Matt Lloyd3B
Memphis Redbirds
Age 30
L/R
6'0" / 205 lbs
AAA
HR -7%K -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.5 · 2026
wRC+†86
AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .298 / .359
PA250
HR6
SB5
K%29
BB%9
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
50→50
PWR
50→50
SPD
50→50
EYE
51↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.1 | $0.4M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2032 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-1M | $-1M | +$0.0M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 23 | A | Dayton Dragons | 87 | 79 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .177 | .253 | .316 | .569 | .139 | .245 | 32 | 8 | .250 | 50 | -5 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 114 | 101 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 45 | 3 | 0 | 1 | .188 | .274 | .386 | .660 | .198 | .255 | 39 | 8 | .297 | 85 | -2 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 86 | 78 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .154 | .233 | .282 | .515 | .128 | .227 | 37 | 8 | .220 | 27 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | 233 | 190 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 40 | 47 | 0 | 4 | 1 | .295 | .417 | .505 | .923 | .211 | .343 | 20 | 17 | — | — | — | — | +0 | +1 | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 486 | 430 | 93 | 21 | 0 | 11 | 39 | 135 | 7 | 16 | 2 | .216 | .292 | .342 | .634 | .126 | .279 | 28 | 8 | .279 | 72 | -16 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | 2 teams | 339 | 302 | 70 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 102 | 0 | 8 | 3 | .232 | .307 | .374 | .682 | .142 | .314 | 30 | 10 | .297 | 85 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +10 | 0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | STL | 250 | 223 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 71 | 2 | 5 | 1 | .220 | .298 | .354 | .653 | .135 | .294 | 28 | 9 | .298 | 86 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB 20% | STL | 310 | 277 | 62 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 88 | 2 | 5 | 1 | .224 | .300 | .365 | .664 | .141 | .293 | 28 | 9 | .296 | 85 | -5 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB 33% | STL | 312 | 279 | 62 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 89 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .222 | .298 | .362 | .660 | .140 | .291 | 29 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB 43% | STL | 296 | 266 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 85 | 2 | 4 | 0 | .218 | .293 | .350 | .642 | .132 | .290 | 29 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -7 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB 52% | STL | 262 | 235 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 77 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .213 | .288 | .340 | .629 | .128 | .288 | 29 | 9 | .284 | 76 | -7 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +7 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2775 | 2460 | 545 | 117 | 6 | 74 | 263 | 799 | 22 | 51 | 12 | .222 | .302 | .364 | .667 | .143 | .292 | 29 | 9 | .263 | 59 | -128 | +5 | -15 | +10 | +79 | -5.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 576 | 127 | 27 | 1 | 17 | 62 | 187 | 5 | 12 | 3 | .220 | .302 | .359 | .661 | .139 | .291 | 29 | 10 | .263 | 59 | -30 | +1 | -4 | +2 | +18 | -1.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 23 | A | Dayton Dragons | 87 | 76 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .224 | .322 | .421 | .743 | .197 | .269 | 24 | 11 | .332 | 112 | +1 | -1 | — | — | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 114 | 98 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 1 | .235 | .336 | .480 | .816 | .245 | .286 | 32 | 11 | .358 | 132 | +4 | -0 | — | — | +3 | 0.7 |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 86 | 75 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .187 | .291 | .333 | .624 | .147 | .250 | 29 | 12 | .286 | 77 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | 233 | 190 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 40 | 47 | 0 | 4 | 1 | .295 | .417 | .505 | .923 | .211 | .343 | 20 | 17 | .404 | 167 | +18 | +0 | — | — | +7 | 2.5 |
| 2024 | 28 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 486 | 413 | 111 | 25 | 0 | 17 | 56 | 98 | 7 | 16 | 2 | .269 | .366 | .453 | .818 | .184 | .305 | 20 | 12 | .358 | 132 | +18 | +2 | — | — | +14 | 3.5 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 317 | 272 | 74 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 77 | 0 | 7 | 3 | .272 | .367 | .434 | .801 | .162 | .347 | 24 | 13 | .355 | 130 | +11 | +0 | — | — | +9 | 2.0 |
| 2025 | 29 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 22 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .250 | .455 | .438 | .892 | .188 | .250 | 14 | 27 | .408 | 171 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Matt Lloyd (OGILVIE) | 30 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 60 | .221/.298/.359 | .138 | .294 | 6 | 5 | 29% | 9% | 86 | +0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Garrett Stubbs 2023 · MLB |
30 | 47 | 47→45 | 53→50 | 54 | .234/.320/.370 | .136 | .293 | 15 | 11 | 24% | 11% | 97 | +1.5 | .225/.300/.336 | .111 | .291 | 11 | 12 | 25% | 9% | 80 | +0.4 | .217/.289/.307 | .089 | .283 | 9 | 11 | 25% | 7% | 64 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jason Pridie 2014 · MLB |
30 | 46→53 | 46→50 | 53→55 | 42 | .231/.279/.360 | .129 | .297 | 13 | 10 | 27% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .238/.285/.377 | .139 | .295 | 16 | 19 | 24% | 6% | 83 | +0.6 | .243/.290/.386 | .144 | .292 | 17 | 24 | 23% | 6% | 86 | +0.6 |
|
✕Pedro Severino 2023 · MLB |
30 | 51→50 | 47→50 | 49→45 | 46 | .251/.310/.385 | .134 | .318 | 15 | 5 | 25% | 8% | 96 | +1.5 | .225/.283/.360 | .135 | .285 | 15 | 11 | 26% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .189/.246/.307 | .118 | .234 | 15 | 13 | 26% | 7% | 45 | -0.9 |
|
✕Anthony Recker 2014 · MLB |
30 | 43→48 | 51→50 | 43→45 | 47 | .220/.295/.378 | .157 | .286 | 19 | 7 | 29% | 9% | 89 | +0.9 | .211/.280/.369 | .158 | .286 | 20 | 6 | 32% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .200/.280/.351 | .151 | .266 | 19 | 3 | 31% | 9% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Kirk Nieuwenhuis 2018 · MLB |
30 | 42→50 | 49→55 | 44→50 | 49 | .209/.300/.358 | .149 | .303 | 16 | 11 | 34% | 11% | 86 | +0.8 | .203/.285/.319 | .116 | .322 | 10 | 10 | 36% | 10% | 69 | -0.4 | .182/.265/.284 | .103 | .302 | 6 | 8 | 38% | 9% | 50 | -0.9 |
|
✕Chris Herrmann 2018 · MLB |
30 | 41→50 | 50 | 55→50 | 50 | .212/.291/.363 | .150 | .264 | 18 | 11 | 26% | 10% | 83 | +0.6 | .227/.310/.379 | .152 | .306 | 17 | 6 | 29% | 11% | 95 | +1.4 | .214/.299/.358 | .144 | .307 | 16 | 0 | 33% | 10% | 82 | +0.2 |
|
✕Xavier Paul 2014 · MLB |
29 | 53→58 | 47→50 | 50→55 | 48 | .260/.320/.402 | .142 | .317 | 14 | 16 | 22% | 8% | 105 | +2.1 | .218/.275/.349 | .131 | .286 | 15 | 6 | 28% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .178/.228/.284 | .106 | .247 | 14 | 1 | 33% | 5% | 33 | -1.7 |
|
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2014 · MLB |
30 | 47→48 | 52→55 | 46→50 | 47 | .240/.297/.410 | .170 | .281 | 20 | 8 | 22% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .216/.285/.374 | .158 | .262 | 17 | 6 | 24% | 8% | 84 | +0.6 | .180/.259/.335 | .155 | .212 | 17 | 2 | 24% | 9% | 64 | -0.2 |
|
✕Scott Moore 2013 · MLB |
29 | 48→51 | 48→55 | 43→50 | 46 | .241/.307/.389 | .148 | .295 | 16 | 6 | 24% | 7% | 96 | +1.5 | .212/.279/.347 | .135 | .275 | 14 | 3 | 27% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .183/.253/.301 | .119 | .242 | 13 | 1 | 29% | 6% | 49 | -1.1 |
|
✕Ezequiel Carrera 2018 · MLB |
31 | 53→63 | 44→45 | 50→60 | 49 | .257/.323/.369 | .112 | .317 | 12 | 15 | 22% | 8% | 98 | +1.6 | .225/.284/.332 | .107 | .290 | 11 | 19 | 25% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .169/.205/.225 | .056 | .223 | 3 | 36 | 25% | 4% | 6 | -1.3 |
|
✕Mark Payton 2022 · MLB |
30 | 48→54 | 50→55 | 48→50 | 46 | .243/.295/.403 | .160 | .285 | 17 | 10 | 21% | 7% | 95 | +1.4 | .241/.296/.385 | .144 | .281 | 14 | 11 | 19% | 7% | 90 | +1.0 | .246/.304/.388 | .142 | .288 | 13 | 10 | 19% | 7% | 92 | +1.0 |
|
✕Cole Sturgeon 2022 · AAA |
30 | 48→49 | 46→45 | 49→50 | 40 | .237/.286/.366 | .129 | .310 | 13 | 10 | 27% | 5% | 81 | +0.4 | .217/.270/.324 | .107 | .260 | 11 | 12 | 21% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .208/.262/.302 | .094 | .247 | 10 | 11 | 20% | 6% | 51 | -1.3 |
|
✕Jarrett Parker 2019 · MLB |
30 | 45→50 | 52→55 | 45→50 | 45 | .228/.302/.393 | .165 | .309 | 20 | 6 | 32% | 9% | 95 | +1.4 | .212/.300/.380 | .168 | .314 | 21 | 6 | 36% | 11% | 92 | +1.2 | .182/.286/.352 | .170 | .266 | 23 | 2 | 38% | 12% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Chris Owings 2023 · MLB |
31 | 40→50 | 47→50 | 50→55 | 44 | .205/.272/.343 | .138 | .276 | 15 | 13 | 31% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .203/.276/.336 | .133 | .294 | 16 | 11 | 34% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .193/.274/.320 | .127 | .282 | 16 | 11 | 35% | 9% | 62 | -0.5 |
|
✕Phillip Ervin 2021 · MLB |
29 | 49→52 | 48→50 | 49→55 | 48 | .240/.314/.388 | .149 | .300 | 14 | 14 | 24% | 8% | 99 | +1.7 | .207/.283/.336 | .129 | .279 | 15 | 15 | 29% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .163/.242/.272 | .109 | .220 | 15 | 21 | 32% | 9% | 36 | -1.2 |
|
●Daniel Descalso 2018 · MLB |
31 | 48→54 | 48→50 | 51→45 | 56 | .237/.325/.382 | .146 | .282 | 15 | 7 | 21% | 11% | 102 | +1.9 | .224/.326/.382 | .158 | .287 | 16 | 5 | 25% | 13% | 103 | +1.9 | .202/.317/.357 | .155 | .263 | 16 | 2 | 27% | 14% | 88 | +0.5 |
|
✕Rafael Alvarez 2007 · AAA |
30 | 48 | 48→50 | 49→45 | 44 | .240/.295/.383 | .143 | .312 | 16 | 7 | 28% | 7% | 89 | +1.0 | .237/.309/.351 | .114 | .330 | 10 | 9 | 28% | 9% | 87 | +0.8 | .245/.339/.344 | .099 | .346 | 6 | 10 | 27% | 12% | 96 | +0.6 |
|
✕Brennan Boesch 2015 · MLB |
30 | 47→55 | 51→55 | 50 | 41 | .241/.282/.403 | .162 | .291 | 19 | 11 | 24% | 5% | 89 | +1.0 | .234/.273/.363 | .129 | .294 | 15 | 8 | 25% | 5% | 75 | -0.0 | .228/.264/.316 | .088 | .287 | 10 | 4 | 24% | 4% | 58 | -0.5 |
|
✕Johnny Monell 2016 · MLB |
30 | 47→44 | 45→50 | 48→45 | 46 | .232/.288/.353 | .121 | .287 | 12 | 9 | 24% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .231/.280/.354 | .123 | .284 | 13 | 6 | 23% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .221/.272/.347 | .126 | .278 | 14 | 2 | 25% | 6% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Andrew Beattie 2008 · AAA |
30 | 45→50 | 47→45 | 46→50 | 47 | .226/.293/.359 | .133 | .289 | 14 | 10 | 26% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .233/.285/.359 | .126 | .295 | 13 | 13 | 25% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .242/.287/.355 | .113 | .303 | 10 | 14 | 23% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 |