Marcelo Perez
P
Arkansas Travelers
+0.0
WAR
Age 26
RHP
5'10" / 195 lbs
AA
peak 0.5 · 2027
ERA4.87
FIP4.87
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%17.3%
BB%8.0%
K-BB%9.3%
IP93
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2027
STUF2525
CTRL5555
CMD3030
K†3040
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 18 | 18 | 75 | 303 | 76 | 24 | 4 | 18.0% | 8.6% | 2.1% | 3.38 | 3.81 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 25 | 25 | 104 | 483 | 91 | 29 | 18 | 14.5% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 6.81 | 4.87 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 19 | 19 | 92 | 370 | 62 | 23 | 10 | 13.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.44 | 4.98 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 17 | 17 | 93 | 393 | 56 | 37 | 13 | 14.3% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 5.30 | 5.30 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 18 | 18 | 96 | 407 | 61 | 37 | 14 | 15.1% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 5.20 | 5.20 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 18 | 18 | 97 | 410 | 64 | 37 | 14 | 15.6% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 5.14 | 5.15 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 17 | 17 | 95 | 400 | 63 | 36 | 13 | 15.8% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 5.13 | 5.15 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 17 | 17 | 92 | 388 | 61 | 36 | 13 | 15.7% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 5.16 | 5.19 | +0.0 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 16 | 16 | 89 | 375 | 58 | 35 | 13 | 15.5% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 5.22 | 5.27 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 15 | 15 | 85 | 360 | 55 | 34 | 13 | 15.2% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 5.30 | 5.35 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 15 | 15 | 81 | 344 | 51 | 33 | 13 | 14.9% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 5.39 | 5.45 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 14 | 14 | 77 | 326 | 54 | 29 | 12 | 16.5% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 5.33 | 5.29 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | SEA | 13 | 13 | 73 | 308 | 50 | 29 | 12 | 16.2% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 5.38 | 5.41 | -0.3 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | SEA | 12 | 12 | 68 | 288 | 45 | 27 | 11 | 15.7% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 5.48 | 5.55 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 62 | 62 | 271 | 1156 | 174 | 85 | 39 | 15.0% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 4.72 | 4.63 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 46 | 200 | 854 | 129 | 63 | 29 | 15.0% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 4.72 | 4.63 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Marcelo Perez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.30 | 14.3% | 9.3% | 3.4% | — | 5.17 | 15.5% | 6.3% | 288 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Nestor Molina R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 3.6% | .304 | 3.61 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 289 | -1.20 | 3.03 | 401 | 90 |
| Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.66 | 12.6% | 7.3% | 3.1% | .314 | 4.44 | 18.5% | 8.4% | 312 | -0.22 | 3.99 | 748 | 90 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.98 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 157 | 90 |
| Mike Connolly R 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.12 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 328 | 90 |
| Josh Roeder R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.72 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 175 | 90 |
| Sam Highfill R 2024 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 15.0% | 8.6% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.80 | 106 | 89 |
| Casey Sadler R 2025 · 4.90 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.90 | 12.6% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .250 | 3.69 | 15.6% | 9.9% | 144 | -1.21 | 2.21 | 385 | 89 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2027 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 3.5% | .263 | 4.25 | 15.3% | 5.2% | 167 | -1.02 | 3.92 | 272 | 89 |
| Luke Irvine R 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.31 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 104 | 88 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.23 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .309 | 3.32 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.91 | 3.32 | 252 | 88 |
| Hector Velázquez R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.31 | 15.0% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .297 | 3.37 | 18.1% | 12.8% | 343 | -0.94 | 2.78 | 536 | 87 |
| Allen Webster R 2025 · 5.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.16 | 14.0% | 9.1% | 3.8% | .356 | 5.73 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 58 | +0.57 | 4.61 | 177 | 87 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.4% | 9.5% | 4.2% | .344 | 4.99 | 12.9% | 4.7% | 173 | -0.37 | 4.37 | 412 | 87 |
| Brooks Hall R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.34 | 14.2% | 6.7% | 2.9% | .284 | 3.45 | 13.6% | 6.2% | 55 | -0.89 | 3.45 | 274 | 87 |
| Shane Greene R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.54 | 13.0% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .309 | 3.56 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 191 | -0.98 | 2.84 | 484 | 87 |
| Frank Batista R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.27 | 12.1% | 8.2% | 2.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 118 | 86 |
| Forrest Snow R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.10 | 16.1% | 8.2% | 4.2% | .263 | 4.13 | 21.8% | 14.2% | 256 | -0.97 | 3.03 | 406 | 86 |
| Alex Sanabia R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.44 | 11.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .358 | 3.62 | 11.1% | 6.2% | 161 | -0.82 | 3.45 | 378 | 86 |
| Scott McGregor R 2028 · 4.41 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.41 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.4% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 107 | 86 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.74 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .285 | 5.94 | 14.5% | 4.2% | 81 | +1.20 | 4.42 | 239 | 85 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.