Evan Lee
P
Wilmington Blue Rocks
Age 29
LHP
6'1" / 205 lbs
A+
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 13 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101110vR 120
ERA4.43
FIP4.43
K%23.1%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%13.0%
ROS IP13
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
CH+1.2
FB-3.9
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | GCL Nationals | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 10.0% | 40.0% | -30.0% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 7.32 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | GCL Nationals | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 10.0% | 40.0% | -30.0% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 9.10 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 21 | 20 | 77 | 331 | 104 | 32 | 6 | 95% | 3.7 | 24.2% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 2.8% | 4.32 | 4.00 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 21 | 20 | 77 | 331 | 104 | 32 | 6 | 95% | 3.7 | 31.4% | 9.7% | 21.8% | 1.8% | 4.32 | 2.66 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 16 | 13 | 48 | 209 | 54 | 29 | 3 | 81% | 3.0 | 23.8% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 2.0% | 3.59 | 3.84 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 16 | 13 | 48 | 209 | 54 | 29 | 3 | 81% | 3.0 | 25.8% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 1.4% | 3.59 | 3.48 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 22 | 0 | 22 | 113 | 24 | 26 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.2% | 25.3% | -8.1% | 0.9% | 6.45 | 5.33 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 22 | 0 | 22 | 113 | 24 | 26 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 23.0% | -1.8% | 0.9% | 6.45 | 5.03 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 0.4 | 6.2% | 43.8% | -37.5% | 0.0% | 60.75 | 8.11 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 0.4 | 6.2% | 43.8% | -37.5% | 0.0% | 60.75 | 17.35 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 2 | 2 | 13 | 55 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 6.5 | 23.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.8% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 3.2% | 4.53 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.8% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 3.2% | 4.53 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5 | 2 | 15 | 69 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 40% | 2.9 | 18.7% | 14.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 4.31 | 4.75 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 27 | 200 | 932 | 177 | 136 | 27 | 40% | 2.9 | 18.7% | 14.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 4.31 | 4.75 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 64 | 33 | 150 | 679 | 151 | 104 | 14 | 52% | 2.3 | 22.3% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 4.92 | 4.32 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 85 | 44 | 200 | 905 | 202 | 138 | 19 | 52% | 2.3 | 22.3% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 4.92 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Evan Lee (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 23.1% | 10.1% | 2.9% | — | 4.60 | 22.7% | 12.4% | 20 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Hector Hernandez L 2025 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 66 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.37 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 4.1% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 128 | 62 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 62 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 277 | 61 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 60 |
| Andy Otero L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.08 | 24.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.38 | 14.5% | 5.6% | 68 | +0.30 | 2.85 | 200 | 58 |
| Kelvin Marte L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.87 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 3.1% | .300 | 5.18 | 12.0% | 1.2% | 71 | +0.31 | 3.50 | 360 | 58 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 58 |
| David Huff L 2027 · 3.63 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.63 | 17.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.00 | 19.5% | 14.6% | 52 | +0.37 | 3.63 | 158 | 56 |
| Alex Wood L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.91 | 23.1% | 7.7% | 3.3% | .349 | 3.58 | 22.8% | 15.9% | 367 | -0.33 | 3.05 | 1,009 | 56 |
| Travis Blackley L 2029 · 4.97 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.97 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .324 | 4.50 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 137 | -0.47 | 3.84 | 225 | 56 |
| Roy Merritt L 2027 · 4.01 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.01 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .293 | 3.88 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | -0.13 | 3.88 | 129 | 55 |
| Edgar Olmos L 2024 · 3.56 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.56 | 18.9% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 203 | 55 |
| Justin Marks L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.84 | 18.7% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 324 | 54 |
| Aaron Laffey L 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.04 | 13.5% | 9.7% | 1.6% | .318 | 4.37 | 12.5% | 5.2% | 192 | +0.33 | 3.53 | 282 | 54 |
| Drew Pomeranz L 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.2% | 3.8% | .305 | 3.89 | 31.2% | 21.1% | 148 | -1.49 | 2.29 | 773 | 54 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.44 | 18.8% | 7.4% | 3.6% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 393 | 53 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2025 · 4.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.47 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 188 | 53 |
| Chris O'Grady L 2024 · 4.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.44 | 21.4% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 232 | 53 |
| Colten Schmidt L 2024 · 5.14 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.14 | 14.4% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 163 | 53 |