Xavier Edwards — OGILVIE

Xavier EdwardsSS Miami Marlins

Age 26 S/R 5'9" / 175 lbs MLB HR -6%H -3% Svc 2.198S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION409 act + 272 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 97112vR 151

AVG/OBP/SLG.303 / .381 / .403

PA272

HR3

SB11

K%13

BB%11

BABIP344

ISO100

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

904.0%

xwOBA

480.306

POWER30

Barrel%

102.2

Avg EV

1886.7

Bat Spd

1267.3

EYE55

Chase%

9019.3%

SPEED55

Sprint

6828.2

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1039 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

320

719

—

wRC+

131

▶▶R

wOBA

291

356

▶▶R

ISO

049

099

▶▶R

BABIP

325

373

▶R

16.6%

14.2%

▶R

BB%

8.8%

9.0%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.198 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+2.0	$16M	+$15M
2027	Arb-2	$11M	+5.4	$40M	+$30M
2028	Arb-3	$18M	+5.2	$36M	+$21M
2029	Arb-4	$27M	+4.9	$31M	+$12M
Totals		$57M		$123M	+$78M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	AZL Padres 1	—	88	78	25	3	1	0	8	14	0	12	1	321	384	385	768	64	385	16	9	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	AZL Padres 1	—	88	73	28	4	1	0	13	10	0	12	1	384	477	466	942	82	438	11	15	416	177	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	2 teams	—	561	518	134	14	6	1	29	77	2	34	11	259	301	315	615	56	299	14	5	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	2 teams	—	561	503	162	18	8	1	44	54	2	34	11	322	379	396	774	74	355	10	8	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	337	303	81	11	3	0	24	58	1	19	11	267	323	323	647	56	325	17	7	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	337	291	88	13	3	0	36	42	1	19	11	302	381	368	749	65	348	12	11	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	400	366	80	14	1	4	26	90	0	7	4	219	270	295	565	77	278	22	6	246	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	400	349	86	19	1	5	43	75	0	7	4	246	329	350	679	103	300	19	11	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	2 teams	—	517	465	148	17	2	6	38	47	3	37	4	318	374	402	776	84	341	9	7	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	2 teams	—	517	448	153	17	2	7	55	44	3	37	4	342	417	435	852	94	363	9	11	377	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	MLB	2 teams	—	422	377	123	20	6	2	38	65	0	36	5	326	388	427	815	101	385	15	9	352	128	+13	+5	-6	+5	+12	2.9
2024	24	MLB	2 teams	—	422	374	123	20	6	2	41	63	0	36	5	329	395	430	826	102	387	15	10	365	138	+18	+5	-6	+5	+12	3.4
2025	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	619	561	164	21	5	3	49	88	3	27	7	292	352	364	716	71	340	14	8	318	101	+1	+3	+3	+2	+18	2.7
2025	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	619	561	159	20	5	3	49	88	3	27	7	283	344	353	697	70	330	14	8	315	99	-1	+3	+3	+2	+18	2.5
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	MLB	MIA	—	409	353	107	13	6	6	50	48	0	13	3	303	390	425	815	122	332	12	12	351	127	+12	+1	-1	+1	+12	2.7
YTD	26	MLB	MIA	—	409	353	107	13	6	6	50	48	0	13	3	303	390	425	815	122	332	12	12	362	135	+16	+1	-1	+1	+12	3.1
ROS	26	MLB	MIA	100%	272	240	73	9	3	3	29	35	1	11	2	303	381	403	784	100	345	13	11	353	128	+9	+1	+3	+1	+8	2.2
ROS	26	MLB	MIA	100%	273	241	73	9	3	3	29	35	1	11	2	303	380	402	783	100	340	13	11	347	124	+7	+1	+3	+1	+8	2.1
FULL	26	MLB	MIA	—	682	594	180	22	9	9	79	83	1	24	5	303	386	416	802	113	337	12	12	349	126	+20	+3	+2	+2	+19	4.7
TOT	26	MLB	MIA	—	681	593	180	22	9	9	79	83	1	24	5	303	386	416	802	113	337	12	12	352	127	+21	+3	+2	+2	+19	4.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	MIA	98%	660	583	177	22	7	7	71	86	1	27	6	304	380	401	782	98	345	13	11	353	128	+21	+3	+7	+2	+19	5.3
2028	28	MLB	MIA	98%	655	578	176	22	7	7	71	86	1	25	6	304	382	403	785	99	345	13	11	352	128	+20	+3	+6	+2	+19	5.1
2029	29	MLB	MIA	98%	642	566	171	21	7	6	70	86	1	23	5	302	380	396	776	94	344	13	11	350	126	+19	+3	+5	+2	+18	4.8
2030	30	MLB	MIA	98%	629	554	167	21	6	6	69	86	1	20	5	301	380	394	773	92	343	14	11	347	124	+17	+2	+4	+2	+18	4.4
2031	31	MLB	MIA	98%	616	543	161	20	6	5	67	86	1	17	4	297	375	383	758	87	341	14	11	343	121	+14	+2	+3	+2	+17	4.0
2032	32	MLB	MIA	98%	604	532	156	18	6	5	66	87	1	14	3	293	372	378	750	85	338	14	11	337	116	+11	+2	+3	+2	+17	3.5
2033	33	MLB	MIA	98%	521	459	131	15	5	3	57	77	0	9	2	285	364	359	724	74	334	15	11	330	111	+6	+1	+1	+2	+15	2.5
2034	34	MLB	MIA	94%	440	389	107	11	4	2	48	68	0	6	1	275	355	339	694	64	329	15	11	321	104	+2	+1	-1	+2	+12	1.7
2035	35	MLB	MIA	89%	372	329	89	9	3	2	40	60	0	4	1	271	350	334	684	64	323	16	11	311	96	-2	+0	-2	+1	+11	0.9
2036	36	MLB	MIA	80%	289	256	67	6	3	1	31	49	0	2	0	262	341	320	662	59	317	17	11	301	89	-4	+0	-3	+1	+8	0.2
2037	37	MLB	MIA	71%	225	200	50	4	2	0	23	40	0	1	0	250	327	290	617	40	311	18	10	290	80	-5	+0	-5	+1	+6	-0.2
2038	38	MLB	MIA	57%	158	141	34	3	1	0	16	29	0	0	0	241	318	277	595	35	305	18	10	281	73	-5	+0	-6	+1	+4	-0.6
2027	27	MLB	MIA	98%	647	571	171	21	7	7	70	84	1	26	6	299	377	398	774	98	340	13	11	347	124	+17	+3	+6	+2	+18	4.8
2028	28	MLB	MIA	98%	642	566	169	21	7	6	70	85	1	25	6	299	377	392	769	94	339	13	11	346	123	+17	+3	+6	+2	+18	4.7
2029	29	MLB	MIA	98%	629	554	165	21	6	6	69	84	1	23	5	298	377	390	766	92	339	13	11	345	122	+16	+3	+5	+2	+18	4.4
2030	30	MLB	MIA	98%	616	543	161	20	6	6	67	84	1	20	4	297	375	389	763	92	338	14	11	342	120	+14	+2	+4	+2	+17	4.1
2031	31	MLB	MIA	98%	604	532	156	19	6	5	66	84	1	17	4	293	372	380	752	86	336	14	11	338	117	+11	+2	+3	+2	+17	3.6
2032	32	MLB	MIA	98%	592	521	150	18	6	4	65	85	1	14	3	288	368	369	736	81	333	14	11	332	112	+8	+2	+2	+2	+17	3.2
2033	33	MLB	MIA	98%	511	450	127	14	5	3	56	76	0	9	2	282	362	356	717	73	329	15	11	325	107	+4	+1	+1	+2	+14	2.3
2034	34	MLB	MIA	94%	411	364	99	10	4	2	44	64	0	5	1	272	350	338	688	66	323	16	11	317	101	+0	+1	-0	+1	+12	1.4
2035	35	MLB	MIA	89%	331	293	78	8	3	1	35	54	0	3	1	266	345	324	669	58	318	16	11	307	93	-3	+0	-2	+1	+9	0.7
2036	36	MLB	MIA	80%	231	205	53	5	2	1	24	39	0	1	0	259	336	317	653	59	312	17	10	298	86	-4	+0	-3	+1	+7	0.1
2037	37	MLB	MIA	71%	160	142	35	3	1	0	17	28	0	1	0	246	327	282	609	35	306	18	11	287	78	-4	+0	-3	+1	+5	-0.2
2038	38	MLB	MIA	57%	90	81	19	1	1	0	9	17	0	0	0	235	311	272	583	37	300	19	10	278	71	-3	+0	-3	+0	+3	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	6743	5967	1725	205	67	48	706	973	11	218	45	289	365	370	735	81	337	14	10	332	112	+93	+26	+15	+29	+191	36.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	166	20	6	5	68	94	1	21	4	289	364	370	735	82	336	14	10	332	112	+9	+3	+1	+3	+18	3.5
Career	—			—	9027	8038	2314	281	84	63	870	1314	16	331	78	288	359	367	726	79	335	15	10	325	107	+73	+35	+10	+35	+256	41.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	167	20	6	5	63	95	1	24	6	288	360	370	729	81	335	15	10	325	107	+5	+2	+1	+3	+18	3.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	AZL Padres 1	—	88	73	28	4	1	0	13	10	0	12	1	384	477	466	942	82	438	11	15	416	177	+8	+2	—	—	+2	1.2
2019	19	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	217	196	59	5	4	0	14	19	1	14	2	301	351	367	718	66	331	9	6	316	100	+0	+2	—	—	+6	0.8
2019	19	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	344	307	103	13	4	1	30	35	1	20	9	336	396	414	810	78	371	10	9	360	134	+13	+0	—	—	+10	2.4
2021	21	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	337	291	88	13	3	0	36	42	1	19	11	302	381	368	749	65	348	12	11	334	114	+5	-1	—	—	+10	1.4
2022	22	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	400	349	86	19	1	5	43	75	0	7	4	246	329	350	679	103	300	19	11	304	91	-4	-0	—	—	+11	0.7
2023	23	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	84	78	23	3	0	0	3	14	1	5	0	295	329	333	663	38	359	17	4	295	84	-2	+1	-1	+2	+2	0.3
2023	23	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	433	370	130	14	2	7	52	30	2	32	4	351	434	457	891	105	364	7	12	393	159	+29	+5	—	—	+12	4.7
2024	24	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	303	265	87	12	5	1	33	52	0	31	4	328	403	423	825	94	398	17	11	366	139	+13	+5	-6	+5	+9	2.5
2024	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	119	109	36	8	1	1	8	11	0	5	1	330	376	450	826	119	361	9	7	362	135	+5	+1	—	—	+3	0.9
2025	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	619	561	159	20	5	3	49	88	3	27	7	283	344	353	697	70	330	14	8	315	99	-1	+3	+3	+2	+18	2.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1006	904	269	35	10	4	85	154	4	63	11	298	361	372	732	74	352	15	8	329	110	+11	+8	-4	+9	+29	5.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rafael Furcallast yr '12 career totals — 13 seasons, 7,200 PA	13	7,200	113	314	281	346	403	+51	+30	41.2	36.6
	/162	664	10	29	281	346	403	+4.7	+2.8	3.8	pk7: 32
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 16 projected seasons	16	7,547	57	253	293	364	377	+55	-12	42.5	35.8
	/162	664	5	22	293	364	377	+4.9	-1.0	3.7	pk7: 29
#2Brian Robertslast yr '14 career totals — 14 seasons, 6,253 PA	14	6,253	97	285	276	347	409	+18	+42	36.5	35.5
	/162	664	10	30	276	347	409	+1.9	+4.5	3.9	pk7: 34
#3Edgar Renterialast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,671 PA	12	6,671	117	168	286	344	409	+41	+45	38.1	34.4
	/162	664	12	17	286	344	409	+4.1	+4.4	3.8	pk7: 31
#4Marco Scutarolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,435 PA	11	5,435	76	55	278	342	389	+45	+27	27.4	25.6
	/162	664	9	7	278	342	389	+5.5	+3.3	3.4	pk7: 24
#5Denard Spanlast yr '18 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,956 PA	11	5,956	71	185	281	347	398	+8	-3	26.3	24.1
	/162	664	8	21	281	347	398	+0.9	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 22
#6David Ecksteinlast yr '10 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,705 PA	10	5,705	35	123	280	345	355	+31	+19	21.9	20.3
	/162	664	4	14	280	345	355	+3.6	+2.2	2.5	pk7: 19

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Xavier Edwards (OGILVIE)	26	55	30	55	55	303/386/416	113	337	9	24	12%	12%	127	+4.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Acuna 2008 · AAA	26	60	37→40	54→50	56	278/365/360	82	331	3	17	16%	10%	112	+2.6	251/321/325	74	296	4	13	15%	8%	85	+0.7	246/313/299	53	287	2	11	14%	7%	73	-0.0
●Maicer Izturis 2007 · MLB	26	56→61	42→45	54→55	57	268/337/386	118	291	7	20	11%	9%	107	+2.2	276/340/391	115	299	9	16	10%	9%	110	+2.4	282/346/393	111	303	9	16	10%	8%	109	+1.6
●Reggie Willits 2007 · MLB	26	58→62	37→30	55→60	56	270/346/349	79	324	4	31	17%	10%	101	+1.8	257/343/320	63	318	2	25	17%	11%	93	+1.3	249/338/295	46	311	0	25	18%	11%	82	+0.3
●Chone Figgins 2004 · MLB	26	56→66	38→45	53→65	52	263/319/351	88	305	4	22	15%	8%	90	+1.0	280/339/392	112	325	6	36	15%	8%	108	+2.3	296/383/376	80	356	3	40	16%	12%	120	+3.1
✕Gene Kingsale 2003 · MLB	26	54	41→40	54→55	50	259/324/363	103	314	7	19	19%	8%	96	+1.5	234/297/333	99	275	7	12	17%	7%	77	+0.1	219/276/292	73	260	3	7	16%	6%	56	-0.5
●Adam Eaton 2015 · MLB	26	59→65	40→45	55	50	279/342/383	104	331	5	20	16%	7%	108	+2.3	280/352/414	134	332	10	14	18%	9%	121	+3.2	281/359/422	141	332	12	14	18%	9%	122	+2.7
★Brian Roberts 2005 · MLB	27	56→63	40→50	52→60	57	262/331/364	102	295	5	23	13%	9%	99	+1.7	286/357/433	147	317	11	28	13%	10%	128	+3.6	286/369/439	153	327	10	34	15%	11%	129	+4.4
●Rafael Furcal 2003 · MLB	25	57→63	41→50	54→60	51	271/328/379	107	316	7	27	16%	8%	101	+1.8	279/339/417	138	306	12	25	12%	8%	115	+2.8	284/352/424	140	310	12	33	12%	9%	118	+3.4
✕Emilio Bonifácio 2012 · MLB	27	59→64	38→40	60→65	51	276/337/366	91	345	4	31	20%	9%	102	+1.8	258/317/346	88	329	5	37	21%	8%	88	+0.9	248/303/326	78	316	4	43	21%	7%	74	-0.1
●Luis Castillo 2002 · MLB	26	61→71	37→40	60→65	60	284/364/359	75	332	3	39	15%	11%	111	+2.5	294/362/366	72	332	4	29	11%	10%	111	+2.5	294/373/363	69	320	4	17	9%	11%	113	+2.7
●David Eckstein 2002 · MLB	27	57→64	38→40	56→55	52	271/339/352	82	293	5	23	10%	7%	100	+1.7	270/339/352	82	288	5	18	8%	7%	100	+1.7	291/353/368	76	306	4	10	6%	6%	107	+2.2
●César Hernández 2017 · MLB	27	59→62	39→50	52→55	54	275/344/366	92	338	5	17	19%	10%	105	+2.1	272/354/387	115	331	10	15	19%	11%	115	+2.7	268/351/386	117	320	11	13	18%	11%	109	+2.6
✕Jake Elmore 2013 · MLB	26	56→62	37→40	54→55	54	260/331/342	82	310	3	22	16%	9%	93	+1.3	243/311/320	77	291	4	18	17%	8%	79	+0.3	240/302/310	70	291	3	10	18%	7%	71	-0.2
●Denard Span 2010 · MLB	26	60→64	42→50	55	56	288/362/397	109	334	8	23	16%	10%	120	+3.1	270/336/369	99	304	5	19	12%	9%	102	+1.8	272/340/419	147	300	13	12	14%	9%	115	+2.6
●Ryan Theriot 2007 · MLB	27	59→65	39→40	58→55	51	276/328/371	95	310	4	25	12%	7%	98	+1.6	278/341/357	79	310	4	23	11%	9%	101	+1.8	281/348/351	71	312	3	22	10%	9%	100	+1.8
●Greg Allen 2019 · MLB	26	54→57	39→45	57→65	44	252/318/342	90	319	6	31	22%	6%	89	+0.9	244/315/358	114	308	9	28	23%	6%	92	+1.2	245/347/361	116	328	9	52	25%	8%	105	+0.8
✕Nicky Lopez 2022 · MLB	27	58→64	38→40	54→55	53	272/334/359	88	312	4	16	14%	8%	98	+1.6	244/310/313	69	286	3	15	14%	8%	77	+0.1	250/314/308	57	296	2	10	15%	7%	76	+0.0
●Jose Guadalupe Chavez 2012 · AAA	27	53→58	41→45	47→55	51	256/319/362	106	302	8	17	18%	8%	94	+1.3	260/311/373	113	313	12	14	20%	6%	93	+1.3	290/365/380	89	336	4	9	13%	10%	114	+1.4
✕Chris Getz 2010 · MLB	26	54→56	41→40	57→60	51	258/316/358	100	289	8	23	14%	7%	91	+1.1	249/305/317	68	281	3	27	12%	7%	76	+0.0	247/293/314	66	276	2	31	10%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Myles Straw 2022 · MLB	27	56→60	38→40	56→60	54	262/334/341	80	325	4	27	20%	10%	94	+1.3	232/299/302	70	288	3	23	19%	9%	69	-0.4	226/280/314	88	283	6	25	21%	7%	62	-0.5