Colt Keith3B Detroit Tigers
Age 24 L/R 6'2" / 211 lbs MLB HR -8% Svc 2.000 · Ctrl thru 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION410 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only
showingROS
wRC+†vL 73109vR 123
AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .300 / .222
PA10
HR0
K%20
BB%10
BABIP310
ISO150
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)
BAT so far: +1.5 runs (410 MLB PA)BAT projected ROS: +0.0 runs (10 MLB PA, park-applied)+2BATRUN so far: +1.2 runs (410 MLB PA)RUN projected ROS: +0.0 runs (10 MLB PA, park-applied)+1RUNFLD so far: -0.1 runs (410 MLB PA)FLD projected ROS: -0.1 runs (10 MLB PA, park-applied)-0FLDPOS so far: +1.5 runs (410 MLB PA)POS projected ROS: +0.0 runs (10 MLB PA, park-applied)+2POSREP so far: +8.9 runs (410 MLB PA)REP projected ROS: +0.2 runs (10 MLB PA, park-applied)+9REP2026 MLB WAR (so far + projected ROS): +1.35so far: +1.3 WAR+1.3WAR
0.01.12.30.11.71.81.81.61.426272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit option yr post-control+$37M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT55
Whiff%
887.1%
xAVG
680.266
POWER45
Barrel%
447.4
Avg EV
4688.8
Bat Spd
6172.6
EYE50
Chase%
9022.4%
SPEED55
Sprint
6628.1
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%24%▼▼26% over 65 PA (30d) · proj 21%
BB%9%10% over 138 PA (60d) · proj 8%
ISO.146·.140 over 121 AB (60d) · proj .151xISO .151 vs .158 prior
HR/BB3.2%2.2% over 93 BBE (60d) · proj 4.0%barrel% 7.8% vs 7.2% prior — approach flat: likely noise/luck
BABIP.310.352 over 91 BIP (60d) · proj .306xBABIP .332 vs .330 prior — approach flat: likely noise/luck
SLASH.247/.320/.393proj .258/.323/.408
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1100 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
134
966
wRC+
73
106
▶▶R
wOBA
276
325
R
ISO
048
147
▶▶R
BABIP
354
312
L
K%
26.9%
19.8%
▶▶R
BB%
6.7%
7.9%
R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2024
Service   2.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2030
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$0.4M+0.1$0.5M+$0.1M
2027Ext$5M+1.7$13M+$8M
2028Ext$5M+1.8$12M+$9M
2029Ext$5M+1.8$11M+$8M
Totals $15M $37M +$25M
Options · projected decision
2030CLUB OPT$6.0M / $0.0M buyoutEXERCISE
2031CLUB OPT$10.0M / $1.0M buyoutEXERCISE
2032CLUB OPT$13.0M / $1.0M buyoutEXERCISE
2033CLUB OPT$15.0M / $1.0M buyoutEXERCISE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202119 A+West Michigan Whitecaps 7668 11111 8270 00 162250250500 88250 3611 234 45 -5 +0 +2 -0.3
202119 ALakeland Flying Tigers 181147 47631 30392 41 320441422863 102422 2217 390 150 +11 +0 +4 1.5
202220 A+West Michigan Whitecaps 216193 581439 22420 40 301372544916 244343 1910 397 155 +14 +1 +5 2.0
202220 INTLSalt River Rafters 8061 21303 16160 30 3444815411.022 197400 2020 435 181 +8 +1 +2 1.0
202321 AAAToledo Mud Hens 301261 7520113 35581 11 287374521895 234320 1912 387 148 +17 -0 +7 2.4
202321 AAErie SeaWolves 276246 8018214 25633 21 325394585980 260386 239 423 172 +24 +0 +6 3.0
202422 MLBDetroit Tigers 556516 13415413 361102 71 260310380690 120306 206 309 95 -3 +1 +2 +2 +12 1.4
202523 MLBDetroit Tigers 468414 10622213 481022 11 256336413749 157307 2210 333 112 +6 -0 -2 +2 +10 1.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 1024930 24037626 842124 82 258322395717 137307 218 320 103 +3 +1 -0 +4 +22 3.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202119 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps 7670 9111 6380 00 129197214412 86221 508 162 -4 -9 +0 +2 -0.8
202119 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers 181157 44531 20542 41 280369369738 89401 3011 325 106 +1 +0 +4 0.6
202220 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps 216200 481228 15590 40 240293440733 200303 277 320 103 +1 +1 +5 0.6
202321 AAA MLEToledo Mud Hens 301273 6314110 23701 11 231293399692 168265 238 303 91 -3 -0 +7 0.3
202321 AA MLEErie SeaWolves 276256 6916210 15813 21 270318465782 195349 295 334 112 +4 +0 +6 1.0
202422 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers 556516 13615414 361102 71 264314390704 126306 206 308 95 -4 +1 +2 +2 +12 1.4
202523 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers 468414 10923214 481022 11 263343430773 167307 2210 334 112 +7 -0 -2 +2 +10 1.6
202119 A MLE2 teams 257227 51632 26922 41 225310304614 79363 3610 277 73
202119 A RAW2 teams 257215 58742 38662 41 270384367752 98376 2615 344 73
202220 A+ MLE2 teams 296271 6717311 21810 70 247301454755 207306 277 320 103
202220 A+ RAW2 teams 296254 7917312 38580 70 311401543944 232356 2013 408 103
202321 AAA MLE2 teams 577528 13130220 391514 32 248305426731 178306 267 318 101
202321 AAA RAW2 teams 577507 15538327 601214 32 306384552936 247351 2110 404 101
202422 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers 556516 13615414 361102 71 264314390704 126310 206 308 95 -4 +1 +2 +2 +12 1.4
202422 MLB RAWDetroit Tigers 556516 13415413 361102 71 260310380690 120306 206 309 95 -4 +1 +2 +2 +12 1.4
202523 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers 468414 10923214 481022 11 263343430773 167315 2210 334 112 +7 -0 -2 +2 +10 1.6
202523 MLB RAWDetroit Tigers 468414 10622213 481022 11 256336413749 157307 2210 333 112 +7 -0 -2 +2 +10 1.6
202119 A MLE2 teams 257227 51632 26922 41 225310304614 79348 3610 277 73
202220 A+ MLE2 teams 296273 6717311 21810 70 245301451752 205303 277 320 103
202321 AAA MLE2 teams 577529 13130220 391514 32 248305425730 178305 267 318 101
202422 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers 556513 13615414 361102 71 265314392706 127306 206 308 95
202523 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers 468415 10923214 481022 11 263343429772 166307 2210 334 112
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
202321 AAA MLE2 teams 577529 13130220 391514 32 248305425730 178305 267 318 101
202422 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers 556513 13615414 361102 71 265314392706 127306 206 308 95
202523 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers 468415 10923214 481022 11 263343429772 166307 2210 334 112
YTD24 MLB MLEDET 410374 9716410 29825 60 259321404725 144306 207 322 104 +2 +1 -0 +1 +9 1.4
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR24 MLB RAWDET 410374 9616410 29825 60 257319401720 144303 207 321 104 +2 +1 -0 +1 +9 1.4
YTD24 MLB RAWDET 410374 9616410 29825 60 257319401720 144303 207 321 103 +2 +1 -0 +1 +9 1.3
ROS24 MLB MLEDET 100% 109 2000 120 00 222300222522 315 2010 330 109 +0 +0 -0 +0 +0 0.0
ROS24 MLB CTXDET 100% 109 2000 120 00 222300222522 310 2010 318 109 +0 +0 -0 +0 +0 0.0
FULL24 MLB A+CDET 420383 9816410 30845 60 256318397715 141302 207 321 104 +2 +1 -0 +2 +9 1.4
TOT24 MLB MLEDET 420383 9916410 30845 60 258321399720 141306 207 323 104 +2 +1 -0 +2 +9 1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202725 MLB MLEDET 98% 577522 13721416 451185 71 262327410737 148307 208 326 107 +5 +1 -3 +2 +13 1.8
202826 MLB MLEDET 98% 577522 13621416 451185 71 261325408733 148307 208 327 108 +5 +1 -3 +2 +13 1.8
202927 MLB MLEDET 98% 572516 13521416 461175 71 262328411739 149306 208 327 108 +5 +1 -3 +2 +12 1.8
203028 MLB MLEDET 98% 564508 13220316 461165 71 260327406733 146306 218 326 107 +5 +1 -4 +2 +12 1.7
203129 MLB MLEDET 98% 552497 12920315 451155 61 260327402730 143305 218 324 106 +4 +1 -4 +2 +12 1.4
203230 MLB MLEDET 98% 540486 12419314 441145 50 255323393716 138304 218 321 104 +2 +1 -5 +2 +12 1.2
203331 MLB MLEDET 98% 525472 12018314 431125 40 254323394717 140301 218 317 100 +0 +1 -5 +2 +11 0.9
203432 MLB MLEDET 98% 506456 11417313 411104 40 250317386703 136297 228 311 96 -2 +1 -6 +2 +11 0.5
203533 MLB MLEDET 98% 476431 10415211 381064 30 241309362671 121293 228 303 91 -5 +1 -7 +2 +10 0.1
203634 MLB MLEDET 94% 429388 9112210 34984 20 235303353656 119286 238 294 85 -8 +0 -7 +2 +9 -0.4
202725 MLB CTXDET 98% 565511 13120415 441155 71 256321399721 143302 208 314 107 +5 +1 -3 +2 +12 1.7
202826 MLB CTXDET 98% 565511 13120415 441155 71 256321399721 143302 208 315 108 +5 +1 -3 +2 +12 1.8
202927 MLB CTXDET 98% 561506 13020415 451155 71 257324401725 144301 208 315 108 +5 +1 -3 +2 +12 1.8
203028 MLB CTXDET 98% 553498 12719315 451145 61 255323396719 141301 218 314 107 +5 +1 -4 +2 +12 1.6
203129 MLB CTXDET 98% 541487 12419314 441135 61 255323392715 138300 218 312 106 +4 +1 -4 +2 +12 1.4
203230 MLB CTXDET 98% 529476 12018314 431115 50 252321391711 139299 218 309 104 +2 +1 -5 +2 +11 1.2
203331 MLB CTXDET 98% 514462 11517313 421105 40 249318383701 134296 218 305 100 +0 +1 -5 +2 +11 0.9
203432 MLB CTXDET 98% 496449 11016312 401084 30 245312374687 129293 228 299 96 -2 +1 -6 +2 +11 0.5
203533 MLB CTXDET 98% 466421 10014211 381044 30 238307359665 121288 228 292 91 -5 +1 -7 +2 +10 0.1
203634 MLB CTXDET 94% 401363 841129 32923 20 231299347646 116282 238 283 85 -7 +0 -7 +1 +9 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career A+C 62255623 141421137159 502131150 587 251318387705 136300 218 309 101 +15 +9 -46 +22 +135 13.7
/ 162G A+C 650587 14822417 521375 61 252318390708 138300 218 309 101 +2 +1 -5 +2 +14 1.4
Career MLE 74826763 171827545202 598166257 7410 254320398718 144307 228 317 101 +14 +9 -47 +23 +138 13.9
/ 162G MLE 650588 15024418 521445 61 255321401723 146307 228 317 101 +1 +1 -5 +2 +14 1.4