Marcelo Perez
P
Arkansas Travelers
Age 26
RHP
5'10" / 195 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION26 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141132vR 123
ERA5.45
FIP5.45
K%13.2%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%4.2%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 96 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 18 | 75 | 303 | 76 | 24 | 4 | 100% | 4.1 | 18.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 3.38 | 4.02 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 18 | 75 | 303 | 76 | 24 | 4 | 100% | 4.1 | 25.1% | 7.9% | 17.2% | 1.3% | 3.38 | 2.73 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 25 | 25 | 104 | 483 | 91 | 29 | 18 | 100% | 4.2 | 14.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 6.81 | 4.64 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 25 | 25 | 104 | 483 | 91 | 29 | 18 | 100% | 4.2 | 18.8% | 6.0% | 12.8% | 3.7% | 6.81 | 4.43 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 19 | 92 | 370 | 62 | 23 | 10 | 100% | 4.8 | 13.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.44 | 5.45 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 19 | 92 | 370 | 62 | 23 | 10 | 100% | 4.8 | 16.8% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 3.44 | 3.92 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 20 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.4% | 12.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.51 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SEA | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 39 | 26 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.2% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.45 | 5.45 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SEA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.2% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.45 | 5.45 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 96 | 406 | 67 | 37 | 13 | — | — | 16.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 4.93 | 5.27 | +0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 13.2% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.45 | 5.07 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 12 | 12 | 69 | 291 | 41 | 26 | 10 | 100% | 5.8 | 14.2% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.36 | 5.38 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 11 | 11 | 67 | 282 | 42 | 26 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 14.8% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.34 | 5.38 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 4 | 4 | 26 | 110 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 100% | 6.5 | 14.2% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.36 | 5.38 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 7 | 7 | 40 | 169 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 14.8% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.34 | 5.38 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 12 | 11 | 67 | 284 | 41 | 26 | 10 | 92% | 5.6 | 14.5% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.35 | 5.00 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 122 | 77 | 30 | 89% | 5.5 | 14.5% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.35 | 5.00 | +0.9 | ||
| Career | — | 82 | 62 | 296 | 1266 | 192 | 98 | 45 | 76% | 3.6 | 15.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 4.62 | 4.74 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 42 | 200 | 854 | 129 | 66 | 30 | 76% | 3.6 | 15.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 4.62 | 4.74 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Marcelo Perez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.45 | 13.2% | 8.9% | 3.6% | — | 5.38 | 14.5% | 5.3% | 136 | -0.07 | — | — | — |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 86 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 85 |
| Mike Connolly R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.26 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.24 | 328 | 84 |
| Alex Sanabia R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.47 | 11.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .358 | 3.56 | 11.1% | 6.2% | 161 | -0.91 | 3.51 | 378 | 84 |
| Jake Dunning R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.65 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.5% | .354 | 4.21 | 14.1% | 2.8% | 74 | -1.44 | 4.13 | 120 | 83 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .285 | 6.04 | 14.5% | 4.2% | 81 | +1.10 | 4.52 | 239 | 83 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 81 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2027 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.13 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .263 | 4.14 | 15.3% | 5.2% | 167 | -0.99 | 3.84 | 272 | 80 |
| Josh Roeder R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 79 |
| Colby Morris R 2025 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 79 |
| Colin Bates R 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.59 | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 111 | 78 |
| Matthew Shepherd R 2025 · 5.57 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.57 | 13.7% | 9.5% | 4.4% | .390 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.57 | 116 | 78 |
| Jake McCasland R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.54 | 12.8% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 367 | 78 |
| Ivan Zavala R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.50 | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | .312 | 4.84 | 12.2% | 4.3% | 50 | +0.34 | 4.31 | 209 | 77 |
| Paul Clemens R 2027 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 77 |
| Joel De La Cruz R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.28 | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.2% | .276 | 4.47 | 14.4% | 5.8% | 120 | +0.19 | 4.28 | 205 | 77 |
| Michael Ross R 2024 · 5.83 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.83 | 12.5% | 8.9% | 4.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.05 | 146 | 77 |
| Terance Marin R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.01 | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.4% | .294 | 4.18 | 12.4% | 7.5% | 88 | -0.83 | 3.39 | 322 | 77 |
| Mike McCarthy R 2027 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.79 | 9.4% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .280 | 4.77 | 6.2% | -3.5% | 37 | -0.02 | 4.77 | 153 | 77 |
| Nick Pasquale R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.73 | 16.8% | 12.7% | 2.6% | .306 | 3.97 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 50 | -0.76 | 3.16 | 308 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 14.0% | 9.1% | 1.38 | 5.38 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |