Drew Gilbert
CF San Francisco Giants| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 339 | .213/.331/.395 | 14 | 5 | 75 | — | .176/.260/.303 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA/A2 orgs | 408 | .262/.371/.466 | 14 | 6 | 96 | — | .231/.317/.403 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLBSF | 109 | .190/.250/.350 | 3 | 1 | 70 | -0.6 | |
| 2026 | 25 | AAASF | 56 | .289/.396/.400 | 1 | 0 | 97 | — | .277/.358/.383 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLBSF | 393 | .238/.332/.394 | 11 | 3 | 108 | 1.2 | |
| 2027PROJ | 26 | MLBSF | 398 | .239/.322/.392 | 11 | 4 | 107 | 1.4 | |
| 2028PROJ98% MLB | 27 | MLBSF | 385 | .238/.322/.390 | 11 | 4 | 106 | 1.3 | |
| 2029PROJ98% MLB | 28 | MLBSF | 377 | .236/.320/.386 | 10 | 3 | 104 | 1.1 |
Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 55 / POW 55
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 22 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 238 | 273 | 381 | 654 | 143 | 200 | 0 | 5 | 291 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | FCL Astros Orange | — | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 455 | 529 | 818 | 1.348 | 364 | 500 | 12 | 18 | 524 | 185 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 418 | 347 | 94 | 18 | 2 | 12 | 52 | 76 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 271 | 367 | 438 | 805 | 167 | 312 | 18 | 12 | 354 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | — | 95 | 86 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 360 | 421 | 686 | 1.107 | 326 | 424 | 22 | 6 | 476 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | — | 247 | 214 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 51 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 215 | 313 | 393 | 706 | 178 | 234 | 21 | 10 | 317 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 92 | 72 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 380 | 403 | 783 | 194 | 204 | 15 | 18 | 360 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 109 | 100 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 190 | 250 | 350 | 600 | 160 | 205 | 18 | 6 | 266 | 70 | -4 | -0 | +2 | -6 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 381 | 319 | 81 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 47 | 63 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 254 | 366 | 448 | 814 | 194 | 278 | 17 | 12 | 360 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A | St. Lucie Mets | — | 27 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 375 | 444 | 708 | 1.153 | 333 | 368 | 11 | 11 | 494 | 170 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 393 | 340 | 81 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 39 | 71 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 238 | 332 | 394 | 727 | 156 | 268 | 18 | 10 | 324 | 108 | +4 | -1 | -1 | +2 | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 56 | 45 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 289 | 396 | 400 | 796 | 111 | 300 | 9 | 11 | 346 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 502 | 440 | 100 | 19 | 4 | 14 | 46 | 91 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 227 | 315 | 384 | 699 | 157 | 254 | 18 | 9 | 312 | 97 | -2 | -1 | +1 | -4 | +11 | 0.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 22 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 238 | 273 | 381 | 654 | 143 | 184 | 0 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Astros Orange | — | 17 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 357 | 471 | 643 | 1.113 | 286 | 381 | 18 | 12 | 441 | 185 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 418 | 372 | 92 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 92 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 247 | 324 | 390 | 713 | 142 | 290 | 22 | 9 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 95 | 88 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 284 | 337 | 511 | 848 | 227 | 357 | 29 | 4 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 247 | 221 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 63 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 176 | 260 | 303 | 563 | 127 | 207 | 26 | 8 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 109 | 100 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 190 | 250 | 350 | 600 | 160 | 205 | 18 | 6 | 271 | 70 | -4 | -0 | +2 | -6 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 381 | 334 | 74 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 75 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 222 | 310 | 383 | 694 | 162 | 248 | 20 | 9 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 27 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 360 | 407 | 680 | 1.087 | 320 | 331 | 15 | 7 | 420 | 170 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 393 | 342 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 71 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 243 | 332 | 406 | 739 | 164 | 268 | 18 | 9 | 327 | 108 | +4 | -1 | -1 | +2 | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 56 | 47 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 277 | 358 | 383 | 741 | 106 | 273 | 11 | 7 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 39 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 286 | 359 | 486 | 845 | 200 | 267 | 8 | 8 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 39 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 312 | 385 | 531 | 916 | 219 | 286 | 5 | 10 | 392 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 461 | 116 | 21 | 3 | 15 | 39 | 121 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 252 | 322 | 408 | 730 | 156 | 307 | 24 | 8 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 513 | 433 | 125 | 26 | 3 | 18 | 58 | 97 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 289 | 377 | 487 | 865 | 199 | 332 | 19 | 11 | 377 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 339 | 303 | 52 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 87 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 172 | 257 | 290 | 548 | 119 | 207 | 26 | 8 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 339 | 286 | 61 | 10 | 0 | 14 | 42 | 65 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 213 | 331 | 395 | 726 | 182 | 226 | 19 | 12 | 329 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 517 | 459 | 101 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 42 | 99 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 220 | 301 | 390 | 691 | 170 | 246 | 19 | 8 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 517 | 443 | 109 | 25 | 5 | 17 | 57 | 86 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 246 | 346 | 440 | 786 | 194 | 267 | 17 | 11 | 347 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 449 | 389 | 96 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 41 | 77 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 247 | 336 | 404 | 739 | 157 | 274 | 17 | 9 | 325 | 106 | +3 | -1 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 449 | 385 | 94 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 76 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 244 | 340 | 395 | 735 | 151 | 272 | 17 | 10 | 327 | 106 | +3 | -1 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 39 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 286 | 359 | 486 | 845 | 200 | 270 | 8 | 8 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 460 | 116 | 21 | 3 | 15 | 39 | 121 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 252 | 322 | 409 | 731 | 157 | 302 | 24 | 8 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 339 | 301 | 52 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 87 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 173 | 257 | 292 | 550 | 120 | 207 | 26 | 8 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 517 | 459 | 101 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 42 | 99 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 220 | 301 | 390 | 691 | 170 | 243 | 19 | 8 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 449 | 394 | 96 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 41 | 77 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 244 | 336 | 398 | 734 | 155 | 269 | 17 | 9 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 339 | 301 | 52 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 87 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 173 | 257 | 292 | 550 | 120 | 207 | 26 | 8 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 517 | 459 | 101 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 42 | 99 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 220 | 301 | 390 | 691 | 170 | 243 | 19 | 8 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 449 | 394 | 96 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 41 | 77 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 244 | 336 | 398 | 734 | 155 | 269 | 17 | 9 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | SF | 100% | 482 | 426 | 103 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 43 | 88 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 243 | 327 | 405 | 732 | 161 | 273 | 18 | 9 | 326 | 107 | +4 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +10 | 1.6 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | SF | 100% | 398 | 351 | 85 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 73 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 239 | 322 | 392 | 715 | 154 | 269 | 18 | 9 | 320 | 107 | +3 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +9 | 1.4 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | SF | 98% | 393 | 347 | 85 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 73 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 242 | 326 | 402 | 728 | 160 | 273 | 19 | 9 | 325 | 106 | +3 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +9 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB MLE | SF | 98% | 385 | 341 | 82 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 72 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 241 | 324 | 398 | 722 | 157 | 272 | 19 | 9 | 322 | 104 | +2 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +8 | 1.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB MLE | SF | 98% | 370 | 327 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 70 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 238 | 321 | 392 | 713 | 153 | 271 | 19 | 9 | 319 | 102 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +1 | +8 | 0.9 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB MLE | SF | 98% | 357 | 315 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 69 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 318 | 384 | 702 | 149 | 269 | 19 | 9 | 314 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB MLE | SF | 98% | 338 | 299 | 69 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 67 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 313 | 374 | 686 | 143 | 266 | 20 | 9 | 308 | 95 | -2 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB MLE | SF | 98% | 314 | 278 | 63 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 63 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 306 | 360 | 667 | 135 | 262 | 20 | 9 | 300 | 89 | -4 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +7 | 0.0 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB MLE | SF | 98% | 276 | 246 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 57 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 298 | 344 | 643 | 126 | 257 | 21 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | SF | 98% | 385 | 339 | 82 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 71 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 238 | 322 | 390 | 712 | 152 | 269 | 18 | 9 | 318 | 106 | +3 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +8 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB CTX | SF | 98% | 377 | 333 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 71 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 236 | 320 | 386 | 705 | 150 | 268 | 19 | 9 | 316 | 104 | +2 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +8 | 1.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB CTX | SF | 98% | 363 | 321 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 69 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 234 | 317 | 380 | 697 | 146 | 267 | 19 | 9 | 313 | 102 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +1 | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB CTX | SF | 98% | 350 | 310 | 71 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 68 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 314 | 373 | 686 | 142 | 265 | 19 | 9 | 308 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB CTX | SF | 98% | 331 | 293 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 65 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 309 | 363 | 672 | 136 | 262 | 20 | 9 | 302 | 95 | -2 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB CTX | SF | 98% | 308 | 273 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 62 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 302 | 350 | 652 | 129 | 258 | 20 | 9 | 295 | 89 | -4 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +7 | 0.0 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB CTX | SF | 98% | 270 | 240 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 56 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 295 | 335 | 629 | 120 | 253 | 21 | 9 | 285 | 83 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +6 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2886 | 2549 | 583 | 108 | 18 | 74 | 257 | 553 | 54 | 12 | 8 | 229 | 313 | 372 | 685 | 144 | 263 | 19 | 9 | 308 | 96 | -8 | -1 | -15 | +5 | +63 | 4.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 574 | 131 | 24 | 4 | 17 | 58 | 125 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 228 | 312 | 373 | 685 | 145 | 261 | 19 | 9 | 308 | 96 | -2 | -0 | -3 | +1 | +14 | 1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4688 | 4151 | 964 | 175 | 29 | 132 | 401 | 931 | 95 | 45 | 20 | 232 | 314 | 384 | 698 | 152 | 267 | 20 | 9 | 310 | 96 | -5 | -0 | -15 | +6 | +72 | 5.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 576 | 133 | 24 | 4 | 18 | 56 | 129 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 231 | 314 | 380 | 694 | 149 | 266 | 20 | 9 | 310 | 96 | -1 | -0 | -3 | +1 | +14 | 1.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAASacramento River Cats · 56 PAwOBA .343 → .311 (−32)K% 8.9% → 10.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.93% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 10.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.57% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 3.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.984 | ×1.018 | 23.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.984 | ×1.018 | 4.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.984 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 1.78% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .343 → .311; ISO .111 → .093; BABIP .300 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAASacramento River Cats · 381 PAwOBA .355 → .303 (−52)K% 16.5% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.54% | ÷1.010 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.34% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 8.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.62% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.36% | ÷1.030 | ×0.930 | ×0.966 | ×1.033 | 16.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.03% | ÷0.959 | ×0.830 | ×0.966 | ×1.033 | 6.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.56% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.966 | ×1.033 | 1.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.69% | ÷0.938 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 3.61% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .355 → .303; ISO .194 → .167; BABIP .278 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ASt. Lucie Mets · 27 PAwOBA .480 → .420 (−60)K% 11.1% → 14.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.060 | ×1.360 | — | — | 14.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷0.953 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 7.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷0.977 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.970 | 21.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷0.903 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.970 | 8.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.52% | ÷0.855 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 8.64% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 95, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 112, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .480 → .420; ISO .333 → .302; BABIP .368 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAASyracuse Mets · 247 PAwOBA .310 → .250 (−60)K% 20.6% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.65% | ÷0.968 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.12% | ÷0.933 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 7.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.43% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 2.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.18% | ÷1.006 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 15.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.91% | ÷0.972 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 4.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.13% | ÷1.059 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 4.25% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 101, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 94, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .310 → .250; ISO .178 → .125; BABIP .234 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 418 PAwOBA .347 → .310 (−37)K% 18.2% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.002 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.96% | ÷1.015 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 8.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.44% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.88% | ÷0.993 | ×0.970 | ×0.967 | ×1.027 | 22.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.64% | ÷1.032 | ×0.860 | ×0.967 | ×1.027 | 5.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.967 | ×1.027 | 0.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.43% | ÷0.925 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 3.83% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 99, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .347 → .310; ISO .167 → .149; BABIP .312 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Asheville Tourists · 95 PAwOBA .463 → .344 (−119)K% 22.1% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.11% | ÷0.971 | ×1.310 | — | — | 29.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.32% | ÷1.033 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 3.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.16% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 2.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.62% | ÷0.968 | ×0.870 | ×1.038 | ×0.998 | 22.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.31% | ÷1.099 | ×0.780 | ×1.038 | ×0.998 | 9.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.54% | ÷0.980 | ×0.850 | ×1.038 | ×0.998 | 1.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.23% | ÷1.218 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 6.66% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 94, 2B 120, 3B 96, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .463 → .344; ISO .326 → .225; BABIP .424 → .357. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 22 PAwOBA .282 → .250 (−32)K% 0.0% → 0.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.976 | ×1.360 | — | — | 0.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.55% | ÷0.999 | ×0.690 | — | — | 3.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | — | — | 17.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.930 | ×0.830 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.949 | ×0.800 | — | — | 4.01% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 98, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .282 → .250; ISO .143 → .122; BABIP .200 → .184. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKFCL Astros Orange · 17 PAwOBA .511 → .441 (−69)K% 11.8% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.76% | ÷0.986 | ×1.440 | — | — | 17.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.65% | ÷0.997 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 10.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.88% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 4.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷0.977 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 27.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.006 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 7.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.056 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 8.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 95, 2B 101, 3B 101, K 97, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .511 → .441; ISO .364 → .334; BABIP .500 → .381. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .