Ken Waldichuk
P
Washington Nationals
+0.0
WAR
INJURED · Injured 60-Day (D60)
Age 28
LHP
6'4" / 220 lbs
MLB
ERA5.35
FIP5.35
xFIP5.45
SIERA4.90
K%22.2%
BB%13.2%
K-BB%8.9%
IP140
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL2525
CMD4040
K†5050
FB Velo
p3393.3
Whiff%
p4925.1%
K%
p4020.7%
xwOBA vs
p330.332
CU (41%)
CH (1%)
CT (18%)
SL-1.0 (6%)
FB-1.1 (33%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 23 | 21 | 110 | 453 | 163 | 51 | 13 | 28.7% | 12.5% | 3.2% | 3.03 | 4.04 | +1.6 |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 28 | 28 | 130 | 543 | 170 | 46 | 15 | 27.7% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 3.40 | 3.49 | +2.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 35 | 22 | 141 | 639 | 132 | 70 | 24 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 3.8% | 5.36 | 4.83 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 17 | 16 | 54 | 264 | 68 | 42 | 13 | 22.3% | 17.4% | 4.9% | 8.17 | 6.11 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 5 | 0 | 9 | 41 | 8 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | 6.75 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | WSH | 30 | — | 30 | 125 | 27 | 18 | 5 | 21.7% | 14.3% | 3.7% | 5.53 | 5.51 | -0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 39 | 166 | 35 | 24 | 9 | 21.1% | 14.4% | 5.2% | 5.82 | 4.19 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 21 | 21 | 118 | 498 | 104 | 72 | 21 | 20.8% | 14.4% | 4.2% | 5.85 | 5.87 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 19 | 19 | 106 | 449 | 91 | 65 | 19 | 20.3% | 14.5% | 4.3% | 5.92 | 5.97 | -0.8 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | WSH | 17 | 17 | 96 | 403 | 79 | 59 | 18 | 19.7% | 14.7% | 4.4% | 6.01 | 6.07 | -0.9 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 16 | 16 | 85 | 360 | 69 | 53 | 16 | 19.1% | 14.8% | 4.4% | 6.12 | 6.19 | -1.0 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | WSH | 14 | 14 | 76 | 320 | 65 | 45 | 15 | 20.4% | 14.2% | 4.5% | 6.07 | 6.04 | -0.8 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 12 | 12 | 67 | 283 | 56 | 41 | 13 | 19.7% | 14.4% | 4.6% | 6.14 | 6.18 | -0.9 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | WSH | 59 | — | 59 | 248 | 47 | 36 | 12 | 18.9% | 14.6% | 4.7% | 6.26 | 6.33 | -0.9 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | WSH | 51 | — | 51 | 215 | 39 | 32 | 10 | 18.2% | 14.9% | 4.9% | 6.40 | 6.50 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 108 | 87 | 444 | 1940 | 479 | 227 | 72 | 24.7% | 11.7% | 3.7% | 4.58 | 4.53 | +3.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 39 | 200 | 874 | 216 | 102 | 32 | 24.7% | 11.7% | 3.7% | 4.58 | 4.53 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ken Waldichuk (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.51 | 21.7% | 14.3% | 3.7% | — | 5.96 | 20.3% | 5.7% | 320 | +0.45 | — | — | — |
| Mike Minor L 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.65 | 19.2% | 11.8% | 4.9% | .330 | 3.73 | 23.2% | 16.4% | 443 | -1.92 | 2.38 | 807 | 77 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.16 | 15.5% | 11.8% | 3.4% | .324 | 5.04 | 19.8% | 6.5% | 53 | -0.12 | 3.29 | 228 | 77 |
| Josh Osich L 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.26 | 21.4% | 12.9% | 4.2% | .328 | 4.44 | 21.1% | 14.1% | 143 | -0.82 | 3.41 | 315 | 76 |
| Braulio Lara L 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.80 | 19.8% | 17.8% | 3.9% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 118 | 75 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2027 · 5.45 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.45 | 14.2% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .356 | 4.80 | 14.1% | 5.9% | 242 | -0.65 | 3.45 | 512 | 73 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 5.95 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.95 | 20.9% | 11.5% | 5.8% | .250 | 4.30 | 25.4% | 16.0% | 62 | -1.65 | 2.50 | 190 | 73 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.57 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 72 |
| Andrew Mitchell L 2025 · 6.05 FIP | 27 | SU | 6.05 | 18.2% | 17.0% | 4.3% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 119 | 72 |
| Bryan Harper L 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.65 | 14.9% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 133 | 72 |
| Will Lamb L 2024 · 5.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.75 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 4.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 178 | 71 |
| Brian Holmes L 2024 · 5.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.91 | 15.5% | 11.7% | 4.8% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 205 | 71 |
| Jake Rice L 2026 · 6.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 6.14 | 16.9% | 18.2% | 3.9% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 199 | 70 |
| Trey Jeans L 2024 · 5.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.11 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 70 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.04 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 118 | 70 |
| Juan Grullon L 2024 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.67 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 134 | 70 |
| Kit Scheetz L 2025 · 5.10 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.10 | 16.2% | 13.6% | 3.0% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.34 | 195 | 70 |
| Dale Stanavich L 2024 · 5.63 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.63 | 21.8% | 18.2% | 3.8% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 144 | 69 |
| Marco Tovar L 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.03 | 16.1% | 11.3% | 3.4% | .317 | 4.78 | 12.6% | 7.0% | 82 | -0.25 | 3.78 | 327 | 69 |
| Brandon Williamson L 2026 · 6.00 FIP | 28 | SU | 6.00 | 14.9% | 13.4% | 4.5% | .200 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 402 | 68 |
| Mason Melotakis L 2025 · 5.75 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.75 | 12.0% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .343 | 7.90 | 14.7% | 2.5% | 29 | +2.15 | 3.29 | 142 | 68 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.