Mason Erla — OGILVIE

Mason Erla P Salt Lake Bees

Age 28 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 19 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 114

ERA5.13

FIP5.13

K%15.3%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%6.1%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	2	7	26	11	0	0	67%	2.4	42.3%	0.0%	42.3%	0.0%	1.23	-0.47	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	3	2	7	26	11	0	0	67%	2.4	42.3%	0.0%	42.3%	0.0%	1.23	0.10	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	16	16	82	348	64	19	9	100%	5.1	14.9%	6.0%	8.9%	2.7%	4.28	4.11	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Rocket City Trash Pandas	16	16	82	348	64	19	9	100%	5.1	18.4%	5.5%	12.9%	2.6%	4.28	3.66	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	11	49	242	39	30	10	85%	3.8	13.2%	12.5%	0.7%	4.8%	8.94	6.22	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	11	49	242	39	30	10	85%	3.8	13.2%	12.5%	0.7%	4.8%	8.94	6.22	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	11	49	242	39	30	10	85%	3.8	16.1%	12.4%	3.7%	4.1%	8.94	5.98	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	34	4	53	219	46	13	2	12%	1.6	17.0%	6.5%	10.5%	1.1%	2.21	3.11	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	34	4	53	219	46	13	2	12%	1.6	17.0%	6.5%	10.5%	1.1%	2.21	3.11	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Rocket City Trash Pandas	34	4	53	219	46	13	2	12%	1.6	21.0%	5.9%	15.1%	0.9%	2.21	2.59	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	10	1	22	107	16	13	5	10%	2.2	12.4%	10.9%	1.5%	5.2%	7.48	6.29	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	10	1	22	107	16	13	5	10%	2.2	12.4%	10.9%	1.5%	5.2%	7.48	6.29	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	10	1	22	107	16	13	5	10%	2.2	15.0%	12.1%	2.8%	4.7%	7.48	6.42	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	3	0	4	15	1	0	0	0%	1.3	—	—	—	—	0.00	—	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	3	0	4	15	1	0	0	0%	1.3	—	—	—	—	0.00	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AAA RAW	LAA	3	0	4	15	1	0	0	0%	1.3	6.7%	0.0%	6.7%	0.0%	0.00	2.54	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	LAA	19	0	20	84	13	8	3	0%	1.1	15.9%	9.5%	6.4%	3.4%	5.13	5.18	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	LAA	7	0	7	30	5	3	1	0%	1.0	15.9%	9.5%	6.4%	3.4%	5.13	5.18	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	5	3	1	0%	1.1	15.9%	9.5%	6.4%	3.4%	5.13	4.80	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	136	82	27	0%	1.1	15.9%	9.5%	6.4%	3.4%	5.13	4.80	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		79	34	217	957	146	77	29	43%	2.8	15.3%	8.1%	7.2%	3.1%	4.97	4.51	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		73	31	200	881	135	71	27	43%	2.8	15.3%	8.1%	7.2%	3.1%	4.97	4.51	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mason Erla (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.13	15.3%	9.3%	3.2%	—	5.18	15.9%	6.4%	20	+0.05	—	—	—
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	80
Alfonso Sanchez R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SW	5.26	15.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.244	5.55	11.2%	2.3%	115	+0.29	4.51	224	77
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	76
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	76
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	75
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	75
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	74
Francisco Cordova R 2015 · 5.51 FIP	31	SW	5.51	6.4%	4.6%	4.3%	.261	4.59	7.1%	-0.6%	83	-0.92	4.59	115	74
Casey Sadler R 2018 · 3.95 FIP	28	SW	3.95	16.0%	7.8%	2.2%	.298	3.35	23.2%	16.5%	145	-0.60	2.21	385	74
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	73
Lindsey Caughel R 2018 · 5.12 FIP	27	SW	5.12	13.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.49	187	73
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	72
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	72
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	72
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	72
Reinier Roibal R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	27	SW	4.37	16.9%	7.1%	3.3%	.371	4.91	17.5%	5.7%	37	+0.54	3.11	133	71
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	70
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	70
Bradin Hagens R 2018 · 4.92 FIP	29	SP-	4.92	14.9%	9.9%	3.3%	.341	5.46	13.2%	0.6%	66	+0.54	3.79	254	69
Scarlyn Reyes R 2017 · 4.87 FIP	27	SW	4.87	13.7%	8.4%	3.4%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	317	69