Blake Sabol — OGILVIE

Blake SabolC Durham Bulls

Age 28 L/R 6'4" / 225 lbs AAA HR +6%H +4% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION362 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP295

ISO140

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT30

Whiff%

1016.9%

xAVG

100.199

POWER45

Barrel%

6810.9

Avg EV

5089.2

Bat Spd

5672.0

EYE55

Chase%

4632.4%

SPEED50

Sprint

4727.4

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	229	199	59	12	3	11	27	72	1	6	0	296	383	553	936	256	407	31	12	404	160	+16	+1	—	—	+5	2.3
2021	23	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	59	46	17	2	0	2	12	12	1	0	2	370	508	543	1.052	174	469	20	20	468	203	+7	-1	—	—	+1	0.8
2022	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	101	81	24	3	1	5	17	22	2	1	0	296	430	543	973	247	345	22	17	424	173	+9	+0	—	—	+2	1.1
2022	24	AA	Altoona Curve	—	412	366	103	23	5	14	38	107	2	9	2	281	352	486	839	205	355	26	9	364	132	+16	+1	—	—	+9	2.6
2022	24	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	55	47	11	2	0	1	7	15	1	1	1	234	345	340	686	106	323	27	13	318	102	+0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	25	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	344	310	73	10	0	13	24	117	6	4	2	235	303	394	696	158	330	34	7	309	95	-2	+0	-2	+6	+7	1.0
2024	26	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	38	32	10	2	0	0	5	9	1	0	0	312	421	375	796	62	435	24	13	369	136	+2	+0	-0	+8	+1	1.0
2024	26	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	403	345	85	14	1	11	48	98	3	11	1	246	343	388	732	142	308	24	12	326	107	+3	+2	—	—	+9	1.4
2025	27	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	18	16	2	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	125	176	188	364	62	200	39	6	160	-5	-2	+0	-0	+5	+0	0.3
2025	27	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	253	218	40	11	1	6	30	76	5	7	2	183	296	326	622	142	250	30	12	288	81	-6	+1	—	—	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	400	358	85	13	0	13	30	133	7	4	2	237	309	383	692	145	335	33	8	308	95	-3	+0	-3	+19	+9	2.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	229	208	49	10	3	7	18	95	1	6	0	236	300	413	713	178	374	41	8	300	89	-3	+1	—	—	+5	0.3
2021	23	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	59	51	15	2	0	1	7	17	1	0	2	294	390	392	782	98	428	29	12	360	130	+2	-1	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	24	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	101	87	22	3	1	4	11	27	2	1	0	253	350	448	798	195	297	27	11	332	111	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	24	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	412	378	90	21	4	10	26	134	2	9	2	238	291	394	685	156	323	33	6	294	85	-7	+1	—	—	+9	0.3
2023	25	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	344	310	75	10	0	14	24	117	6	4	2	242	309	410	719	168	330	34	7	315	99	-0	+0	-2	+6	+7	1.1
2024	26	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	38	32	10	2	0	0	5	9	1	0	0	312	421	375	796	62	435	24	13	352	124	+1	+0	-0	+8	+1	1.0
2024	26	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	403	360	76	11	1	9	33	117	3	11	1	211	283	322	605	111	271	29	8	263	64	-17	+2	—	—	+9	-0.7
2025	27	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	18	16	2	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	125	176	188	364	62	200	39	6	154	-10	-2	+0	-0	+5	+0	0.2
2025	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	253	227	32	9	1	3	21	92	5	7	2	141	229	229	458	88	217	36	8	210	28	-22	+1	—	—	+5	-1.6
2021	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	288	259	64	12	3	8	25	112	2	6	2	247	318	409	727	162	397	39	9	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	288	245	76	14	3	13	39	84	2	6	2	310	409	551	960	241	420	29	14	417	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	568	515	122	26	5	15	41	178	5	11	3	237	299	394	694	157	325	31	7	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	568	494	138	28	6	20	62	144	5	11	3	279	365	482	847	202	350	25	11	370	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	344	310	75	10	0	14	24	117	6	4	2	242	309	410	719	168	337	34	7	315	99	-0	+0	-2	+6	+7	1.1
2023	25	MLB RAW	San Francisco Giants	—	344	310	73	10	0	13	24	117	6	4	2	235	303	394	696	158	330	34	7	309	99	-0	+0	-2	+6	+7	1.1
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	441	392	86	13	1	9	38	126	4	11	1	219	295	327	621	107	295	29	9	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	441	377	95	16	1	11	53	107	4	11	1	252	350	387	737	135	319	24	12	330	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	271	243	34	10	1	3	22	99	5	7	2	140	226	226	452	86	218	37	8	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	271	234	42	12	1	6	31	83	5	7	2	179	289	316	605	137	247	31	11	279	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	288	259	64	12	3	8	25	112	2	6	2	247	318	409	727	162	385	39	9	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	568	517	122	26	5	15	41	178	5	11	3	236	299	393	692	157	318	31	7	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	344	311	75	10	0	14	24	117	6	4	2	241	309	408	717	167	330	34	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	441	396	86	13	1	9	38	126	4	11	1	217	295	323	618	106	285	29	9	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	271	242	34	10	1	3	22	99	5	7	2	140	226	227	453	87	216	37	8	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	344	311	75	10	0	14	24	117	6	4	2	241	309	408	717	167	330	34	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	441	396	86	13	1	9	38	126	4	11	1	217	295	323	618	106	285	29	9	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	271	242	34	10	1	3	22	99	5	7	2	140	226	227	453	87	216	37	8	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	TB	—	362	334	68	11	0	7	23	123	3	11	2	204	261	299	561	96	298	34	6	252	57	-19	+1	+0	+6	+8	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA RAW	TB	—	362	323	80	14	0	11	34	103	3	11	2	248	325	393	718	146	329	28	9	322	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	28	AAA MLE	TB	10%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		287	30	10	273	71	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	28	MLB CTX	TB	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						295	0	0	272	71	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	28	MLB A+C	TB	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	272	57	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	28	AAA MLE	TB	—	372	343	69	11	0	7	24	126	3	11	2	201	259	294	554	93	294	34	6	253	57	-19	+1	-0	+7	+8	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	TB	33%	376	342	71	12	1	9	27	119	4	8	2	208	273	327	601	120	288	32	7	273	71	-13	+1	-5	+7	+8	-0.3
2028	30	MLB MLE	TB	46%	378	344	71	12	1	9	27	120	4	7	2	206	272	326	598	119	286	32	7	270	69	-14	+1	-6	+7	+8	-0.5
2027	29	MLB CTX	TB	33%	123	112	23	4	0	3	9	39	1	3	1	205	270	321	592	116	296	32	7	272	71	-4	+0	-2	+2	+3	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	TB	46%	173	156	33	6	0	4	13	55	2	3	1	212	281	327	608	115	295	32	8	269	69	-6	+0	-3	+3	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	697	627	141	23	0	20	52	227	10	10	4	225	295	357	652	132	314	33	7	292	76	-13	+0	-7	+24	+15	1.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	131	21	0	19	48	212	9	9	4	224	293	357	650	133	312	33	7	292	76	-12	+0	-7	+23	+14	1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2676	2414	524	95	12	67	205	874	30	54	14	217	287	350	636	133	306	33	8	281	76	-30	+1	-15	+32	+25	1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	127	23	3	16	50	212	7	13	3	217	286	348	634	131	306	33	8	281	76	-17	+1	-8	+18	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#2Stephen Vogtlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,571 PA	3.9	2,571	82	5	241	303	410	+36	-11	9.3	9.4
/162	664	21	1	+9.2	-2.8	2.4	pk7: 9
#3Devin Mesoracolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,574 PA	2.4	1,574	58	4	232	309	406	+28	-13	6.0	6.2
/162	664	24	2	+11.9	-5.3	2.5	pk7: 6
#4Tim Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,743 PA	2.6	1,743	63	13	248	301	431	+19	-13	6.1	6.1
/162	664	24	5	+7.1	-4.8	2.3	pk7: 6
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.0	675	21	11	223	287	363	+12	-2	1.8	1.8
/162	664	21	11	+11.9	-2.2	1.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Blake Sabol (OGILVIE)	28	30	45	50	55	208/273/327	120	287	9	9	31%	7%	71	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕César Salazar 2023 · AAA	27	41	49→45	47→45	41	215/277/357	142	256	18	9	24%	5%	79	-0.2	207/299/322	115	248	12	7	21%	8%	80	-0.2	203/308/311	108	241	12	6	20%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Jason Smith 2005 · MLB	28	46→35	51→55	49→50	43	234/281/401	167	279	17	9	23%	6%	89	+0.5	221/263/370	149	293	16	12	29%	5%	76	-0.4	212/251/362	149	288	16	12	32%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	39	45	48→40	49	198/286/319	122	254	12	5	26%	9%	74	-0.5	216/298/331	115	289	12	7	27%	9%	80	-0.1	197/296/255	58	267	7	0	26%	12%	61	-0.3
✕Michael Pérez 2022 · MLB	29	35	49→50	40	46	188/262/334	147	237	17	4	29%	8%	68	-1.0	187/261/319	132	239	17	4	29%	8%	64	-1.3	170/248/285	115	218	16	1	30%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Nick Dini 2021 · MLB	28	42	51→50	49→50	43	224/276/381	158	258	20	12	23%	5%	84	+0.1	217/286/363	146	261	18	9	24%	7%	84	+0.1	171/269/296	124	208	17	8	26%	10%	60	-0.6
✕Camden Duzenack 2023 · AAA	28	39→36	49→50	51→50	37	207/247/351	144	269	17	13	30%	4%	65	-1.2	231/288/355	124	292	12	10	24%	6%	82	-0.0	243/308/345	102	303	9	6	22%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Zack Collins 2023 · MLB	28	37→42	48→50	46→40	51	191/287/338	147	263	16	6	32%	11%	78	-0.3	209/288/344	135	322	14	7	36%	10%	80	-0.2	198/279/320	122	316	13	4	38%	10%	69	-0.8
✕Erik Ostberg 2023 · AA	27	40	49→50	46→45	42	205/268/347	142	292	17	6	35%	8%	73	-0.6	207/263/337	130	288	14	9	31%	7%	68	-1.0	171/219/308	136	223	14	6	30%	5%	43	-0.7
✕Isan Díaz 2023 · MLB	27	40→41	53→55	46→45	47	213/294/381	168	280	21	8	31%	10%	91	+0.6	208/280/373	165	273	23	9	32%	9%	84	+0.1	171/245/310	139	205	23	6	30%	9%	55	-0.6
✕Andrew Susac 2018 · MLB	28	37→38	48→50	47→30	43	194/259/330	136	260	16	3	32%	8%	65	-1.2	207/287/346	139	295	16	8	33%	9%	80	-0.2	192/287/316	124	278	15	0	34%	11%	72	-0.2
✕Johnny Monell 2015 · AAA	29	43→44	47→50	48→45	45	217/280/354	136	279	14	8	27%	8%	78	-0.3	234/285/355	121	285	13	7	22%	6%	80	-0.1	234/285/350	116	290	12	4	23%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Zack Short 2022 · MLB	27	36→39	49→50	47→45	50	190/289/333	144	252	17	7	31%	11%	79	-0.2	191/285/309	118	267	12	10	30%	11%	72	-0.7	178/278/283	104	251	10	11	31%	12%	61	-0.9
✕Peyton Burdick 2023 · MLB	26	36→32	50	50	45	188/277/342	154	270	17	12	35%	9%	76	-0.4	180/262/323	143	295	17	12	42%	8%	66	-1.1	156/241/293	137	264	18	12	45%	8%	49	-1.5
✕Alex Jackson 2023 · MLB	27	40→37	49→55	50→30	40	201/278/354	153	295	17	6	36%	7%	79	-0.2	202/264/364	162	268	20	4	32%	6%	76	-0.4	183/244/345	163	246	21	2	34%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Grayson Greiner 2021 · MLB	28	40	47→45	46→30	43	206/271/335	129	277	15	4	31%	8%	71	-0.8	196/261/305	109	342	12	5	43%	7%	61	-1.5	178/245/263	85	331	9	1	46%	8%	42	-0.9
✕Brandon Larson 2004 · MLB	28	39→42	47→50	45	52	202/289/335	133	250	16	11	26%	10%	78	-0.3	224/295/372	148	288	17	7	27%	8%	88	+0.5	224/283/376	152	290	20	4	29%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Aaron Sisk 2007 · AA	28	39	49→50	48→45	43	205/263/348	142	263	17	10	29%	7%	71	-0.8	223/279/369	146	284	18	8	27%	7%	82	-0.0	227/285/382	154	278	22	3	26%	6%	86	+0.1
✕Bubba Crosby 2005 · MLB	28	42	51→40	53→50	45	222/282/382	160	256	19	14	22%	6%	86	+0.3	217/276/326	109	256	11	15	19%	6%	71	-0.8	214/270/303	89	254	8	18	18%	5%	61	-0.6
✕Garrett Stubbs 2021 · MLB	28	46	44→45	54→50	48	225/289/345	119	270	11	17	21%	7%	80	-0.2	227/309/347	120	288	12	12	24%	10%	88	+0.4	219/308/324	105	279	10	10	23%	11%	81	-0.0
✕Johan Mieses 2022 · AAA	27	37→33	53→55	48→50	42	204/270/371	167	252	23	7	29%	6%	80	-0.2	224/299/394	170	301	21	11	31%	8%	96	+1.0	213/305/397	185	287	23	11	32%	10%	95	+0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps