Connor McCullough
P
Birmingham Barons
Age 26
RHP
6'0" / 185 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION64 act + 20 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.59
FIP4.59
K%22.0%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 84 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 3.10 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 3.10 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 113 | 454 | 130 | 25 | 17 | 100% | 4.9 | 21.8% | 6.4% | 15.4% | 4.8% | 4.29 | 4.70 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 113 | 454 | 130 | 25 | 17 | 100% | 4.9 | 28.6% | 5.5% | 23.1% | 3.7% | 4.29 | 3.42 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 4 | 1 | 13 | 53 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 25% | 3.3 | 19.9% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 3.38 | 6.76 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 4 | 1 | 13 | 53 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 25% | 3.3 | 24.5% | 7.5% | 17.0% | 5.7% | 3.38 | 4.97 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 13 | 42 | 168 | 39 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 3.2 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 3.43 | 5.20 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 13 | 42 | 168 | 39 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 3.2 | 23.2% | 6.0% | 17.3% | 1.8% | 3.43 | 2.89 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 17 | 17 | 64 | 275 | 70 | 21 | 5 | 100% | 3.7 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 2.2% | 4.24 | 3.62 | +0.8 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CWS | 3 | 3 | 20 | 86 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 100% | 6.8 | 22.0% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 3.5% | 4.59 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.0% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 3.5% | 4.59 | 4.59 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 84 | 361 | 89 | 28 | 8 | — | — | 24.6% | 7.8% | 16.9% | 2.2% | 4.33 | 3.85 | +1.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.0% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 3.5% | 4.59 | 4.21 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.1% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 3.5% | 4.58 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 1 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 8.0 | 22.1% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 3.5% | 4.58 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.9 | 22.1% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 3.5% | 4.58 | 4.22 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 177 | 76 | 25 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.1% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 3.5% | 4.58 | 4.22 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 58 | 54 | 233 | 953 | 197 | 67 | 41 | 93% | 4.0 | 20.7% | 7.0% | 13.7% | 4.3% | 4.05 | 4.58 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 46 | 200 | 817 | 169 | 58 | 35 | 93% | 4.0 | 20.7% | 7.0% | 13.7% | 4.3% | 4.05 | 4.58 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Connor McCullough (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.59 | 22.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | — | 4.60 | 22.1% | 13.7% | 20 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Isaac Coffey R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.95 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 2.9% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 287 | 79 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 78 |
| Jake Lee R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.56 | 20.5% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .362 | 5.50 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 113 | +1.94 | 2.78 | 181 | 77 |
| Blake Wehunt R 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.98 | 26.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 209 | 76 |
| Henderson Alvarez R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.98 | 15.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .306 | 5.46 | 12.4% | 4.7% | 121 | +0.48 | 3.67 | 176 | 74 |
| Mason Adams R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.23 | 21.6% | 9.3% | 3.2% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 254 | 74 |
| Jake Walters R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.17 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.4% | .316 | 5.97 | 15.5% | -0.2% | 72 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 261 | 73 |
| Markus Solbach R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.61 | 16.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.76 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 111 | +1.15 | 3.25 | 391 | 72 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.15 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 247 | 72 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 71 |
| Griffin Canning R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.37 | 22.4% | 10.1% | 5.2% | .295 | 4.67 | 21.1% | 13.3% | 299 | -0.70 | 3.70 | 776 | 71 |
| Luke Weaver R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.32 | 23.3% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .346 | 4.34 | 20.7% | 13.8% | 225 | +0.02 | 2.26 | 1,022 | 71 |
| Jackson Nezuh R 2024 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.06 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 4.8% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 258 | 71 |
| Burch Smith R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 70 |
| Jackson Finley R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.85 | 20.7% | 9.3% | 2.4% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 132 | 69 |
| Levi Wells R 2024 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 19.9% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 192 | 69 |
| Austin Peterson R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.27 | 22.6% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 479 | 69 |
| Chase Whitley R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.52 | 18.1% | 7.4% | 1.8% | .275 | 3.52 | 18.5% | 12.0% | 123 | -0.00 | 3.11 | 159 | 68 |
| Chad Dallas R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.8% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 322 | 68 |
| Michael Peoples R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.76 | 17.8% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .313 | 3.99 | 17.8% | 12.8% | 145 | +0.23 | 3.76 | 577 | 68 |