Jesus Rodriguez
C Sacramento River Cats| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AA/A+NYY | 333 | .302/.378/.481 | 10 | 9 | 85 | — | .240/.290/.379 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs | 613 | .302/.396/.397 | 8 | 24 | 105 | — | .289/.353/.378 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAASF | 225 | .268/.355/.397 | 5 | 7 | 82 | — | .244/.309/.348 |
| 2026 | 24 | MLBSF | 58 | .235/.316/.412 | 2 | 1 | 108 | 0.7 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 25 | MLBSF | 56 | .267/.333/.369 | 1 | 2 | 104 | 0.3 | |
| 2028PROJ53% MLB | 26 | MLBSF | 237 | .266/.333/.372 | 4 | 7 | 104 | 1.1 | |
| 2029PROJ56% MLB | 27 | MLBSF | 251 | .264/.331/.371 | 4 | 7 | 103 | 1.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Yankees | — | 72 | 58 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 310 | 420 | 552 | 972 | 241 | 327 | 14 | 15 | 406 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 151 | 126 | 37 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 24 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 294 | 403 | 413 | 815 | 119 | 356 | 16 | 15 | 366 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Yankees | — | 152 | 132 | 46 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 348 | 434 | 576 | 1.010 | 227 | 368 | 9 | 10 | 441 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 112 | 90 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 356 | 473 | 533 | 1.006 | 178 | 408 | 16 | 15 | 439 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 348 | 303 | 90 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 52 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 297 | 380 | 426 | 805 | 129 | 339 | 15 | 11 | 359 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 75 | 69 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 362 | 405 | 493 | 898 | 130 | 371 | 8 | 4 | 396 | 154 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 90 | 84 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 226 | 278 | 417 | 694 | 190 | 233 | 21 | 4 | 308 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 243 | 211 | 70 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 30 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 332 | 415 | 507 | 922 | 175 | 365 | 12 | 12 | 405 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 535 | 461 | 147 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 64 | 72 | 6 | 20 | 8 | 319 | 409 | 421 | 829 | 102 | 363 | 13 | 12 | 374 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 30 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 107 | 167 | 107 | 274 | 136 | 20 | 7 | 137 | -33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 23 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 48 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 243 | 404 | 324 | 729 | 81 | 242 | 8 | 19 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 58 | 51 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 316 | 412 | 728 | 176 | 244 | 14 | 9 | 320 | 108 | +1 | -0 | +0 | +5 | +1 | 0.7 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 225 | 194 | 52 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 268 | 355 | 397 | 751 | 129 | 280 | 12 | 11 | 333 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 58 | 51 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 316 | 412 | 728 | 176 | 244 | 14 | 9 | 320 | 103 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +5 | +1 | 0.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees | — | 72 | 62 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 210 | 290 | 339 | 629 | 129 | 214 | 17 | 10 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 151 | 132 | 25 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 29 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 189 | 282 | 265 | 547 | 76 | 233 | 19 | 11 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 152 | 138 | 38 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 275 | 342 | 442 | 784 | 167 | 294 | 13 | 6 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 112 | 98 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 296 | 373 | 449 | 822 | 153 | 337 | 21 | 8 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 348 | 317 | 81 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 73 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 256 | 316 | 353 | 669 | 98 | 309 | 21 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 90 | 85 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 188 | 233 | 341 | 575 | 153 | 211 | 26 | 3 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 243 | 224 | 58 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 42 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 259 | 311 | 393 | 704 | 134 | 299 | 17 | 7 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 535 | 481 | 144 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 86 | 6 | 20 | 8 | 299 | 365 | 393 | 758 | 94 | 347 | 16 | 8 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 30 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 103 | 133 | 103 | 237 | 140 | 27 | 3 | 120 | -33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 58 | 51 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 316 | 412 | 728 | 176 | 244 | 14 | 9 | 327 | 108 | +1 | -0 | +0 | +5 | +1 | 0.7 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 225 | 201 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 31 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 244 | 309 | 348 | 657 | 104 | 256 | 14 | 8 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees | — | 72 | 62 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 210 | 290 | 339 | 629 | 129 | 231 | 17 | 10 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Yankees | — | 72 | 58 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 310 | 420 | 552 | 972 | 241 | 327 | 14 | 15 | 406 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 151 | 132 | 25 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 29 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 189 | 282 | 265 | 547 | 76 | 238 | 19 | 11 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 151 | 126 | 37 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 24 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 294 | 403 | 413 | 815 | 119 | 356 | 16 | 15 | 366 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 152 | 138 | 38 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 275 | 342 | 442 | 784 | 167 | 304 | 13 | 6 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK RAW | FCL Yankees | — | 152 | 132 | 46 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 348 | 434 | 576 | 1.010 | 227 | 368 | 9 | 10 | 441 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 535 | 482 | 128 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 112 | 8 | 25 | 4 | 266 | 331 | 382 | 713 | 116 | 324 | 21 | 7 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 535 | 462 | 147 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 58 | 76 | 8 | 25 | 4 | 318 | 403 | 457 | 859 | 139 | 357 | 14 | 11 | 381 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 333 | 309 | 75 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 64 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 243 | 293 | 382 | 675 | 139 | 280 | 19 | 6 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 333 | 295 | 89 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 49 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 302 | 378 | 481 | 859 | 180 | 332 | 15 | 10 | 379 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 613 | 551 | 158 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 50 | 101 | 7 | 24 | 9 | 287 | 354 | 370 | 724 | 83 | 339 | 16 | 8 | 323 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 613 | 526 | 159 | 20 | 3 | 8 | 75 | 82 | 7 | 24 | 9 | 302 | 396 | 397 | 794 | 95 | 342 | 13 | 12 | 360 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 283 | 252 | 61 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 39 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 242 | 310 | 361 | 672 | 119 | 259 | 14 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 283 | 245 | 64 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 261 | 347 | 400 | 747 | 139 | 273 | 12 | 10 | 330 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees | — | 72 | 65 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 200 | 290 | 323 | 613 | 123 | 214 | 17 | 10 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Yankees 1 | — | 151 | 133 | 25 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 29 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 188 | 282 | 263 | 545 | 75 | 233 | 19 | 11 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 152 | 137 | 38 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 277 | 342 | 445 | 787 | 168 | 294 | 13 | 6 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 535 | 483 | 128 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 112 | 8 | 25 | 4 | 265 | 331 | 381 | 712 | 116 | 316 | 21 | 7 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 333 | 308 | 75 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 64 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 244 | 293 | 383 | 676 | 140 | 275 | 19 | 6 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 613 | 551 | 158 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 50 | 101 | 7 | 24 | 9 | 287 | 354 | 370 | 724 | 83 | 336 | 16 | 8 | 323 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 283 | 256 | 61 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 39 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 238 | 310 | 355 | 666 | 117 | 254 | 14 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 333 | 308 | 75 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 64 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 244 | 293 | 383 | 676 | 140 | 275 | 19 | 6 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 613 | 551 | 158 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 50 | 101 | 7 | 24 | 9 | 287 | 354 | 370 | 724 | 83 | 336 | 16 | 8 | 323 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 283 | 256 | 61 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 39 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 238 | 310 | 355 | 666 | 117 | 254 | 14 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | SF | 45% | 300 | 270 | 74 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 49 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 271 | 337 | 377 | 715 | 106 | 313 | 16 | 8 | 321 | 104 | +1 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 0.7 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | SF | 45% | 56 | 51 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 267 | 333 | 369 | 703 | 102 | 309 | 16 | 7 | 316 | 104 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | 0.3 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | SF | 53% | 445 | 401 | 108 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 74 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 270 | 337 | 381 | 718 | 111 | 312 | 17 | 8 | 322 | 104 | +2 | +1 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 2.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | SF | 56% | 445 | 401 | 107 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 76 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 268 | 335 | 380 | 715 | 112 | 311 | 17 | 8 | 321 | 103 | +2 | +1 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 2.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | SF | 58% | 445 | 401 | 106 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 78 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 265 | 332 | 376 | 709 | 111 | 309 | 18 | 8 | 318 | 102 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +8 | +10 | 1.8 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | SF | 58% | 445 | 402 | 105 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 81 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 262 | 329 | 372 | 701 | 110 | 307 | 18 | 8 | 315 | 99 | -0 | +1 | -2 | +8 | +10 | 1.6 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB MLE | SF | 58% | 445 | 402 | 104 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 83 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 258 | 325 | 366 | 690 | 108 | 305 | 19 | 8 | 311 | 96 | -2 | +1 | -3 | +8 | +10 | 1.4 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB MLE | SF | 58% | 426 | 385 | 97 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 81 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 253 | 320 | 356 | 675 | 102 | 302 | 19 | 8 | 305 | 92 | -4 | +0 | -4 | +8 | +9 | 1.0 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB MLE | SF | 58% | 231 | 209 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 248 | 314 | 343 | 657 | 95 | 298 | 19 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -4 | -0 | -4 | +4 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | SF | 53% | 237 | 213 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 266 | 333 | 372 | 705 | 107 | 308 | 17 | 8 | 317 | 104 | +1 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | SF | 56% | 251 | 226 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 264 | 331 | 371 | 702 | 107 | 306 | 17 | 8 | 316 | 103 | +1 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 1.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | SF | 58% | 259 | 233 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 46 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 261 | 328 | 368 | 696 | 107 | 305 | 18 | 8 | 313 | 102 | +1 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 1.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | SF | 58% | 258 | 232 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 47 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 257 | 325 | 363 | 688 | 106 | 303 | 18 | 8 | 310 | 99 | -0 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 0.9 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB CTX | SF | 58% | 257 | 232 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 48 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 254 | 321 | 357 | 678 | 104 | 301 | 19 | 8 | 306 | 96 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +6 | 0.8 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB CTX | SF | 58% | 246 | 223 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 47 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 249 | 316 | 348 | 664 | 98 | 298 | 19 | 8 | 300 | 92 | -2 | +0 | -2 | +4 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB CTX | SF | 58% | 133 | 121 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 244 | 310 | 335 | 645 | 91 | 294 | 20 | 8 | 292 | 87 | -2 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +3 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1699 | 1531 | 393 | 66 | 6 | 28 | 136 | 305 | 18 | 32 | 8 | 257 | 325 | 363 | 687 | 106 | 303 | 18 | 8 | 309 | 96 | -3 | +3 | -10 | +34 | +37 | 6.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 586 | 150 | 25 | 2 | 11 | 52 | 117 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 256 | 325 | 362 | 686 | 106 | 302 | 18 | 8 | 309 | 96 | -1 | +1 | -4 | +13 | +14 | 2.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5146 | 4640 | 1208 | 197 | 30 | 85 | 404 | 916 | 57 | 144 | 42 | 260 | 327 | 371 | 698 | 110 | 305 | 18 | 8 | 310 | 96 | -4 | +5 | -17 | +59 | +66 | 11.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 153 | 25 | 4 | 11 | 51 | 116 | 7 | 18 | 5 | 261 | 328 | 374 | 701 | 113 | 306 | 18 | 8 | 310 | 96 | -1 | +1 | -4 | +12 | +14 | 2.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAASacramento River Cats · 225 PAwOBA .332 → .290 (−42)K% 11.6% → 13.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.56% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 7.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.89% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.968 | ×1.048 | 20.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.968 | ×1.048 | 5.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.968 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 2.18% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .332 → .290; ISO .129 → .104; BABIP .280 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAASacramento River Cats · 535 PAwOBA .366 → .334 (−32)K% 13.5% → 16.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.46% | ÷1.010 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.59% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 8.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.08% | ÷1.030 | ×0.930 | ×1.013 | ×1.050 | 28.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.14% | ÷0.959 | ×0.830 | ×1.013 | ×1.050 | 4.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.77% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.013 | ×1.050 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.80% | ÷0.938 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.41% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .366 → .334; ISO .102 → .093; BABIP .363 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AASomerset Patriots · 30 PAwOBA .134 → .120 (−14)K% 20.0% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷0.977 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 4.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.64% | ÷0.969 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.027 | 14.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.056 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.030 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 94, 2B 91, 3B 111, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .134 → .120; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .136 → .140. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 243 PAwOBA .398 → .311 (−87)K% 12.3% → 17.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.35% | ÷0.946 | ×1.310 | — | — | 17.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.93% | ÷1.099 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 6.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 0.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.97% | ÷1.025 | ×0.870 | ×0.981 | ×1.012 | 21.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.73% | ÷1.070 | ×0.780 | ×0.981 | ×1.012 | 5.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.21% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.981 | ×1.012 | 2.07% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.76% | ÷1.032 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 2.38% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 105, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 89, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .398 → .311; ISO .175 → .148; BABIP .365 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AASomerset Patriots · 90 PAwOBA .299 → .247 (−52)K% 21.1% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.11% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.44% | ÷0.972 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 3.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.22% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 1.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.050 | ×0.970 | ×0.954 | ×1.042 | 18.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.54% | ÷0.902 | ×0.860 | ×0.954 | ×1.042 | 1.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.934 | ×0.950 | ×0.954 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 6.09% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 110, 2B 80, 3B 87, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.
Result: wOBA .299 → .247; ISO .190 → .147; BABIP .233 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ATampa Tarpons · 348 PAwOBA .353 → .294 (−59)K% 14.9% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.94% | ÷0.975 | ×1.360 | — | — | 20.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.92% | ÷1.079 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 7.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.86% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.29% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | ×0.982 | ×1.015 | 24.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.98% | ÷0.972 | ×0.830 | ×0.982 | ×1.015 | 5.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.20% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.982 | ×1.015 | 1.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.39% | ÷1.086 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.79% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 95, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .353 → .294; ISO .129 → .105; BABIP .339 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 112 PAwOBA .434 → .352 (−81)K% 16.1% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.07% | ÷1.005 | ×1.310 | — | — | 20.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.092 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 8.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.68% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 2.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.94% | ÷1.004 | ×0.870 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 27.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.94% | ÷1.060 | ×0.780 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 4.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.39% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 1.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.006 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 3.74% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 101, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 101, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .434 → .352; ISO .178 → .161; BABIP .408 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKFCL Yankees · 152 PAwOBA .430 → .324 (−106)K% 9.2% → 13.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.21% | ÷0.990 | ×1.440 | — | — | 13.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.87% | ÷1.026 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 5.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.29% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.73% | ÷0.983 | ×0.820 | ×1.021 | ×0.995 | 20.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.47% | ÷0.974 | ×0.720 | ×1.021 | ×0.995 | 6.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.39% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×1.021 | ×0.995 | 2.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.39% | ÷1.066 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 2.47% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 98, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .430 → .324; ISO .227 → .163; BABIP .368 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .