Hector Osorio — OGILVIE

Hector OsorioCF Hickory Crawdads

Age 21 L/L 6'0" / 150 lbs A K +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.5 · 2031

wRC+†95

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .330 / .317

PA320

HR4

SB12

K%19

BB%10

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

25→25

SPD

45→45

EYE

56↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.5peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.5	$23M	+$22M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.5	$24M	+$23M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.4	$24M	+$23M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+2.2	$22M	+$18M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+1.9	$20M	+$13M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+1.6	$17M	+$9M
Totals		$22M		$130M	+$108M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL TEX Red	39	32	7	1	0	0	5	9	2	1	1	.219	.359	.250	.609	.031	.304	23	13	.272	66	-1	-0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2023	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	223	177	38	8	1	1	29	40	9	17	4	.215	.353	.288	.642	.073	.257	18	13	.286	77	-6	+2	+0	+1	+6	0.3
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	104	84	17	1	0	1	14	28	4	7	1	.202	.343	.250	.593	.048	.286	27	13	.270	65	-4	+1	+0	+0	+3	0.0
2025	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	358	305	65	4	3	4	33	63	14	11	6	.213	.318	.285	.603	.072	.252	18	9	.269	64	-15	-0	+0	+1	+10	-0.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	A	Hickory Crawdads	81	69	15	4	1	3	8	13	3	5	1	.217	.325	.435	.760	.217	.222	16	10	.326	108	+1	+1	+0	+0	+2	0.4
ROS	21	MLB	TEX	239	206	47	7	2	4	24	44	7	7	2	.228	.329	.340	.669	.112	.269	18	10	.305	91	-2	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.6
TOT	21	MLB	TEX	320	275	62	11	3	7	32	57	10	12	3	.225	.328	.364	.692	.138	.258	18	10	.310	95	-2	+1	+0	+1	+9	1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	TEX	408	349	81	12	3	7	44	70	12	10	3	.232	.338	.344	.682	.112	.269	17	11	.312	97	-2	+1	+0	+1	+12	1.2
2028	23	MLB 28%	TEX	471	403	94	14	3	9	52	81	13	11	3	.233	.340	.350	.690	.117	.271	17	11	.319	102	+1	+1	+0	+2	+13	1.8
2029	24	MLB 45%	TEX	513	437	105	16	4	11	57	88	14	11	3	.240	.346	.371	.717	.130	.273	17	11	.323	106	+3	+1	+0	+2	+15	2.1
2030	25	MLB 60%	TEX	536	456	110	17	4	12	61	92	14	11	3	.241	.348	.375	.723	.134	.274	17	11	.327	108	+5	+1	+0	+2	+15	2.3
2031	26	MLB 77%	TEX	548	465	112	17	4	12	63	94	15	10	2	.241	.350	.372	.722	.131	.274	17	11	.328	109	+6	+1	+0	+2	+16	2.5
2032	27	MLB 92%	TEX	551	467	112	17	4	12	64	95	15	10	2	.240	.350	.370	.720	.131	.274	17	12	.328	109	+6	+1	+0	+2	+16	2.5
2033	28	MLB	TEX	549	465	112	17	4	12	64	96	15	9	2	.241	.351	.372	.723	.131	.274	17	12	.327	109	+5	+1	-1	+2	+16	2.4
2034	29	MLB	TEX	540	458	110	17	4	12	63	95	14	8	1	.240	.350	.373	.723	.133	.273	18	12	.325	107	+4	+1	-1	+2	+15	2.2
2035	30	MLB	TEX	530	449	105	16	3	11	62	96	14	7	1	.234	.345	.356	.701	.122	.272	18	12	.322	105	+3	+1	-2	+2	+15	1.9
2036	31	MLB	TEX	517	437	102	15	3	11	61	95	14	6	0	.233	.346	.357	.703	.124	.270	18	12	.318	102	+1	+1	-3	+2	+15	1.6
2037	32	MLB	TEX	499	425	96	14	3	10	58	95	13	5	0	.226	.337	.344	.680	.118	.269	19	12	.314	98	-1	+1	-4	+2	+14	1.3
2038	33	MLB	TEX	469	399	90	13	3	9	55	92	12	4	0	.226	.337	.341	.678	.115	.267	20	12	.308	94	-3	+1	-4	+2	+13	0.9
2039	34	MLB	TEX	422	359	79	11	3	7	49	87	11	4	0	.220	.332	.326	.658	.106	.266	21	12	.302	89	-5	+1	-5	+2	+12	0.4
2040	35	MLB	TEX	369	315	67	9	2	6	42	79	9	4	0	.213	.322	.311	.634	.098	.264	21	11	.295	84	-7	+1	-6	+1	+10	0.0
2041	36	MLB	TEX	309	263	55	8	2	4	35	70	8	3	0	.209	.320	.300	.621	.091	.261	23	11	.287	78	-8	+1	-6	+1	+9	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8194	6951	1604	234	55	155	935	1509	229	156	34	.231	.341	.347	.688	.116	.271	18	11	.313	98	-19	+18	-31	+29	+232	23.3
/ 162G	—			650	551	127	19	4	12	74	120	18	12	3	.230	.340	.345	.685	.114	.272	18	11	.313	98	-2	+1	-2	+2	+18	1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL TEX Red	39	29	8	1	0	0	8	6	2	1	1	.276	.462	.310	.772	.034	.348	15	21	.376	146	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	223	157	46	8	1	1	49	26	9	17	4	.293	.484	.376	.860	.083	.326	12	22	.392	158	+15	+2	—	—	+6	2.3
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	104	77	22	1	1	1	21	19	4	7	1	.286	.461	.364	.824	.078	.362	18	20	.382	151	+6	+1	—	—	+3	1.0
2025	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	358	283	71	5	4	4	55	43	14	11	6	.251	.398	.339	.737	.088	.279	12	15	.342	120	+8	-0	—	—	+10	1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hector Osorio (OGILVIE)	21	45	25	45	60	.229/.330/.317	.087	.281	4	6	19%	10%	89	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Richi Sanchez 2015 · A	21	49	38→45	49→50	54	.230/.313/.315	.085	.291	5	8	21%	10%	79	+0.3	.213/.274/.290	.077	.279	3	7	23%	7%	56	-1.3	.202/.252/.280	.079	.255	0	6	20%	6%	40	-0.6
✕Noah Mendlinger 2022 · A	21	48→58	39→40	45	51	.228/.304/.321	.093	.288	5	7	22%	9%	77	+0.1	.241/.330/.319	.078	.292	4	8	17%	9%	89	+0.9	.264/.349/.334	.069	.312	2	8	14%	8%	97	+1.1
●J.P. Crawford 2016 · AA	21	52→58	41→45	48→50	53	.248/.314/.348	.100	.291	8	13	17%	8%	88	+0.9	.222/.296/.324	.102	.270	9	9	20%	9%	75	-0.0	.263/.355/.386	.123	.307	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.8
✕Henry Henry 2008 · A	21	52	40	49→60	53	.246/.330/.342	.097	.293	8	14	18%	9%	94	+1.3	.241/.302/.320	.079	.274	5	21	13%	7%	76	+0.0	.250/.305/.317	.067	.277	4	30	11%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Greg Garcia 2012 · A	22	49→53	39→40	45→50	47	.231/.299/.320	.090	.289	5	8	21%	7%	75	-0.0	.239/.314/.335	.096	.306	6	10	22%	8%	85	+0.7	.241/.350/.334	.093	.308	6	3	21%	13%	99	+0.8
✕Josh Alley 2006 · A	22	50	39→40	45→50	58	.236/.327/.314	.078	.283	7	9	18%	11%	85	+0.7	.226/.314/.307	.081	.276	5	10	18%	11%	78	+0.2	.231/.321/.316	.085	.279	4	11	17%	12%	80	+0.2
✕Carlos Vidal 2017 · A	21	49	42→45	49→50	48	.238/.307/.349	.111	.292	9	12	21%	8%	85	+0.7	.225/.272/.314	.089	.289	5	7	23%	5%	61	-1.0	.225/.269/.312	.087	.288	4	6	22%	5%	55	-0.7
✕Dan Robinson 2019 · A	22	51	38→40	51→50	51	.241/.303/.331	.090	.286	4	10	17%	8%	79	+0.3	.215/.285/.291	.076	.277	4	7	22%	9%	61	-1.0	.195/.273/.259	.063	.255	3	5	22%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Edgar Munoz 2012 · A	20	54	37→30	47→55	51	.255/.324/.328	.073	.292	4	17	14%	7%	88	+0.9	.220/.280/.282	.062	.264	3	18	17%	6%	56	-1.3	.214/.266/.287	.073	.260	7	19	20%	6%	47	-0.6
✕Ulises Montilla 2013 · A	21	52	38→45	47→50	53	.245/.308/.335	.090	.272	4	11	12%	7%	82	+0.5	.228/.285/.320	.092	.279	4	7	19%	6%	68	-0.5	.221/.273/.326	.105	.277	3	0	20%	6%	63	-0.3
★Geraldo Perdomo 2021 · A	21	49→56	38→45	51→55	52	.228/.309/.308	.080	.281	4	17	19%	9%	76	+0.1	.205/.295/.293	.088	.269	6	12	24%	10%	67	-0.5	.256/.355/.382	.126	.288	11	19	14%	12%	111	+2.2
✕Elias Arias 2015 · A	21	49	36→30	47→55	48	.229/.296/.295	.067	.290	4	15	22%	8%	66	-0.6	.202/.260/.275	.073	.287	5	11	29%	7%	46	-2.0	.161/.210/.245	.083	.254	7	9	38%	5%	13	-0.9
✕Noe Becerra 2008 · AAA	21	47	41→30	46→40	48	.228/.290/.329	.101	.275	8	9	20%	7%	73	-0.1	.209/.269/.288	.079	.267	7	8	23%	7%	53	-1.5	.224/.278/.263	.039	.276	2	1	18%	6%	48	-0.5
✕Sherman Lacrus 2016 · A	22	47	40→30	45→50	49	.225/.297/.314	.089	.263	7	7	17%	7%	73	-0.1	.204/.258/.288	.084	.268	6	8	25%	6%	49	-1.8	.183/.231/.254	.071	.236	5	9	24%	4%	26	-1.1
✕Carlos Mendoza 2021 · A	21	47→56	35→40	51→55	53	.218/.299/.284	.066	.260	2	16	16%	9%	66	-0.6	.239/.343/.309	.070	.301	3	14	19%	12%	92	+1.2	.252/.341/.336	.084	.311	6	19	19%	9%	94	+0.9
✕Marcus Lemon 2009 · A	21	51→53	40	45	47	.240/.302/.338	.098	.297	6	10	20%	7%	80	+0.4	.235/.281/.313	.078	.292	4	8	20%	6%	64	-0.8	.237/.285/.325	.089	.301	4	6	22%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Casey Turgeon 2015 · A	22	49	40	47→45	53	.231/.310/.330	.098	.279	7	7	19%	9%	82	+0.5	.209/.295/.294	.085	.265	5	7	21%	10%	67	-0.5	.193/.286/.274	.081	.246	6	7	22%	10%	56	-0.7
✕Edgar Rondon 2016 · A	21	50	38→40	52→50	45	.230/.302/.320	.090	.314	3	12	26%	7%	76	+0.0	.214/.283/.288	.074	.342	3	11	35%	7%	59	-1.1	.171/.249/.199	.028	.339	0	12	45%	7%	20	-0.7
●Tony Kemp 2014 · A	22	47→57	40→45	49→55	52	.226/.304/.314	.088	.282	7	10	22%	9%	76	+0.0	.265/.332/.360	.095	.313	6	23	16%	8%	98	+1.6	.272/.339/.360	.088	.321	4	25	15%	8%	98	+1.4
✕Daniel Vellojin 2021 · A	21	44	39→45	47→45	51	.211/.294/.300	.090	.264	6	8	22%	9%	69	-0.4	.202/.296/.318	.116	.280	11	6	29%	11%	74	-0.1	.178/.276/.292	.113	.249	12	4	31%	11%	56	-0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)