Santiago Mendoza

Santiago MendozaC DSL Tampa Bay

Age 18 R/R 5'7" / 184 lbs ROK HR +6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION146 act + 14 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .286 / .167

PA14

HR0

K%21

BB%14

BABIP313

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$103M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 51 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT51

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE78

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.9	$9M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.9	$8M	+$8M
2035	Arb-1	$6M	+1.8	$7M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$9M	+1.7	$6M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$13M	+1.6	$6M	+$2M
Totals		$31M		$46M	+$35M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	142	108	28	4	0	1	30	25	2	8	1	259	429	324	753	65	325	18	21	355	126	+4	+1	—	—	+3	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	142	120	23	3	0	1	18	36	2	8	1	192	307	242	549	50	257	25	13	255	59	-7	+1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	142	120	23	3	0	1	18	36	2	8	1	192	307	242	549	50	262	25	13	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	142	108	28	4	0	1	30	25	2	8	1	259	429	324	753	65	325	18	21	355	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	142	121	23	3	0	1	18	36	2	8	1	190	307	240	547	50	257	25	13	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	142	121	23	3	0	1	18	36	2	8	1	190	307	240	547	50	257	25	13	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	TB	—	146	114	29	2	2	0	25	33	5	10	3	254	410	307	717	53	358	23	17	328	108	+1	+1	+0	+3	+3	0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	TB	—	146	98	32	2	3	0	41	23	5	10	3	327	542	408	950	82	427	16	28	439	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	TB	0%	14	12	2	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		305	21	14	300	89	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	TB	—	160	126	31	2	2	0	27	36	5	10	3	246	399	294	692	48	344	22	17	326	106	+1	+1	+0	+3	+3	0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TB	43%	218	185	43	6	2	2	27	52	4	5	1	232	343	319	662	86	305	24	12	307	94	-2	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2028	20	MLB MLE	TB	61%	351	299	71	10	3	5	43	82	6	8	2	237	345	341	686	104	306	23	12	312	97	-1	+1	+0	+6	+8	1.4
2029	21	MLB MLE	TB	68%	452	386	92	13	4	7	55	105	8	11	3	238	345	347	692	109	306	23	12	316	100	+0	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.9
2030	22	MLB MLE	TB	71%	520	443	108	15	5	9	63	120	9	13	3	244	350	361	711	117	306	23	12	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	TB	72%	520	443	108	15	5	9	63	119	9	13	3	244	350	361	711	117	307	23	12	322	104	+2	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.5
2032	24	MLB MLE	TB	72%	520	443	108	15	5	9	63	119	9	13	3	244	350	361	711	117	308	23	12	324	105	+3	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.6
2033	25	MLB MLE	TB	71%	520	443	109	15	5	10	63	118	9	13	3	246	351	370	722	124	308	23	12	325	106	+4	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.6
2034	26	MLB MLE	TB	71%	520	443	109	15	5	10	63	118	9	13	3	246	351	370	722	124	308	23	12	325	106	+4	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.6
2035	27	MLB MLE	TB	70%	520	442	108	15	4	10	64	119	9	13	3	244	351	364	716	120	308	23	12	325	106	+4	+1	+0	+9	+11	2.6
2036	28	MLB MLE	TB	69%	520	442	107	15	4	10	64	119	9	12	3	242	350	362	712	120	307	23	12	324	105	+3	+1	-1	+9	+11	2.5
2037	29	MLB MLE	TB	67%	520	442	106	15	4	9	64	120	9	12	3	240	348	353	701	113	306	23	12	322	104	+3	+1	-1	+9	+11	2.3
2038	30	MLB MLE	TB	66%	520	441	105	14	4	9	65	122	9	11	3	238	348	349	697	111	305	23	12	319	102	+1	+1	-2	+9	+11	2.1
2039	31	MLB MLE	TB	71%	504	428	100	13	4	8	62	120	9	11	3	234	343	339	681	105	303	24	12	315	99	-0	+1	-3	+9	+11	1.8
2040	32	MLB MLE	TB	68%	489	418	96	12	4	8	60	118	8	10	2	230	337	335	672	105	300	24	12	310	96	-2	+1	-4	+9	+11	1.5
2041	33	MLB MLE	TB	73%	473	404	91	11	4	7	58	116	8	9	2	225	334	324	658	99	296	25	12	304	92	-5	+1	-4	+8	+10	1.1
2042	34	MLB MLE	TB	68%	436	373	82	10	3	6	53	110	7	8	2	220	328	311	639	91	291	25	12	296	86	-7	+1	-5	+8	+9	0.6
2043	35	MLB MLE	TB	64%	373	319	67	7	3	4	45	97	6	7	2	210	319	288	607	78	285	26	12	287	80	-9	+1	-6	+7	+8	0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	TB	43%	94	80	19	3	1	1	12	22	2	2	1	237	351	338	689	100	314	23	13	302	94	-1	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	TB	61%	214	182	44	6	2	3	26	50	4	5	1	242	349	346	695	104	314	23	12	306	97	-1	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.9
2029	21	MLB CTX	TB	68%	308	263	64	9	3	5	37	71	5	7	2	243	348	357	705	114	315	23	12	310	100	+0	+1	+0	+6	+7	1.3
2030	22	MLB CTX	TB	71%	370	316	77	11	3	6	44	85	7	9	2	244	349	354	703	111	315	23	12	313	102	+1	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.7
2031	23	MLB CTX	TB	72%	376	321	80	11	4	7	45	86	7	9	2	249	354	374	728	125	316	23	12	316	104	+2	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.8
2032	24	MLB CTX	TB	72%	372	317	80	11	4	7	45	85	7	9	2	252	358	379	736	126	317	23	12	318	105	+2	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.8
2033	25	MLB CTX	TB	71%	370	315	78	11	3	7	45	84	7	9	2	248	354	368	722	121	317	23	12	318	106	+3	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.9
2034	26	MLB CTX	TB	71%	369	314	78	11	3	7	45	84	7	9	2	248	355	369	725	121	317	23	12	319	106	+3	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.9
2035	27	MLB CTX	TB	70%	362	308	77	11	3	7	44	83	7	9	2	250	357	373	730	123	317	23	12	319	106	+3	+1	+0	+6	+8	1.8
2036	28	MLB CTX	TB	69%	358	305	76	11	3	7	44	82	6	8	2	249	355	374	729	125	316	23	12	318	105	+2	+1	-0	+6	+8	1.7
2037	29	MLB CTX	TB	67%	348	296	72	10	3	6	43	81	6	8	2	243	351	358	709	115	315	23	12	316	104	+2	+1	-1	+6	+8	1.6
2038	30	MLB CTX	TB	66%	342	291	71	10	3	6	42	80	6	8	2	244	351	361	712	117	314	23	12	313	102	+1	+1	-1	+6	+7	1.4
2039	31	MLB CTX	TB	71%	357	304	73	10	3	6	44	85	6	8	2	240	347	352	699	112	311	24	12	309	99	-0	+1	-2	+6	+8	1.3
2040	32	MLB CTX	TB	68%	333	283	67	9	3	5	41	80	6	7	2	237	345	343	688	106	308	24	12	303	96	-2	+1	-2	+6	+7	1.0
2041	33	MLB CTX	TB	73%	343	292	68	9	3	5	42	84	6	7	2	233	341	336	677	103	304	24	12	297	92	-3	+1	-3	+6	+7	0.8
2042	34	MLB CTX	TB	68%	297	254	56	7	2	4	36	75	5	5	1	220	329	311	640	91	299	25	12	289	86	-5	+1	-3	+5	+6	0.4
2043	35	MLB CTX	TB	64%	237	202	44	5	2	3	29	62	4	4	1	218	328	307	635	89	293	26	12	280	80	-6	+0	-4	+4	+5	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5450	4643	1124	155	48	92	664	1279	98	123	30	242	349	356	705	114	313	23	12	310	99	+1	+13	-17	+97	+118	21.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	554	134	18	6	11	79	153	12	15	4	242	349	356	704	114	313	24	12	310	99	+0	+2	-2	+12	+14	2.6
Career	—	MLE		—	8132	6926	1635	219	68	133	995	1913	139	190	45	236	344	345	688	109	305	24	12	315	99	-0	+19	-25	+143	+173	31.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	554	131	18	5	11	80	153	11	15	4	236	345	347	691	110	305	24	12	315	99	-0	+2	-2	+12	+14	2.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Carlos Ruizlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,069 PA	6.1	4,069	71	25	264	350	391	+73	+6	25.2	24.6
/162	664	12	4	+11.9	+1.0	4.1	pk7: 24
#2Alex Avilalast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 3,638 PA	5.5	3,638	105	8	233	348	393	+65	+46	26.7	24.5
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+8.5	4.9	pk7: 22
#3Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#4Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#5Jason Bartlettlast yr '12 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,503 PA	5.3	3,503	31	121	271	337	368	+38	+56	20.3	20.5
/162	664	6	23	+7.1	+10.7	3.8	pk7: 21
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	8.4	5,573	91	125	237	341	347	+91	+48	26.3	20.3
/162	664	11	15	+10.8	+5.7	3.1	pk7: 14
#6Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Santiago Mendoza (OGILVIE)	18	46→51	30→35	54→59	78	225/336/302	77	305	1	4	24%	13%	89	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	50	36→45	55→45	57	230/329/297	67	301	2	9	22%	12%	84	+0.2	231/325/325	94	288	8	10	21%	11%	89	+0.5	229/319/329	99	290	10	8	22%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→45	59→50	55	210/300/285	75	272	4	16	22%	11%	70	-0.8	230/288/322	92	306	6	11	25%	7%	74	-0.6	262/318/385	123	318	10	13	20%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Cristofer Torin 2023 · A	18	50	36→40	53→50	57	230/320/300	70	279	2	19	17%	11%	82	-0.0	219/297/293	74	273	5	14	20%	9%	71	-0.8	230/298/322	93	274	8	10	18%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2023 · A	18	45→37	40	52→60	57	212/316/313	100	269	5	12	21%	12%	83	+0.1	225/310/312	87	311	7	23	27%	10%	80	-0.1	226/313/303	78	310	7	32	27%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	50→52	39→40	54→50	56	234/323/325	91	290	6	14	20%	11%	88	+0.4	239/315/327	88	307	7	14	23%	8%	86	+0.3	239/316/323	84	307	7	14	23%	8%	82	+0.0
●Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	213/301/277	64	275	3	17	22%	11%	69	-0.9	218/303/296	78	282	4	15	22%	9%	74	-0.5	257/357/385	127	281	12	19	12%	12%	112	+2.1
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	87	+0.4	246/316/336	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	88	+0.4	234/303/348	114	293	12	10	23%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	47→51	38→40	54→55	58	220/315/307	86	277	4	15	20%	12%	81	-0.1	224/315/307	83	317	4	21	27%	12%	81	-0.1	223/313/312	89	304	7	28	26%	11%	80	-0.1
✕Jonathan Galvez 2009 · A	18	45→48	39→45	51→55	53	209/310/290	81	290	7	9	27%	11%	76	-0.4	212/285/327	115	307	10	14	32%	8%	74	-0.5	235/283/350	115	329	10	23	30%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	50→60	38→40	51→50	50	237/313/315	78	287	5	13	18%	8%	82	-0.0	227/281/295	68	274	3	9	17%	6%	65	-1.2	245/328/327	82	296	5	2	17%	9%	81	-0.0
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A	19	50→58	37→45	50	49	234/297/309	75	303	3	13	23%	8%	74	-0.6	243/310/336	93	291	7	13	18%	9%	85	+0.2	261/353/385	124	305	11	2	17%	11%	110	+2.2
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	40→50	50→40	52	216/294/311	95	269	7	8	22%	9%	74	-0.5	225/287/355	130	281	15	4	24%	8%	81	-0.1	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	51→61	38→45	49→50	48	238/291/324	86	288	3	12	18%	7%	74	-0.5	234/279/310	76	290	3	12	19%	5%	66	-1.1	270/316/373	102	329	4	17	18%	5%	92	+0.5
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	250/296/311	61	297	1	19	15%	6%	73	-0.6	302/361/382	79	347	4	36	13%	8%	110	+1.8
●Starlin Castro 2008 · A	18	49→59	37→50	53→50	48	229/281/296	67	267	4	11	16%	6%	65	-1.2	252/294/342	90	301	4	13	17%	5%	80	-0.2	293/335/419	126	332	8	18	14%	5%	108	+2.1
✕Carlos Arroyo 2019 · A	18	50	35→30	50	51	231/310/281	51	284	3	13	19%	8%	74	-0.6	221/279/288	67	257	4	15	15%	6%	63	-1.4	183/236/245	62	242	4	19	25%	4%	36	-1.1
●Andrés Giménez 2017 · A	18	52→60	40→50	48→55	57	247/331/355	109	280	6	11	14%	10%	98	+1.2	235/295/332	97	297	6	18	22%	5%	79	-0.2	260/325/413	154	312	16	25	21%	5%	105	+1.5
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	50→60	41→50	49→50	58	237/329/342	104	299	8	10	22%	12%	94	+0.9	248/333/382	134	332	12	14	26%	11%	104	+1.6	244/329/380	136	317	13	15	25%	11%	100	+1.3
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	54	218/314/294	76	289	3	19	23%	10%	78	-0.3	190/273/272	82	291	5	10	33%	10%	57	-1.8	241/356/333	92	321	9	44	24%	14%	102	+1.0
✕Dilson Herrera 2012 · A	18	46→56	39→50	50	47	218/290/315	98	283	4	13	23%	7%	74	-0.6	226/277/349	123	297	11	12	27%	6%	76	-0.4	254/305/388	134	310	14	13	22%	6%	92	+0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps