Zach Root P Great Lakes Loons
Age 22 LHP 6'2" / 210 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.6 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 51 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 94103vR 112
ERA4.07
FIP4.07
K%25.7%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%16.6%
ROS IP51
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
K: +8.8 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+9KBB: -1.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: +1.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+2CONTACTSTAM: +13.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+14STAMTotal WAR: +2.41 (100 IP)+2.4WAR
0.00.51.00.00.2+$2M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP—50
STUF—55
CTRL—55
K†6060
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ 2026 Season
202622A+Great Lakes Loons13134920269191100%3.826.3%10.8%15.5%0.6%2.372.59+1.1
ROS22MLBLAD995121455196100%5.625.7%9.1%16.6%2.9%4.074.07+0.3
ROS22MLBLAD——0——————25.7%9.1%16.6%2.9%4.034.03—
2026 TOT22MLBLAD——100416124387——29.8%9.2%20.6%1.7%3.233.34+2.4
2026 FULL22MLBLAD——01000——25.7%9.1%16.6%2.9%4.033.65+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723MLBLAD161687366963211100%5.426.2%8.7%17.5%2.9%4.013.95+1.2
202824MLBLAD20201154851284014100%5.726.4%8.3%18.1%2.9%3.943.88+2.0
202925MLBLAD23231345671514616100%5.826.6%8.2%18.4%2.9%3.893.84+2.4
203026MLBLAD24241466171655018100%6.126.7%8.1%18.6%2.9%3.863.83+2.7
203127MLBLAD24241446081625018100%6.026.7%8.2%18.5%2.9%3.873.87+2.6
203228MLBLAD23231405901574918100%6.126.6%8.4%18.2%3.0%3.923.95+2.4
203329MLBLAD22221335631484818100%6.126.3%8.6%17.7%3.2%4.024.08+2.1
203430MLBLAD21211255291384718100%6.026.0%8.9%17.1%3.4%4.164.26+1.7
203531MLBLAD19191174941264618100%6.225.6%9.2%16.3%3.6%4.344.46+1.3
203632MLBLAD18181084561154418100%6.025.1%9.6%15.5%3.8%4.554.69+0.9
202723MLBLAD884318248165100%5.426.2%8.7%17.5%2.8%3.973.91+0.3
202824MLBLAD14148033889289100%5.726.4%8.3%18.1%2.8%3.903.84+1.1
202925MLBLAD19191094601223813100%5.726.6%8.2%18.4%2.8%3.853.80+2.0
203026MLBLAD21211285401444415100%6.126.7%8.1%18.6%2.8%3.823.79+2.4
203127MLBLAD22221305491464516100%5.926.7%8.2%18.5%2.8%3.833.83+2.4
203228MLBLAD22221295451454616100%5.926.6%8.4%18.2%2.9%3.873.90+2.3
203329MLBLAD21211245241384516100%5.926.3%8.6%17.7%3.1%3.974.03+2.0
203430MLBLAD20201174941284416100%5.826.0%8.9%17.1%3.3%4.114.21+1.6
203531MLBLAD18181114691204316100%6.225.6%9.2%16.3%3.5%4.294.41+1.3
203632MLBLAD17171034351094216100%6.125.1%9.6%15.5%3.7%4.494.63+0.9
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career—181181107445351190390139100%5.926.2%8.6%17.6%3.1%4.003.66+21.9
/ 200 IP—34342008442227326100%5.926.2%8.6%17.6%3.1%4.003.66+4.1
Career—13134920253221100%3.826.3%10.8%15.5%0.6%2.372.59+1.1
/ 200 IP—5353200819215895100%3.826.3%10.8%15.5%0.6%2.372.59+6.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Zach Root (OGILVIE) —— 4.07 25.7%9.1%2.9%— 3.88 26.4%18.1%336 -0.19 ———
Jake Bennett L 2026 · 3.54 FIP 22 SP 3.54 21.2%7.2%2.4%.339 3.10 19.0%12.8%156 -0.44 2.79 219 83
Jordan Wicks L 2026 · 3.89 FIP 22 SP 3.89 23.5%7.9%3.2%.329 4.07 21.1%12.8%278 +0.18 2.93 431 83
T.J. Sikkema L 2028 · 4.71 FIP 24 SP 4.71 21.9%9.0%4.2%.298 4.64 16.9%7.4%231 -0.07 3.39 300 82
Kash Mayfield L 2025 · 4.36 FIP 21 SP 4.36 23.3%11.4%3.3%.273 — ——— — 3.23 109 82
Adam Seminaris L 2026 · 3.90 FIP 22 SP 3.90 22.7%8.3%3.0%.357 3.75 18.2%9.3%230 -0.15 3.11 524 81
Anthony Veneziano L 2027 · 4.24 FIP 23 SP 4.24 24.9%10.8%3.4%.298 5.19 18.7%8.0%358 +0.95 4.24 501 81
Taylor Varnell L 2027 · 2.89 FIP 23 SP 2.89 22.5%6.8%1.5%.252 4.07 19.5%9.5%202 +1.18 2.89 248 80
Carson Dorsey L 2026 · 2.99 FIP 22 SP 2.99 24.5%11.5%0.9%.313 5.47 18.3%5.8%65 +2.48 2.99 107 80
Hunter Barco L 2027 · 3.51 FIP 23 SP 3.51 23.4%10.0%2.0%.275 3.79 22.7%10.5%150 +0.28 3.51 212 80
Reid Detmers L 2026 · 3.95 FIP 22 SP 3.95 29.9%9.1%4.0%.335 4.27 25.4%16.6%443 +0.32 2.84 690 79
Evan Lee L 2028 · 4.00 FIP 24 SP 4.00 24.2%11.1%2.8%.333 4.48 21.0%2.7%52 +0.48 3.84 129 79
Brent Killam L 2027 · 4.35 FIP 23 SP 4.35 29.1%14.5%3.4%.284 7.12 18.4%9.6%80 +2.77 4.35 121 78
Carson Whisenhunt L 2026 · 3.18 FIP 22 SP 3.18 27.4%11.1%1.8%.270 4.32 21.0%10.7%313 +1.14 3.18 372 78
Sam Weatherly L 2026 · 3.86 FIP 22 SP 3.86 24.0%12.8%2.1%.323 4.14 21.9%8.9%41 +0.28 3.86 189 77
Drew Parrish L 2027 · 3.53 FIP 23 SP- 3.53 24.1%7.9%2.7%.261 6.22 16.8%6.5%354 +2.69 3.53 522 77
Hogan Harris L 2026 · 3.73 FIP 22 SP 3.73 20.5%10.6%1.9%.235 3.64 27.4%12.7%74 -0.09 3.14 473 76
Connelly Early L 2026 · 3.30 FIP 22 SP 3.30 24.1%9.8%1.8%.292 3.29 26.2%17.0%211 -0.01 2.52 315 76
Mason Molina L 2026 · 4.28 FIP 22 SP 4.28 22.7%12.6%2.7%.276 3.56 23.3%13.3%69 -0.72 3.56 165 76
Nick Zwack L 2027 · 3.10 FIP 23 SP 3.10 23.9%9.3%1.5%.299 5.99 18.2%8.4%143 +2.89 3.10 271 76
Noah Schultz L 2026 · 4.49 FIP 22 SP 4.49 24.1%11.7%3.5%.221 — ——— — 2.61 264 74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION1111826.2%8.6%1.214.04
Rich Hill ('23)910425.0%8.0%1.123.65
Jon Gray ('24)1012223.4%7.8%1.154.45
James Paxton ('24)810625.8%7.7%1.123.89
Lance Lynn ('24)915423.9%8.1%1.203.86
Kenta Maeda ('24)812225.9%6.9%1.304.17
Mike Clevinger ('23)711324.8%8.7%1.073.45