Caleb Smith

P Indianapolis Indians
Age 36 LHP 6'0" / 207 lbs AAA
Overview
AAARPLAST SEASON 2023
YearAgeLvl / TeamGGSIPERAFIPK%BB%WARMLE rates
202130MLBARI45131144.834.7924.8%12.0%-0.3
202231MIX3 levels492833.705.0721.8%11.5%-0.5K 21.5% · BB 12.6% · FIP 5.57
202332AAAPIT109456.404.9719.1%11.6%—K 16.4% · BB 10.4% · FIP 4.97
202433No MLB games played
202534No MLB games played
202635No MLB games played
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.8
Contract
No contract data on file.
Skills · percentileStatcast 2022
xwOBA vs54
K%45
FB Velo14
ERA—
FIP—
K%—
BB%—
K-BB%—
Proj IP—
Statcast · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1491.9
Whiff%
p7228.8%
K%
p4521.5%
xwOBA vs
p540.308

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
201524MIX MLE2 levels26251355769656896%5.213.5%10.1%3.3%1.3%3.473.97—
201524MIX RAW2 levels26251355769656896%5.216.7%9.7%6.9%1.4%3.473.69—
201625AA MLETrenton Thunder277642797020426%2.420.3%7.9%12.4%1.7%3.963.31—
201625AA RAWTrenton Thunder277642797020426%2.425.1%7.2%17.9%1.4%3.962.66—
201726MIX MLE3 levels2819119491120391268%4.321.5%8.0%13.5%2.1%3.243.43+2.9
201726MIX RAW3 levels2819119491120391268%4.324.4%7.9%16.5%2.4%3.243.38+2.9
201827MLB MLEMiami Marlins161677326883110100%4.827.0%9.5%17.5%3.2%4.193.80+1.5
201827MLB RAWMiami Marlins161677326883110100%4.827.0%9.5%17.5%3.1%4.193.71+1.6
201928MIX MLE2 levels30301636841876037100%5.426.0%9.0%17.0%5.4%4.594.99+0.8
201928MIX RAW2 levels30301636841876037100%5.427.3%8.8%18.6%5.4%4.594.86+1.0
202029MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks5414601512380%2.825.0%20.0%5.0%5.3%2.576.43-0.2
202029MLB RAWArizona Diamondbacks5414601512380%2.825.0%20.0%5.0%5.0%2.576.31-0.1
202130MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks4513114500124602029%2.524.8%12.0%12.8%4.2%4.834.85-0.4
202130MLB RAWArizona Diamondbacks4513114500124602029%2.524.8%12.0%12.8%4.0%4.834.79-0.3
202231MIX MLE3 levels492833497640154%1.721.5%12.6%8.9%4.9%3.705.57-1.0
202231MIX RAW3 levels492833497640154%1.721.8%11.5%10.3%4.3%3.705.07-0.5
202332AAA MLEIndianapolis Indians109451993823790%4.516.4%10.4%6.0%3.5%6.404.97—
202332AAA RAWIndianapolis Indians109451993823790%4.519.1%11.6%7.5%3.5%6.404.97—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career—1476444719204782088444%3.024.9%10.8%14.1%4.4%4.554.80-1.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— RAW1476444719204782088444%3.024.9%10.8%14.1%4.4%4.554.77-1.2
/ 200 IP— RAW6629200859214933844%3.024.9%10.8%14.1%4.4%4.554.77-0.5
Career— MLE236125813346475334911853%3.421.7%10.1%11.7%3.4%4.134.41+3.1
/ 200 IP— MLE5831200852185862953%3.421.7%10.1%11.7%3.4%4.134.41+1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 45 IPFIP 4.88 → 4.97 (+0.09)K% 19.1% → 16.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF19.10%—×0.86016.42%
BB% (unintentional) /BF11.56%—×0.90010.40%
HR / BF /BF3.52%÷1.095×1.1003.53%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 119).

Result: FIP 4.88 → 4.97, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAReno Aces · 10 IPFIP 3.10 → 3.57 (+0.47)K% 22.9% → 20.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF22.86%—×0.88020.11%
BB% (unintentional) /BF2.86%—×1.0503.00%
HR / BF /BF2.86%÷0.965×1.1003.26%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 93).

Result: FIP 3.10 → 3.57, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 9 IPFIP 5.32 → 7.96 (+2.64)K% 50.0% → 40.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF50.00%—×0.81040.50%
BB% (unintentional) /BF5.26%—×1.1005.79%
HR / BF /BF10.53%÷0.918×1.20013.75%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 84).

Result: FIP 5.32 → 7.96, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 98 IPFIP 2.90 → 3.08 (+0.18)K% 24.6% → 21.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF24.62%—×0.88021.66%
BB% (unintentional) /BF7.11%—×1.0507.46%
HR / BF /BF1.78%÷1.247×1.1001.57%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 149).

Result: FIP 2.90 → 3.08, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AATrenton Thunder · 64 IPFIP 2.68 → 3.31 (+0.64)K% 25.1% → 20.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF25.09%—×0.81020.32%
BB% (unintentional) /BF7.17%—×1.1007.89%
HR / BF /BF1.43%÷1.015×1.2001.69%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 103).

Result: FIP 2.68 → 3.31, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AATrenton Thunder · 131 IPFIP 3.56 → 3.97 (+0.41)K% 16.6% → 13.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF16.64%—×0.81013.48%
BB% (unintentional) /BF9.22%—×1.10010.14%
HR / BF /BF1.27%÷1.153×1.2001.32%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 131).

Result: FIP 3.56 → 3.97, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 4 IPFIP 6.77 → 7.69 (+0.92)K% 17.4% → 15.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF17.39%—×0.88015.30%
BB% (unintentional) /BF21.74%—×1.05022.83%
HR / BF /BF4.35%÷0.878×1.1005.45%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 76).

Result: FIP 6.77 → 7.69, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).