A.J. Block
P
Tri-City Dust Devils
Age 28
LHP
6'5" / 229 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104113vR 122
ERA4.54
FIP4.54
K%22.7%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%11.8%
ROS IP35
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 18 | 101 | 416 | 124 | 36 | 8 | 78% | 4.4 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 2.3% | 3.30 | 3.68 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 18 | 101 | 416 | 124 | 36 | 8 | 78% | 4.4 | 29.8% | 8.7% | 21.2% | 1.9% | 3.30 | 2.74 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 1 | 54 | 247 | 61 | 25 | 9 | 3% | 1.6 | 20.1% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.30 | 5.86 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 1 | 54 | 247 | 61 | 25 | 9 | 3% | 1.6 | 24.7% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 3.6% | 5.30 | 4.39 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 1 | 51 | 225 | 65 | 25 | 3 | 3% | 1.5 | 22.7% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 1.6% | 3.18 | 3.64 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 1 | 51 | 225 | 65 | 25 | 3 | 3% | 1.5 | 28.9% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 1.3% | 3.18 | 2.79 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 34 | 0 | 35 | 149 | 34 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 32 | 0 | 34 | 142 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.27 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 196 | 98 | 20 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.27 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 90 | 20 | 206 | 888 | 195 | 98 | 26 | 22% | 2.3 | 22.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 3.79 | 4.28 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 87 | 19 | 200 | 861 | 189 | 95 | 26 | 22% | 2.3 | 22.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 3.79 | 4.28 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| A.J. Block (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.54 | 22.7% | 10.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.65 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 34 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 81 |
| Juan Grullon L 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 77 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .308 | 5.05 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.81 | 3.43 | 134 | 77 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 77 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 76 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.01 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 221 | 75 |
| Dario Alvarez L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.61 | 24.7% | 12.4% | 1.8% | .336 | 3.52 | 20.7% | 8.3% | 27 | -0.09 | 3.41 | 160 | 74 |
| Aaron Brown L 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 1.8% | .317 | 4.79 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 129 | +0.91 | 3.88 | 269 | 74 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 74 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 74 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.93 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 2.2% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 244 | 73 |
| Brendan Nail L 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.43 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 165 | 73 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.21 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.63 | 2.44 | 124 | 72 |
| Jake Diekman L 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.40 | 26.5% | 11.9% | 1.9% | .310 | 3.21 | 27.0% | 15.3% | 106 | -0.19 | 2.33 | 455 | 72 |
| Edward Paredes L 2027 · 3.49 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.49 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.53 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.04 | 2.29 | 130 | 72 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.20 | 25.5% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .329 | 4.44 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 59 | +0.24 | 2.66 | 230 | 71 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.62 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 3.7% | .341 | 4.44 | 18.8% | 11.4% | 57 | -0.18 | 3.47 | 393 | 71 |
| Tristan Garnett L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.13 | 19.8% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 185 | 71 |
| Will Lamb L 2024 · 5.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.47 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 4.2% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 178 | 71 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .321 | 3.39 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.23 | 2.95 | 101 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 34 | 22.6% | 10.9% | 1.16 | 4.57 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |