Xavier Edwards — OGILVIE

Xavier EdwardsSS Miami Marlins

Age 26 S/R 5'9" / 175 lbs MLB HR -4%BB +3% Svc 2.198S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 peak 3.9 · 2026

wRC+†vL 91117vR 143

AVG/OBP/SLG.278 / .341 / .354

PA619

HR4

SB25

K%14

BB%8

xwOBA.364

Barrel%6.1%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55→55

PWR

30→30

SPD

55→55

EYE

52↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.5peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.198 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$0.8M	+3.9	$31M	+$30M
2027	Arb-2	$8M	+3.8	$31M	+$24M
2028	Arb-3	$13M	+3.6	$31M	+$18M
2029	Arb-4	$18M	+3.3	$29M	+$11M
Totals		$39M		$122M	+$83M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	AZL Padres 1	88	78	25	3	1	0	8	14	0	12	1	.321	.384	.385	.768	.064	.385	16	9	.332	112	+1	+2	+0	+0	+2	0.6
2019	19	A	2 teams	561	517	137	14	6	1	30	72	2	34	11	.265	.308	.321	.629	.056	.303	13	5	.276	70	-19	+2	+0	+2	+16	0.1
2021	21	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	337	303	82	12	3	0	24	56	1	19	11	.271	.326	.330	.656	.059	.327	17	7	.286	77	-9	-1	+0	+1	+10	0.1
2022	22	AAA	Durham Bulls	400	364	79	15	1	4	28	90	0	7	4	.217	.273	.297	.570	.080	.277	22	7	.252	51	-22	-0	+0	+1	+11	-1.0
2023	23	AAA	2 teams	517	465	147	16	2	6	38	49	3	37	4	.316	.372	.398	.769	.082	.340	9	7	.336	115	+9	+6	-1	+2	+15	3.1
2024	24	MLB	2 teams	422	377	122	19	6	2	38	65	0	36	5	.324	.386	.422	.807	.098	.382	15	9	.350	126	+12	+5	-6	+5	+12	2.9
2025	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	619	561	159	20	6	3	49	88	3	27	7	.283	.344	.357	.701	.073	.330	14	8	.308	94	-4	+3	+3	+2	+18	2.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	108	94	31	5	2	1	13	13	0	2	1	.330	.411	.457	.869	.128	.375	12	12	.381	150	+6	+0	-1	+0	+3	0.9
ROS	26	MLB	MIA	511	457	133	18	6	3	47	71	2	23	6	.291	.360	.376	.736	.085	.333	14	9	.330	111	+6	+2	+5	+2	+14	3.0
TOT	26	MLB	MIA	619	551	164	23	8	4	60	84	2	25	7	.298	.369	.390	.759	.093	.343	14	10	.339	117	+12	+2	+5	+2	+18	3.9
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB	MIA	614	550	159	21	7	4	57	70	2	28	7	.289	.358	.375	.733	.085	.322	11	9	.330	111	+7	+3	+6	+2	+17	3.7
2028	28	MLB	MIA	606	543	157	21	7	4	56	71	2	27	6	.289	.358	.376	.733	.087	.322	12	9	.329	110	+7	+3	+5	+2	+17	3.5
2029	29	MLB	MIA	594	531	152	20	6	4	56	71	2	25	6	.286	.357	.369	.726	.083	.321	12	9	.327	108	+5	+3	+5	+2	+17	3.2
2030	30	MLB	MIA	582	520	147	19	6	3	55	71	2	23	5	.283	.354	.360	.713	.077	.320	12	9	.324	106	+4	+3	+4	+2	+16	2.9
2031	31	MLB	MIA	567	507	143	19	6	3	53	72	2	20	4	.282	.352	.361	.713	.079	.319	13	9	.320	103	+2	+2	+3	+2	+16	2.6
2032	32	MLB	MIA	548	490	136	17	6	2	51	72	2	17	3	.278	.348	.349	.697	.071	.318	13	9	.315	99	-0	+2	+2	+2	+16	2.2
2033	33	MLB	MIA	518	464	126	16	5	1	48	72	1	14	2	.272	.341	.334	.675	.062	.317	14	9	.310	95	-3	+2	+1	+2	+15	1.7
2034	34	MLB	MIA	470	423	114	14	5	1	43	69	1	11	1	.270	.338	.333	.672	.064	.316	15	9	.304	90	-5	+2	-0	+2	+13	1.2
2035	35	MLB	MIA	415	373	98	12	4	0	38	65	1	9	1	.263	.333	.316	.649	.054	.314	16	9	.297	85	-7	+1	-1	+1	+12	0.6
2036	36	MLB	MIA	354	318	82	9	4	0	32	60	1	7	1	.258	.328	.311	.639	.053	.313	17	9	.290	80	-8	+1	-3	+1	+10	0.2
2037	37	MLB	MIA	290	262	66	7	3	0	26	52	0	6	0	.252	.319	.302	.621	.050	.311	18	9	.285	76	-8	+1	-4	+1	+8	-0.1
2038	38	MLB	MIA	220	199	49	5	2	0	19	41	0	4	0	.246	.312	.291	.603	.045	.308	19	9	.279	72	-7	+1	-5	+1	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9233	8302	2313	297	92	41	796	1291	27	386	85	.279	.344	.351	.695	.073	.323	14	9	.311	96	-38	+43	+13	+36	+262	32.2
/ 162G	—			650	584	163	21	6	3	56	91	2	27	6	.279	.344	.351	.695	.072	.324	14	9	.311	96	-3	+3	+1	+3	+18	2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	AZL Padres 1	88	73	28	4	1	0	13	10	0	12	1	.384	.477	.466	.942	.082	.438	11	15	.416	177	+8	+2	—	—	+2	1.2
2019	19	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	217	196	59	5	4	0	14	19	1	14	2	.301	.351	.367	.718	.066	.331	9	6	.316	100	+0	+2	—	—	+6	0.8
2019	19	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	344	307	103	13	4	1	30	35	1	20	9	.336	.396	.414	.810	.078	.371	10	9	.360	134	+13	+0	—	—	+10	2.4
2021	21	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	337	291	88	13	3	0	36	42	1	19	11	.302	.381	.368	.749	.065	.348	12	11	.334	114	+5	-1	—	—	+10	1.4
2022	22	AAA	Durham Bulls	400	349	86	19	1	5	43	75	0	7	4	.246	.329	.350	.679	.103	.300	19	11	.304	91	-4	-0	—	—	+11	0.7
2023	23	MLB	Miami Marlins	84	78	23	3	0	0	3	14	1	5	0	.295	.329	.333	.663	.038	.359	17	4	.295	84	-2	+1	-1	+2	+2	0.3
2023	23	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	433	370	130	14	2	7	52	30	2	32	4	.351	.434	.457	.891	.105	.364	7	12	.393	159	+29	+5	—	—	+12	4.7
2024	24	MLB	Miami Marlins	303	265	87	12	5	1	33	52	0	31	4	.328	.403	.423	.825	.094	.398	17	11	.366	139	+13	+5	-6	+5	+9	2.5
2024	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	119	109	36	8	1	1	8	11	0	5	1	.330	.376	.450	.826	.119	.361	9	7	.362	135	+5	+1	—	—	+3	0.9
2025	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	619	561	159	20	5	3	49	88	3	27	7	.283	.344	.353	.697	.070	.330	14	8	.315	99	-1	+3	+3	+2	+18	2.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1006	904	269	35	10	4	85	154	4	63	11	.298	.361	.372	.732	.074	.352	15	8	.329	110	+11	+8	-4	+9	+29	5.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Xavier Edwards (OGILVIE)	26	55	30	55	55	.287/.354/.371	.085	.322	4	28	11%	9%	111	+2.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Reggie Willits 2007 · MLB	26	57→62	37→30	55→60	55	.266/.341/.345	.079	.320	4	31	17%	10%	98	+1.6	.259/.345/.323	.064	.320	2	26	17%	11%	95	+1.4	.249/.338/.295	.046	.311	0	25	18%	11%	82	+0.3
✕Jose Acuna 2008 · AAA	26	59	37→40	54→50	57	.276/.363/.358	.082	.328	3	17	16%	10%	111	+2.5	.254/.326/.327	.073	.300	3	14	15%	8%	87	+0.8	.248/.315/.301	.053	.289	2	11	14%	7%	74	-0.0
●Maicer Izturis 2007 · MLB	26	56→61	42→45	54→55	57	.265/.334/.382	.118	.289	7	20	11%	9%	105	+2.1	.276/.340/.391	.115	.299	9	16	10%	9%	110	+2.4	.282/.346/.393	.111	.303	9	16	10%	8%	109	+1.6
✕Jake Elmore 2013 · MLB	26	56→62	37→40	53→55	53	.259/.328/.341	.081	.308	3	22	16%	9%	92	+1.2	.249/.317/.330	.081	.296	4	18	16%	8%	85	+0.7	.242/.306/.310	.068	.294	3	10	17%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Luis Durango 2011 · MLB	25	59→65	33→30	54→60	53	.273/.335/.313	.040	.327	1	30	16%	8%	86	+0.8	.251/.304/.297	.046	.315	1	35	19%	7%	69	-0.4	.263/.304/.316	.053	.330	1	39	19%	5%	70	-0.3
●Ryan Theriot 2007 · MLB	27	58→65	39→40	57→55	51	.274/.325/.369	.095	.308	4	24	12%	7%	97	+1.5	.277/.340/.358	.081	.309	4	23	11%	8%	100	+1.7	.281/.348/.351	.071	.312	3	22	10%	9%	100	+1.8
●David Eckstein 2002 · MLB	27	57→64	39→40	56→55	52	.269/.338/.353	.084	.291	6	23	10%	7%	99	+1.7	.271/.340/.354	.083	.289	6	19	8%	7%	101	+1.8	.291/.353/.368	.076	.306	4	10	6%	6%	107	+2.2
●César Hernández 2016 · MLB	26	58→64	37→45	54→55	48	.269/.325/.350	.081	.339	4	21	21%	8%	92	+1.2	.279/.356/.381	.102	.347	7	16	19%	10%	113	+2.6	.277/.367/.382	.105	.344	8	16	20%	12%	114	+2.9
●Chone Figgins 2004 · MLB	26	55→65	39→45	53→65	52	.261/.318/.352	.091	.302	5	21	15%	8%	89	+1.0	.280/.339/.392	.112	.325	6	35	15%	8%	108	+2.3	.296/.383/.376	.080	.356	3	40	16%	12%	120	+3.1
●Luis Castillo 2002 · MLB	26	61→71	37→40	60→65	60	.286/.366/.361	.075	.334	3	39	15%	11%	112	+2.6	.294/.362/.366	.072	.333	4	31	12%	10%	111	+2.5	.294/.373/.363	.069	.320	4	17	9%	11%	113	+2.7
✕Gene Kingsale 2003 · MLB	26	54	41→40	53→55	49	.257/.319/.358	.102	.309	7	18	19%	8%	92	+1.2	.236/.299/.335	.099	.278	7	12	17%	8%	79	+0.3	.222/.279/.295	.073	.263	3	7	16%	6%	57	-0.4
✕Greg Allen 2019 · MLB	26	53→56	39→45	57→65	45	.250/.319/.340	.090	.314	6	30	21%	6%	89	+0.9	.240/.310/.352	.112	.303	9	27	23%	6%	89	+0.9	.240/.342/.356	.116	.319	9	52	25%	7%	100	+0.7
●Ender Inciarte 2017 · MLB	26	59→62	40→45	53→60	50	.281/.328/.380	.099	.312	6	20	12%	6%	102	+1.8	.279/.334/.395	.116	.313	9	19	13%	7%	108	+2.3	.273/.333/.390	.117	.306	10	21	14%	8%	102	+1.7
✕Jemile Weeks 2013 · MLB	26	53→62	39→45	56→55	52	.249/.313/.349	.100	.290	5	21	15%	8%	87	+0.8	.239/.313/.331	.092	.293	4	16	18%	9%	82	+0.5	.233/.310/.318	.085	.293	2	15	19%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Bernie Castro 2006 · MLB	27	59→64	36→30	60	49	.279/.319/.348	.070	.312	3	32	12%	6%	89	+0.9	.259/.299/.327	.068	.303	3	33	14%	6%	75	-0.0	.254/.296/.313	.059	.300	2	36	15%	5%	66	-0.4
✕Emilio Bonifácio 2012 · MLB	27	56→61	37→40	58→65	50	.263/.323/.343	.081	.328	4	30	20%	8%	89	+1.0	.250/.311/.334	.084	.318	5	37	21%	8%	82	+0.5	.246/.288/.332	.086	.306	5	33	20%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Myles Straw 2022 · MLB	27	56→59	37→40	56→60	53	.261/.332/.340	.079	.325	4	27	20%	10%	93	+1.3	.235/.302/.305	.070	.290	3	23	18%	9%	72	-0.2	.232/.290/.307	.075	.293	3	26	20%	7%	65	-0.5
●Julio Borbon 2012 · MLB	26	56→61	37→40	58→60	47	.264/.309/.340	.076	.300	4	30	14%	5%	82	+0.5	.254/.298/.346	.092	.296	7	24	16%	6%	79	+0.3	.278/.311/.346	.068	.324	5	28	15%	4%	82	+0.4
✕Joey Gathright 2008 · MLB	27	58→66	35→30	58→60	53	.269/.341/.335	.066	.321	2	36	16%	9%	95	+1.4	.257/.316/.306	.049	.302	2	30	14%	7%	77	+0.1	.255/.297/.292	.037	.314	0	27	18%	5%	61	-0.4
✕Chris Getz 2010 · MLB	26	54→56	41→40	56→60	51	.259/.315/.358	.100	.289	8	22	14%	7%	91	+1.1	.243/.301/.312	.069	.274	3	27	12%	7%	72	-0.2	.241/.288/.304	.063	.269	2	31	10%	6%	60	-0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)