Santiago Mendoza

Santiago MendozaC DSL Tampa Bay

Age 18 R/R 5'7" / 184 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION80 act + 53 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .319 / .259

PA53

HR0

K%24

BB%11

BABIP300

ISO43

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE77

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.8	$14M	+$14M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.8	$13M	+$13M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.8	$12M	+$12M
2035	Arb-1	$6M	+2.8	$11M	+$9M
2036	Arb-2	$9M	+2.7	$10M	+$7M
2037	Arb-3	$12M	+2.5	$9M	+$5M
Totals		$30M		$70M	+$59M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	142	120	24	3	0	1	18	36	2	8	1	200	314	250	564	50	274	25	13	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	142	108	28	4	0	1	30	25	2	8	1	259	429	324	753	65	325	18	21	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	TB	—	80	61	18	2	0	0	15	16	3	8	1	295	456	328	784	33	400	20	19	350	126	+2	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.7
YTD	18	ROK	TB	—	80	52	19	2	0	0	24	11	3	8	1	365	582	404	986	38	463	14	30	461	211	+10	+1	+0	+1	+2	1.5
ROS	18	ROK	TB	0%	53	46	10	2	0	0	6	13	1	2	0	216	319	259	578	43	307	24	11	297	86	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
ROS	18	MLB	TB	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		312	—	—	288	78	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	TB	—	80	62	18	2	0	0	15	16	3	8	1	290	456	323	778	32	391	20	19	350	126	+2	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.7
TOT	18	ROK	TB	—	133	107	28	4	0	0	21	29	4	10	1	261	401	298	699	37	357	22	16	329	110	+1	+2	+0	+2	+4	0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	TB	34%	208	179	41	6	1	2	24	49	3	5	1	229	330	307	637	78	307	24	12	303	90	-2	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.8
2028	20	MLB	TB	48%	343	295	70	10	2	5	39	80	6	9	1	237	338	336	674	98	307	23	11	308	94	-2	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.5
2029	21	MLB	TB	54%	446	385	92	14	2	7	51	103	7	11	2	239	339	340	679	101	307	23	11	313	97	-1	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.1
2030	22	MLB	TB	57%	519	446	108	16	2	9	59	119	9	13	2	242	342	348	690	105	308	23	11	315	100	-0	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.6
2031	23	MLB	TB	58%	520	446	108	16	2	9	60	119	9	13	2	242	344	348	691	105	309	23	12	318	101	+1	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.7
2032	24	MLB	TB	57%	520	446	108	16	2	9	60	119	9	13	2	242	344	348	691	105	309	23	12	319	102	+1	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.8
2033	25	MLB	TB	57%	520	446	108	16	2	9	60	118	9	13	2	242	344	348	691	105	309	23	12	320	103	+2	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.8
2034	26	MLB	TB	57%	520	446	109	16	2	10	60	118	9	13	2	244	346	357	702	112	309	23	12	320	103	+2	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.8
2035	27	MLB	TB	55%	520	446	109	16	2	10	60	119	9	13	2	244	346	357	702	112	309	23	12	320	103	+2	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.8
2036	28	MLB	TB	55%	520	445	108	16	2	9	61	119	9	12	2	243	346	348	694	106	309	23	12	319	103	+2	+2	-1	+9	+15	2.7
2037	29	MLB	TB	53%	520	445	107	16	2	9	61	120	9	12	2	240	344	346	690	106	308	23	12	317	101	+1	+2	-1	+9	+15	2.5
2038	30	MLB	TB	53%	520	445	107	16	2	9	61	122	9	12	2	240	344	346	690	106	307	23	12	315	99	-1	+2	-2	+9	+15	2.3
2039	31	MLB	TB	57%	504	432	102	15	2	8	59	120	8	11	2	236	339	336	674	100	304	24	12	311	96	-2	+1	-3	+9	+14	2.0
2040	32	MLB	TB	54%	489	421	97	14	2	7	57	118	8	10	2	230	333	323	656	93	301	24	12	305	92	-5	+1	-4	+9	+14	1.6
2041	33	MLB	TB	58%	473	407	93	13	2	7	55	116	8	10	2	229	332	322	654	93	297	25	12	299	87	-7	+1	-4	+8	+13	1.2
2042	34	MLB	TB	53%	436	375	82	11	1	6	51	110	7	8	1	219	323	301	625	83	292	25	12	291	81	-9	+1	-5	+8	+12	0.7
2043	35	MLB	TB	49%	373	321	67	8	1	4	43	97	6	7	1	209	314	277	591	69	287	26	12	282	74	-11	+1	-6	+7	+11	0.2
2044	36	MLB	TB	40%	310	267	54	6	1	3	35	83	5	5	1	202	306	266	572	64	281	27	11	273	67	-12	+1	-6	+6	+9	-0.3
2027	19	MLB	TB	34%	71	62	14	2	0	1	8	17	1	2	0	226	324	306	630	81	311	24	11	294	83	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2028	20	MLB	TB	48%	166	143	34	5	1	2	19	39	3	4	1	238	339	329	668	91	311	23	11	298	86	-3	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.6
2029	21	MLB	TB	54%	242	208	50	7	1	4	28	56	4	6	1	240	342	341	683	101	312	23	12	302	89	-3	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2030	22	MLB	TB	57%	294	253	62	9	1	5	34	68	5	7	1	245	346	348	694	103	312	23	12	305	91	-3	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.2
2031	23	MLB	TB	58%	299	258	63	9	1	5	34	68	5	7	1	244	343	345	688	101	313	23	11	307	93	-2	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.3
2032	24	MLB	TB	57%	296	255	62	9	1	5	34	67	5	7	1	243	344	345	689	102	314	23	11	308	94	-2	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.3
2033	25	MLB	TB	57%	295	254	62	9	1	5	34	67	5	7	1	244	345	346	691	102	314	23	12	309	95	-2	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.3
2034	26	MLB	TB	57%	294	253	62	9	1	5	34	67	5	7	1	245	346	348	694	103	314	23	12	309	95	-2	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.3
2035	27	MLB	TB	55%	289	248	61	9	1	5	34	66	5	7	1	246	348	351	699	105	313	23	12	309	95	-2	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.3
2036	28	MLB	TB	55%	286	245	60	9	1	5	34	66	5	7	1	245	349	351	700	106	313	23	12	308	94	-2	+1	-0	+5	+8	1.2
2037	29	MLB	TB	53%	278	238	58	8	1	5	33	64	5	7	1	244	348	349	697	105	312	23	12	307	93	-2	+1	-1	+5	+8	1.1
2038	30	MLB	TB	53%	274	235	57	8	1	5	32	64	5	6	1	243	346	349	695	106	311	23	12	304	91	-3	+1	-1	+5	+8	1.0
2039	31	MLB	TB	57%	285	244	58	8	1	5	34	68	5	6	1	238	343	340	683	102	308	24	12	300	88	-4	+1	-2	+5	+8	0.9
2040	32	MLB	TB	54%	266	229	53	7	1	4	31	64	4	6	1	231	333	323	656	92	305	24	12	295	84	-5	+1	-2	+5	+8	0.6
2041	33	MLB	TB	58%	273	235	54	7	1	4	32	67	4	5	1	230	332	319	651	89	302	25	12	289	79	-6	+1	-2	+5	+8	0.4
2042	34	MLB	TB	53%	232	199	45	6	1	3	27	59	4	4	1	226	330	312	642	85	296	25	12	281	73	-7	+0	-3	+4	+7	0.2
2043	35	MLB	TB	49%	182	156	34	4	1	2	21	47	3	3	1	218	322	295	617	77	291	26	12	272	67	-7	+0	-3	+3	+5	-0.1
2044	36	MLB	TB	40%	123	106	21	2	0	1	14	33	2	2	0	198	303	245	549	47	286	27	11	263	60	-6	+0	-2	+2	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4445	3822	910	127	16	71	517	1047	75	100	16	238	340	335	676	97	308	24	12	300	88	-61	+14	-16	+79	+126	14.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	559	133	19	2	10	76	153	11	15	2	238	341	333	673	95	309	24	12	300	88	-9	+2	-2	+12	+18	2.1
Career	—			—	8456	7259	1704	246	32	133	980	1998	142	200	32	235	337	332	670	98	304	24	12	309	95	-51	+27	-31	+151	+240	34.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	558	130	19	2	10	75	154	11	15	2	233	335	328	663	95	302	24	12	309	95	-4	+2	-2	+12	+18	2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	142	108	28	4	0	1	30	25	2	8	1	259	429	324	753	65	325	18	21	355	130	+5	+1	—	—	+4	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alex Avilalast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 3,638 PA	13	3,638	105	8	233	348	393	+65	+46	26.7	24.5
	/162	664	19	1	233	348	393	+11.9	+8.5	4.9	pk7: 22
#2Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	11	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
	/162	664	7	18	271	314	372	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#3Brian Schneiderlast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,522 PA	12	3,522	66	4	246	319	367	+54	+84	21.4	20.8
	/162	664	12	1	246	319	367	+10.3	+15.8	4.0	pk7: 20
#4Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	4,564	73	105	238	336	338	+71	+40	19.5	15.1
	/162	664	11	15	238	336	338	+10.3	+5.8	2.8	pk7: 11
#5Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Santiago Mendoza (OGILVIE)	18	48→53	30→35	55→60	77	261/401/298	37	357	0	10	22%	16%	110	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	50	36→40	55→45	58	230/334/299	69	299	2	9	22%	12%	85	+0.7	231/326/326	95	288	8	10	21%	11%	89	+0.9	220/314/312	92	279	9	9	22%	11%	79	+0.1
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→50	58→50	55	210/300/285	75	268	4	16	22%	11%	66	-0.6	232/290/328	96	308	7	11	25%	7%	72	-0.2	264/318/398	134	323	11	13	21%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Cristofer Torin 2023 · A	18	49→50	35→40	53→50	59	226/322/293	67	276	2	19	17%	12%	79	+0.3	217/296/292	75	270	5	14	20%	9%	66	-0.6	221/293/314	93	267	7	10	19%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2023 · A	18	44	38→40	51→60	58	207/313/298	91	265	4	12	22%	12%	76	+0.1	218/305/301	83	307	6	23	28%	10%	73	-0.1	216/305/292	77	301	7	32	28%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	50→60	38→40	51→50	50	237/313/315	78	287	5	13	18%	8%	79	+0.3	227/281/295	68	275	3	9	18%	6%	60	-1.0	246/313/343	97	286	7	1	15%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	51→61	38→45	49→50	48	238/291/324	86	288	3	12	18%	7%	71	-0.3	236/280/312	76	293	3	12	19%	5%	63	-0.8	270/315/371	102	328	4	17	18%	5%	90	+0.8
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→53	39→40	54→50	56	239/327/329	91	293	6	14	19%	11%	89	+1.0	243/317/334	91	314	8	14	23%	8%	86	+0.8	243/318/331	88	313	8	14	23%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	48→49	38→40	54→55	58	220/315/308	87	276	3	15	20%	12%	79	+0.3	223/313/311	88	314	5	21	27%	11%	79	+0.3	222/315/321	99	301	8	23	26%	12%	81	+0.2
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	41→50	50→40	52	218/297/315	97	275	8	8	23%	10%	73	-0.1	225/288/361	136	282	16	4	25%	8%	81	+0.4	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
●Dilson Herrera 2012 · A	18	46→56	39→50	50	47	218/290/315	98	283	4	13	23%	7%	70	-0.3	228/279/361	133	299	12	12	27%	6%	77	+0.1	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
★Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	213/301/277	64	275	3	17	22%	11%	65	-0.7	215/298/294	79	281	4	15	23%	9%	69	-0.4	259/359/388	129	285	11	20	12%	12%	115	+2.3
●L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	50→60	37→40	56→50	52	233/301/304	71	285	4	11	19%	9%	70	-0.3	238/285/305	67	306	4	12	22%	6%	64	-0.8	278/336/369	91	334	5	15	17%	7%	97	+1.5
✕Carlos Arroyo 2019 · A	18	50	35→30	50	51	231/310/281	51	284	3	13	19%	8%	70	-0.3	221/279/288	67	257	4	15	15%	6%	58	-1.2	184/235/249	65	243	5	19	25%	4%	28	-1.1
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	85	+0.7	245/315/335	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	85	+0.7	225/297/334	109	287	11	10	24%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	55	219/317/294	75	290	3	19	23%	11%	77	+0.1	188/270/271	83	290	6	10	34%	10%	50	-1.7	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	77	+0.1	246/292/306	60	294	1	19	16%	6%	66	-0.6	304/363/386	81	348	4	36	13%	8%	114	+2.3
✕Francisco Acuna 2018 · A	18	39→49	37→45	55→50	55	183/284/257	74	242	4	15	24%	11%	54	-1.4	194/267/263	69	267	3	9	26%	8%	47	-1.9	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
●Starlin Castro 2008 · A	18	49→59	37→50	53→50	48	229/281/296	67	267	4	11	16%	6%	60	-1.0	252/293/341	89	302	4	13	17%	5%	76	+0.1	293/334/419	126	332	8	18	14%	5%	108	+2.6
✕Andruw Monasterio 2015 · A	18	46→55	35→45	55	46	215/270/274	59	269	2	16	20%	6%	50	-1.8	204/258/265	61	260	2	11	21%	6%	43	-2.2	246/325/351	106	317	10	23	24%	9%	92	+0.6
✕Alvaro Montero 2018 · A	18	48	35→30	52→60	54	219/315/281	62	294	3	16	24%	11%	72	-0.2	215/296/270	55	306	2	18	27%	9%	61	-1.0	232/319/263	31	312	0	30	23%	9%	67	-0.2