Nate Snead
P
Rocket City Trash Pandas
Age 22
RHP
6'2" / 212 lbs
AA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION72 act + 28 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA4.63
FIP4.63
K%19.6%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%10.5%
ROS IP28
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 15 | 15 | 72 | 286 | 61 | 15 | 7 | 100% | 4.8 | 16.7% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 3.64 | 4.05 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | LAA | 6 | 6 | 28 | 119 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 4.7 | 19.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.63 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | LAA | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.63 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 100 | 405 | 84 | 26 | 11 | — | — | 20.8% | 6.4% | 14.4% | 2.6% | 3.92 | 4.22 | +1.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 19.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.63 | 4.25 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | LAA | 5 | 5 | 29 | 124 | 27 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | LAA | 3 | 3 | 15 | 63 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 15 | 65 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 5.1 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.04 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 38 | 38 | 200 | 844 | 183 | 78 | 26 | 100% | 5.3 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 15 | 15 | 72 | 286 | 48 | 17 | 8 | 100% | 4.8 | 16.7% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 3.64 | 4.05 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 42 | 200 | 798 | 134 | 47 | 24 | 100% | 4.8 | 16.7% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 3.64 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nate Snead (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.63 | 19.6% | 9.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.41 | 21.3% | 12.7% | 29 | -0.22 | — | — | — |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.06 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.4% | .268 | 5.93 | 17.4% | 2.1% | 47 | +1.87 | 4.06 | 101 | 88 |
| Curtis Taylor R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.10 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.42 | 23.5% | 13.7% | 96 | -0.68 | 2.58 | 408 | 88 |
| Chad Patrick R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.92 | 20.3% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .315 | 4.36 | 22.3% | 13.8% | 422 | +0.44 | 3.76 | 537 | 88 |
| Chih-Jung Liu R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 18.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .331 | 6.04 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 233 | +1.32 | 4.72 | 283 | 87 |
| Marcelo Perez R 2027 · 4.02 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.02 | 18.0% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 14.1% | 6.7% | 217 | +0.97 | 4.02 | 285 | 85 |
| Dylan DeLucia R 2027 · 3.65 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .241 | 5.26 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 176 | +1.61 | 3.65 | 211 | 85 |
| Glenn Sparkman R 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.90 | 20.0% | 11.6% | 1.8% | .296 | 3.61 | 15.9% | 10.9% | 207 | -0.29 | 3.48 | 363 | 85 |
| Chance Kirby R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.26 | 17.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | .298 | 5.86 | 14.2% | 6.7% | 166 | +1.60 | 4.26 | 325 | 84 |
| Ricky DeVito R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.36 | 22.8% | 8.8% | 3.8% | .309 | 4.57 | 21.5% | 2.4% | 151 | +0.21 | 4.05 | 215 | 84 |
| Drew Anderson R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.54 | 21.1% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .295 | 4.74 | 16.3% | 7.6% | 273 | +1.20 | 3.11 | 506 | 83 |
| Slade Cecconi R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.09 | 19.6% | 9.3% | 2.7% | .300 | 4.52 | 19.8% | 13.6% | 397 | +0.43 | 4.09 | 700 | 82 |
| Archie Bradley R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.36 | 16.0% | 10.4% | 2.4% | .315 | 3.18 | 24.6% | 16.2% | 327 | -1.18 | 2.25 | 570 | 82 |
| Gus Varland R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.13 | 19.6% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .294 | 5.81 | 18.1% | 5.7% | 105 | +1.68 | 2.54 | 304 | 82 |
| Kade McClure R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.55 | 17.3% | 9.2% | 1.4% | .336 | 4.20 | 17.6% | 10.2% | 227 | +0.65 | 3.55 | 388 | 82 |
| Bryce Jarvis R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.78 | 21.2% | 11.0% | 3.8% | .276 | 5.00 | 18.0% | 6.0% | 296 | +0.22 | 4.22 | 513 | 82 |
| Tanner Burns R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.07 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .292 | 5.42 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 244 | +1.35 | 4.07 | 378 | 81 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.67 | 25.0% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .341 | 3.99 | 20.4% | 9.7% | 242 | +0.32 | 3.44 | 259 | 81 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.23 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .329 | 3.55 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.68 | 2.49 | 298 | 81 |
| Blake Burkhalter R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.58 | 17.3% | 6.5% | 2.0% | .317 | 3.73 | 16.7% | 5.6% | 103 | +0.15 | 3.58 | 173 | 81 |
| Brandon White R 2027 · 5.11 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.11 | 16.7% | 10.3% | 3.8% | .264 | 4.10 | 17.7% | 10.4% | 245 | -1.01 | 3.90 | 264 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 29 | 20.5% | 8.9% | 1.16 | 4.56 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |