Victor Caratini — OGILVIE

Victor CaratiniC Minnesota Twins

Age 32 S/R 6'0" / 225 lbs MLB Svc 8.297 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION264 act + 176 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 122117vR 104

AVG/OBP/SLG.253 / .339 / .390

PA176

HR5

K%19

BB%9

BABIP291

ISO136

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

906.7%

xwOBA

690.331

POWER45

Barrel%

427.1

Avg EV

5989.7

Bat Spd

4470.8

EYE55

Chase%

9019.9%

SPEED30

Sprint

1024.4

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 748 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

166

582

—

wRC+

122

◀◀L

wOBA

345

311

◀L

ISO

150

128

◀L

BABIP

303

282

◀L

22.3%

16.2%

▶▶R

BB%

8.4%

6.7%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 8.297 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2027

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$3M	+0.8	$3M	+$0.6M
2027	Ext	$7M	+0.8	$3M	-$3M
Totals		$10M		$6M	-$3M

Options · projected decision
2028	MUTUAL OPT	$7.0M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2029	MUTUAL OPT	$12.0M / $3.5M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	19	ROK	Danville Braves	—	246	215	49	18	1	1	24	70	5	0	2	228	320	335	655	107	329	28	10	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	ROK	Danville Braves	—	246	200	58	23	1	1	39	49	5	0	2	290	418	430	848	140	375	20	16	382	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	A	Kane County Cougars	—	423	392	92	22	4	4	22	104	4	1	1	235	282	342	624	107	306	25	5	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	A	Kane County Cougars	—	423	376	104	22	5	5	38	69	4	1	1	277	349	402	751	125	324	16	9	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	453	409	98	26	1	5	33	101	5	0	0	240	304	345	649	105	301	22	7	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	453	393	101	31	1	4	49	75	5	0	0	257	347	372	718	115	303	17	11	323	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AA	2 teams	—	555	494	138	32	3	6	44	122	7	2	1	279	347	393	740	113	352	22	8	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AA	2 teams	—	555	474	134	28	2	6	64	94	7	2	1	283	376	388	764	105	334	17	12	343	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AAA	2 teams	—	392	360	108	24	2	11	22	66	4	1	0	300	347	469	817	169	336	17	6	357	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AAA	2 teams	—	392	351	115	30	3	11	31	61	4	1	0	328	389	524	913	197	365	16	8	396	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	MLB	3 teams	—	405	360	87	14	0	7	27	90	12	0	0	242	316	339	655	97	300	22	7	285	77	-11	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.8
2018	24	MLB	3 teams	—	405	345	92	15	0	8	42	72	12	0	0	267	366	380	746	113	312	18	10	337	116	+7	+0	+0	+7	+11	2.7
2019	25	MLB	4 teams	—	367	322	84	14	0	13	37	76	5	1	0	261	346	425	772	165	301	21	10	335	114	+6	+0	+3	+7	+10	2.6
2019	25	MLB	4 teams	—	367	315	82	15	0	11	44	68	5	1	0	260	360	413	773	152	297	19	12	347	123	+10	+0	+3	+7	+10	3.0
2020	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	132	116	28	7	0	1	12	31	4	0	1	241	333	328	661	86	321	23	9	296	84	-2	-0	+2	+2	+4	0.6
2020	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	132	116	28	7	0	1	12	31	4	0	1	241	333	328	661	86	321	23	9	307	93	-1	-0	+2	+2	+4	0.7
2021	27	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	356	313	74	10	0	8	35	82	4	2	0	236	321	345	666	109	291	23	10	278	71	-12	+0	+3	+6	+10	0.8
2021	27	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	356	313	71	9	0	7	35	82	4	2	0	227	312	323	635	96	281	23	10	290	80	-8	+0	+3	+6	+10	1.2
2022	28	MLB	2 teams	—	368	318	65	15	0	11	36	79	11	0	0	204	307	355	662	151	235	21	10	294	83	-7	+0	+11	+7	+10	2.1
2022	28	MLB	2 teams	—	368	314	62	14	0	10	40	76	11	0	0	197	310	338	647	140	226	21	11	297	85	-6	+0	+11	+7	+10	2.2
2023	29	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	226	201	52	4	0	7	19	45	3	1	1	259	332	383	715	124	296	20	8	321	104	+1	-0	+8	+4	+6	2.0
2023	29	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	226	201	52	4	0	7	19	45	3	1	1	259	332	383	715	124	296	20	8	320	103	+1	-0	+8	+4	+6	1.9
2024	30	MLB	Houston Astros	—	274	245	66	8	1	8	23	53	3	0	1	269	339	408	748	139	310	19	8	320	103	+1	-0	+9	+5	+8	2.3
2024	30	MLB	Houston Astros	—	274	245	66	8	1	8	23	53	3	0	1	269	339	408	748	139	310	19	8	333	113	+4	-0	+9	+5	+8	2.6
2025	31	MLB	Houston Astros	—	386	344	86	13	0	11	23	65	13	1	0	250	321	384	705	134	274	17	6	315	99	-0	+0	-1	+7	+11	1.7
2025	31	MLB	Houston Astros	—	386	344	89	14	0	12	23	65	13	1	0	259	329	404	733	145	282	17	6	325	107	+3	+0	-1	+7	+11	2.0
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	32	MLB	MIN	—	264	221	53	8	0	7	26	50	9	0	0	240	344	371	715	131	267	19	10	312	97	-1	+0	+0	+5	+7	1.2
YTD	32	MLB	MIN	—	264	221	53	8	0	7	26	50	9	0	0	240	344	371	715	131	267	19	10	318	102	+0	+0	+0	+5	+7	1.3
ROS	32	MLB	MIN	100%	176	154	39	6	0	5	15	33	5	0	0	253	339	390	729	136	284	19	9	325	107	+1	+0	-0	+3	+5	1.0
ROS	32	MLB	MIN	100%	176	154	39	6	0	5	15	33	5	0	0	253	339	390	729	136	284	19	9	304	91	-2	+0	-0	+3	+5	0.6
FULL	32	MLB	MIN	—	440	375	92	14	0	12	41	83	14	0	0	245	342	379	721	133	277	19	9	309	95	-3	+0	+0	+8	+12	1.8
TOT	32	MLB	MIN	—	440	375	92	14	0	12	41	83	14	0	0	245	342	379	721	133	277	19	9	317	101	+0	+0	+0	+8	+12	2.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	33	MLB	MIN	100%	278	245	60	9	0	8	23	53	8	1	0	245	330	380	709	135	281	19	8	319	102	+1	+0	-4	+5	+8	0.9
2028	34	MLB	MIN	100%	231	204	48	7	0	6	19	46	6	0	0	235	319	358	677	123	275	20	8	309	95	-1	+0	-5	+4	+7	0.4
2029	35	MLB	MIN	100%	178	156	36	5	0	4	15	36	5	0	0	231	318	340	658	109	268	20	8	298	87	-3	+0	-6	+3	+5	-0.0
2030	36	MLB	MIN	100%	126	112	25	3	0	3	10	27	3	0	0	223	304	330	634	107	261	21	8	287	78	-3	+0	-6	+2	+4	-0.4
2027	33	MLB	MIN	100%	278	245	60	9	0	8	23	53	8	1	0	245	330	380	709	135	282	19	8	298	87	-4	+0	-4	+5	+8	0.4
2028	34	MLB	MIN	100%	231	204	48	7	0	6	19	46	6	0	0	235	319	358	677	123	275	20	8	289	79	-5	+0	-5	+4	+7	0.0
2029	35	MLB	MIN	100%	178	156	36	5	0	4	15	36	5	0	0	231	318	340	658	109	268	20	8	278	71	-6	+0	-6	+3	+5	-0.3
2030	36	MLB	MIN	100%	126	112	25	3	0	3	10	27	3	0	0	223	304	330	634	107	261	21	8	267	63	-5	+0	-6	+2	+4	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3222	2846	690	105	1	84	270	652	73	6	3	242	324	369	693	126	284	20	8	306	92	-29	+0	+12	+70	+91	14.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	139	21	0	17	54	132	15	1	1	242	323	368	691	125	284	20	8	306	92	-6	-0	+2	+14	+18	3.0
Career	—			—	5572	4960	1235	237	12	119	439	1179	107	10	7	249	323	374	697	125	300	21	8	306	92	-49	-1	+12	+100	+158	22.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	144	28	1	14	51	138	12	1	1	249	322	373	695	124	300	21	8	306	92	-6	-0	+1	+12	+18	2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	19	ROK	Danville Braves	—	246	200	58	23	1	1	39	49	5	0	2	290	418	430	848	140	375	20	16	382	151	+14	-1	—	—	+7	2.1
2014	20	A	Kane County Cougars	—	423	376	104	22	5	5	38	69	4	1	1	277	349	402	751	125	324	16	9	334	114	+7	-0	—	—	+12	1.9
2015	21	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	453	393	101	31	1	4	49	75	5	0	0	257	347	372	718	115	303	17	11	323	106	+3	+0	—	—	+13	1.6
2016	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	480	412	120	25	2	6	54	80	6	2	1	291	381	405	787	114	341	17	11	351	127	+15	+0	—	—	+14	2.9
2016	22	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	75	62	14	3	0	0	10	14	1	0	0	226	342	274	617	48	286	19	13	287	78	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2017	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	66	59	15	3	0	1	4	13	3	0	0	254	333	356	689	102	311	20	6	316	100	+0	+0	-0	+7	+2	0.9
2017	23	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	326	292	100	27	3	10	27	48	1	1	0	342	400	558	958	216	375	15	8	412	173	+27	+0	—	—	+9	3.7
2018	24	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	200	181	42	7	0	2	12	42	4	0	0	232	294	304	598	72	290	21	6	272	66	-8	+0	+0	+7	+6	0.6
2018	24	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	137	115	36	7	0	4	18	25	2	0	0	313	415	478	893	165	364	18	13	394	160	+9	+0	—	—	+4	1.3
2018	24	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	68	49	14	1	0	2	12	5	6	0	0	286	478	429	906	143	279	7	18	414	175	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2019	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	279	244	65	11	0	11	29	59	3	1	0	266	351	447	798	180	305	21	10	353	128	+9	+0	+3	+7	+8	2.7
2019	25	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	18	18	5	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	278	278	333	611	56	294	6	0	272	67	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2019	25	A	South Bend Cubs	—	15	12	3	1	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	250	400	333	733	83	333	20	20	346	123	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2019	25	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	55	41	9	2	0	0	12	5	2	0	0	220	418	268	686	49	250	9	22	341	119	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2020	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	132	116	28	7	0	1	12	31	4	0	1	241	333	328	661	86	321	23	9	307	93	-1	-0	+2	+2	+4	0.7
2021	27	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	356	313	71	9	0	7	35	82	4	2	0	227	312	323	635	96	281	23	10	290	80	-8	+0	+3	+6	+10	1.2
2022	28	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	314	272	54	12	0	9	31	67	9	0	0	199	301	342	643	143	228	21	10	294	83	-6	+0	+11	+7	+9	2.1
2022	28	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	54	42	8	2	0	1	9	9	2	0	0	190	358	310	668	119	212	17	17	313	98	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	29	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	226	201	52	4	0	7	19	45	3	1	1	259	332	383	715	124	296	20	8	320	103	+1	-0	+8	+4	+6	1.9
2024	30	MLB	Houston Astros	—	274	245	66	8	1	8	23	53	3	0	1	269	339	408	748	139	310	19	8	333	113	+4	-0	+9	+5	+8	2.6
2025	31	MLB	Houston Astros	—	386	344	89	14	0	12	23	65	13	1	0	259	329	404	733	145	282	17	6	325	107	+3	+0	-1	+7	+11	2.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2233	1975	482	75	1	58	188	457	46	5	3	244	324	371	695	127	286	20	8	313	98	-6	-0	+34	+52	+63	14.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason LaRuelast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,000 PA	11	3,000	93	10	232	316	397	+32	+47	16.9	16.2
	/162	664	21	2	232	316	397	+7.1	+10.5	3.7	pk7: 15
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 15 projected seasons	15	3,740	98	8	243	322	370	+56	+50	15.3	13.3
	/162	664	17	1	243	322	370	+9.9	+8.9	2.7	pk7: 11
#3Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#4Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	12	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
	/162	664	14	3	250	308	370	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#5Josh Bardlast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,958 PA	9	1,958	38	1	252	318	381	+33	+24	10.4	10.5
#5Josh Bardlast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,958 PA	/162	664	13	0	252	318	381	+11.1	+8.0	3.5	pk7: 11
#6Ramon Santiagolast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,736 PA	11	2,736	30	30	244	314	332	+18	+31	7.4	7.8
	/162	664	7	7	244	314	332	+4.4	+7.4	1.8	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Caratini (OGILVIE)	32	55	45	30	55	245/342/379	133	277	12	0	19%	9%	101	+2.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Offerman 2001 · MLB	32	52→55	44→45	31→50	63	252/347/366	114	278	11	3	14%	13%	107	+2.2	252/333/363	111	286	10	8	15%	11%	100	+1.7	252/338/362	110	289	9	8	15%	11%	98	+1.0
✕A.J. Ellis 2014 · MLB	33	51→56	47→45	36→40	58	252/343/387	135	292	14	2	19%	11%	111	+2.5	227/330/347	120	263	12	3	17%	13%	95	+1.4	222/319/360	138	247	16	2	17%	11%	90	+0.3
✕John Jaso 2017 · MLB	33	55→57	48→50	36→45	56	269/350/424	155	312	13	3	18%	10%	123	+3.3	243/337/415	172	288	17	5	21%	11%	116	+2.8	212/330/405	192	246	20	2	22%	13%	105	+1.1
✕Luis Antonio Rodriguez 2012 · MLB	32	48→53	46→45	38→45	57	234/308/367	132	248	14	6	12%	9%	91	+1.1	236/295/362	126	257	13	6	14%	7%	84	+0.6	239/294/353	114	260	12	4	13%	6%	79	+0.1
✕Humberto Cota 2011 · AAA	32	52	48→50	38→30	49	259/317/404	144	305	16	3	20%	8%	104	+2.0	259/324/379	120	321	13	4	22%	8%	100	+1.7	250/317/369	119	307	15	1	22%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Edgar Gonzalez 2011 · MLB	33	49→59	48→45	38→50	48	243/308/383	140	290	15	6	22%	8%	95	+1.4	258/306/368	110	306	11	13	18%	6%	89	+1.0	265/308/361	96	317	10	15	19%	5%	85	+0.4
●Bengie Molina 2006 · MLB	32	55→58	50→55	35→30	50	278/319/425	147	280	19	2	10%	6%	110	+2.4	279/314/442	163	281	21	2	10%	4%	113	+2.6	281/313/443	161	281	21	0	9%	3%	108	+2.0
✕Aledmys Díaz 2023 · MLB	32	47→57	50→55	41→45	46	242/295/393	151	268	18	3	18%	6%	92	+1.2	226/282/348	122	265	12	5	19%	6%	75	-0.0	229/283/340	110	277	7	2	19%	5%	69	-0.2
✕Neil Walker 2019 · MLB	33	48→57	51→55	41→45	56	247/332/404	158	280	19	2	20%	11%	111	+2.5	250/328/390	140	306	14	6	21%	10%	105	+2.1	270/352/410	140	328	13	5	20%	11%	117	+1.8
✕John Buck 2012 · MLB	32	48→53	54→60	41→30	48	251/316/425	174	296	22	2	23%	8%	110	+2.4	227/305/376	149	277	19	3	24%	9%	92	+1.2	217/296/351	134	267	17	1	25%	9%	76	+0.1
✕Josh Bard 2010 · MLB	32	48→58	43→50	40→30	54	231/299/345	114	263	9	2	16%	9%	81	+0.4	231/283/354	123	277	12	3	20%	7%	76	+0.1	236/280/353	117	286	11	0	21%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Stephen Vogt 2017 · MLB	32	52→61	52→60	42→40	52	262/323/431	170	287	19	2	17%	8%	114	+2.7	250/308/438	188	281	21	4	19%	8%	110	+2.4	233/300/426	193	265	22	2	22%	9%	99	+0.8
✕Bryan Holaday 2020 · MLB	32	48	45	38→40	49	234/298/359	124	265	13	4	17%	7%	85	+0.7	227/289/380	153	271	18	7	23%	7%	87	+0.8	199/253/410	211	225	28	4	27%	5%	82	+0.1
✕Curt Casali 2020 · MLB	31	48	48→50	40→30	49	243/310/381	138	294	16	3	23%	8%	95	+1.4	233/325/397	164	303	19	5	28%	11%	107	+2.2	213/320/302	89	284	9	0	25%	12%	78	+0.1
✕James McCann 2022 · MLB	32	49→56	50	41→45	45	248/310/398	150	319	19	5	28%	8%	100	+1.7	222/279/353	131	284	15	7	27%	6%	76	+0.0	229/275/374	146	285	18	3	26%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Andrés Blanco 2016 · MLB	32	53→47	47→50	42→50	50	257/319/408	151	295	12	6	17%	7%	106	+2.2	235/302/371	136	280	12	7	20%	7%	90	+1.0	212/285/325	114	256	10	7	21%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Jordy Mercer 2018 · MLB	31	52→59	46→50	37→45	53	254/321/387	133	284	13	2	16%	9%	102	+1.8	253/314/396	143	297	13	3	19%	7%	101	+1.8	254/311/391	137	309	12	1	21%	7%	90	+0.5
✕Brayan Peña 2014 · MLB	32	54→57	43→50	36→45	46	264/297/372	108	282	10	3	11%	4%	86	+0.8	253/299/340	87	279	7	4	11%	6%	79	+0.3	254/301/318	64	278	3	3	10%	6%	70	-0.2
●Miguel Ojeda 2007 · MLB	32	47→51	45→50	41→45	51	232/302/355	123	270	13	5	19%	8%	85	+0.7	245/308/377	132	285	14	7	19%	8%	94	+1.3	257/322/406	148	293	17	7	18%	8%	104	+1.0
✕Geoff Blum 2005 · MLB	32	49→58	46→50	40→45	50	242/294/375	133	263	14	4	14%	7%	87	+0.8	238/295/360	122	266	11	4	15%	7%	83	+0.6	242/306/376	135	263	15	1	14%	7%	86	+0.5