Addison Barger — OGILVIE

Addison Barger3B Toronto Blue Jays

Age 26 L/R 5'11" / 210 lbs MLB Svc 1.570 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILInjured 10-Day (D10)

2026 ROS PROJECTION28 act + 467 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 4688vR 104

AVG/OBP/SLG.239 / .302 / .432

PA467

HR18

SB5

K%25

BB%7

BABIP286

ISO192

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

5010.9%

xwOBA

570.317

POWER55

Barrel%

6310.2

Avg EV

7290.6

Bat Spd

7273.7

EYE45

Chase%

4033.6%

SPEED55

Sprint

2226.1

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 748 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

126

622

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

246

314

▶▶R

ISO

110

206

▶▶R

BABIP

300

259

◀L

34.9%

23.0%

▶▶R

BB%

5.6%

6.6%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.570 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$14M	+$13M
2028	Arb-1	$4M	+1.7	$12M	+$9M
2029	Arb-2	$6M	+1.5	$10M	+$6M
2030	Arb-3	$7M	+1.2	$7M	+$3M
Totals		$17M		$45M	+$32M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	214	190	25	7	1	2	15	55	8	0	0	132	225	211	436	79	172	26	7	203	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	214	180	35	10	2	3	25	38	8	0	0	194	319	322	641	128	229	18	12	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	2 teams	—	393	352	68	16	2	13	28	159	8	7	0	193	268	361	629	168	297	40	7	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	2 teams	—	393	344	84	22	2	18	36	129	8	7	0	244	330	477	807	233	327	33	9	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	4 teams	—	589	541	129	20	2	25	35	195	9	11	6	238	296	421	717	183	320	33	6	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	4 teams	—	589	520	154	34	2	28	56	141	9	11	6	296	374	531	905	235	355	24	10	394	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	397	355	73	19	0	9	37	109	3	5	3	206	286	335	621	130	268	27	9	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	397	340	85	25	0	9	52	86	3	5	3	250	354	403	757	153	308	22	13	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	—	474	428	92	25	0	15	40	117	5	6	1	215	290	379	668	164	259	25	8	293	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	—	474	412	94	26	0	16	54	108	5	6	1	228	323	408	731	180	270	23	11	327	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB	2 teams	—	547	500	118	33	1	23	40	137	4	4	1	236	298	444	742	208	277	25	7	318	102	+1	+0	-1	+2	+15	1.8
2025	25	MLB	2 teams	—	547	498	120	34	1	23	41	134	4	4	1	241	303	452	755	211	282	24	7	331	111	+7	+0	-1	+2	+15	2.4
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	MLB	TOR	—	28	22	1	1	0	0	5	7	0	0	0	45	222	91	313	45	62	25	18	169	-13	-4	+0	+1	-0	+1	-0.2
YTD	26	MLB	TOR	—	28	22	1	1	0	0	5	7	0	0	0	45	222	91	313	45	62	25	18	170	-11	-4	+0	+1	-0	+1	-0.2
ROS	26	MLB	TOR	100%	467	426	102	26	1	18	34	116	4	5	1	239	302	432	734	192	283	25	7	323	106	+3	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.6
ROS	26	MLB	TOR	100%	467	426	102	26	1	18	34	116	4	5	1	239	302	432	734	192	284	25	7	318	102	+1	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.4
FULL	26	MLB	TOR	—	495	448	103	27	1	18	39	123	4	5	1	230	297	415	713	185	274	25	8	310	95	-3	+1	-2	+1	+14	1.2
TOT	26	MLB	TOR	—	495	448	103	27	1	18	39	123	4	5	1	230	297	415	713	185	274	25	8	315	99	-1	+1	-2	+1	+14	1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	TOR	98%	519	471	113	28	1	21	39	130	4	6	1	240	304	437	741	197	283	25	8	323	106	+3	+1	-3	+2	+15	1.8
2028	28	MLB	TOR	98%	511	463	110	28	1	20	39	128	4	5	1	238	302	432	734	194	282	25	8	322	105	+3	+1	-3	+2	+14	1.7
2029	29	MLB	TOR	98%	499	454	107	27	1	19	38	126	4	5	1	236	300	425	726	189	281	25	8	320	103	+2	+1	-4	+2	+14	1.5
2030	30	MLB	TOR	98%	487	443	104	26	1	19	37	124	4	4	1	235	300	427	726	192	279	25	8	317	101	+0	+0	-5	+2	+14	1.2
2031	31	MLB	TOR	98%	472	430	99	25	1	18	36	122	3	3	1	230	294	419	713	188	276	26	8	313	97	-1	+0	-5	+2	+13	0.9
2032	32	MLB	TOR	98%	453	413	91	23	0	16	34	119	3	3	1	220	284	392	677	172	272	26	8	306	92	-4	+0	-6	+2	+13	0.5
2027	27	MLB	TOR	98%	509	462	111	28	1	20	38	127	4	5	1	240	304	435	739	195	284	25	7	318	102	+1	+1	-3	+2	+14	1.6
2028	28	MLB	TOR	98%	501	454	108	27	1	20	38	126	4	5	1	238	302	434	736	196	283	25	8	317	101	+1	+1	-3	+2	+14	1.4
2029	29	MLB	TOR	98%	489	445	105	26	1	19	37	124	4	5	1	236	300	427	727	191	282	25	8	315	99	-0	+1	-4	+2	+14	1.2
2030	30	MLB	TOR	98%	477	434	102	26	1	18	36	122	4	4	1	235	300	424	724	189	280	26	8	312	97	-2	+0	-4	+2	+14	1.0
2031	31	MLB	TOR	98%	463	422	97	24	1	17	35	120	3	3	1	230	293	412	706	182	277	26	8	308	94	-3	+0	-5	+2	+13	0.7
2032	32	MLB	TOR	98%	444	404	91	23	0	16	34	117	3	3	1	225	290	401	691	176	273	26	8	301	89	-6	+0	-6	+2	+13	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4077	3715	869	223	7	156	302	1033	30	36	8	234	297	424	720	190	280	25	7	313	98	-11	+4	-32	+16	+116	9.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	139	36	1	25	48	165	5	6	1	235	297	426	723	191	281	25	7	313	98	-2	+1	-5	+2	+18	1.5
Career	—			—	6022	5466	1231	303	12	218	452	1637	63	64	18	225	292	405	697	179	278	27	8	305	92	-56	+6	-32	+22	+171	11.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	133	33	1	24	49	177	7	7	2	225	293	407	699	181	278	27	8	305	92	-6	+1	-3	+2	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	214	180	35	10	2	3	25	38	8	0	0	194	319	322	641	128	229	18	12	298	86	-3	+0	—	—	+6	0.3
2021	21	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	19	19	3	1	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	158	158	211	368	53	231	32	0	163	-17	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	374	325	81	21	2	18	36	123	8	7	0	249	339	492	831	243	333	33	10	361	134	+14	+1	—	—	+11	2.7
2022	22	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	36	31	11	1	0	3	5	5	0	0	1	355	444	677	1.122	323	348	14	14	482	227	+5	-0	—	—	+1	0.6
2022	22	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	198	176	55	11	0	9	18	50	3	2	2	312	386	528	914	216	390	25	9	400	165	+14	-0	—	—	+6	2.0
2022	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	292	260	78	21	2	14	25	76	4	7	2	300	370	558	928	258	370	26	9	400	164	+21	+1	—	—	+8	3.1
2022	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	63	53	10	1	0	2	8	10	2	2	1	189	317	321	638	132	195	16	13	299	87	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	23	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	397	340	85	25	0	9	52	86	3	5	3	250	354	403	757	153	308	22	13	341	119	+9	-0	—	—	+11	2.0
2024	24	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	225	208	41	11	0	7	14	60	1	2	0	197	250	351	601	154	239	27	6	267	62	-10	+0	-4	+2	+6	-0.5
2024	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	249	204	53	15	0	9	40	48	4	4	1	260	390	466	855	206	299	19	16	382	150	+14	+0	—	—	+7	2.2
2025	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	502	460	112	32	1	21	36	121	3	4	1	243	302	454	756	211	284	24	7	331	112	+7	+0	-1	+2	+14	2.3
2025	25	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	45	38	8	2	0	2	5	13	1	0	0	211	318	421	739	211	250	29	11	324	106	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	727	668	153	43	1	28	50	181	4	6	1	229	286	422	708	193	271	25	7	311	96	-3	+1	-5	+4	+21	1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Moustakaslast yr '23 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,577 PA	13	5,577	215	21	247	307	431	+14	+18	22.8	22.1
	/162	664	26	3	247	307	431	+1.6	+2.1	2.7	pk7: 21
#2Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	9	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
#2Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	/162	664	23	11	249	308	437	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#3Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	9	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
	/162	664	27	6	242	311	438	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16
#4Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,104	158	37	235	294	426	+15	-6	13.3	12.9
	/162	664	26	6	235	294	426	+2.4	-0.9	2.1	pk7: 13
#5Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	9	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	1	244	293	414	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#6Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Addison Barger (OGILVIE)	26	50	55	55	45	230/297/415	185	274	18	5	25%	8%	99	+1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daulton Varsho 2022 · MLB	26	46→49	57→60	55→50	50	242/308/445	203	271	24	14	22%	8%	111	+2.5	227/294/415	188	267	23	15	24%	8%	98	+1.6	218/290/402	184	257	23	15	25%	8%	91	+1.1
✕Ian Stewart 2011 · MLB	26	43→52	55→60	47→45	51	229/315/417	188	280	23	8	27%	10%	108	+2.3	193/275/335	142	264	17	6	32%	10%	70	-0.3	146/232/263	117	224	13	2	39%	9%	28	-1.2
✕Brad Miller 2017 · MLB	27	47→56	56→60	48→50	49	246/311/447	202	285	24	9	23%	8%	113	+2.6	232/314/419	187	295	22	7	27%	11%	108	+2.3	231/323/465	234	278	32	5	28%	11%	120	+1.5
✕Nomar Mazara 2020 · MLB	25	50→51	54→55	46→40	47	257/315/438	181	299	22	4	22%	7%	113	+2.6	245/307/386	141	311	15	4	25%	7%	95	+1.4	238/306/352	113	308	11	0	25%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Scott Schebler 2017 · MLB	26	46→52	54→60	51→50	41	241/295/424	183	286	21	9	24%	5%	101	+1.8	229/299/412	183	269	23	6	24%	7%	99	+1.7	212/289/386	174	247	23	4	25%	8%	85	+0.5
●Colby Rasmus 2013 · MLB	26	44→54	53→60	46→50	50	231/302/408	178	273	21	7	24%	9%	99	+1.7	241/306/445	204	308	26	4	29%	8%	111	+2.5	241/308/459	219	314	28	3	32%	8%	113	+2.0
✕Jason Martin 2022 · MLB	26	43→49	54→60	46→50	47	227/288/404	177	264	23	11	24%	8%	92	+1.2	230/292/428	198	292	26	9	30%	8%	101	+1.8	222/285/422	200	282	26	8	31%	8%	93	+0.9
●Zach McKinstry 2022 · MLB	27	46→54	54→55	46→55	44	239/294/425	186	286	22	9	25%	6%	101	+1.8	236/301/379	143	292	13	15	23%	8%	91	+1.1	243/315/392	149	299	12	23	22%	8%	98	+1.2
✕Michael Massey 2023 · MLB	25	46→51	53→55	52→50	42	239/292/412	173	291	21	12	26%	6%	97	+1.5	244/287/405	161	282	19	8	21%	5%	92	+1.2	250/287/398	149	277	17	3	17%	4%	87	+0.5
●Domonic Brown 2014 · MLB	26	50→54	53→55	47→55	50	257/314/432	175	285	20	9	18%	8%	110	+2.4	231/281/354	123	273	13	10	20%	6%	76	+0.0	229/272/369	139	273	18	2	23%	5%	75	-0.0
✕Josh VanMeter 2022 · MLB	27	44→47	54→55	48→50	53	231/318/420	188	283	22	10	26%	11%	109	+2.4	205/303/346	141	268	15	9	27%	12%	84	+0.6	172/284/282	110	228	12	9	28%	13%	58	-0.4
✕Matt Thaiss 2022 · MLB	27	45→50	54→55	47→45	48	235/305/418	182	284	22	4	26%	8%	103	+1.9	228/310/373	145	294	17	8	27%	10%	94	+1.3	217/312/342	125	285	14	8	27%	11%	84	+0.3
●Jesús Sánchez 2023 · MLB	25	47→54	57→60	49→50	45	249/312/448	199	306	25	5	27%	8%	114	+2.7	252/317/434	182	316	21	11	26%	8%	112	+2.6	250/317/424	174	310	20	13	25%	8%	106	+1.7
●Pedro Álvarez 2013 · MLB	26	45→46	56→60	44→45	47	235/307/425	190	307	24	3	31%	9%	106	+2.2	239/310/452	213	293	30	5	29%	9%	115	+2.7	236/310/454	218	281	32	5	28%	9%	106	+1.8
✕Chris Aguila 2005 · MLB	26	46→54	57→55	51→50	46	244/300/447	203	282	26	9	24%	7%	108	+2.3	254/299/396	142	309	14	12	22%	6%	94	+1.3	222/284/393	171	285	22	8	29%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Ka'ai Tom 2021 · AAA	27	48→50	57→55	47→50	44	249/309/453	204	313	23	8	28%	7%	114	+2.7	201/284/335	134	281	14	8	32%	8%	74	-0.1	167/264/280	113	238	12	7	33%	9%	47	-0.9
✕Todd Linden 2006 · MLB	26	46→53	57→55	50→45	46	240/319/441	201	305	25	9	29%	8%	115	+2.8	245/322/398	153	329	16	9	28%	9%	105	+2.1	248/314/406	158	338	16	5	30%	8%	99	+1.2
✕Christin Stewart 2020 · MLB	26	46→50	53→60	45	48	237/309/412	175	290	21	2	26%	8%	104	+2.0	219/290/399	180	285	23	5	31%	8%	92	+1.2	192/271/381	190	259	27	7	36%	8%	78	+0.1
✕John Rodriguez 2006 · MLB	28	48→47	57→55	52→40	45	249/317/444	195	301	25	9	26%	7%	115	+2.8	245/320/409	164	309	17	5	25%	8%	107	+2.2	239/321/389	150	307	15	1	25%	9%	99	+0.7
●Scott Hairston 2006 · MLB	26	45→51	56→60	50	44	241/294/433	192	278	24	7	23%	6%	102	+1.9	249/312/448	199	287	25	6	22%	8%	114	+2.7	249/315/457	208	283	26	4	22%	8%	114	+1.7