Evan Lee — OGILVIE

Evan Lee P Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 29 LHP 6'1" / 205 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112120vR 128

ERA5.00

FIP5.00

K%21.8%

BB%13.8%

K-BB%8.1%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

CH+1.2

FB-3.9

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	21	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	2	0	2	10	1	4	0	0%	0.8	10.0%	40.0%	-30.0%	0.0%	5.40	7.32	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	GCL Nationals	2	0	2	10	1	4	0	0%	0.8	10.0%	40.0%	-30.0%	0.0%	5.40	9.10	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	21	20	77	331	104	32	6	95%	3.7	24.2%	11.1%	13.1%	2.5%	4.32	3.84	—
2021	24	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	21	20	77	331	104	32	6	95%	3.7	31.4%	9.7%	21.8%	1.8%	4.32	2.66	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	16	13	48	209	54	29	3	81%	3.0	23.8%	13.1%	10.7%	1.9%	3.59	3.82	+0.6
2022	25	MIX RAW	4 levels	16	13	48	209	54	29	3	81%	3.0	25.8%	13.9%	12.0%	1.4%	3.59	3.48	+0.8
2023	26	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	22	0	22	113	24	26	1	0%	1.0	17.2%	25.3%	-8.1%	1.0%	6.45	5.38	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	22	0	22	113	24	26	1	0%	1.0	17.2%	25.3%	-8.1%	1.0%	6.45	5.38	—
2023	26	AA RAW	Harrisburg Senators	22	0	22	113	24	26	1	0%	1.0	21.2%	23.0%	-1.8%	0.9%	6.45	5.03	—
2024	27	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	3	0	1	16	1	7	0	0%	0.4	6.2%	43.8%	-37.5%	0.0%	60.75	8.11	—
2024	27	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	3	0	1	16	1	7	0	0%	0.4	6.2%	43.8%	-37.5%	0.0%	60.75	8.11	—
2024	27	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	3	0	1	16	1	7	0	0%	0.4	6.2%	43.8%	-37.5%	0.0%	60.75	17.35	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			4	1	9	43	7	7	1	25%	2.2	16.3%	16.3%	0.0%	2.3%	4.15	5.41	-0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	WSH	1	1	1	4	1	1	0	100%	1.0	21.8%	13.8%	8.1%	3.0%	5.00	5.00	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	WSH	3	3	20	84	18	11	3	100%	6.7	21.6%	13.6%	8.0%	3.2%	5.04	5.11	-0.0
2027	30	MLB CTX	WSH	1	1	6	25	5	3	1	100%	6.0	21.6%	13.6%	8.0%	3.2%	5.04	5.11	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		5	2	15	69	13	10	2	40%	2.9	18.3%	15.3%	3.0%	2.6%	4.52	4.94	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		68	27	200	932	177	136	27	40%	2.9	18.3%	15.3%	3.0%	2.6%	4.52	4.94	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		64	33	150	679	151	104	13	52%	2.3	22.3%	15.3%	7.0%	2.0%	4.92	4.24	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	44	200	905	202	138	18	52%	2.3	22.3%	15.3%	7.0%	2.0%	4.92	4.24	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Evan Lee (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.00	21.8%	13.8%	3.0%	—	5.11	21.6%	8.0%	20	+0.11	—	—	—
Tyler Alexander L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	29	SW	5.27	15.7%	10.7%	3.9%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	5.27	128	65
Matt Whitehouse L 2019 · 4.07 FIP	28	SW	4.07	20.1%	10.9%	2.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	353	62
Kelvin Marte L 2017 · 4.74 FIP	29	SW	4.74	16.1%	11.4%	2.8%	.300	5.25	12.0%	1.2%	71	+0.51	3.44	360	61
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.43	16.3%	8.9%	346	-0.44	3.70	569	59
Phil Pfeifer L 2021 · 5.65 FIP	29	SW	5.65	19.5%	14.8%	4.2%	.394	—	—	—	—	—	3.61	307	58
Brian Flynn L 2019 · 4.49 FIP	29	SW	4.49	17.7%	10.1%	2.9%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	277	58
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	58
Aaron Laffey L 2015 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	13.5%	9.7%	1.7%	.318	4.39	12.5%	5.2%	192	+0.27	3.51	282	57
Justin Marks L 2017 · 3.83 FIP	29	SW	3.83	18.7%	11.0%	1.7%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	324	55
Ross Detwiler L 2015 · 5.50 FIP	29	SW	5.50	14.2%	12.2%	3.8%	.356	4.80	14.1%	5.9%	242	-0.70	3.49	512	54
Miguel Pena L 2019 · 5.08 FIP	28	SW	5.08	16.0%	7.0%	4.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	2.98	282	53
Enrique Lechuga L 2015 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	10.0%	10.5%	2.0%	.354	3.78	10.5%	4.4%	59	-0.92	3.78	137	53
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	53
Travis Blackley L 2015 · 4.91 FIP	32	SP-	4.91	15.4%	6.4%	4.2%	.324	4.45	10.5%	0.0%	137	-0.46	3.85	225	52
Onelki Garcia L 2017 · 4.02 FIP	27	SP-	4.02	16.5%	9.3%	2.1%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	164	52
Roy Merritt L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	30	SP-	3.93	13.3%	5.9%	2.2%	.293	3.95	16.2%	10.4%	116	+0.02	3.93	129	52
Colten Schmidt L 2023 · 5.23 FIP	27	SW	5.23	14.4%	8.0%	4.2%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	163	52
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	51
Marco Tovar L 2017 · 5.04 FIP	28	SP-	5.04	16.1%	11.3%	3.4%	.317	4.78	12.6%	7.0%	82	-0.26	3.78	327	51
Keith Hessler L 2018 · 4.96 FIP	29	SU	4.96	19.8%	13.3%	3.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	228	51