Marcel Rentería
P
Binghamton Rumble Ponies
Age 31
RHP
5'11" / 185 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.35
FIP4.35
K%23.0%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.6%
ROS IP16
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 23 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 15 | 15 | 77 | 324 | 72 | 23 | 6 | 100% | 5.1 | 16.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 4.23 | 4.16 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 15 | 15 | 77 | 324 | 72 | 23 | 6 | 100% | 5.1 | 22.2% | 7.1% | 15.1% | 1.9% | 4.23 | 3.14 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 63 | 282 | 65 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.7 | 17.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 4.55 | 4.02 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 63 | 282 | 65 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.7 | 23.0% | 8.2% | 14.9% | 2.1% | 4.55 | 3.37 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 26 | 122 | 38 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 25.9% | 15.5% | 10.5% | 2.1% | 6.58 | 4.05 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 26 | 122 | 38 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 31.1% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 1.6% | 6.58 | 3.14 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 3 | 3 | 8 | 51 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 2.8 | 20.6% | 17.3% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 15.12 | 6.82 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 3 | 3 | 8 | 51 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 2.8 | 25.5% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 15.12 | 5.98 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 19 | 0 | 28 | 117 | 23 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.9% | 12.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 3.54 | 3.97 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 19 | 0 | 28 | 117 | 23 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.7% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 0.9% | 3.54 | 3.31 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | NYM | 15 | 0 | 16 | 65 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | NYM | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 4.48 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | NYM | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 4.48 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 4.48 | 4.19 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 192 | 96 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 4.48 | 4.19 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 92 | 18 | 202 | 896 | 163 | 96 | 21 | 20% | 2.2 | 18.2% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 4.98 | 4.23 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 91 | 18 | 200 | 886 | 161 | 95 | 21 | 20% | 2.2 | 18.2% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 4.98 | 4.23 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Marcel Rentería (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 23.0% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.57 | 22.6% | 12.8% | 20 | +0.22 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 77 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 74 |
| Tim Dillard R 2027 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 74 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.18 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 2.2% | .276 | 3.35 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.83 | 3.35 | 129 | 73 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 73 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 72 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 72 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 71 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 70 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 21.1% | 9.7% | 3.1% | .355 | 4.62 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 51 | +0.39 | 4.23 | 221 | 70 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 70 |
| Angel Castro R 2027 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 70 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.26 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 147 | 70 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2025 · 3.20 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.20 | 20.6% | 10.8% | 0.9% | .333 | 3.74 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.54 | 3.20 | 244 | 70 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .246 | 3.76 | 28.8% | 20.4% | 145 | -0.32 | 1.74 | 468 | 70 |
| Logan Kensing R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 70 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.65 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 101 | 69 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 69 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 69 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 18.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | .333 | 3.66 | 27.2% | 18.8% | 45 | -0.62 | 3.66 | 348 | 69 |