/299/276	77	260	10	5	25%	12%	68	-0.5
✕Andy Yerzy 2023 · AA	25	35	49→50	49→40	45	189/272/334	145	258	18	5	33%	9%	72	-0.7	198/270/321	123	274	14	7	31%	8%	68	-1.0	141/208/218	76	221	10	2	39%	7%	18	-1.3
✕Brian Jeroloman 2011 · AAA	26	45→38	43→40	43→40	52	209/307/318	109	310	10	3	33%	12%	81	-0.1	204/285/272	68	296	5	6	30%	9%	62	-1.4	178/260/236	58	234	5	0	24%	10%	43	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps