Matt Lloyd — OGILVIE

Matt Lloyd3B Worcester Red Sox

Age 30 L/R 6'0" / 205 lbs AAA H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION111 act + 139 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .290 / .352

PA139

HR4

K%30

BB%9

BABIP287

ISO136

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	23	A	Dayton Dragons	—	87	80	13	5	0	2	6	31	1	1	2	163	230	300	530	137	234	36	7	242	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A	Dayton Dragons	—	87	76	17	6	0	3	10	21	1	1	2	224	322	421	743	197	269	24	11	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	114	101	21	2	0	7	9	43	3	0	1	208	292	436	728	228	269	38	8	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	114	98	23	3	0	7	12	36	3	0	1	235	336	480	816	245	286	32	11	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	86	78	11	3	0	2	7	32	1	1	0	141	221	256	477	115	205	37	8	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	86	75	14	5	0	2	10	25	1	1	0	187	291	333	624	147	250	29	12	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	233	190	56	13	0	9	40	47	0	4	1	295	417	505	923	211	343	20	17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	233	190	56	13	0	9	40	47	0	4	1	295	417	505	923	211	343	20	17	404	167	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	486	431	92	23	0	8	38	143	7	16	2	213	288	323	610	109	290	29	8	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	486	413	111	25	0	17	56	98	7	16	2	269	366	453	818	184	305	20	12	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	2 teams	—	339	301	69	13	1	10	34	106	0	8	3	229	307	379	686	150	314	31	10	301	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	2 teams	—	339	288	78	18	1	9	47	80	0	8	3	271	373	434	807	163	342	24	14	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	AAA	BOS	—	111	102	18	2	0	4	8	38	0	0	0	176	236	314	550	137	230	34	7	243	44	-7	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.4
YTD	30	AAA	BOS	—	111	97	20	2	0	5	13	32	0	0	0	206	300	381	681	175	246	29	12	305	91	-1	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.2
ROS	30	AAA	BOS	10%	139	125	27	5	0	4	12	42	1	2	1	216	290	352	642	136	294	30	9	288	78	-3	+0	+0	+0	+4	0.1
ROS	30	MLB	BOS	10%	14	13	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	231	286	308	593	77	301	29	7	289	79	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	30	AAA	BOS	—	125	115	21	3	0	4	9	42	0	0	0	183	242	313	555	130	243	34	7	248	48	-7	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.3
TOT	30	AAA	BOS	—	250	227	45	7	0	8	20	80	1	2	1	198	266	335	601	137	262	32	8	268	63	-10	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	BOS	33%	310	278	61	12	1	8	27	93	2	4	1	219	293	356	649	137	292	30	9	288	79	-7	+0	-3	+1	+9	0.0
2027	31	MLB	BOS	33%	101	90	20	4	0	3	9	30	1	1	0	222	300	367	667	144	299	30	9	289	79	-2	+0	-1	+0	+3	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	115	103	23	5	0	3	10	34	1	1	0	223	298	359	657	136	299	30	9	289	79	-3	+0	-1	+0	+3	0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	130	28	0	17	57	192	6	6	0	223	300	359	659	136	298	30	9	289	79	-15	+1	-5	+2	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	1794	1584	350	76	2	50	173	537	15	36	11	221	304	366	670	145	295	30	10	244	45	-111	+3	-3	+6	+51	-5.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	127	28	1	18	63	195	5	13	4	221	304	368	671	146	296	30	10	244	45	-40	+1	-1	+2	+18	-2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	23	A	Dayton Dragons	—	87	76	17	6	0	3	10	21	1	1	2	224	322	421	743	197	269	24	11	332	112	+1	-1	—	—	+2	0.3
2021	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	114	98	23	3	0	7	12	36	3	0	1	235	336	480	816	245	286	32	11	358	132	+4	-0	—	—	+3	0.7
2022	26	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	86	75	14	5	0	2	10	25	1	1	0	187	291	333	624	147	250	29	12	286	77	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2023	27	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	233	190	56	13	0	9	40	47	0	4	1	295	417	505	923	211	343	20	17	404	167	+18	+0	—	—	+7	2.5
2024	28	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	486	413	111	25	0	17	56	98	7	16	2	269	366	453	818	184	305	20	12	358	132	+18	+2	—	—	+14	3.5
2025	29	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	317	272	74	18	1	8	41	77	0	7	3	272	367	434	801	162	347	24	13	355	130	+11	+0	—	—	+9	2.0
2025	29	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	22	16	4	0	0	1	6	3	0	1	0	250	455	438	892	188	250	14	27	408	171	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matt Lloyd (OGILVIE)	30	50	50	50	60	198/266/335	137	262	8	2	32%	8%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Garrett Stubbs 2023 · MLB	30	48	48→45	53→50	55	239/325/383	144	296	16	11	24%	11%	102	+1.9	225/298/335	110	290	11	12	25%	8%	79	+0.3	217/287/307	90	281	9	11	25%	7%	65	-0.2
✕Pedro Severino 2023 · MLB	30	50→48	47→50	49→45	46	249/307/386	138	316	15	5	26%	7%	95	+1.4	225/282/357	132	285	15	11	26%	7%	77	+0.1	192/248/303	111	240	13	13	25%	6%	44	-0.9
✕Chris Herrmann 2017 · MLB	29	47→48	47→50	57→50	46	230/294/372	142	295	13	11	26%	8%	86	+0.8	221/302/378	157	287	19	8	28%	10%	92	+1.2	209/296/361	152	272	19	4	29%	11%	83	+0.2
●Jason Pridie 2014 · MLB	30	47→54	46→50	53→55	41	235/281/364	129	306	13	10	27%	6%	78	+0.2	244/289/393	149	301	18	20	24%	6%	89	+1.0	249/295/405	156	299	20	24	23%	6%	93	+1.0
✕Kirk Nieuwenhuis 2018 · MLB	30	42→50	48→60	45→50	49	205/298/349	144	304	16	11	35%	11%	83	+0.6	209/285/332	123	326	11	10	36%	9%	72	-0.2	194/270/311	116	314	7	8	37%	8%	58	-0.6
✕Xavier Paul 2014 · MLB	29	52→58	47→45	48→55	49	254/317/395	141	310	14	13	22%	8%	102	+1.8	208/263/332	124	277	14	6	29%	6%	63	-0.8	164/211/257	94	234	12	1	35%	5%	19	-2.3
✕Beau Taylor 2020 · MLB	30	46→45	45	47→30	51	218/309/342	124	311	12	4	31%	11%	85	+0.7	206/291/315	109	302	11	4	32%	10%	71	-0.3	188/278/270	82	276	9	0	32%	9%	52	-0.6
✕Daniel Descalso 2018 · MLB	31	46→55	47→50	52→45	56	228/320/370	142	273	14	7	21%	11%	97	+1.5	220/322/371	151	285	15	5	26%	13%	98	+1.6	204/318/354	150	268	15	2	27%	14%	89	+0.5
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2014 · MLB	30	46→48	51→55	45→50	47	237/295/399	163	280	18	7	23%	7%	94	+1.3	215/284/374	159	260	18	6	24%	8%	83	+0.6	182/261/345	163	213	18	2	24%	9%	65	-0.2
✕Chris Owings 2022 · MLB	30	46→56	50	51→55	43	228/293/390	162	320	17	14	33%	8%	91	+1.1	198/269/331	133	281	15	11	33%	8%	66	-0.6	184/261/307	123	264	15	11	35%	8%	53	-0.8
✕P.J. Higgins 2023 · MLB	30	52→55	46→45	49→40	50	251/325/390	139	322	13	5	25%	9%	104	+2.0	234/289/356	122	305	12	3	26%	7%	80	+0.4	221/271/328	107	288	11	0	26%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Mark Payton 2022 · MLB	30	48→53	48→55	48→50	46	242/293/391	150	287	15	10	22%	6%	91	+1.1	236/291/369	133	279	12	11	19%	7%	84	+0.6	239/296/369	130	282	12	10	19%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Scott Moore 2013 · MLB	29	49→51	49→55	42→50	46	243/308/393	150	299	16	5	24%	7%	98	+1.6	207/273/342	135	273	14	3	29%	6%	70	-0.3	180/249/302	122	242	13	1	30%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Johnny Monell 2016 · MLB	30	47→44	43→50	48→45	46	233/288/344	111	289	11	9	23%	7%	76	+0.1	228/277/347	119	287	13	6	24%	6%	72	-0.2	219/270/340	120	280	13	2	26%	6%	65	-0.4
✕Andrew Knapp 2022 · MLB	30	43→53	43→45	47→40	46	207/290/317	110	299	11	4	32%	9%	71	-0.3	211/279/345	134	292	15	4	31%	7%	73	-0.1	212/281/343	131	290	15	2	30%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Josh Fields 2013 · MLB	30	48→56	45→55	50	43	236/291/362	127	319	13	10	29%	7%	82	+0.5	240/283/349	109	329	9	10	28%	6%	75	-0.0	250/287/350	100	340	7	9	28%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Ezequiel Carrera 2018 · MLB	31	53→63	45	51→60	50	257/325/374	117	317	13	15	23%	8%	99	+1.7	223/282/332	109	289	11	19	25%	7%	70	-0.3	174/208/234	60	231	3	36	25%	4%	10	-1.2
✕Josh Rojas 2023 · MLB	29	53→54	45→50	53→55	54	255/333/381	126	315	11	18	22%	10%	105	+2.1	236/306/347	111	297	10	16	22%	9%	85	+0.7	221/291/320	99	280	9	15	23%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Mitch Maier 2013 · MLB	31	49→56	44→50	52→50	52	237/315/359	121	301	11	9	24%	10%	92	+1.2	233/301/356	123	318	13	9	28%	9%	85	+0.7	275/351/375	100	348	10	11	22%	11%	105	+0.5
✕Anthony Recker 2014 · MLB	30	42→48	52→55	43→45	47	220/295/386	166	285	21	6	30%	9%	92	+1.2	208/278/363	155	281	19	6	32%	8%	78	+0.2	196/276/340	144	260	18	3	31%	9%	67	-0.2