Hector Osorio — OGILVIE

Hector OsorioCF Hickory Crawdads

Age 21 L/L 6'0" / 150 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION380 act + 253 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†107

AVG/OBP/SLG.242 / .338 / .392

PA253

HR8

SB5

K%17

BB%9

BABIP264

ISO150

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.2	$18M	+$17M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.2	$16M	+$16M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+3.0	$14M	+$14M
2034	Arb-1	$6M	+2.8	$12M	+$10M
2035	Arb-2	$9M	+2.5	$10M	+$7M
2036	Arb-3	$11M	+2.2	$8M	+$4M
Totals		$28M		$78M	+$67M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL TEX Red	—	39	32	7	1	0	0	5	9	2	1	1	219	359	250	609	31	304	23	13	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL TEX Red	—	39	29	8	1	0	0	8	6	2	1	1	276	462	310	772	34	348	15	21	376	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	223	177	38	8	1	1	29	40	9	17	4	215	353	288	642	73	257	18	13	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	223	157	46	8	1	1	49	26	9	17	4	293	484	376	860	83	326	12	22	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	104	84	18	1	1	1	14	28	4	7	1	214	353	286	639	71	304	27	13	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	104	77	22	1	1	1	21	19	4	7	1	286	461	364	824	78	362	18	20	382	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	358	306	64	3	3	4	32	63	14	11	6	209	312	278	590	69	247	18	9	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	358	283	71	5	4	4	55	43	14	11	6	251	398	339	737	88	279	12	15	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	TEX	—	380	327	82	12	1	18	35	61	12	9	6	251	345	459	804	208	254	16	9	342	120	+8	-1	+0	+1	+11	2.0
YTD	21	A	TEX	—	380	308	91	15	1	20	54	44	12	9	6	295	420	545	965	250	286	12	14	418	178	+33	-1	+0	+1	+11	4.6
ROS	21	A	TEX	0%	253	219	53	7	1	8	24	42	8	5	3	242	338	392	730	150	262	17	9	326	107	+2	-0	+0	+1	+7	1.0
ROS	21	MLB	TEX	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		264	—	—	305	92	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	A	TEX	—	380	328	82	12	1	18	35	61	12	9	6	250	345	457	802	207	253	16	9	342	120	+8	-1	+0	+1	+11	2.0
TOT	21	A	TEX	—	633	546	135	19	2	26	59	103	20	14	9	247	342	432	774	185	258	16	9	335	115	+11	-1	+0	+2	+18	3.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	TEX	48%	581	506	122	17	3	18	55	96	15	9	5	241	333	393	727	152	262	17	9	325	107	+5	-0	+0	+2	+16	2.3
2028	23	MLB	TEX	68%	609	531	130	18	3	20	58	101	15	10	5	245	336	403	739	158	265	17	10	330	111	+7	+0	+0	+2	+17	2.7
2029	24	MLB	TEX	74%	627	547	134	19	3	21	60	104	15	10	5	245	336	406	742	161	267	17	10	333	113	+9	+0	+0	+2	+18	3.0
2030	25	MLB	TEX	77%	638	555	137	20	3	21	62	106	16	10	5	247	340	407	747	160	267	17	10	335	114	+10	+0	+0	+2	+18	3.1
2031	26	MLB	TEX	78%	637	554	138	20	3	22	62	106	16	10	5	249	342	415	757	166	267	17	10	336	115	+11	+0	+0	+2	+18	3.2
2032	27	MLB	TEX	77%	629	547	135	20	3	21	62	105	15	10	5	247	340	410	749	163	267	17	10	336	115	+11	+0	+0	+2	+18	3.2
2033	28	MLB	TEX	77%	619	537	133	19	3	21	62	104	15	10	5	248	342	412	754	164	267	17	10	335	115	+10	+0	-1	+2	+18	3.0
2034	29	MLB	TEX	75%	609	528	130	19	3	20	61	104	15	9	5	246	341	407	748	161	266	17	10	333	113	+9	-0	-1	+2	+17	2.8
2035	30	MLB	TEX	73%	598	519	126	18	2	20	60	103	14	8	4	243	337	401	738	158	265	17	10	331	111	+8	+0	-2	+2	+17	2.5
2036	31	MLB	TEX	73%	587	509	122	17	2	19	59	103	14	8	4	240	335	393	728	153	263	18	10	327	108	+6	+0	-3	+2	+17	2.2
2037	32	MLB	TEX	72%	576	500	117	16	2	18	57	104	14	7	3	234	329	382	711	148	261	18	10	322	104	+3	+0	-4	+2	+16	1.8
2038	33	MLB	TEX	79%	497	433	100	13	2	15	49	92	12	5	3	231	326	374	700	143	257	19	10	315	99	-0	-0	-4	+2	+14	1.1
2039	34	MLB	TEX	74%	423	368	83	11	2	12	42	81	10	4	2	226	321	364	686	139	252	19	10	307	93	-3	+0	-5	+2	+12	0.5
2040	35	MLB	TEX	70%	369	322	69	8	1	10	36	73	8	3	2	214	309	339	647	124	247	20	10	298	86	-6	-0	-6	+1	+10	0.0
2041	36	MLB	TEX	61%	309	269	56	6	1	8	30	64	7	2	1	208	304	327	631	119	242	21	10	288	78	-8	+0	-6	+1	+9	-0.4
2027	22	MLB	TEX	48%	281	245	59	8	1	9	27	47	7	5	2	241	333	392	725	151	263	17	10	307	93	-2	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.7
2028	23	MLB	TEX	68%	415	361	89	13	2	13	40	69	11	7	3	247	340	402	741	155	266	17	10	313	98	-1	+0	+0	+1	+12	1.3
2029	24	MLB	TEX	74%	465	406	100	14	2	16	45	77	11	8	4	246	338	409	747	163	268	17	10	317	101	+0	+0	+0	+2	+13	1.5
2030	25	MLB	TEX	77%	490	428	106	15	2	17	47	82	12	8	4	248	339	411	750	164	269	17	10	319	102	+1	+0	+0	+2	+14	1.7
2031	26	MLB	TEX	78%	498	434	108	16	2	17	49	83	12	8	4	249	341	412	754	164	269	17	10	320	103	+2	+0	+0	+2	+14	1.8
2032	27	MLB	TEX	77%	485	422	105	15	2	17	48	81	12	8	4	249	342	415	757	166	269	17	10	320	103	+2	+0	+0	+2	+14	1.7
2033	28	MLB	TEX	77%	474	412	102	15	2	16	47	80	12	7	4	248	342	410	752	163	268	17	10	319	102	+1	-0	-1	+2	+13	1.6
2034	29	MLB	TEX	75%	454	395	97	14	2	15	45	77	11	7	3	246	339	405	744	159	268	17	10	317	101	+1	+0	-1	+2	+13	1.4
2035	30	MLB	TEX	73%	439	381	93	13	2	15	44	76	11	6	3	244	339	407	746	163	267	17	10	315	99	-0	+0	-2	+2	+12	1.2
2036	31	MLB	TEX	73%	427	371	90	13	2	14	43	75	10	6	3	243	337	402	739	159	265	18	10	311	96	-2	+0	-2	+2	+12	1.0
2037	32	MLB	TEX	72%	417	362	86	12	2	13	42	75	10	5	3	238	333	390	723	152	262	18	10	306	92	-4	-0	-3	+1	+12	0.7
2038	33	MLB	TEX	79%	390	339	79	11	1	12	39	72	9	4	2	233	328	378	706	145	259	18	10	300	88	-6	+0	-3	+1	+11	0.4
2039	34	MLB	TEX	74%	313	272	61	8	1	9	31	60	7	3	2	224	319	360	680	136	254	19	10	292	81	-7	-0	-4	+1	+9	-0.0
2040	35	MLB	TEX	70%	257	224	49	6	1	7	25	51	6	2	1	219	314	348	662	129	249	20	10	282	74	-7	+0	-4	+1	+7	-0.3
2041	36	MLB	TEX	61%	187	163	35	4	1	5	18	39	4	1	1	215	308	344	652	129	243	21	10	273	67	-7	-0	-4	+1	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5992	5216	1259	177	25	195	590	1044	145	85	43	241	335	397	732	156	266	17	10	310	96	-29	-0	-22	+21	+170	14.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	137	19	3	21	64	113	16	9	5	242	336	398	734	155	267	17	10	310	96	-3	-0	-2	+2	+18	1.5
Career	—			—	9285	8043	1912	261	42	280	919	1628	238	156	74	238	334	385	719	147	264	18	10	322	104	+47	+2	-31	+33	+263	32.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	134	18	3	20	64	114	17	11	5	238	334	387	721	149	263	18	10	322	104	+3	+0	-2	+2	+18	2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL TEX Red	—	39	29	8	1	0	0	8	6	2	1	1	276	462	310	772	34	348	15	21	376	146	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	223	157	46	8	1	1	49	26	9	17	4	293	484	376	860	83	326	12	22	392	158	+15	+2	—	—	+6	2.3
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	104	77	22	1	1	1	21	19	4	7	1	286	461	364	824	78	362	18	20	382	151	+6	+1	—	—	+3	1.0
2025	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	358	283	71	5	4	4	55	43	14	11	6	251	398	339	737	88	279	12	15	342	120	+8	-0	—	—	+10	1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chase Headleylast yr '18 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,740 PA	11	5,740	130	93	263	343	400	+6	+26	27.6	26.7
	/162	664	15	11	263	343	400	+0.8	+3.1	3.2	pk7: 26
#2Aaron Hilllast yr '17 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,217 PA	13	6,217	162	74	266	323	417	+22	+25	27.7	26.1
	/162	664	17	8	266	323	417	+2.4	+2.6	3.0	pk7: 25
#3Mike Moustakaslast yr '23 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,577 PA	13	5,577	215	21	247	307	431	+14	+18	22.8	22.1
	/162	664	26	3	247	307	431	+1.6	+2.1	2.7	pk7: 21
#4Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	11	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
	/162	664	20	11	251	330	422	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
#5Chris Younglast yr '18 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA	13	5,316	191	142	235	314	428	-0	+3	21.3	20.7
	/162	664	24	18	235	314	428	-0.0	+0.4	2.7	pk7: 20
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	6,313	196	90	241	331	392	+6	+30	24.3	20.1
	/162	664	21	10	241	331	392	+0.6	+3.2	2.6	pk7: 16
#6Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	9	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
	/162	664	27	6	242	311	438	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hector Osorio (OGILVIE)	21	45	25	45	60	247/342/432	185	258	26	14	16%	9%	115	+3.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●J.P. Crawford 2016 · AA	21	53→58	41→45	48→50	54	253/321/356	103	294	8	13	16%	9%	92	+1.2	215/289/317	102	264	9	9	21%	9%	70	-0.3	264/356/391	126	308	11	2	17%	11%	114	+2.9
✕Noah Mendlinger 2022 · A	21	49→59	39→40	44→45	51	229/306/320	91	288	5	6	21%	9%	78	+0.2	243/331/320	77	296	4	8	18%	9%	89	+0.9	272/355/343	71	323	2	8	15%	8%	101	+1.3
✕Richi Sanchez 2015 · A	21	49	38→45	49→50	53	229/311/311	82	291	5	8	22%	10%	78	+0.2	212/272/290	78	279	3	7	23%	7%	55	-1.4	202/252/280	79	255	0	6	20%	6%	40	-0.6
✕Carlos Vidal 2017 · A	21	48	43→45	49→50	48	234/302/348	114	288	10	12	22%	7%	83	+0.6	232/278/326	94	303	6	7	24%	5%	66	-0.6	237/281/332	95	308	5	6	24%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Henry Henry 2008 · A	21	52	41→40	50→60	53	246/331/344	98	291	8	14	18%	9%	95	+1.4	238/298/316	78	271	5	21	13%	6%	72	-0.2	250/305/317	67	277	4	30	11%	6%	72	-0.1
★Geraldo Perdomo 2021 · A	21	48→56	38→45	50→55	51	226/304/308	82	280	5	17	20%	8%	74	-0.1	202/292/288	86	269	6	12	25%	10%	64	-0.8	259/359/388	129	285	11	20	12%	12%	115	+2.3
●Justin Yurchak 2018 · A	21	51→61	44→45	49→40	53	251/319/370	119	297	12	4	19%	9%	95	+1.4	229/292/323	94	289	7	3	22%	8%	72	-0.2	283/345/393	110	351	11	2	21%	8%	110	+1.4
✕Greg Garcia 2011 · A	21	46→54	40	44→50	43	222/277/317	96	274	7	8	22%	5%	65	-0.7	237/310/328	91	301	5	9	21%	8%	82	+0.5	242/351/334	92	309	6	3	21%	13%	98	+0.8
✕Josh Alley 2006 · A	22	50	38→40	44→50	58	235/325/309	75	284	6	9	19%	11%	83	+0.6	227/312/309	82	280	5	10	18%	11%	78	+0.2	232/320/318	86	282	4	11	18%	11%	80	+0.2
✕Ulises Montilla 2013 · A	21	53	39→45	48→50	52	246/307/337	92	273	4	12	12%	7%	82	+0.5	226/283/318	92	280	4	7	19%	6%	67	-0.5	221/273/326	105	277	3	0	20%	6%	63	-0.3
✕Dan Robinson 2019 · A	22	52	38→40	51→50	51	243/305/334	91	287	4	10	16%	8%	80	+0.4	215/282/292	77	281	4	7	23%	8%	59	-1.1	197/270/264	67	260	2	5	23%	9%	44	-1.3
✕Sherman Lacrus 2016 · A	22	46	40→30	45→50	49	222/293/313	91	261	7	7	18%	7%	71	-0.3	207/262/291	84	277	5	8	26%	6%	51	-1.7	188/240/263	74	248	4	9	25%	5%	33	-0.9
✕Noe Becerra 2008 · AAA	21	48	40→30	46→40	49	228/291/326	98	274	7	8	19%	7%	72	-0.2	210/269/291	81	267	7	8	23%	7%	54	-1.4	222/274/260	38	273	2	1	18%	6%	46	-0.6
✕Daniel Vellojin 2021 · A	21	45	39→45	47→45	51	215/298/306	91	267	6	8	21%	9%	71	-0.3	200/293/314	114	279	11	5	29%	11%	72	-0.2	179/275/290	111	249	12	4	31%	11%	56	-0.7
✕Jorbit Vivas 2023 · A	22	50→56	44→45	47→50	51	241/315/358	117	266	11	4	14%	7%	92	+1.2	227/311/333	106	261	9	14	16%	8%	84	+0.6	220/310/318	98	254	8	18	16%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Casey Turgeon 2015 · A	22	49	40	47→45	53	232/312/331	99	279	7	7	19%	9%	83	+0.6	207/297/294	87	264	6	7	22%	10%	68	-0.5	192/288/279	86	245	7	7	23%	10%	59	-0.6
✕Chad Boyd 2007 · A	22	57→48	40→45	41→45	48	270/314/372	102	310	5	6	15%	6%	93	+1.3	240/292/352	112	297	9	8	21%	6%	79	+0.3	232/287/346	114	286	10	8	22%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Luis Sierra 2008 · A	21	47	40	47→45	48	224/297/316	93	266	7	7	18%	7%	74	-0.1	226/275/322	96	273	9	7	20%	5%	65	-0.7	231/270/325	94	282	8	4	21%	5%	61	-0.4
✕Marcus Lemon 2009 · A	21	50→53	40	45	47	240/301/340	100	298	6	9	21%	7%	80	+0.4	237/280/314	77	294	3	8	19%	5%	64	-0.8	233/281/325	92	296	4	6	22%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Ramiro Rodriguez 2019 · A	21	47	42→40	45→50	51	226/301/332	106	263	8	8	17%	8%	79	+0.3	198/275/284	86	283	6	15	30%	9%	56	-1.3	164/248/239	75	241	6	19	32%	9%	33	-1.0