Ryan McMahon — OGILVIE

Ryan McMahon3B New York Yankees

Age 31 L/R 6'2" / 211 lbs MLB HR +8% Svc 8.035 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION225 act + 346 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 93107vR 112

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .312 / .410

PA346

HR13

K%31

BB%10

BABIP309

ISO179

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 47 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT47

Whiff%

4411.6%

xwOBA

620.322

POWER57

Barrel%

7211.4

Avg EV

9092.4

Bat Spd

7574.0

EYE51

Chase%

8624.6%

SPEED31

Sprint

1725.9

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1280 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

325

955

—

wRC+

102

▶▶R

wOBA

297

319

▶R

ISO

117

176

▶▶R

BABIP

322

296

◀L

30.8%

30.3%

—

BB%

9.2%

11.8%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 8.035 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$5M	+0.7	$3M	-$2M
2027	Ext	$12M	+2.1	$16M	+$5M
Totals		$16M		$18M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	251	229	52	12	2	8	17	85	2	4	6	227	286	402	688	175	321	34	7	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	251	218	70	18	3	11	28	59	2	4	6	321	403	583	986	261	396	24	11	423	182	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A	Asheville Tourists	—	552	500	92	26	3	8	36	200	7	8	5	184	249	296	545	112	281	36	7	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	A	Asheville Tourists	—	552	482	136	46	3	18	54	143	7	8	5	282	363	502	865	220	360	26	10	374	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A+	Modesto Nuts	—	556	514	132	36	3	24	31	188	9	6	13	257	310	479	789	222	355	34	6	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A+	Modesto Nuts	—	556	496	149	43	6	18	49	153	9	6	13	300	374	520	894	220	401	28	9	391	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AA	2 teams	—	624	567	117	25	6	10	43	232	6	12	7	206	269	325	594	118	323	37	7	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AA	2 teams	—	624	543	132	29	6	13	66	182	6	12	7	243	331	390	722	147	336	29	11	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AAA	3 teams	—	543	505	142	32	4	12	30	126	1	11	3	281	323	432	754	150	348	23	6	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AAA	3 teams	—	543	489	170	40	4	20	46	97	1	11	3	348	405	569	973	221	396	18	8	420	180	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	2 teams	—	444	410	84	19	3	10	28	146	4	4	2	205	262	339	601	134	289	33	6	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	2 teams	—	444	405	107	24	4	16	33	125	4	4	2	264	326	462	788	198	342	28	7	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	539	480	102	18	1	18	56	160	1	5	1	212	296	367	663	154	277	30	10	295	84	-10	+1	-1	+2	+15	0.7
2019	24	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	539	480	120	22	1	24	56	160	1	5	1	250	330	450	780	200	323	30	10	344	122	+13	+1	-1	+2	+15	3.0
2020	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	193	172	32	5	1	7	18	66	2	0	1	186	271	349	620	163	250	34	9	272	66	-7	-0	-0	+1	+5	-0.2
2020	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	193	172	37	6	1	9	18	66	2	0	1	215	297	419	715	203	286	34	9	316	100	+0	-0	-0	+1	+5	0.6
2021	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	596	528	115	26	1	18	59	147	4	6	2	218	301	373	674	155	264	25	10	294	83	-11	+0	+10	+2	+17	1.8
2021	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	596	528	134	32	1	23	59	147	4	6	2	254	333	449	782	195	306	25	10	344	122	+15	+0	+10	+2	+17	4.5
2022	27	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	597	529	112	19	3	15	60	158	5	7	3	212	298	344	642	132	270	26	10	288	78	-15	+0	+9	+2	+17	1.4
2022	27	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	597	529	130	23	3	20	60	158	5	7	3	246	328	414	742	168	311	26	10	331	111	+8	+0	+9	+2	+17	3.7
2023	28	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	627	555	114	25	3	18	68	198	1	5	5	205	293	359	652	153	281	32	11	286	77	-16	-1	+7	+2	+18	1.1
2023	28	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	627	555	133	31	3	23	68	198	1	5	5	240	324	431	754	191	326	32	11	334	114	+10	-1	+7	+2	+18	3.7
2024	29	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	645	569	118	23	0	15	69	185	3	4	6	207	296	327	623	120	276	29	11	277	70	-22	-2	+7	+2	+18	0.5
2024	29	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	645	567	137	28	0	20	69	185	3	4	6	242	326	397	723	155	320	29	11	323	106	+4	-2	+7	+2	+18	3.1
2025	30	MLB	New York Yankees	—	586	509	107	22	1	19	70	189	4	3	1	210	310	369	680	159	289	32	12	302	89	-7	+0	+7	+2	+17	1.9
2025	30	MLB	New York Yankees	—	586	509	109	23	1	20	70	189	4	3	1	214	314	381	695	167	294	32	12	313	98	-2	+0	+7	+2	+17	2.5
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	31	MLB	NYY	—	225	206	44	7	0	9	18	72	0	3	2	214	277	379	655	165	280	32	8	288	79	-5	-0	+0	+1	+6	0.2
YTD	31	MLB	NYY	—	225	206	44	7	0	9	18	72	0	3	2	214	277	379	655	165	280	32	8	292	81	-5	-0	+0	+1	+6	0.3
ROS	31	MLB	NYY	100%	346	307	71	14	1	13	35	108	1	3	2	231	312	410	722	179	309	31	10	319	102	+1	-0	+3	+1	+10	1.5
ROS	31	MLB	NYY	100%	346	307	72	15	1	13	35	108	1	3	2	235	315	417	732	182	312	31	10	320	103	+1	-0	+3	+1	+10	1.5
FULL	31	MLB	NYY	—	571	513	116	22	1	22	53	180	1	6	4	226	300	402	701	175	300	32	9	308	94	-4	-0	+3	+2	+16	1.7
TOT	31	MLB	NYY	—	571	513	115	21	1	22	53	180	1	6	4	224	298	398	696	173	297	32	9	307	93	-4	-0	+3	+2	+16	1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	NYY	100%	632	562	128	26	1	22	63	199	2	5	2	228	308	395	703	167	307	31	10	314	99	-1	+0	+2	+2	+18	2.2
2028	33	MLB	NYY	100%	545	484	108	21	1	19	54	175	2	3	2	223	304	388	692	165	301	32	10	306	93	-5	-0	+0	+2	+15	1.3
2029	34	MLB	NYY	100%	474	423	90	17	1	15	47	155	1	2	1	213	293	364	657	151	293	33	10	296	85	-8	+0	-1	+2	+13	0.6
2027	32	MLB	NYY	100%	632	562	129	26	1	23	63	199	2	5	2	230	309	402	712	173	310	31	10	316	100	-0	+0	+2	+2	+18	2.3
2028	33	MLB	NYY	100%	545	484	108	21	1	19	54	175	2	3	2	223	304	388	692	165	303	32	10	308	94	-4	-0	+0	+2	+15	1.4
2029	34	MLB	NYY	100%	474	423	91	17	1	16	47	155	1	2	1	215	295	374	669	158	294	33	10	298	86	-8	+0	-1	+2	+13	0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	6006	5316	1245	254	15	215	622	1809	28	44	26	234	318	409	726	175	310	30	10	323	105	+35	-2	+44	+3	+170	25.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	134	27	2	23	67	196	3	5	3	233	316	407	723	174	309	30	10	323	105	+4	-0	+5	+0	+18	2.8
Career	—			—	8750	7843	1716	366	35	251	784	2717	55	88	62	219	294	370	665	152	297	31	9	293	82	-175	-7	+44	+10	+248	12.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	128	27	3	19	58	202	4	7	5	220	295	374	669	154	298	31	9	293	82	-13	-1	+3	+1	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	251	218	70	18	3	11	28	59	2	4	6	321	403	583	986	261	396	24	11	423	182	+23	-2	—	—	+7	2.9
2014	19	A	Asheville Tourists	—	552	482	136	46	3	18	54	143	7	8	5	282	363	502	865	220	360	26	10	374	145	+28	-0	—	—	+16	4.4
2015	20	A+	Modesto Nuts	—	556	496	149	43	6	18	49	153	9	6	13	300	374	520	894	220	401	28	9	391	157	+36	-4	—	—	+16	4.9
2016	21	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	535	466	113	27	5	12	55	161	5	11	6	242	328	399	727	157	338	30	10	322	104	+3	-0	—	—	+15	1.8
2016	21	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	89	77	19	2	1	1	11	21	1	1	1	247	348	338	686	91	327	24	12	317	101	+0	-0	—	—	+3	0.2
2017	22	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	24	19	3	1	0	0	5	5	0	0	0	158	333	211	544	53	214	21	21	274	68	-1	+0	+0	-10	+1	-1.0
2017	22	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	314	289	108	23	2	14	21	53	0	4	3	374	416	612	1.029	239	416	17	7	443	197	+34	-0	—	—	+9	4.4
2017	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	205	181	59	16	2	6	20	39	1	7	0	326	396	536	932	210	381	19	10	403	167	+15	+1	—	—	+6	2.3
2018	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	202	181	42	9	1	5	18	64	2	1	0	232	308	376	684	144	327	32	9	307	93	-2	+0	+0	-8	+6	-0.4
2018	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	242	224	65	15	3	11	15	61	2	3	2	290	340	531	871	241	353	25	6	378	148	+13	-0	—	—	+7	2.0
2019	24	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	539	480	120	22	1	24	56	160	1	5	1	250	330	450	780	200	323	30	10	344	122	+13	+1	-1	+2	+15	3.0
2020	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	193	172	37	6	1	9	18	66	2	0	1	215	297	419	715	203	286	34	9	316	100	+0	-0	-0	+1	+5	0.6
2021	26	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	596	528	134	32	1	23	59	147	4	6	2	254	333	449	782	195	306	25	10	344	122	+15	+0	+10	+2	+17	4.5
2022	27	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	597	529	130	23	3	20	60	158	5	7	3	246	328	414	742	168	311	26	10	331	111	+8	+0	+9	+2	+17	3.7
2023	28	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	627	555	133	31	3	23	68	198	1	5	5	240	324	431	754	191	326	32	11	334	114	+10	-1	+7	+2	+18	3.7
2024	29	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	645	567	137	28	0	20	69	185	3	4	6	242	326	397	723	155	320	29	11	323	106	+4	-2	+7	+2	+18	3.1
2025	30	MLB	New York Yankees	—	586	509	109	23	1	20	70	189	4	3	1	214	314	381	695	167	294	32	12	313	98	-2	+0	+7	+2	+17	2.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	4009	3540	845	175	11	144	423	1172	22	31	19	239	324	416	740	178	312	29	11	329	110	+45	-1	+39	-4	+114	19.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Moustakaslast yr '23 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,577 PA	13	5,577	215	21	247	307	431	+14	+18	22.8	22.1
	/162	664	26	3	247	307	431	+1.6	+2.1	2.7	pk7: 21
#2Alex Gonzalezlast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,527 PA	13	5,527	140	27	244	289	394	+37	+84	21.1	21.3
	/162	664	17	3	244	289	394	+4.4	+10.1	2.5	pk7: 21
#3Eduardo Escobarlast yr '23 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,114 PA	12	5,114	164	23	253	305	430	+29	+16	21.1	21.1
	/162	664	21	3	253	305	430	+3.7	+2.0	2.7	pk7: 21
#4Brandon Ingelast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,617 PA	13	5,617	152	45	233	301	384	+26	+73	19.8	20.5
	/162	664	18	5	233	301	384	+3.1	+8.6	2.3	pk7: 21
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	13	6,432	229	48	233	313	407	+23	+59	21.0	19.0
	/162	664	24	5	233	313	407	+2.4	+6.1	2.2	pk7: 17
#5Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#6Jedd Gyorkolast yr '20 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,983 PA	8	2,983	121	14	245	310	424	+8	+22	13.4	13.5
	/162	664	27	3	245	310	424	+1.7	+5.0	3.0	pk7: 14

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan McMahon (OGILVIE)	31	43→47	51→57	31	51	224/298/398	173	297	22	6	32%	9%	93	+1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2023 · MLB	31	44→43	51→50	39→30	52	225/307/380	155	281	19	2	27%	11%	95	+1.4	230/320/383	153	314	18	7	30%	11%	101	+1.8	216/328/374	158	307	19	5	32%	14%	99	+0.8
✕Scott Seabol 2007 · MLB	32	44→45	53→60	38→40	45	233/288/410	177	276	21	3	24%	7%	94	+1.3	241/294/434	193	277	24	7	22%	7%	103	+1.9	239/293/445	205	266	26	5	21%	7%	105	+2.0
✕Dustan Mohr 2007 · MLB	31	42→52	52→55	38→45	46	216/292/389	172	298	20	4	33%	9%	90	+1.0	200/253/356	156	296	19	6	37%	6%	66	-0.6	170/216/327	157	262	20	2	43%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Tim Beckham 2021 · MLB	31	46→55	55	39→50	43	239/296/427	189	300	23	5	28%	7%	102	+1.9	256/306/420	164	331	21	7	28%	6%	105	+2.1	269/313/415	146	351	21	4	28%	5%	101	+0.5
✕Carlos Ibarra 2014 · AAA	30	48	54→55	37→40	38	254/286/424	170	299	24	4	24%	4%	97	+1.5	218/255/324	106	278	12	4	25%	4%	56	-1.3	200/236/267	67	263	6	1	25%	4%	32	-1.0
✕Paul McAnulty 2011 · MLB	30	42→50	55→60	38→40	47	228/290/411	183	261	24	2	24%	8%	95	+1.4	234/296/416	182	277	23	4	24%	8%	99	+1.7	228/296/409	181	269	23	3	24%	8%	96	+1.2
✕Scott Moore 2014 · MLB	30	45→51	49→55	38→50	43	226/290/375	149	295	16	3	28%	7%	85	+0.7	195/263/319	124	259	13	5	29%	6%	60	-1.0	166/241/274	108	217	11	3	28%	6%	38	-1.3
✕Mike Wilson 2014 · MLB	31	46→56	49→60	37→50	41	229/288/380	151	317	17	6	32%	7%	86	+0.8	220/279/379	159	312	20	8	34%	7%	82	+0.5	200/267/368	169	272	24	6	35%	7%	71	-0.1
●Cory Aldridge 2010 · AAA	31	47→50	53→55	41→45	42	241/292/417	176	306	21	4	28%	6%	97	+1.5	223/272/388	165	307	21	6	33%	6%	82	+0.5	214/280/387	173	293	27	5	36%	8%	84	+0.3
✕Laynce Nix 2012 · MLB	31	48	56→60	41→45	46	253/307/447	193	295	23	4	23%	7%	111	+2.5	232/293/385	153	303	17	6	28%	8%	89	+1.0	206/270/328	123	290	12	2	31%	8%	60	-0.3
✕John Rodriguez 2010 · AAA	32	44→47	50→55	40	43	225/294/380	156	283	18	3	27%	7%	89	+1.0	218/281/361	143	264	15	8	23%	6%	79	+0.3	189/267/324	135	202	10	8	12%	7%	62	-0.2
✕Jake Lamb 2023 · MLB	32	43→53	53→60	40→45	47	223/305/398	175	299	22	3	32%	9%	98	+1.6	226/303/361	135	299	15	3	28%	8%	88	+0.9	217/297/333	115	288	12	1	27%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Curt Casali 2020 · MLB	31	48	48→50	40→30	49	243/310/381	138	294	16	3	23%	8%	95	+1.4	233/325/397	164	303	19	5	28%	11%	107	+2.2	213/320/302	89	284	9	0	25%	12%	78	+0.1
●Aaron Guiel 2005 · MLB	32	46→53	52→60	37→45	50	235/313/404	169	268	19	6	20%	8%	104	+2.0	233/315/424	191	267	23	6	22%	8%	110	+2.4	228/313/423	195	258	24	4	22%	8%	107	+2.1
✕Dallas McPherson 2012 · MLB	32	44	54→65	42→50	37	232/273/403	171	311	23	4	33%	5%	86	+0.8	227/274/384	157	332	20	7	36%	6%	82	+0.5	212/265/373	161	320	21	4	39%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Brett Harper 2013 · AAA	32	49→50	55→60	38→30	41	254/306/428	174	309	24	5	26%	5%	107	+2.2	250/308/422	172	311	24	6	27%	7%	105	+2.1	239/296/402	163	290	26	0	27%	6%	94	+0.7
✕Danny Espinosa 2018 · MLB	31	39→49	50→55	43→50	45	206/288/355	149	272	19	9	31%	8%	81	+0.4	200/263/340	140	267	18	12	31%	6%	66	-0.6	188/245/321	133	245	18	13	31%	5%	52	-1.0
✕Michael Saunders 2018 · MLB	31	45→52	51→55	42→55	47	232/297/401	169	289	18	3	26%	8%	95	+1.4	208/271/334	126	265	13	7	25%	8%	67	-0.5	125/198/178	54	167	4	7	26%	8%	-6	-1.4
●Matt Joyce 2016 · MLB	31	45→53	48→60	36→50	56	223/317/366	143	270	15	4	22%	11%	95	+1.4	238/345/431	193	279	22	4	22%	14%	123	+3.3	238/352/447	209	270	25	3	21%	15%	125	+2.2
✕Luis Valbuena 2018 · MLB	32	41→51	59→60	38→50	55	227/317/437	210	258	28	3	24%	11%	114	+2.7	223/291/395	172	293	22	7	30%	9%	92	+1.2	200/256/339	139	279	19	6	35%	7%	55	-0.7