Hector Osorio — OGILVIE

Hector OsorioRF Hickory Crawdads

Age 22 L/L 6'0" / 150 lbs A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†110

AVG/OBP/SLG.242 / .335 / .394

PA320

HR10

SB5

K%18

BB%10

ISO153

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$45M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.1M
2036	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$10M	+$9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL TEX Red	—	39	29	8	1	0	0	8	6	2	1	1	276	462	310	772	34	348	15	21	376	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	223	157	46	8	1	1	49	26	9	17	4	293	484	376	860	83	326	12	22	392	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	104	77	22	1	1	1	21	19	4	7	1	286	461	364	824	78	362	18	20	382	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	358	283	71	5	4	4	55	43	14	11	6	251	398	339	737	88	279	12	15	342	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	155	131	36	4	0	8	17	23	4	0	0	275	375	489	864	214	275	15	11	376	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	239	191	59	11	1	13	37	27	8	9	6	309	441	581	1.022	272	301	11	15	440	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Red	—	39	31	6	1	0	0	6	7	2	1	1	194	359	226	585	32	239	18	15	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	223	172	32	6	1	0	34	33	9	17	4	186	349	233	581	47	201	15	15	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	104	84	18	1	1	1	14	28	4	7	1	214	353	286	639	71	275	27	13	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	358	301	65	4	4	3	37	60	14	11	6	216	330	286	615	70	246	17	10	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	155	137	31	3	0	7	11	30	4	0	0	226	303	401	704	175	228	19	7	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	239	202	52	9	1	11	26	37	8	9	6	257	364	475	840	218	257	15	11	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Red	—	39	31	6	1	0	0	6	7	2	1	1	194	359	226	585	32	250	18	15	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL TEX Red	—	39	29	8	1	0	0	8	6	2	1	1	276	462	310	772	34	348	15	21	376	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	223	172	32	6	1	0	34	33	9	17	4	186	349	233	581	47	218	15	15	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	223	157	46	8	1	1	49	26	9	17	4	293	484	376	860	83	326	12	22	392	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	104	84	18	1	1	1	14	28	4	7	1	214	353	286	639	71	304	27	13	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	104	77	22	1	1	1	21	19	4	7	1	286	461	364	824	78	362	18	20	382	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	358	301	65	4	4	3	37	60	14	11	6	216	330	286	615	70	256	17	10	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	358	283	71	5	4	4	55	43	14	11	6	251	398	339	737	88	279	12	15	342	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	394	340	83	12	1	18	36	67	12	9	6	244	338	444	782	200	251	17	9	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	394	322	95	15	1	21	54	50	12	9	6	295	415	543	958	248	290	13	14	415	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Red	—	39	31	6	1	0	0	6	7	2	1	1	194	359	226	585	32	239	18	15	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	223	178	32	6	1	0	34	33	9	17	4	180	349	225	574	45	201	15	15	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	104	85	18	1	1	1	14	28	4	7	1	212	353	282	635	71	275	27	13	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	358	304	65	4	4	3	37	60	14	11	6	214	330	283	612	69	246	17	10	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	394	343	83	12	1	18	36	67	12	9	6	242	338	440	778	198	246	17	9	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	104	85	18	1	1	1	14	28	4	7	1	212	353	282	635	71	275	27	13	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	358	304	65	4	4	3	37	60	14	11	6	214	330	283	612	69	246	17	10	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	394	343	83	12	1	18	36	67	12	9	6	242	338	440	778	198	246	17	9	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	504	437	108	15	3	16	49	89	13	8	4	245	338	398	736	153	271	18	10	330	110	+6	+0	+0	-5	+11	1.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	438	383	94	13	2	14	42	78	10	7	3	247	339	405	744	158	273	18	10	333	112	+6	+0	+0	-5	+9	1.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	TEX	65%	488	427	106	15	3	16	47	87	11	8	4	249	339	410	750	161	275	18	10	335	113	+8	+0	+0	-5	+11	1.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	TEX	73%	515	449	112	16	3	17	50	93	11	8	4	249	339	412	751	163	276	18	10	336	113	+8	+0	+0	-6	+11	1.4
2031	26	MLB MLE	TEX	76%	530	462	116	17	3	18	51	96	12	8	4	249	339	412	750	163	276	18	10	335	113	+8	+0	+0	-6	+11	1.4
2032	27	MLB MLE	TEX	76%	535	466	116	17	3	18	52	98	12	8	4	248	338	409	747	161	276	18	10	334	112	+8	+0	+0	-6	+12	1.4
2033	28	MLB MLE	TEX	76%	533	465	115	17	3	17	52	99	11	7	4	246	336	404	740	158	275	19	10	331	110	+7	-0	-1	-6	+12	1.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	TEX	74%	526	459	112	16	3	16	51	99	11	6	4	244	333	398	732	154	274	19	10	328	108	+5	-0	-1	-6	+11	0.9
2035	30	MLB MLE	TEX	73%	516	451	109	16	2	16	49	99	11	5	5	241	330	391	721	150	273	19	9	323	105	+3	-1	-2	-6	+11	0.6
2036	31	MLB MLE	TEX	73%	503	440	104	15	2	15	48	98	10	3	9	237	325	381	706	144	270	19	10	318	101	+1	-3	-3	-5	+11	0.0
2037	32	MLB MLE	TEX	72%	485	427	98	14	2	13	45	97	10	3	11	232	319	368	688	137	267	20	9	310	96	-2	-4	-4	-5	+11	-0.4
2038	33	MLB MLE	TEX	79%	456	402	91	12	2	12	42	94	9	2	31	225	312	354	666	128	262	21	9	302	90	-5	-12	-4	-5	+10	-1.7
2028	23	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	212	184	45	6	1	7	21	38	5	3	2	249	341	414	755	165	274	18	10	337	112	+3	-0	+0	-2	+5	0.5
2029	24	MLB CTX	TEX	65%	316	275	70	10	2	11	31	56	7	5	3	251	341	419	761	168	276	18	10	339	113	+5	-0	+0	-3	+7	0.8
2030	25	MLB CTX	TEX	73%	374	327	82	12	2	13	36	67	8	6	3	251	341	421	763	170	277	18	10	340	113	+6	+0	+0	-4	+8	1.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	TEX	76%	404	353	89	13	2	14	39	73	9	6	3	251	341	421	762	170	277	18	10	339	113	+6	+0	+0	-4	+9	1.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	TEX	76%	407	356	89	13	2	14	39	74	9	6	3	250	340	418	758	168	276	18	10	338	112	+6	+0	+0	-4	+9	1.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	TEX	76%	405	354	87	12	2	14	39	75	9	5	3	248	338	413	751	165	276	19	10	335	110	+5	-0	-1	-4	+9	0.9
2034	29	MLB CTX	TEX	74%	391	342	84	12	2	13	38	73	8	4	3	246	335	407	742	161	274	19	10	332	108	+4	-0	-1	-4	+8	0.7
2035	30	MLB CTX	TEX	73%	378	331	80	11	2	12	36	72	8	3	4	243	332	399	731	156	273	19	10	327	105	+2	-1	-2	-4	+8	0.4
2036	31	MLB CTX	TEX	73%	365	320	77	11	2	11	35	71	7	2	6	239	327	389	716	150	270	19	10	321	101	+1	-2	-2	-4	+8	0.0
2037	32	MLB CTX	TEX	72%	351	308	71	10	1	10	33	70	7	2	8	234	321	376	697	143	267	20	9	314	96	-2	-3	-3	-4	+8	-0.3
2038	33	MLB CTX	TEX	79%	358	315	71	9	1	10	33	74	7	1	24	227	314	361	675	134	263	21	9	305	90	-4	-9	-3	-4	+8	-1.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3961	3465	845	119	19	129	380	743	84	43	62	244	333	401	734	157	274	19	10	330	104	+32	-16	-11	-42	+86	4.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	139	20	3	21	62	122	14	7	10	244	333	401	734	156	275	19	10	330	104	+5	-3	-2	-7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	6963	6037	1445	201	37	204	687	1289	167	115	104	239	334	386	720	147	270	19	10	322	104	+49	-20	-15	-63	+127	8.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	135	19	3	19	64	120	16	11	10	239	334	385	719	145	270	18	10	322	104	+5	-2	-2	-7	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	7.7	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
/162	664	20	11	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
#2Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	6.1	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
/162	664	27	6	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16
#3Jedd Gyorkolast yr '20 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,983 PA	4.5	2,983	121	14	245	310	424	+8	+22	13.4	13.5
/162	664	27	3	+1.7	+5.0	3.0	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.4	4,280	133	50	244	330	397	+6	+22	15.1	13.5
/162	664	21	8	+0.9	+3.5	2.3	pk7: 12
#4Travis Shawlast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,671 PA	4.0	2,671	114	20	239	322	441	+4	+6	13.4	13.4
/162	664	28	5	+1.1	+1.6	3.3	pk7: 13
#5Jeimer Candelariolast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,576 PA	5.4	3,576	110	19	237	316	412	+8	-5	12.7	13.0
/162	664	20	4	+1.6	-0.9	2.4	pk7: 13
#6Yangervis Solartelast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,645 PA	4.0	2,645	75	6	258	315	408	+9	+3	9.4	9.4
/162	664	19	2	+2.4	+0.7	2.4	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hector Osorio (OGILVIE)	22	45	25	45	60	242/335/394	152	271	10	5	18%	10%	110	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nelson Quiroz 2024 · A	22	47	44→40	49→40	49	232/294/354	122	277	11	6	20%	8%	84	+0.1	243/290/320	77	279	4	3	14%	6%	74	-0.6	263/309/325	62	294	2	0	11%	6%	77	-0.1
●Chase Meidroth 2023 · A	22	49→58	52→40	48→50	51	248/325/415	167	283	19	12	20%	8%	109	+2.0	254/348/353	99	314	9	12	20%	11%	104	+1.6	263/352/365	101	313	10	11	17%	11%	107	+1.8
✕Jorbit Vivas 2023 · A	22	51→57	44→45	47→50	51	249/323/369	120	275	11	4	14%	7%	98	+1.2	233/320/339	106	267	9	14	16%	9%	91	+0.6	227/320/324	97	263	8	18	15%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Mike Boeve 2024 · A	22	50→53	48→40	49→45	45	245/306/384	139	326	15	7	29%	8%	95	+1.0	258/322/359	101	337	8	8	24%	8%	95	+0.9	257/324/350	93	335	8	9	24%	8%	91	+0.4
✕Nick Weglarz 2010 · AA	22	45→48	49→50	43→45	53	225/318/378	152	281	17	5	25%	11%	99	+1.2	223/313/373	150	295	15	5	28%	10%	96	+1.0	210/302/356	146	295	15	3	32%	10%	86	+0.2
●Luis Campusano 2021 · A	22	53→56	47→50	45→30	49	263/319/402	140	300	15	3	18%	7%	103	+1.6	246/301/384	138	299	15	3	22%	6%	93	+0.8	260/336/420	160	301	19	1	20%	10%	113	+1.4
✕Cole Young 2024 · A	21	51→52	45	50	54	244/332/376	133	293	10	12	20%	10%	103	+1.6	242/323/366	124	285	11	11	18%	9%	97	+1.1	242/321/366	124	279	12	9	17%	9%	95	+0.9
✕CJ Kayfus 2024 · A	22	47→51	50	50→45	52	237/321/397	160	291	18	14	24%	10%	104	+1.6	239/317/398	159	333	15	8	30%	9%	103	+1.5	236/317/395	159	333	14	8	31%	9%	100	+0.9
●Justin Yurchak 2018 · A	21	51→61	44→40	49→40	52	249/316/366	117	293	12	4	19%	9%	94	+0.9	229/291/322	93	289	7	3	22%	8%	75	-0.5	272/336/375	103	335	10	2	20%	8%	101	+0.8
●J.P. Crawford 2017 · AAA	22	51→57	40→45	47→50	54	244/313/337	93	285	7	11	17%	9%	86	+0.3	221/303/342	121	277	10	8	22%	10%	84	+0.2	261/352/384	123	304	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.4
●Taylor Green 2009 · A	22	51→56	46→50	40→30	50	253/316/384	131	292	14	3	18%	8%	99	+1.2	247/305/380	133	282	13	2	17%	7%	93	+0.8	251/309/394	143	284	14	0	17%	7%	97	+0.8
●Alejandro Kirk 2021 · MLB	22	52→57	46→50	49→40	55	253/327/392	139	286	12	5	16%	9%	105	+1.7	260/338/400	140	280	16	2	13%	10%	111	+2.1	263/347/394	131	277	16	0	11%	10%	113	+1.5
●John Jaso 2006 · A	22	48→57	49→50	47→45	48	244/302/395	151	280	16	5	20%	7%	96	+1.0	258/317/391	133	289	14	3	16%	7%	101	+1.4	268/371/425	157	306	15	6	16%	13%	129	+1.8
✕Brandon Jones 2006 · A	22	52→54	47→50	47→50	51	254/324/399	145	305	13	7	21%	9%	105	+1.7	246/295/391	145	311	14	11	24%	6%	93	+0.8	254/309/388	134	319	11	10	23%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	40→42	47→45	50→45	49	202/313/334	132	268	16	7	29%	10%	88	+0.5	192/300/291	99	262	9	5	28%	10%	74	-0.5	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
●Andrew Benintendi 2016 · A	22	50→60	50→55	47→50	48	254/310/407	153	286	18	11	19%	7%	102	+1.5	261/323/415	154	295	14	15	16%	8%	108	+1.9	269/339/434	166	314	16	13	19%	9%	119	+2.7
●Alec Bohm 2020 · AA	23	49→56	49→50	46→45	49	245/302/395	150	277	16	6	18%	7%	96	+1.0	261/316/385	124	320	12	6	21%	7%	99	+1.2	273/325/420	147	304	15	4	15%	6%	111	+2.0
●Lonnie Chisenhall 2011 · AA	22	48→57	50→55	49→45	44	244/296/399	155	283	18	4	21%	6%	95	+1.0	248/296/400	152	291	16	4	20%	5%	95	+1.0	265/317/428	163	306	18	4	19%	6%	110	+1.4
✕Drew Gilbert 2024 · AA	23	49→50	49→50	49→45	47	248/313/399	151	299	17	12	23%	8%	101	+1.4	225/300/374	149	266	16	8	22%	8%	91	+0.7	217/301/368	151	248	17	6	20%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Hank Conger 2010 · AA	22	53→58	47→50	45	46	264/308/397	133	305	14	5	19%	6%	99	+1.2	244/301/373	129	284	14	3	19%	7%	91	+0.6	230/300/385	155	282	18	0	24%	8%	94	+0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps