Gage Wood — OGILVIE

Gage Wood P Reading Fightin Phils

Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 205 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 1.8 · 2029

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109101vR 93

ERA4.00

FIP4.00

K%25.8%

BB%8.0%

K-BB%17.8%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$45M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF6055

CTRL5055

CMD4050

K†6060

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.5	$10M	+$10M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$12M	+$11M
2030	Arb-1	$7M	+2.1	$12M	+$8M
2031	Arb-2	$11M	+2.0	$11M	+$4M
2032	Arb-3	$15M	+1.8	$9M	+$1.0M
Totals		$36M		$58M	+$36M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	1	1	2	9	5	2	0	100%	2.0	55.6%	22.2%	33.3%	0.0%	4.50	1.22	—
2025	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	1	1	2	9	5	2	0	100%	2.0	55.6%	22.2%	33.3%	0.0%	4.50	1.22	—
2025	21	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	1	1	2	9	5	2	0	100%	2.0	55.6%	22.2%	33.3%	0.0%	4.50	1.10	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	25	25	95	404	139	30	16	100%	3.8	27.2%	8.4%	18.8%	4.8%	4.36	4.51	—
YTD	22	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	25	25	95	404	139	30	16	100%	3.8	27.2%	8.4%	18.8%	4.8%	4.36	4.51	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A RAW	PHI	8	8	26	105	40	12	2	100%	3.3	38.1%	11.4%	26.7%	1.9%	3.42	2.38	—
2026	22	AA RAW	PHI	17	17	69	299	99	18	14	100%	4.0	33.1%	6.0%	27.1%	4.7%	4.72	3.64	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	PHI	25	25	138	582	152	45	18	100%	5.5	26.2%	7.7%	18.5%	3.0%	3.95	3.90	+1.6
2028	24	MLB MLE	PHI	30	30	167	706	187	53	21	100%	5.6	26.5%	7.4%	19.0%	3.0%	3.89	3.83	+2.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	PHI	30	30	175	739	197	54	22	100%	5.8	26.6%	7.3%	19.3%	3.0%	3.84	3.79	+2.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	PHI	29	29	175	739	197	54	22	100%	6.0	26.7%	7.3%	19.4%	3.0%	3.81	3.78	+2.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	PHI	29	29	172	728	194	54	22	100%	5.9	26.7%	7.4%	19.3%	3.0%	3.82	3.82	+2.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	PHI	28	28	167	706	188	53	22	100%	6.0	26.6%	7.5%	19.1%	3.1%	3.87	3.90	+2.0
2033	29	MLB MLE	PHI	27	27	160	674	178	52	22	100%	5.9	26.3%	7.8%	18.6%	3.3%	3.97	4.04	+1.6
2034	30	MLB MLE	PHI	25	25	150	634	165	51	22	100%	6.0	26.0%	8.1%	17.9%	3.5%	4.12	4.21	+1.2
2035	31	MLB MLE	PHI	23	23	140	591	151	50	22	100%	6.1	25.6%	8.4%	17.2%	3.7%	4.30	4.42	+0.8
2036	32	MLB MLE	PHI	22	22	130	547	137	48	22	100%	5.9	25.1%	8.8%	16.3%	4.0%	4.50	4.64	+0.4
2037	33	MLB MLE	PHI	20	20	119	502	124	46	21	100%	5.9	24.6%	9.2%	15.4%	4.2%	4.73	4.89	+0.0
2038	34	MLB MLE	PHI	18	18	108	456	110	45	21	100%	6.0	24.1%	9.8%	14.3%	4.5%	4.99	5.17	-0.3
2027	23	MLB CTX	PHI	13	13	69	291	76	22	9	100%	5.3	26.2%	7.7%	18.5%	3.2%	4.07	4.02	+0.8
2028	24	MLB CTX	PHI	21	21	118	498	132	37	16	100%	5.6	26.5%	7.4%	19.0%	3.2%	4.01	3.95	+1.5
2029	25	MLB CTX	PHI	24	24	142	600	160	44	19	100%	5.9	26.6%	7.3%	19.3%	3.2%	3.96	3.91	+1.9
2030	26	MLB CTX	PHI	26	26	153	646	173	47	21	100%	5.9	26.7%	7.3%	19.4%	3.2%	3.93	3.90	+2.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	PHI	26	26	156	659	176	49	21	100%	6.0	26.7%	7.4%	19.3%	3.2%	3.94	3.94	+2.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	PHI	26	26	154	650	173	49	22	100%	5.9	26.6%	7.5%	19.1%	3.4%	3.99	4.02	+1.8
2033	29	MLB CTX	PHI	25	25	149	629	166	49	22	100%	6.0	26.3%	7.8%	18.6%	3.5%	4.10	4.17	+1.5
2034	30	MLB CTX	PHI	24	24	141	595	155	48	22	100%	5.9	26.0%	8.1%	17.9%	3.7%	4.26	4.35	+1.1
2035	31	MLB CTX	PHI	22	22	133	562	144	47	22	100%	6.0	25.6%	8.4%	17.2%	4.0%	4.45	4.57	+0.7
2036	32	MLB CTX	PHI	20	20	123	519	131	46	22	100%	6.2	25.1%	8.8%	16.3%	4.2%	4.66	4.80	+0.4
2037	33	MLB CTX	PHI	19	19	113	477	118	44	22	100%	5.9	24.6%	9.2%	15.4%	4.5%	4.90	5.06	+0.0
2038	34	MLB CTX	PHI	16	16	98	414	100	40	20	100%	6.1	24.1%	9.8%	14.3%	4.9%	5.17	5.35	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		261	261	1548	6537	1700	522	239	100%	5.9	26.0%	8.0%	18.0%	3.6%	4.25	3.92	+18.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	220	67	31	100%	5.9	26.0%	8.0%	18.0%	3.6%	4.25	3.92	+2.4
Career	—	MLE		26	26	97	413	115	36	19	100%	3.7	27.8%	8.7%	19.1%	4.7%	4.36	4.43	+16.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		54	54	200	852	237	74	40	100%	3.7	27.8%	8.7%	19.1%	4.7%	4.36	4.43	+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gage Wood (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.00	25.8%	8.0%	3.1%	—	3.84	26.4%	19.0%	480	-0.16	—	—	—
Jimmy Joyce R 2021 · 3.78 FIP	22	SP	3.78	25.0%	9.0%	3.0%	.341	4.03	20.4%	9.7%	242	+0.25	3.39	259	87
Ricky DeVito R 2021 · 4.04 FIP	22	SP	4.04	22.8%	8.8%	3.2%	.309	4.65	21.5%	2.4%	151	+0.61	4.04	215	85
Brendan Beck R 2023 · 3.19 FIP	24	SP	3.19	22.5%	6.7%	2.1%	.289	3.50	21.3%	14.6%	262	+0.31	3.15	293	83
Kumar Rocker R 2023 · 2.86 FIP	23	SP	2.86	29.1%	7.3%	2.4%	.317	3.93	22.0%	13.5%	250	+1.07	1.93	278	82
Cody Laweryson R 2021 · 4.06 FIP	23	SP	4.06	21.7%	8.4%	3.1%	.329	3.50	21.2%	12.6%	178	-0.56	2.48	298	79
Ryan Garcia R 2022 · 3.74 FIP	24	SP	3.74	23.2%	10.7%	2.3%	.239	5.55	19.5%	6.3%	278	+1.81	3.74	362	78
Carmen Mlodzinski R 2021 · 4.33 FIP	22	SP	4.33	23.1%	10.8%	3.3%	.311	3.87	20.6%	11.1%	236	-0.46	3.17	515	77
Cole Henry R 2021 · 2.96 FIP	22	SP	2.96	29.8%	7.8%	2.5%	.233	4.99	21.8%	7.7%	56	+2.03	2.96	186	77
Jimmy Kingsbury R 2021 · 3.76 FIP	22	SP	3.76	21.9%	9.8%	2.3%	.175	4.18	18.0%	7.5%	168	+0.42	3.51	330	76
Eric Cerantola R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	22	SP	4.86	23.8%	7.9%	5.1%	.392	4.01	24.3%	9.6%	198	-0.85	3.44	267	76
Angel Jimenez R 2023 · 3.31 FIP	20	SP	3.31	23.3%	5.1%	2.8%	.368	4.43	21.1%	10.0%	144	+1.12	3.24	223	76
Chad Patrick R 2022 · 3.86 FIP	23	SP	3.86	20.3%	9.9%	2.2%	.315	4.22	21.7%	13.8%	422	+0.36	3.71	565	76
Rayner Urbaez R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	20	SP	3.88	23.6%	11.4%	2.4%	.337	3.35	15.0%	3.0%	27	-0.53	2.55	103	75
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.43	20.4%	11.2%	217	-0.40	3.07	280	74
Tanner Burns R 2021 · 4.34 FIP	22	SP	4.34	22.2%	10.6%	3.2%	.292	5.32	19.2%	6.3%	244	+0.98	4.34	382	74
Cade Horton R 2023 · 3.22 FIP	21	SP	3.22	26.0%	8.8%	2.2%	.273	3.60	21.6%	13.8%	181	+0.38	3.22	270	74
David Sandlin R 2023 · 4.05 FIP	22	SP	4.05	24.8%	6.5%	4.0%	.360	4.39	21.4%	12.1%	253	+0.34	3.94	312	74
Chris Clark R 2023 · 3.29 FIP	21	SP	3.29	18.9%	6.9%	1.7%	.362	4.77	18.1%	7.5%	330	+1.48	3.29	349	74
River Ryan R 2022 · 3.69 FIP	23	SP	3.69	26.1%	12.2%	2.3%	.321	3.89	20.2%	9.1%	134	+0.20	2.11	220	74
Mike Vasil R 2022 · 3.63 FIP	22	SP	3.63	21.9%	10.5%	1.9%	.264	4.56	18.5%	9.7%	359	+0.93	3.63	429	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	9.1	140	26.0%	7.9%	1.30	4.10
Jon Gray ('24)	6.1	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Joe Musgrove ('24)	5.3	117	23.9%	6.0%	1.13	3.73
Kenta Maeda ('24)	4.9	122	25.9%	6.9%	1.30	4.17
Alex Wood ('24)	5.0	111	21.6%	7.0%	0.96	3.98
Trevor Bauer ('21)	5.6	159	26.8%	8.7%	1.13	3.68
Mike Clevinger ('23)	3.9	113	24.8%	8.7%	1.07	3.45