Nick Zwack
P
Sacramento River Cats
+0.0
WAR
Age 27
LHP
6'4" / 243 lbs
AAA
ERA5.25
FIP5.25
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%19.5%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%9.5%
IP64
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
K†4550
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | FCL Mets | 5 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 13 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 24 | 21 | 106 | 423 | 132 | 34 | 6 | 23.9% | 9.3% | 1.6% | 2.81 | 3.15 | +2.6 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 24 | 16 | 81 | 365 | 91 | 32 | 14 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 6.56 | 5.43 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 21 | 21 | 74 | 311 | 68 | 26 | 13 | 15.6% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 4.26 | 6.19 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 4 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 6 | 7 | 0 | — | — | — | 20.77 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SF | 12 | 12 | 64 | 272 | 53 | 27 | 11 | 19.6% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 5.25 | 5.25 | -0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | SF | — | — | 69 | 301 | 59 | 34 | 11 | 19.7% | 11.4% | 3.5% | 6.23 | 4.92 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SF | 12 | 12 | 63 | 268 | 53 | 27 | 10 | 19.9% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 5.18 | 5.19 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SF | 11 | 11 | 62 | 262 | 52 | 26 | 10 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 5.14 | 5.17 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | SF | 11 | 11 | 60 | 254 | 51 | 26 | 10 | 20.0% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 5.15 | 5.19 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | SF | 58 | — | 58 | 245 | 49 | 25 | 10 | 19.9% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 5.19 | 5.24 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | SF | 56 | — | 56 | 235 | 46 | 24 | 9 | 19.6% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 5.27 | 5.32 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | SF | 53 | — | 53 | 225 | 43 | 24 | 9 | 19.3% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 5.36 | 5.42 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | SF | 50 | — | 50 | 213 | 40 | 23 | 9 | 18.9% | 10.7% | 4.2% | 5.46 | 5.53 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | SF | 48 | — | 48 | 201 | 37 | 22 | 9 | 18.5% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 5.58 | 5.65 | -0.4 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | SF | 44 | — | 44 | 188 | 34 | 21 | 8 | 18.1% | 11.2% | 4.4% | 5.71 | 5.79 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 78 | 58 | 272 | 1154 | 242 | 115 | 43 | 21.0% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 4.53 | 4.65 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 57 | 43 | 200 | 849 | 178 | 85 | 32 | 21.0% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 4.53 | 4.65 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Zwack (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.25 | 19.6% | 10.0% | 3.9% | — | 5.18 | 20.0% | 9.9% | 186 | -0.07 | — | — | — |
| Greg Nappo L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.12 | 17.2% | 10.3% | 4.0% | .285 | 6.29 | 12.3% | -0.3% | 11 | +1.17 | 3.36 | 144 | 91 |
| Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.67 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 134 | 87 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.18 | 17.9% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 304 | 83 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2028 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.12 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.2% | .291 | 3.71 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.41 | 3.71 | 108 | 83 |
| Will Gilbert L 2024 · 4.40 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.40 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.92 | 141 | 82 |
| Patrick Schuster L 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.42 | 19.8% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .381 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 160 | 81 |
| Ben Holmes L 2026 · 5.57 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.57 | 19.7% | 11.1% | 5.0% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 451 | 80 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2025 · 4.27 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.27 | 16.9% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.64 | 172 | 80 |
| Ozzie Mendez L 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 14.6% | 6.7% | 2.6% | .269 | 3.94 | 11.3% | 3.0% | 68 | -0.21 | 3.90 | 161 | 80 |
| Peyton Alford L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.82 | 22.9% | 12.1% | 3.9% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 229 | 80 |
| David Rollins L 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.50 | 18.0% | 12.1% | 4.3% | .260 | 5.70 | 15.9% | 12.5% | 20 | +0.20 | 3.60 | 132 | 80 |
| Jake McSteen L 2026 · 6.19 FIP | 27 | SW | 6.19 | 16.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | .302 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.3% | 73 | -2.20 | 2.22 | 286 | 79 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.47 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 2.9% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 165 | 78 |
| Will Lamb L 2025 · 5.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.75 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 4.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 178 | 78 |
| Stephen Peterson L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 2.5% | .284 | 3.04 | 17.3% | 6.3% | 55 | -1.56 | 3.04 | 120 | 78 |
| Bryan Harper L 2025 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .197 | 4.65 | 14.9% | 1.0% | 46 | +0.46 | 4.19 | 133 | 78 |
| Brian Holmes L 2025 · 5.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.91 | 15.5% | 11.7% | 4.8% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 205 | 78 |
| Wei-Chung Wang L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.88 | 16.0% | 8.7% | 3.7% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.48 | 387 | 77 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.26 | 13.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 256 | 77 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.21 | 18.1% | 13.3% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.66 | 32.4% | 26.1% | 65 | -0.55 | 1.66 | 186 | 77 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.