Tyler Thomas P Salt Lake Bees
Age 30 LHP 6'1" / 175 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 106115vR 124
ERA4.63
FIP4.63
K%21.9%
BB%11.2%
K-BB%10.8%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP
K: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.6 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -0.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.02 (24 IP)-0.0WAR
0.0-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201822MIX2 levels222010541610826791%4.819.3%7.3%12.0%1.6%3.003.25
201822MIX2 levels222010541610826791%4.826.0%6.2%19.7%1.7%3.002.65
201923A+Down East Wood Ducks22936751100%4.319.4%13.9%5.6%2.8%5.194.74
201923A+Down East Wood Ducks22936751100%4.319.4%13.9%5.6%2.8%5.194.72
202125MIX3 levels33059253712250%1.824.2%9.6%14.6%2.1%3.663.43
202125MIX3 levels33059253712250%1.828.1%8.7%19.4%2.0%3.662.91
202226MIX2 levels27044202532790%1.621.7%15.1%6.7%6.1%6.146.52
202226MIX2 levels27044202532790%1.626.2%13.4%12.9%4.5%6.145.19
202327MIX2 levels24035144411310%1.423.6%9.7%13.9%0.8%2.862.75
202327MIX2 levels24035144411310%1.428.5%9.0%19.4%0.7%2.862.23
202428AAASalt Lake Bees31245209453046%1.418.9%15.1%3.9%2.7%5.444.90
202428AAASalt Lake Bees31245209453046%1.421.5%14.4%7.2%1.9%5.444.26
▸ 2026 Season
202630MLBLAA23024103231130%1.121.9%11.2%10.8%2.9%4.634.63-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731MLBLAA2202396211130%1.021.7%11.3%10.4%3.1%4.724.80-0.1
202731MLBLAA808347410%1.021.7%11.3%10.4%3.1%4.724.80-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career808358410%1.021.7%11.3%10.4%3.1%4.724.42+0.0
/ 200 IP190020084419296240%1.121.7%11.3%10.4%3.1%4.724.42+2.3
Career1392429612602661363217%2.121.1%10.8%10.4%2.5%4.014.07+4.6
/ 200 IP9416200851180922217%2.121.1%10.8%10.4%2.5%4.014.07+3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Tyler Thomas (OGILVIE) 4.63 21.9%11.2%2.9% 4.80 21.7%10.4%23 +0.17
Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.83 FIP 29 SU 4.83 20.2%9.6%4.0%.301 2.68 175 78
Phil Coke L 2029 · 4.00 FIP 33 SU 4.00 18.8%9.1%2.4%.373 3.04 18.0%11.3%70 -0.96 3.04 101 74
Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP 30 SU 3.73 20.7%10.1%2.0%.271 2.91 21.8%17.1%88 -0.82 2.35 306 73
Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.48 FIP 30 SU 4.48 23.7%11.1%3.6%.270 3.80 172 72
Ryan O'Rourke L 2027 · 4.13 FIP 31 SU 4.13 22.1%14.3%2.0%.290 3.06 145 71
Keith Hessler L 2025 · 4.73 FIP 29 SU 4.73 19.8%13.3%3.0%.348 3.33 228 71
Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 4.29 FIP 30 SU 4.29 24.9%9.8%3.7%.268 8.16 15.0%-1.4%20 +3.87 3.04 145 70
Dan Runzler L 2026 · 3.77 FIP 30 SU 3.77 19.0%13.1%1.1%.383 4.24 16.5%4.0%63 +0.47 3.77 127 70
Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.44 FIP 30 SU 3.44 16.2%8.4%1.2%.290 3.67 17.9%13.2%105 +0.23 3.44 152 69
Zack Britton L 2026 · 3.88 FIP 30 SU 3.88 20.1%12.4%1.7%.234 3.56 21.1%8.3%99 -0.32 1.59 309 69
Aaron Brown L 2026 · 5.22 FIP 30 SU 5.22 21.3%12.5%4.2%.253 3.88 269 69
Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.76 FIP 30 SU 3.76 27.7%11.9%2.7%.294 4.09 22.5%10.9%110 +0.33 3.72 181 69
Arturo Barradas L 2025 · 3.45 FIP 29 SU 3.45 18.1%7.0%1.8%.288 3.17 16.1%9.5%34 -0.28 3.17 163 69
Jose Meraz L 2025 · 4.51 FIP 29 SU 4.51 16.4%10.3%2.7%.282 3.80 10.5%-2.0%30 -0.71 3.59 110 69
Jeff Ibarra L 2025 · 3.73 FIP 29 SU 3.73 18.1%7.0%2.3%.342 2.95 20.6%17.2%29 -0.78 2.95 101 69
Chris Narveson L 2029 · 4.83 FIP 33 SW 4.83 23.6%8.0%4.9%.333 4.57 14.1%4.5%193 -0.26 4.40 249 68
James Jones L 2026 · 4.08 FIP 30 SU 4.08 21.9%13.0%2.1%.230 4.72 23.9%8.8%35 +0.64 3.58 127 68
Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.37 FIP 30 SU 4.37 19.1%9.0%3.2%.245 3.99 16.6%8.5%64 -0.38 3.09 244 68
Tommy Layne L 2026 · 3.58 FIP 30 SU 3.58 21.7%12.1%1.4%.284 3.34 20.2%11.0%97 -0.24 1.32 182 68
Josh Edgin L 2026 · 4.02 FIP 30 SU 4.02 16.3%10.2%1.8%.303 3.36 29.2%20.0%43 -0.66 3.36 113 68