Gage Wood P Reading Fightin Phils
Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 205 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 0.6 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION55 act + 45 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110100vR 91
ERA3.96
FIP3.96
K%27.8%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%18.8%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
K: +3.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+3KBB: -0.3 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -4.0 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-4CONTACTSTAM: +13.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+14STAMTotal WAR: +1.30 (100 IP)+1.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.2+$1M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP50
STUF6055
CTRL5055
CMD4050
K†6565
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2027
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.7M+$0.0M
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.8M $0.7M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202521AClearwater Threshers1129520100%2.055.6%22.2%33.3%0.0%4.501.22
202521AClearwater Threshers1129520100%2.055.6%22.2%33.3%0.0%4.501.10
▸ 2026 Season
202622AAReading Fightin Phils16165522379218100%3.427.4%10.8%16.7%4.4%3.444.56-0.0
ROS22MLBPHI884519053176100%5.627.8%9.0%18.8%3.1%3.963.96+0.3
ROS22MLBPHI1114100100%1.027.8%9.0%18.8%3.1%3.993.99+0.0
2026 TOT22MLBPHI100413132381431.9%9.2%22.7%3.3%3.674.29+1.3
2026 FULL22MLBPHI1410027.8%9.0%18.8%3.1%3.993.61+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723MLBPHI151581341962910100%5.428.1%8.6%19.5%3.0%3.913.85+1.1
202824MLBPHI19191094591293814100%5.728.2%8.2%19.9%3.0%3.853.78+2.1
202925MLBPHI22221285411534416100%5.828.3%8.1%20.2%3.0%3.803.75+2.5
203026MLBPHI23231405921684818100%6.128.3%8.0%20.3%3.0%3.773.74+2.7
203127MLBPHI23231385831654718100%6.028.3%8.1%20.2%3.0%3.773.78+2.6
203228MLBPHI22221345651594718100%6.128.2%8.3%19.9%3.1%3.823.86+2.4
203329MLBPHI21211285401514618100%6.128.0%8.5%19.5%3.3%3.923.99+2.1
203430MLBPHI20201205081404518100%6.027.6%8.8%18.8%3.5%4.074.17+1.7
203531MLBPHI19191124731294318100%5.927.2%9.1%18.1%3.7%4.254.37+1.4
203632MLBPHI17171044381174217100%6.126.8%9.5%17.2%4.0%4.464.60+1.0
202723MLBPHI774016947145100%5.728.1%8.6%19.5%3.1%3.943.88+0.3
202824MLBPHI141476321902610100%5.428.2%8.2%19.9%3.0%3.883.81+1.0
202925MLBPHI18181044391243613100%5.828.3%8.1%20.2%3.0%3.833.78+2.0
203026MLBPHI20201235191474216100%6.228.3%8.0%20.3%3.0%3.803.77+2.3
203127MLBPHI21211255281494316100%6.028.3%8.1%20.2%3.1%3.803.81+2.3
203228MLBPHI20201235191464317100%6.228.2%8.3%19.9%3.2%3.853.89+2.2
203329MLBPHI20201195021404317100%6.028.0%8.5%19.5%3.3%3.954.02+1.9
203430MLBPHI19191134771324217100%5.927.6%8.8%18.8%3.5%4.104.20+1.6
203531MLBPHI18181064481224117100%5.927.2%9.1%18.1%3.8%4.294.41+1.2
203632MLBPHI1616994181124017100%6.226.8%9.5%17.2%4.0%4.504.64+0.9
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career174174102943471212370144100%5.927.9%8.5%19.4%3.3%3.993.64+21.2
/ 200 IP34342008442357228100%5.927.9%8.5%19.4%3.3%3.993.64+4.1
Career171757232662610100%3.428.5%11.2%17.3%4.2%3.474.43+0.1
/ 200 IP60602008142329134100%3.428.5%11.2%17.3%4.2%3.474.43+2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Gage Wood (OGILVIE) 3.96 27.8%9.0%3.1% 3.79 28.2%19.9%318 -0.17
Nolan Perry R 2026 · 3.24 FIP 22 SP 3.24 29.0%9.7%2.5%.295 3.24 136 80
Brendan Beck R 2028 · 3.18 FIP 24 SP 3.18 22.5%6.7%2.1%.289 3.78 20.9%13.1%225 +0.60 3.18 256 80
Jimmy Joyce R 2026 · 3.67 FIP 22 SP 3.67 25.0%9.0%2.8%.341 3.99 20.4%9.7%242 +0.32 3.44 259 78
Eric Cerantola R 2026 · 4.56 FIP 22 SP 4.56 23.8%7.9%4.5%.392 4.05 24.8%9.6%198 -0.51 3.53 281 78
Ryan Garcia R 2028 · 3.87 FIP 24 SP 3.87 23.2%10.7%2.5%.239 5.71 20.0%6.1%278 +1.84 3.87 325 78
River Ryan R 2027 · 3.58 FIP 23 SP 3.58 26.1%12.2%2.1%.321 3.86 20.4%9.1%134 +0.28 2.13 218 77
German Nunez R 2026 · 2.77 FIP 22 SP 2.77 24.8%6.8%1.7%.298 3.22 22.1%11.2%19 +0.45 2.27 151 77
Carmen Mlodzinski R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 22 SP 4.04 23.1%10.8%2.8%.311 3.85 20.9%11.1%236 -0.19 3.12 482 77
Kumar Rocker R 2027 · 2.94 FIP 23 SP 2.94 29.1%7.3%2.5%.317 3.94 21.6%13.6%202 +1.00 1.95 230 77
Gavin Stone R 2026 · 3.22 FIP 22 SP 3.22 27.3%7.8%2.6%.385 3.71 23.0%14.2%394 +0.49 2.39 485 77
Ricky DeVito R 2026 · 4.36 FIP 22 SP 4.36 22.8%8.8%3.8%.309 4.57 21.5%2.4%151 +0.21 4.05 215 77
Cody Laweryson R 2027 · 4.23 FIP 23 SP 4.23 21.7%8.4%3.5%.329 3.55 21.5%12.4%178 -0.68 2.49 298 77
Michael Grove R 2026 · 4.46 FIP 22 SP 4.46 24.3%9.5%4.0%.409 5.62 21.8%11.5%176 +1.16 3.54 377 77
Kyle Brnovich R 2027 · 3.69 FIP 23 SP 3.69 25.1%7.5%3.2%.256 5.06 20.7%11.0%89 +1.37 3.69 333 75
Dylan DeLucia R 2027 · 3.65 FIP 23 SP 3.65 21.6%7.4%2.6%.241 5.26 18.3%7.9%176 +1.61 3.65 211 75
Cole Henry R 2026 · 3.12 FIP 22 SP 3.12 29.8%7.8%2.8%.233 4.91 21.8%7.7%56 +1.79 3.12 180 75
Sam Benschoter R 2028 · 3.96 FIP 24 SP- 3.96 26.3%9.2%3.5%.344 5.03 18.9%8.4%306 +1.07 3.58 426 75
Brandon Young R 2026 · 4.07 FIP 22 SP 4.07 24.5%12.3%2.7%.297 3.46 22.4%14.1%150 -0.61 3.11 420 75
Tanner Burns R 2026 · 4.07 FIP 22 SP 4.07 22.2%10.6%2.8%.292 5.42 19.5%6.0%244 +1.35 4.07 378 75
Spencer Strider R 2026 · 3.64 FIP 22 SP 3.64 30.7%11.6%3.0%.298 2.16 37.4%29.6%318 -1.48 1.65 589 74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION1111327.9%8.5%1.253.95
Rich Hill ('23)910425.0%8.0%1.123.65
James Paxton ('24)810625.8%7.7%1.123.89
Jon Gray ('24)1012223.4%7.8%1.154.45
Kenta Maeda ('24)812225.9%6.9%1.304.17
Lance Lynn ('24)915423.9%8.1%1.203.86
Mike Clevinger ('23)711324.8%8.7%1.073.45