Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 20 | 105 | 416 | 108 | 26 | 7 | 91% | 4.8 | 19.3% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 1.6% | 3.00 | 3.25 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 20 | 105 | 416 | 108 | 26 | 7 | 91% | 4.8 | 26.0% | 6.2% | 19.7% | 1.7% | 3.00 | 2.65 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Down East Wood Ducks | 2 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 4.3 | 19.4% | 13.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 5.19 | 4.74 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Down East Wood Ducks | 2 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 4.3 | 19.4% | 13.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 5.19 | 4.72 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 0 | 59 | 253 | 71 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.8 | 24.2% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 2.1% | 3.66 | 3.43 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 0 | 59 | 253 | 71 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.8 | 28.1% | 8.7% | 19.4% | 2.0% | 3.66 | 2.91 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 0 | 44 | 202 | 53 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.6 | 21.7% | 15.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.14 | 6.52 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 0 | 44 | 202 | 53 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.6 | 26.2% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 4.5% | 6.14 | 5.19 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 35 | 144 | 41 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.6% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 0.8% | 2.86 | 2.75 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 35 | 144 | 41 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 28.5% | 9.0% | 19.4% | 0.7% | 2.86 | 2.23 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 31 | 2 | 45 | 209 | 45 | 30 | 4 | 6% | 1.4 | 18.9% | 15.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 5.44 | 4.90 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 31 | 2 | 45 | 209 | 45 | 30 | 4 | 6% | 1.4 | 21.5% | 14.4% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 5.44 | 4.26 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 23 | 0 | 24 | 103 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.63 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 22 | 0 | 23 | 96 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.72 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.72 | 4.80 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.72 | 4.42 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 192 | 96 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.72 | 4.42 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 139 | 24 | 296 | 1260 | 266 | 136 | 32 | 17% | 2.1 | 21.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 2.5% | 4.01 | 4.07 | +4.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 94 | 16 | 200 | 851 | 180 | 92 | 22 | 17% | 2.1 | 21.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 2.5% | 4.01 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Thomas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.63 | 21.9% | 11.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.80 | 21.7% | 10.4% | 23 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 78 |
| Phil Coke L 2029 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 74 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 2.91 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.82 | 2.35 | 306 | 73 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 72 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.13 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.0% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 145 | 71 |
| Keith Hessler L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.73 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.0% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 228 | 71 |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.29 | 24.9% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .268 | 8.16 | 15.0% | -1.4% | 20 | +3.87 | 3.04 | 145 | 70 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.77 | 19.0% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .383 | 4.24 | 16.5% | 4.0% | 63 | +0.47 | 3.77 | 127 | 70 |
| Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.44 | 16.2% | 8.4% | 1.2% | .290 | 3.67 | 17.9% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.23 | 3.44 | 152 | 69 |
| Zack Britton L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.88 | 20.1% | 12.4% | 1.7% | .234 | 3.56 | 21.1% | 8.3% | 99 | -0.32 | 1.59 | 309 | 69 |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.22 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 4.2% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 269 | 69 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 69 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2025 · 3.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.45 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.17 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 34 | -0.28 | 3.17 | 163 | 69 |
| Jose Meraz L 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.51 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.71 | 3.59 | 110 | 69 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.73 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .342 | 2.95 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.78 | 2.95 | 101 | 69 |
| Chris Narveson L 2029 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.83 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | .333 | 4.57 | 14.1% | 4.5% | 193 | -0.26 | 4.40 | 249 | 68 |
| James Jones L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.08 | 21.9% | 13.0% | 2.1% | .230 | 4.72 | 23.9% | 8.8% | 35 | +0.64 | 3.58 | 127 | 68 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.37 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 3.2% | .245 | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.5% | 64 | -0.38 | 3.09 | 244 | 68 |
| Tommy Layne L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.58 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.4% | .284 | 3.34 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.24 | 1.32 | 182 | 68 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.02 | 16.3% | 10.2% | 1.8% | .303 | 3.36 | 29.2% | 20.0% | 43 | -0.66 | 3.36 | 113 | 68 |