Jesus Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Jesus RodriguezC Sacramento River Cats

Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 201 lbs AAA BB -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 2.2 · 2029

wRC+†94

AVG/OBP/SLG.252 / .316 / .356

PA320

HR5

SB7

K%19

BB%7

MLB%30%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55→55

PWR

40→40

SPD

40→40

FLD

45→45

EYE

47→47

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.2peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.1	$18M	+$17M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+2.2	$19M	+$18M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+2.1	$19M	+$18M
2031	Arb-3	$4M	+2.0	$19M	+$15M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.7	$16M	+$11M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+1.4	$14M	+$7M
Totals		$19M		$105M	+$86M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Yankees	72	63	16	3	2	2	6	14	0	3	2	.254	.319	.460	.779	.206	.280	19	8	.318	102	+0	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.3
2021	19	ROK	DSL Yankees 1	151	134	29	11	0	0	14	35	1	8	3	.216	.295	.299	.594	.082	.287	23	9	.269	64	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2022	20	ROK	FCL Yankees	152	138	37	8	2	3	9	21	5	8	3	.268	.336	.420	.756	.152	.298	14	6	.323	105	+1	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.9
2023	21	A	3 teams	535	479	125	21	4	9	42	115	8	25	4	.261	.331	.378	.709	.117	.321	21	8	.310	95	-3	+3	+0	+10	+15	2.6
2024	22	A+	2 teams	333	310	74	11	4	8	18	66	3	9	4	.239	.287	.377	.664	.139	.277	20	5	.291	81	-7	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.8
2025	23	AAA	3 teams	613	552	146	19	3	6	49	108	7	24	9	.264	.332	.342	.675	.078	.316	18	8	.301	88	-8	+1	+0	+11	+17	2.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	80	72	20	2	0	2	6	9	0	1	0	.278	.333	.389	.722	.111	.286	11	8	.310	95	-0	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.4
ROS	24	MLB	SF	240	218	56	8	1	4	18	42	2	6	2	.257	.319	.358	.677	.101	.299	18	8	.307	93	-2	+0	+0	+4	+7	1.0
TOT	24	MLB	SF	320	290	76	10	1	6	24	51	2	7	2	.262	.323	.366	.688	.103	.297	16	8	.308	94	-2	+1	+0	+6	+9	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB 39%	SF	370	334	88	13	2	7	30	62	3	9	3	.263	.330	.377	.707	.114	.302	17	8	.318	101	+1	+1	+0	+7	+10	1.9
2028	26	MLB 47%	SF	407	366	95	14	2	8	34	70	4	9	3	.260	.329	.374	.704	.115	.302	17	8	.320	103	+1	+1	+0	+7	+12	2.1
2029	27	MLB 53%	SF	420	378	99	15	2	9	35	74	4	9	3	.262	.331	.384	.715	.122	.301	18	8	.320	103	+2	+1	+0	+8	+12	2.2
2030	28	MLB 57%	SF	425	382	99	15	2	9	36	76	4	8	3	.259	.329	.380	.709	.120	.301	18	8	.319	102	+1	+0	-1	+8	+12	2.1
2031	29	MLB 61%	SF	420	377	98	15	2	9	36	76	4	7	2	.260	.331	.382	.713	.122	.301	18	9	.317	101	+0	+1	-1	+8	+12	2.0
2032	30	MLB 64%	SF	414	372	95	14	2	8	35	76	4	6	2	.255	.326	.368	.694	.113	.300	18	8	.314	99	-1	+0	-2	+7	+12	1.7
2033	31	MLB 66%	SF	389	350	88	13	2	7	33	73	3	4	1	.251	.321	.360	.681	.109	.299	19	8	.311	96	-2	+0	-3	+7	+11	1.4
2034	32	MLB 68%	SF	361	324	82	12	2	7	31	70	3	2	1	.253	.324	.367	.691	.114	.298	19	9	.306	93	-3	+0	-3	+6	+10	1.0
2035	33	MLB 70%	SF	323	290	71	10	1	6	27	65	3	1	0	.245	.316	.348	.664	.103	.297	20	8	.301	89	-4	+0	-4	+6	+9	0.7
2036	34	MLB 71%	SF	274	247	60	9	1	4	23	57	2	0	0	.243	.312	.336	.649	.093	.296	21	8	.295	84	-5	+0	-5	+5	+8	0.3
2037	35	MLB 73%	SF	220	198	47	7	1	3	18	48	2	0	0	.237	.307	.328	.636	.091	.295	22	8	.288	79	-5	+0	-6	+4	+6	-0.1
2038	36	MLB 83%	SF	166	150	35	5	1	2	14	38	1	0	0	.233	.303	.320	.623	.087	.293	23	8	.280	73	-5	+0	-6	+3	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6285	5662	1440	223	36	111	508	1186	63	138	45	.254	.323	.365	.688	.111	.302	19	8	.308	94	-45	+10	-30	+112	+178	22.9
/ 162G	—			650	586	149	23	4	11	53	123	7	14	5	.254	.324	.363	.688	.109	.303	19	8	.308	94	-5	+1	-3	+12	+18	2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Yankees	72	58	18	4	2	2	11	10	0	3	2	.310	.420	.552	.972	.241	.327	14	15	.406	169	+6	-0	—	—	+2	0.8
2021	19	ROK	DSL Yankees 1	151	126	37	15	0	0	22	24	1	8	3	.294	.403	.413	.815	.119	.356	16	15	.366	138	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2022	20	ROK	FCL Yankees	152	132	46	10	4	4	15	14	5	8	3	.348	.434	.576	1.010	.227	.368	9	10	.441	196	+16	+0	—	—	+4	2.2
2023	21	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	112	90	32	5	1	3	17	18	3	6	1	.356	.473	.533	1.006	.178	.408	16	15	.439	194	+12	+1	—	—	+3	1.6
2023	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	348	303	90	15	3	6	38	52	3	15	3	.297	.380	.426	.805	.129	.339	15	11	.359	133	+13	+2	—	—	+10	2.5
2023	21	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	75	69	25	3	0	2	3	6	2	4	0	.362	.405	.493	.898	.130	.371	8	4	.396	161	+5	+1	—	—	+2	0.8
2024	22	AA	Somerset Patriots	90	84	19	1	0	5	4	19	2	2	1	.226	.278	.417	.694	.190	.233	21	4	.308	94	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	243	211	70	14	4	5	29	30	1	7	3	.332	.415	.507	.922	.175	.365	12	12	.405	168	+19	+0	—	—	+7	2.6
2025	23	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	535	461	147	20	3	7	64	72	6	20	8	.319	.409	.421	.829	.102	.363	13	12	.374	144	+27	+1	—	—	+15	4.4
2025	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	30	28	3	0	0	0	2	6	0	1	1	.107	.167	.107	.274	.000	.136	20	7	.137	-37	-5	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	23	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	48	37	9	0	0	1	9	4	1	3	0	.243	.404	.324	.729	.081	.242	8	19	.340	119	+1	+1	—	—	+1	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	24	55	40	40	47	.252/.316/.356	.104	.301	5	8	19%	7%	91	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Lou Marson 2010 · MLB	24	55→54	39→40	45→50	51	.259/.330/.351	.091	.335	6	5	23%	9%	95	+1.4	.218/.296/.307	.089	.276	6	11	21%	10%	70	-0.3	.200/.290/.281	.081	.252	5	13	21%	11%	58	-0.6
✕Lastings Milledge 2009 · MLB	24	52→58	48→50	50→55	47	.257/.325/.401	.144	.300	15	19	19%	7%	107	+2.2	.263/.318/.377	.114	.306	11	18	17%	6%	98	+1.6	.264/.316/.363	.099	.305	8	19	16%	6%	88	+0.7
✕Michael Garciaparra 2007 · AAA	24	54	40	43→45	46	.255/.322/.344	.089	.320	7	9	22%	7%	91	+1.1	.239/.303/.317	.078	.309	7	8	23%	7%	76	+0.0	.228/.292/.290	.062	.300	6	5	24%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2014 · MLB	24	54→61	41→45	50→60	46	.258/.298/.356	.098	.296	8	15	16%	5%	82	+0.5	.244/.286/.321	.077	.287	5	11	16%	5%	69	-0.4	.248/.288/.306	.058	.289	2	9	14%	5%	61	-0.6
✕Jose Aguilar 2014 · AAA	24	57→60	40→45	50→55	47	.272/.325/.361	.088	.313	7	16	15%	5%	95	+1.4	.269/.323/.372	.103	.307	8	16	14%	6%	98	+1.6	.265/.324/.366	.101	.300	8	19	14%	6%	94	+0.8
●Rafael Lantigua 2023 · AAA	25	50→56	44→45	48→55	46	.242/.302/.361	.119	.316	10	17	26%	8%	86	+0.8	.246/.322/.354	.108	.316	9	18	23%	10%	93	+1.3	.240/.324/.336	.096	.302	8	20	21%	10%	87	+0.8
✕Ramón Urías 2018 · AAA	24	55→61	47→50	46→50	44	.268/.337/.403	.135	.316	14	14	19%	5%	113	+2.6	.241/.307/.391	.150	.296	16	8	23%	6%	97	+1.5	.254/.322/.393	.139	.324	14	3	25%	7%	101	+1.2
✕Johnny Giavotella 2012 · MLB	25	55→59	41→45	49→50	48	.262/.308/.368	.106	.300	7	12	16%	6%	90	+1.0	.259/.308/.363	.104	.297	8	11	15%	6%	89	+0.9	.254/.307/.354	.100	.287	8	12	14%	6%	85	+0.6
✕Kevin Frandsen 2006 · AAA	24	59→64	41→45	46→50	47	.281/.331/.386	.106	.305	6	14	11%	4%	105	+2.1	.267/.324/.375	.108	.293	7	11	11%	5%	99	+1.7	.272/.316/.368	.096	.296	5	5	10%	3%	91	+0.7
✕Eric Campbell 2011 · AA	24	49→57	43→45	40→50	48	.241/.298/.358	.117	.283	10	5	19%	7%	84	+0.6	.245/.315/.354	.109	.302	8	8	20%	8%	90	+1.0	.268/.347/.386	.117	.333	10	11	21%	9%	108	+1.6
✕Bryson Smith 2013 · AA	24	55→59	42→45	48→50	41	.264/.313/.371	.107	.315	9	11	19%	4%	93	+1.3	.245/.300/.343	.098	.295	8	8	19%	5%	81	+0.4	.236/.294/.325	.089	.285	8	4	19%	5%	70	-0.1
●Luis Urías 2021 · MLB	24	48→58	46→55	46→45	48	.234/.311/.367	.133	.298	13	7	25%	8%	92	+1.2	.237/.328/.399	.162	.282	19	5	22%	10%	108	+2.3	.228/.330/.386	.157	.270	19	3	22%	11%	99	+1.3
✕A.J. Jimenez 2014 · AAA	24	52→58	41→45	43→50	43	.250/.289/.351	.101	.302	7	7	20%	5%	77	+0.1	.224/.262/.318	.094	.274	6	5	20%	4%	57	-1.2	.213/.249/.304	.091	.258	4	4	19%	4%	46	-0.8
●Jose Castillo 2005 · MLB	24	50→59	45→50	46→50	45	.248/.295/.370	.122	.301	13	7	22%	6%	85	+0.7	.255/.300/.391	.136	.293	15	5	18%	6%	93	+1.3	.295/.322/.445	.150	.307	20	13	11%	3%	115	+1.9
✕Elias Díaz 2015 · AAA	24	48→58	40→50	41→45	46	.233/.282/.326	.093	.280	8	5	20%	6%	69	-0.4	.244/.286/.336	.092	.292	7	5	18%	5%	72	-0.2	.253/.312/.392	.139	.280	17	0	16%	7%	96	+0.8
●Andy Ibáñez 2017 · AA	24	47→55	45→50	45	47	.231/.281/.359	.128	.265	12	10	18%	6%	77	+0.1	.230/.278/.348	.118	.269	12	7	19%	6%	73	-0.1	.252/.306/.406	.155	.284	16	5	17%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Jose Tabata 2014 · MLB	25	54→61	42→45	46→55	51	.260/.325/.373	.113	.298	7	13	15%	8%	98	+1.6	.253/.307/.340	.087	.292	5	7	14%	6%	82	+0.5	.256/.311/.317	.061	.298	2	5	14%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Diory Hernandez 2008 · AA	24	51→59	41→45	44→50	40	.246/.289/.346	.101	.301	9	14	21%	4%	77	+0.1	.254/.292/.346	.092	.309	6	12	19%	4%	78	+0.2	.257/.305/.389	.132	.279	16	6	14%	6%	94	+0.6
✕Thairo Estrada 2019 · AAA	23	53→61	40→50	43→55	44	.256/.296/.343	.087	.299	7	9	17%	5%	79	+0.3	.235/.279/.366	.131	.284	14	10	22%	4%	79	+0.3	.270/.326/.420	.150	.314	17	21	19%	5%	108	+1.8
✕Roberto Valenzuela 2019 · AAA	24	49→57	41→40	47→45	50	.237/.292/.338	.101	.261	9	8	13%	6%	76	+0.1	.260/.306/.366	.106	.297	11	9	16%	5%	89	+0.9	.276/.322/.372	.096	.314	10	8	15%	5%	92	+1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)