Jesus Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Jesus RodriguezC Sacramento River Cats

Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 201 lbs MLB HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION267 act + 178 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.255 / .318 / .360

PA178

HR3

SB5

K%16

BB%7

BABIP290

ISO106

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT55

xwOBA

640.325

POWER40

Barrel%

102.7

Avg EV

2086.8

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED40

Sprint

6828.2

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.4	$18M	+$17M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.5	$17M	+$17M
2029	Arb-1	$5M	+2.5	$16M	+$12M
2030	Arb-2	$8M	+2.4	$14M	+$9M
2031	Arb-3	$11M	+2.2	$12M	+$5M
Totals		$26M		$79M	+$62M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Yankees	—	72	63	16	3	2	2	6	14	0	3	2	254	319	460	779	206	280	19	8	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	DSL Yankees	—	72	58	18	4	2	2	11	10	0	3	2	310	420	552	972	241	327	14	15	406	169	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	DSL Yankees 1	—	151	134	29	11	0	0	14	35	1	8	3	216	295	299	594	82	287	23	9	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	DSL Yankees 1	—	151	126	37	15	0	0	22	24	1	8	3	294	403	413	815	119	356	16	15	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	152	138	37	8	2	3	9	21	5	8	3	268	336	420	756	152	298	14	6	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	152	132	46	10	4	4	15	14	5	8	3	348	434	576	1.010	227	368	9	10	441	196	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	3 teams	—	535	482	128	21	5	8	39	118	8	25	4	266	331	380	710	114	331	22	7	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	3 teams	—	535	462	147	23	4	11	58	76	8	25	4	318	403	457	859	139	357	14	11	381	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	333	309	75	11	5	8	19	69	3	9	4	243	293	388	681	146	286	21	6	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	333	295	89	15	4	10	33	49	3	9	4	302	378	481	859	180	332	15	10	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA	3 teams	—	613	552	144	20	3	7	49	108	7	24	9	261	329	346	675	85	310	18	8	300	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA	3 teams	—	613	526	159	20	3	8	75	82	7	24	9	302	396	397	794	95	342	13	12	360	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AAA	SF	—	267	239	55	9	0	6	20	37	3	8	1	230	298	343	641	113	244	14	7	285	76	-7	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.7
YTD	24	AAA	SF	—	267	232	62	11	0	7	27	30	3	8	1	267	351	405	756	138	275	11	10	335	115	+4	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.8
ROS	24	AAA	SF	100%	178	161	41	6	1	3	13	28	2	5	1	255	318	360	678	106	288	16	7	306	92	-2	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.7
ROS	24	MLB	SF	100%	178	161	40	6	1	3	13	28	2	5	1	248	312	354	667	106	283	16	7	293	82	-4	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.5
FULL	24	AAA	SF	—	445	400	95	15	1	9	33	65	5	13	2	237	304	347	651	110	259	15	7	288	79	-11	+2	+0	+8	+13	1.2
TOT	24	AAA	SF	—	445	400	96	15	1	9	33	65	5	13	2	240	306	350	656	110	262	15	7	293	83	-9	+2	+0	+8	+13	1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	SF	98%	520	469	119	19	2	10	40	85	6	15	3	254	320	367	687	113	289	16	8	310	96	-3	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.4
2028	26	MLB	SF	98%	520	469	119	19	2	11	40	87	6	15	3	254	320	373	694	119	289	17	8	312	97	-2	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.5
2029	27	MLB	SF	98%	520	468	118	19	2	11	41	89	6	15	3	252	320	372	692	120	289	17	8	313	98	-1	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.5
2030	28	MLB	SF	98%	520	467	118	19	2	11	42	90	6	14	3	253	322	373	695	120	289	17	8	312	97	-2	+2	-1	+9	+15	2.4
2031	29	MLB	SF	98%	520	467	118	19	2	11	42	91	6	13	3	253	322	373	695	120	288	18	8	310	96	-3	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.2
2032	30	MLB	SF	98%	520	467	117	19	2	11	42	93	6	12	2	251	320	370	691	120	287	18	8	308	94	-4	+2	-2	+9	+15	2.0
2033	31	MLB	SF	98%	504	453	112	18	2	10	41	91	5	10	2	247	317	362	679	115	285	18	8	303	90	-5	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.7
2034	32	MLB	SF	98%	363	327	79	12	1	7	29	67	4	6	1	242	311	349	660	107	282	18	8	298	86	-6	+1	-3	+6	+10	0.9
2035	33	MLB	SF	98%	324	292	69	10	1	6	26	62	3	4	1	236	305	339	644	103	278	19	8	291	81	-7	+0	-4	+6	+9	0.4
2027	25	MLB	SF	98%	510	460	115	18	2	10	39	83	6	14	3	250	317	363	680	113	284	16	8	297	85	-8	+2	+0	+9	+14	1.7
2028	26	MLB	SF	98%	510	459	114	18	2	10	40	85	6	14	3	248	317	362	678	113	284	17	8	299	87	-7	+2	+0	+9	+14	1.8
2029	27	MLB	SF	98%	510	459	114	18	2	11	40	87	6	14	3	248	317	368	685	120	284	17	8	300	88	-7	+2	+0	+9	+14	1.8
2030	28	MLB	SF	98%	510	458	114	18	2	11	41	89	6	14	3	249	319	369	688	120	284	17	8	299	87	-7	+2	-1	+9	+14	1.7
2031	29	MLB	SF	98%	510	459	113	18	2	10	41	90	5	13	2	246	315	359	674	113	283	18	8	297	86	-8	+2	-1	+9	+14	1.6
2032	30	MLB	SF	98%	510	459	112	18	2	10	41	91	5	11	2	244	313	357	670	113	282	18	8	295	84	-9	+1	-2	+9	+14	1.4
2033	31	MLB	SF	98%	494	446	107	17	2	9	40	90	5	10	2	240	310	348	657	108	280	18	8	291	81	-11	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.1
2034	32	MLB	SF	98%	356	320	76	12	1	6	29	66	4	6	1	237	309	338	646	100	277	19	8	285	77	-9	+1	-3	+6	+10	0.5
2035	33	MLB	SF	98%	318	286	66	10	1	5	26	61	3	4	1	231	302	325	627	94	273	19	8	279	72	-10	+0	-4	+6	+9	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4406	3967	971	153	17	85	350	770	48	105	21	245	314	356	670	111	282	17	8	294	83	-82	+13	-13	+79	+125	12.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	145	23	3	13	52	114	7	15	3	248	317	364	681	116	286	18	8	294	83	-12	+2	-2	+12	+18	1.8
Career	—			—	6345	5718	1439	234	34	119	492	1148	74	186	47	252	319	367	686	115	294	18	8	306	92	-57	+18	-13	+113	+180	24.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	147	24	3	12	50	118	8	19	5	251	319	363	682	113	293	18	8	306	92	-6	+2	-1	+12	+18	2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Yankees	—	72	58	18	4	2	2	11	10	0	3	2	310	420	552	972	241	327	14	15	406	169	+6	-0	—	—	+2	0.8
2021	19	ROK	DSL Yankees 1	—	151	126	37	15	0	0	22	24	1	8	3	294	403	413	815	119	356	16	15	366	138	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2022	20	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	152	132	46	10	4	4	15	14	5	8	3	348	434	576	1.010	227	368	9	10	441	196	+16	+0	—	—	+4	2.2
2023	21	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	112	90	32	5	1	3	17	18	3	6	1	356	473	533	1.006	178	408	16	15	439	194	+12	+1	—	—	+3	1.6
2023	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	348	303	90	15	3	6	38	52	3	15	3	297	380	426	805	129	339	15	11	359	133	+13	+2	—	—	+10	2.5
2023	21	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	75	69	25	3	0	2	3	6	2	4	0	362	405	493	898	130	371	8	4	396	161	+5	+1	—	—	+2	0.8
2024	22	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	90	84	19	1	0	5	4	19	2	2	1	226	278	417	694	190	233	21	4	308	94	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	243	211	70	14	4	5	29	30	1	7	3	332	415	507	922	175	365	12	12	405	168	+19	+0	—	—	+7	2.6
2025	23	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	535	461	147	20	3	7	64	72	6	20	8	319	409	421	829	102	363	13	12	374	144	+27	+1	—	—	+15	4.4
2025	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	30	28	3	0	0	0	2	6	0	1	1	107	167	107	274		136	20	7	137	-37	-5	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	23	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	48	37	9	0	0	1	9	4	1	3	0	243	404	324	729	81	242	8	19	340	119	+1	+1	—	—	+1	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Carlos Ruizlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,069 PA	12	4,069	71	25	264	350	391	+73	+6	25.2	24.6
	/162	664	12	4	264	350	391	+11.9	+1.0	4.1	pk7: 24
#2Kurt Suzukilast yr '22 career totals — 16 seasons, 6,163 PA	16	6,163	143	20	255	314	388	+110	-35	22.7	20.5
	/162	664	15	2	255	314	388	+11.9	-3.8	2.4	pk7: 18
#3Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	4,545	91	109	252	317	368	+81	-20	18.8	17.1
	/162	664	13	16	252	317	368	+11.9	-2.9	2.7	pk7: 15
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#6Welington Castillolast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA	8	2,667	97	5	254	313	425	+48	-14	13.3	13.2
	/162	664	24	1	254	313	425	+11.9	-3.4	3.3	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	24	55	40	40	47	240/306/350	110	262	9	13	15%	7%	83	+1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ramón Urías 2018 · AAA	24	52→57	46→50	46→50	44	254/327/386	132	305	14	14	21%	5%	105	+2.1	238/302/386	148	296	15	7	24%	6%	94	+1.3	249/317/382	133	319	14	3	25%	7%	96	+1.0
✕Lou Marson 2010 · MLB	24	55→54	39→40	45→50	51	257/328/347	90	331	6	5	23%	9%	93	+1.3	220/298/309	89	279	6	11	21%	10%	72	-0.2	205/295/288	83	258	5	13	21%	11%	63	-0.4
✕J.R. Towles 2009 · MLB	25	46→53	48→50	44→50	46	231/305/372	141	266	15	10	20%	6%	92	+1.2	216/298/346	130	255	13	8	20%	7%	82	+0.5	203/286/317	114	237	10	6	18%	7%	66	-0.2
✕Gordon Beckham 2011 · MLB	24	52→56	48→50	41→45	51	256/321/405	149	291	14	7	17%	8%	106	+2.2	239/302/360	121	275	12	6	17%	7%	86	+0.8	236/299/361	125	272	12	6	18%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Lastings Milledge 2009 · MLB	24	52→59	48→50	51→55	47	260/326/403	144	299	15	20	19%	7%	108	+2.3	264/319/376	112	307	10	18	17%	6%	97	+1.5	264/317/362	98	306	8	19	16%	6%	89	+0.7
●Rafael Lantigua 2023 · AAA	25	51→55	43→45	47→55	47	244/307/361	117	318	10	17	26%	8%	89	+0.9	246/322/352	106	315	9	18	23%	10%	93	+1.3	241/323/339	98	303	9	20	22%	10%	88	+0.8
✕Johnny Giavotella 2012 · MLB	25	57→61	41→45	49→50	46	271/313/375	104	314	7	12	16%	6%	94	+1.3	260/308/365	105	299	8	11	15%	6%	89	+1.0	265/310/377	112	292	8	5	12%	6%	92	+0.8
✕Ronny Cedeno 2006 · MLB	23	57	45	51→50	46	282/324/404	122	315	13	16	15%	5%	106	+2.2	260/297/372	112	307	11	11	18%	5%	86	+0.8	249/298/373	124	292	14	9	19%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Michael Garciaparra 2007 · AAA	24	54	40	43→45	47	257/324/345	88	322	7	9	22%	7%	92	+1.2	236/300/315	79	306	7	8	24%	6%	74	-0.1	226/290/287	61	298	6	5	24%	6%	60	-0.4
●Starlin Castro 2014 · MLB	24	54→63	44→50	49→50	45	265/304/386	121	303	10	14	16%	5%	93	+1.3	267/307/397	130	308	13	7	17%	5%	98	+1.6	284/326/431	147	328	17	3	18%	5%	111	+2.5
✕Kevin Frandsen 2006 · AAA	24	59→64	41→45	46→50	47	282/333/389	106	307	6	14	10%	4%	106	+2.2	266/324/374	108	291	8	11	11%	5%	99	+1.7	259/316/365	106	276	9	7	10%	4%	89	+0.7
✕Chin-Lung Hu 2008 · MLB	24	55→61	44→45	48→50	45	268/302/391	124	294	10	12	14%	4%	94	+1.3	251/283/346	95	285	7	12	14%	4%	73	-0.1	247/277/321	73	281	4	13	13%	3%	59	-0.7
✕Eric Campbell 2011 · AA	24	50→57	44→45	40→50	48	243/302/362	119	287	10	5	19%	7%	86	+0.8	240/314/351	111	298	9	8	21%	9%	89	+1.0	258/338/376	118	323	10	11	21%	9%	103	+1.3
✕Diory Hernandez 2008 · AA	24	52→60	41→45	44→50	41	251/294/351	100	306	8	15	21%	4%	80	+0.4	253/293/344	91	308	6	11	19%	4%	77	+0.1	250/298/379	129	273	15	6	15%	5%	87	+0.4
✕Boog Powell 2018 · MLB	25	56→57	43→45	48→50	49	272/326/384	112	321	11	15	19%	7%	102	+1.8	229/298/330	101	306	9	16	26%	9%	77	+0.1	202/280/282	80	285	6	17	29%	10%	54	-0.7
✕Yairo Muñoz 2019 · MLB	24	50→55	48→50	47→55	43	249/295/388	138	305	16	13	24%	6%	91	+1.1	262/302/382	120	319	11	18	21%	5%	92	+1.2	270/297/370	100	322	9	23	19%	3%	82	+0.2
✕Bryson Smith 2013 · AA	24	57→62	41→45	49→50	41	272/320/375	103	325	8	11	19%	4%	97	+1.5	246/301/339	93	297	8	7	19%	5%	80	+0.4	239/297/324	85	289	8	4	19%	5%	71	-0.1
✕Cheslor Cuthbert 2017 · MLB	24	52→57	47→50	46→45	46	256/301/391	135	296	14	5	19%	6%	93	+1.3	245/296/388	143	292	16	3	21%	6%	91	+1.1	233/285/373	140	282	16	1	23%	6%	81	+0.2
✕Adrian Cardenas 2012 · AAA	24	56→59	40→45	45→50	49	268/315/365	97	305	6	10	14%	6%	92	+1.2	242/301/355	113	282	8	10	16%	8%	84	+0.6	228/301/352	124	265	6	7	15%	9%	82	+0.3
●Alec Bohm 2021 · MLB	24	52→56	49→50	44→45	50	261/322/411	150	303	16	6	20%	8%	108	+2.3	259/312/381	122	314	13	6	21%	7%	95	+1.4	270/324/418	148	300	16	4	15%	6%	108	+2.2