Blake Sabol — OGILVIE

Blake SabolC Durham Bulls

Age 28 L/R 6'4" / 225 lbs AAA Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 0.5 · 2027

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .278 / .340

PA350

HR10

SB8

K%32

BB%8

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

30→30

PWR

45→45

SPD

50→50

EYE

50↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.7peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$0.9M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.3M
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.5M
2028	Arb-3	$2M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$4M		$5M	+$0.8M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	2 teams	288	259	64	12	3	8	25	112	2	6	2	.247	.318	.409	.727	.162	.397	39	9	.316	100	-0	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.4
2022	24	AA	3 teams	568	515	123	26	5	16	41	187	5	11	3	.239	.301	.402	.703	.163	.335	33	7	.304	91	-6	+1	+0	+10	+16	2.2
2023	25	MLB	San Francisco Giants	344	310	75	10	0	13	24	117	6	4	2	.242	.309	.400	.709	.158	.341	34	7	.310	96	-2	+0	-2	+6	+10	1.2
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	441	392	85	13	1	9	38	127	4	11	1	.217	.293	.324	.617	.107	.292	29	9	.269	64	-18	+2	-0	+8	+12	0.4
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	271	243	35	10	1	4	22	99	5	7	2	.144	.230	.243	.472	.099	.220	37	8	.211	20	-25	+1	-0	+5	+8	-1.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	AAA	Durham Bulls	78	71	13	4	0	2	6	32	1	2	0	.183	.256	.324	.580	.141	.297	41	8	.238	40	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	28	MLB	TB	272	244	49	9	1	8	22	91	4	6	1	.201	.278	.344	.622	.143	.279	33	8	.278	71	-9	+1	-1	+5	+8	0.4
TOT	28	MLB	TB	350	315	62	13	1	10	28	123	5	8	1	.197	.273	.340	.613	.143	.284	35	8	.269	64	-14	+1	-1	+6	+10	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB 20%	TB	379	339	69	13	1	11	32	103	5	7	1	.204	.282	.345	.627	.142	.256	27	8	.283	74	-11	+1	-2	+7	+11	0.5
2028	30	MLB 33%	TB	380	340	69	13	1	11	32	104	5	6	1	.203	.281	.344	.625	.141	.254	27	8	.279	72	-12	+1	-3	+7	+11	0.3
2029	31	MLB 43%	TB	354	316	63	12	1	10	30	99	5	4	0	.199	.279	.339	.618	.139	.252	28	8	.276	69	-12	+1	-4	+6	+10	0.1
2030	32	MLB 52%	TB	325	290	57	11	1	8	28	92	4	2	0	.197	.276	.324	.601	.128	.251	28	9	.271	66	-13	+0	-4	+6	+9	-0.1
2031	33	MLB 64%	TB	288	258	48	9	0	7	24	84	4	1	0	.186	.266	.302	.568	.116	.249	29	8	.265	61	-13	+0	-5	+5	+8	-0.4
2032	34	MLB 81%	TB	239	214	40	8	0	6	20	71	3	0	0	.187	.266	.308	.574	.121	.247	30	8	.259	56	-12	+0	-5	+4	+7	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4149	3720	777	146	15	111	338	1286	52	65	13	.209	.284	.346	.630	.137	.283	31	8	.279	72	-131	+8	-27	+74	+118	4.2
/ 162G	—			650	583	121	23	2	17	53	201	8	10	2	.208	.283	.341	.624	.134	.282	31	8	.279	72	-21	+1	-4	+12	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	229	199	59	12	3	11	27	72	1	6	0	.296	.383	.553	.936	.256	.407	31	12	.404	168	+17	+1	—	—	+6	2.6
2021	23	A	Bradenton Marauders	59	46	17	2	0	2	12	12	1	0	2	.370	.508	.543	1.052	.174	.469	20	20	.468	216	+8	-1	—	—	+2	0.9
2022	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	101	81	24	3	1	5	17	22	2	1	0	.296	.430	.543	.973	.247	.345	22	17	.424	182	+9	+0	—	—	+3	1.3
2022	24	AA	Altoona Curve	412	366	103	23	5	14	38	107	2	9	2	.281	.352	.486	.839	.205	.355	26	9	.364	137	+17	+1	—	—	+12	3.0
2022	24	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	55	47	11	2	0	1	7	15	1	1	1	.234	.345	.340	.686	.106	.323	27	13	.318	102	+0	-0	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	25	MLB	San Francisco Giants	344	310	73	10	0	13	24	117	6	4	2	.235	.303	.394	.696	.158	.330	34	7	.309	95	-2	+0	-2	+6	+10	1.2
2024	26	MLB	San Francisco Giants	38	32	10	2	0	0	5	9	1	0	0	.312	.421	.375	.796	.062	.435	24	13	.369	141	+2	+0	-0	+8	+1	1.1
2024	26	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	403	345	85	14	1	11	48	98	3	11	1	.246	.343	.388	.732	.142	.308	24	12	.326	108	+4	+2	—	—	+11	1.7
2025	27	MLB	Boston Red Sox	18	16	2	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	.125	.176	.188	.364	.062	.200	39	6	.160	-19	-2	+0	-0	+5	+1	0.2
2025	27	AAA	Charlotte Knights	253	218	40	11	1	6	30	76	5	7	2	.183	.296	.326	.622	.142	.250	30	12	.288	78	-6	+1	—	—	+7	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			400	358	85	13	0	13	30	133	7	4	2	.237	.309	.383	.692	.145	.335	33	8	.308	94	-3	+0	-3	+19	+11	2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Blake Sabol (OGILVIE)	28	30	45	50	55	.203/.278/.340	.138	.277	10	7	32%	8%	73	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Zack Collins 2023 · MLB	28	38→42	49→50	46→40	51	.195/.290/.346	.151	.268	16	6	32%	11%	79	+0.3	.210/.290/.356	.146	.319	16	6	36%	10%	81	+0.4	.203/.283/.339	.136	.319	15	4	38%	10%	71	-0.2
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→39	46→50	46→45	50	.191/.285/.319	.128	.261	14	9	31%	11%	70	-0.3	.189/.283/.313	.124	.261	14	10	31%	11%	68	-0.5	.168/.270/.287	.119	.228	14	8	31%	11%	54	-0.9
✕Isan Díaz 2023 · MLB	27	40	52→55	45	47	.212/.291/.378	.166	.276	21	8	31%	9%	88	+0.9	.211/.282/.386	.175	.275	24	9	32%	8%	85	+0.7	.177/.251/.338	.161	.207	27	6	30%	8%	58	-0.4
✕Andrew Susac 2018 · MLB	28	37→39	48→50	47→30	43	.197/.261/.333	.136	.264	16	3	31%	8%	63	-0.9	.206/.283/.350	.144	.290	17	7	33%	9%	76	+0.1	.198/.293/.339	.141	.281	18	0	34%	11%	76	+0.0
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	39	46→50	48→40	48	.200/.287/.330	.129	.255	14	5	26%	9%	73	-0.1	.215/.296/.335	.120	.285	13	7	27%	9%	79	+0.3	.199/.298/.266	.067	.267	9	0	27%	12%	60	-0.2
✕César Salazar 2023 · AAA	27	41→40	51→45	47→45	41	.215/.277/.368	.153	.256	20	9	25%	5%	79	+0.3	.207/.298/.326	.119	.248	13	7	21%	8%	78	+0.2	.190/.302/.291	.101	.227	10	4	20%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Patrick Dorrian 2023 · AAA	27	38→37	50→55	47→45	41	.196/.266/.350	.154	.290	19	6	38%	8%	70	-0.3	.196/.260/.343	.147	.289	18	6	37%	7%	65	-0.7	.181/.245/.318	.137	.261	18	5	37%	7%	49	-1.0
✕Jason Smith 2005 · MLB	28	45→35	50→55	51→50	43	.232/.279/.395	.163	.281	17	10	24%	6%	86	+0.8	.222/.264/.374	.152	.292	16	12	29%	5%	74	-0.1	.214/.252/.367	.153	.289	17	12	32%	4%	65	-0.3
✕Drew Ellis 2023 · MLB	27	37	52→55	46→40	48	.196/.288/.367	.171	.263	19	6	32%	10%	84	+0.6	.195/.284/.358	.163	.250	20	6	29%	10%	80	+0.4	.173/.269/.328	.156	.208	22	3	29%	10%	63	-0.3
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→30	47→50	50	44	.181/.258/.318	.137	.259	15	13	35%	9%	58	-1.2	.189/.267/.321	.132	.273	16	12	35%	9%	63	-0.9	.160/.249/.296	.136	.218	19	12	36%	9%	46	-1.0
✕Grayson Greiner 2021 · MLB	28	40	46→45	45→30	44	.206/.272/.331	.125	.276	15	4	30%	8%	66	-0.6	.196/.260/.306	.110	.334	12	5	42%	7%	55	-1.4	.177/.244/.263	.086	.329	9	1	46%	8%	34	-0.9
✕Nick Dini 2021 · MLB	28	41	51→50	49→50	41	.218/.267/.371	.153	.255	20	12	24%	5%	76	+0.0	.222/.288/.382	.160	.262	21	9	24%	7%	87	+0.8	.177/.274/.321	.144	.209	21	8	26%	10%	63	-0.3
✕Caleb Hamilton 2023 · MLB	28	36	50→45	48→45	47	.189/.279/.338	.149	.279	19	6	37%	11%	72	-0.2	.177/.257/.305	.128	.279	16	7	40%	9%	55	-1.4	.109/.194/.201	.091	.171	14	5	44%	9%	0	-1.3
✕Aaron Sisk 2007 · AA	28	40	50	47→45	43	.211/.269/.364	.152	.271	18	10	29%	7%	74	-0.1	.223/.279/.372	.149	.284	19	8	28%	7%	80	+0.4	.227/.285/.382	.154	.278	22	3	26%	6%	84	+0.3
✕Erik Ostberg 2023 · AA	27	40	50→55	46→45	41	.207/.269/.357	.150	.297	19	6	36%	8%	72	-0.2	.206/.262/.347	.141	.292	16	8	33%	7%	66	-0.6	.172/.219/.324	.153	.226	17	6	32%	5%	41	-0.6
✕Peyton Burdick 2023 · MLB	26	36→33	52→55	50	44	.192/.280/.359	.167	.275	20	12	36%	9%	79	+0.3	.185/.266/.345	.160	.294	20	12	41%	8%	69	-0.4	.162/.246/.317	.156	.267	21	12	45%	8%	51	-1.1
✕Camden Duzenack 2023 · AAA	28	39→37	49→50	51→50	36	.205/.244/.348	.143	.271	17	12	31%	4%	59	-1.1	.225/.280/.351	.126	.287	13	10	26%	6%	75	-0.0	.235/.302/.339	.104	.296	10	6	23%	6%	79	+0.1
✕Brett Cumberland 2022 · AAA	27	39	46→50	47→30	42	.192/.305/.315	.124	.293	14	5	36%	8%	80	+0.4	.209/.298/.328	.119	.308	14	6	34%	7%	79	+0.3	.208/.291/.302	.095	.300	13	0	32%	7%	64	-0.2
✕Drew Robinson 2019 · MLB	27	43→41	51→55	48→50	44	.215/.286/.381	.166	.317	18	12	36%	9%	85	+0.7	.207/.283/.342	.135	.361	14	14	42%	9%	74	-0.1	.154/.243/.252	.099	.307	11	16	49%	10%	36	-0.8
✕Jason Vosler 2023 · MLB	29	41→44	52→55	49→40	45	.217/.282/.379	.162	.265	21	6	27%	7%	84	+0.6	.214/.274/.387	.173	.271	22	5	29%	7%	82	+0.5	.207/.268/.386	.179	.258	24	4	30%	7%	77	+0.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)