Addison Barger — OGILVIE

Addison Barger3B Toronto Blue Jays

INJURED · Injured 10-Day (D10)

Age 26 L/R 5'11" / 210 lbs MLB HR +12%BB +4% Svc 1.570 · Ctrl thru 2030 peak 1.8 · 2027

wRC+†vL 3690vR 91

AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .298 / .425

PA232

HR9

K%25

BB%7

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

55→55

SPD

55→55

EYE

49↘45

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.9peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.570 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.8	$15M	+$14M
2028	Arb-1	$4M	+1.7	$14M	+$11M
2029	Arb-2	$6M	+1.5	$13M	+$8M
2030	Arb-3	$7M	+1.2	$11M	+$4M
Totals		$17M		$55M	+$38M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	214	190	25	7	1	2	15	55	8	0	0	.132	.225	.211	.436	.079	.172	26	7	.203	14	-21	+0	+0	+1	+6	-1.4
2021	21	A	2 teams	393	353	68	16	2	14	27	162	8	7	0	.193	.265	.368	.634	.176	.297	41	7	.271	66	-15	+1	+0	+1	+11	-0.1
2022	22	A+	4 teams	589	542	130	23	2	24	34	196	9	11	6	.240	.296	.423	.718	.183	.325	33	6	.306	92	-5	-0	+0	+2	+17	1.4
2023	23	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	397	356	75	20	0	8	36	106	3	5	3	.211	.289	.334	.623	.124	.275	27	9	.278	71	-13	-0	+0	+1	+11	-0.1
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	474	427	91	25	0	15	41	118	5	6	1	.213	.290	.377	.667	.164	.258	25	9	.290	80	-11	+1	-4	+2	+13	0.2
2025	25	MLB	2 teams	547	500	120	35	1	21	40	137	4	4	1	.240	.301	.440	.741	.200	.287	25	7	.313	98	-1	+0	-1	+2	+15	1.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	23	19	1	1	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	.053	.182	.105	.287	.053	.071	26	13	.145	-31	-3	+0	+1	-0	+1	-0.2
ROS	26	MLB	TOR	209	190	45	12	0	8	15	53	2	2	1	.237	.300	.426	.726	.189	.284	25	7	.320	103	+1	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.7
TOT	26	MLB	TOR	232	209	46	13	0	8	18	59	2	2	1	.220	.288	.397	.685	.177	.264	25	8	.303	90	-3	+0	+0	+0	+7	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB	TOR	511	464	110	29	1	19	38	130	4	5	1	.237	.300	.427	.727	.190	.284	25	7	.320	103	+2	+1	-1	+2	+14	1.8
2028	28	MLB	TOR	503	456	108	28	1	19	38	129	4	5	1	.237	.301	.428	.729	.191	.284	26	8	.319	102	+1	+1	-2	+2	+14	1.6
2029	29	MLB	TOR	491	447	105	28	1	18	37	127	4	3	0	.235	.299	.423	.722	.188	.283	26	8	.317	101	+0	+1	-3	+2	+14	1.4
2030	30	MLB	TOR	479	436	101	27	1	17	37	126	3	2	0	.232	.296	.415	.711	.183	.282	26	8	.314	98	-1	+0	-3	+2	+14	1.2
2031	31	MLB	TOR	464	423	98	26	1	17	35	124	3	0	0	.232	.295	.418	.713	.187	.280	27	8	.310	96	-2	+0	-4	+2	+13	0.9
2032	32	MLB	TOR	445	405	91	24	1	15	34	121	3	0	0	.225	.290	.400	.690	.175	.279	27	8	.305	92	-4	+0	-5	+2	+13	0.6
2033	33	MLB	TOR	415	378	84	22	1	14	31	115	3	0	0	.222	.286	.397	.683	.175	.277	28	7	.299	87	-6	+0	-5	+1	+12	0.2
2034	34	MLB	TOR	369	336	72	19	0	12	28	106	2	0	0	.214	.279	.378	.657	.164	.274	29	8	.292	82	-8	+0	-6	+1	+10	-0.2
2035	35	MLB	TOR	316	288	60	16	0	9	23	94	2	0	0	.208	.272	.358	.629	.149	.271	30	7	.284	75	-9	+0	-6	+1	+9	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6816	6191	1383	357	13	232	509	1899	67	50	14	.223	.289	.398	.687	.174	.281	28	7	.300	88	-91	+4	-40	+24	+193	9.2
/ 162G	—			650	590	131	34	1	22	49	181	6	5	1	.222	.288	.395	.683	.173	.279	28	8	.300	88	-9	+1	-4	+2	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	214	180	35	10	2	3	25	38	8	0	0	.194	.319	.322	.641	.128	.229	18	12	.298	86	-3	+0	—	—	+6	0.3
2021	21	A+	Vancouver Canadians	19	19	3	1	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	.158	.158	.211	.368	.053	.231	32	0	.163	-17	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	374	325	81	21	2	18	36	123	8	7	0	.249	.339	.492	.831	.243	.333	33	10	.361	134	+14	+1	—	—	+11	2.7
2022	22	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	36	31	11	1	0	3	5	5	0	0	1	.355	.444	.677	1.122	.323	.348	14	14	.482	227	+5	-0	—	—	+1	0.6
2022	22	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	198	176	55	11	0	9	18	50	3	2	2	.312	.386	.528	.914	.216	.390	25	9	.400	165	+14	-0	—	—	+6	2.0
2022	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	292	260	78	21	2	14	25	76	4	7	2	.300	.370	.558	.928	.258	.370	26	9	.400	164	+21	+1	—	—	+8	3.1
2022	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	63	53	10	1	0	2	8	10	2	2	1	.189	.317	.321	.638	.132	.195	16	13	.299	87	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	23	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	397	340	85	25	0	9	52	86	3	5	3	.250	.354	.403	.757	.153	.308	22	13	.341	119	+9	-0	—	—	+11	2.0
2024	24	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	225	208	41	11	0	7	14	60	1	2	0	.197	.250	.351	.601	.154	.239	27	6	.267	62	-10	+0	-4	+2	+6	-0.5
2024	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	249	204	53	15	0	9	40	48	4	4	1	.260	.390	.466	.855	.206	.299	19	16	.382	150	+14	+0	—	—	+7	2.2
2025	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	502	460	112	32	1	21	36	121	3	4	1	.243	.302	.454	.756	.211	.284	24	7	.331	112	+7	+0	-1	+2	+14	2.3
2025	25	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	45	38	8	2	0	2	5	13	1	0	0	.211	.318	.421	.739	.211	.250	29	11	.324	106	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			727	668	153	43	1	28	50	181	4	6	1	.229	.286	.422	.708	.193	.271	25	7	.311	96	-3	+1	-5	+4	+21	1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Addison Barger (OGILVIE)	26	50	55	55	45	.236/.298/.425	.190	.284	9	3	25%	7%	103	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brennan Boesch 2012 · MLB	27	51→55	53→55	49→50	46	.259/.313/.434	.174	.303	20	8	22%	6%	111	+2.5	.249/.300/.402	.153	.295	17	9	21%	6%	96	+1.5	.241/.281/.378	.137	.299	16	9	24%	5%	79	+0.2
●Domonic Brown 2014 · MLB	26	50→55	52→55	47→55	50	.255/.315/.426	.171	.285	20	10	19%	8%	109	+2.4	.237/.287/.367	.130	.277	14	10	20%	6%	82	+0.5	.230/.273/.367	.138	.270	17	2	22%	5%	75	-0.0
✕Eric Munson 2004 · MLB	26	43	56→60	48→40	53	.232/.304/.412	.181	.245	25	6	19%	9%	102	+1.8	.231/.298/.433	.202	.254	28	4	22%	8%	105	+2.1	.221/.285/.421	.201	.242	28	1	23%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Brad Miller 2017 · MLB	27	47→56	54→60	49→50	49	.244/.310/.428	.184	.288	21	9	23%	8%	108	+2.3	.233/.316/.412	.179	.297	20	7	27%	11%	106	+2.2	.231/.323/.461	.230	.278	31	5	28%	11%	117	+1.4
✕Chance Sisco 2021 · MLB	26	45→55	51→50	43→40	46	.224/.323/.381	.157	.304	19	3	31%	9%	102	+1.9	.205/.291/.348	.143	.274	15	5	29%	8%	80	+0.4	.159/.245/.277	.117	.212	11	0	29%	8%	40	-1.0
✕Dominic Smith 2021 · MLB	26	51→55	54→50	45→40	45	.258/.316/.450	.192	.316	21	4	25%	7%	116	+2.8	.249/.314/.395	.146	.298	16	4	21%	7%	101	+1.8	.243/.312/.368	.125	.289	13	4	20%	8%	91	+0.9
✕John Rodriguez 2006 · MLB	28	48→47	56→55	52→40	45	.249/.317/.443	.194	.301	25	10	26%	7%	115	+2.8	.247/.321/.412	.165	.311	18	6	25%	8%	108	+2.3	.239/.321/.389	.150	.307	15	1	25%	9%	99	+0.7
●Lonnie Chisenhall 2015 · MLB	26	53→58	50→55	48→45	47	.267/.321/.428	.161	.307	17	5	19%	6%	112	+2.6	.256/.307/.399	.143	.302	14	6	19%	6%	98	+1.6	.272/.330/.439	.166	.315	16	7	18%	7%	111	+1.2
●Scott Schebler 2017 · MLB	26	46→52	53→60	52→50	41	.238/.293/.419	.181	.284	21	9	24%	5%	99	+1.7	.232/.300/.411	.179	.274	22	6	24%	7%	100	+1.7	.214/.291/.383	.169	.251	22	4	25%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Josh VanMeter 2021 · MLB	26	45→49	52→55	50	48	.232/.299/.408	.176	.276	19	14	24%	8%	98	+1.6	.219/.308/.379	.160	.279	18	9	26%	11%	95	+1.4	.202/.307/.353	.150	.259	16	7	27%	13%	84	+0.3
✕Rowdy Tellez 2021 · MLB	26	47→50	57→60	41→45	46	.250/.310/.445	.195	.291	25	5	24%	7%	113	+2.6	.235/.307/.436	.201	.261	27	3	22%	9%	109	+2.4	.219/.297/.410	.192	.238	26	1	21%	9%	87	+0.7
✕Jesús Sánchez 2023 · MLB	25	47→53	57→60	49→50	45	.247/.310/.445	.198	.304	25	5	27%	8%	113	+2.6	.245/.311/.423	.178	.306	21	10	26%	8%	107	+2.2	.242/.310/.410	.168	.298	19	13	25%	8%	100	+1.4
✕Michael Massey 2023 · MLB	25	46→49	53→55	52→50	42	.238/.291/.409	.171	.287	20	12	25%	6%	95	+1.4	.237/.282/.391	.154	.275	19	8	21%	5%	86	+0.8	.234/.274/.375	.141	.263	18	5	18%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Brandon Allen 2012 · MLB	26	43→47	54→55	50	49	.226/.308/.408	.182	.289	22	10	29%	10%	102	+1.9	.219/.289/.383	.164	.282	19	7	28%	8%	87	+0.8	.215/.279/.359	.144	.264	16	5	25%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Clint Frazier 2021 · MLB	26	47→46	53→55	45→50	46	.239/.309/.416	.177	.301	20	7	27%	8%	105	+2.1	.208/.299/.346	.138	.295	15	9	32%	10%	82	+0.5	.182/.281/.299	.117	.270	12	10	34%	10%	61	-0.5
✕Andrew Lambo 2015 · MLB	26	47→50	57→60	47→45	41	.247/.293/.449	.202	.306	26	7	28%	6%	107	+2.2	.222/.270/.369	.147	.283	16	6	27%	6%	75	-0.0	.207/.260/.314	.107	.259	9	2	23%	6%	53	-0.6
✕Jorge Piedra 2005 · MLB	26	51	51→55	44→45	47	.260/.316/.429	.169	.301	18	8	20%	7%	111	+2.5	.250/.306/.424	.174	.281	19	7	18%	7%	105	+2.1	.245/.303/.414	.169	.275	18	4	18%	7%	99	+0.8
✕Renato Núñez 2020 · MLB	26	44→51	55→60	44→30	44	.235/.296/.415	.180	.285	24	3	27%	7%	99	+1.7	.243/.309/.448	.205	.293	28	3	27%	7%	114	+2.7	.233/.304/.458	.225	.279	32	1	29%	7%	111	+1.4
●Kole Calhoun 2014 · MLB	26	52→56	51→60	51→50	50	.262/.326/.431	.169	.308	18	13	21%	8%	115	+2.7	.266/.324/.437	.171	.313	19	7	20%	8%	115	+2.8	.267/.329/.436	.170	.313	19	3	20%	8%	115	+3.0
●Derek Dietrich 2015 · MLB	26	44→54	50→60	50→40	41	.225/.294/.385	.160	.280	18	5	26%	6%	90	+1.0	.247/.333/.414	.167	.303	17	3	23%	7%	115	+2.7	.269/.351/.436	.167	.335	16	1	23%	7%	121	+2.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)