Rafael Lantigua — OGILVIE

Rafael Lantigua2B Buffalo Bisons

Age 28 R/R 5'7" / 153 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION223 act + 148 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .278 / .284

PA148

HR2

K%24

BB%9

BABIP256

ISO82

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	19	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	256	231	50	6	4	0	20	46	2	11	12	216	285	277	562	61	266	18	8	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	256	218	62	8	6	0	33	32	2	11	12	284	383	376	760	92	328	12	13	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	237	211	49	8	2	1	20	57	5	8	5	232	314	303	617	71	314	24	8	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	237	198	57	10	2	1	33	40	5	8	5	288	403	374	776	86	357	17	14	357	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A	2 teams	—	394	370	76	13	5	3	17	95	3	10	9	205	246	292	538	86	264	24	4	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A	2 teams	—	394	361	90	17	6	4	26	65	3	10	9	249	305	363	668	114	291	16	7	297	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	347	308	73	19	1	10	34	104	4	26	6	237	321	403	723	166	323	30	10	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	347	300	84	22	1	11	42	76	4	26	6	280	376	470	846	190	341	22	12	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	2 teams	—	547	501	126	28	1	6	41	129	2	15	12	251	311	347	658	96	325	24	7	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	2 teams	—	547	489	134	35	1	7	53	105	2	15	12	274	347	393	740	119	334	19	10	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	655	560	149	38	0	14	79	154	5	32	10	266	362	409	771	143	337	24	12	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	655	529	159	44	0	13	110	117	5	32	10	301	425	457	883	157	358	18	17	391	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	570	511	128	21	0	4	50	130	4	19	7	250	322	315	637	65	326	23	9	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	570	484	125	21	0	4	77	107	4	19	7	258	365	326	691	68	322	19	14	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	615	538	116	16	3	9	57	109	5	22	10	216	297	307	603	91	250	18	9	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	615	504	120	19	2	10	91	88	5	22	10	238	360	343	703	105	266	14	15	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	TOR	—	223	203	33	7	0	3	18	62	0	4	2	163	231	241	472	79	217	28	8	208	17	-21	+0	+0	+1	+6	-1.4
YTD	28	AAA	TOR	—	223	195	37	9	0	3	26	52	0	4	2	190	285	282	567	92	243	23	12	263	59	-10	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.3
ROS	28	AAA	TOR	10%	148	133	27	5	0	2	13	35	1	4	1	202	278	284	562	82	267	24	9	267	63	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
ROS	28	MLB	TOR	10%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	214	267	286	552	71	268	27	7	265	61	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	28	AAA	TOR	—	238	217	36	8	0	3	19	66	0	4	2	166	233	244	477	78	223	28	8	212	20	-21	+0	+0	+1	+7	-1.4
TOT	28	AAA	TOR	—	371	336	60	12	0	5	31	97	1	8	3	178	250	258	508	80	233	26	8	232	36	-27	+0	+0	+1	+11	-1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	TOR	33%	323	289	62	12	1	5	29	77	2	7	3	215	291	315	606	100	269	24	9	270	65	-13	+0	-1	+1	+9	-0.4
2027	29	MLB	TOR	33%	106	94	20	4	0	1	10	25	1	2	1	213	295	287	582	74	270	24	9	267	63	-4	+0	-0	+0	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	121	108	23	5	0	1	11	29	1	2	1	213	292	287	579	74	278	24	9	267	62	-5	+0	-0	+0	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	123	27	0	5	59	156	5	11	5	212	290	284	574	72	278	24	9	267	62	-28	+0	-2	+2	+18	-0.9
Career	—			—	4092	3652	856	166	17	54	360	936	33	154	75	234	309	333	642	99	297	23	9	285	77	-108	+1	-1	+15	+116	2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	136	26	3	9	57	149	5	24	12	234	308	336	644	102	297	23	9	285	77	-17	+0	-0	+2	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	19	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	256	218	62	8	6	0	33	32	2	11	12	284	383	376	760	92	328	12	13	343	121	+6	-3	—	—	+7	1.1
2018	20	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	237	198	57	10	2	1	33	40	5	8	5	288	403	374	776	86	357	17	14	357	132	+8	-0	—	—	+7	1.5
2019	21	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	364	335	85	16	6	4	23	58	2	9	8	254	306	373	679	119	292	16	6	301	88	-5	-1	—	—	+10	0.4
2019	21	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	30	26	5	1	0	0	3	7	1	1	1	192	300	231	531	38	263	23	10	258	55	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	347	300	84	22	1	11	42	76	4	26	6	280	376	470	846	190	341	22	12	375	145	+18	+3	—	—	+10	3.1
2022	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	179	161	46	8	0	2	16	35	0	9	3	286	350	373	723	87	349	20	9	325	107	+1	+1	—	—	+5	0.7
2022	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	368	328	88	27	1	5	37	70	2	6	9	268	346	402	748	134	327	19	10	336	116	+6	-2	—	—	+10	1.5
2023	25	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	578	465	142	40	0	12	98	107	5	28	9	305	431	469	900	163	366	19	17	398	162	+41	+2	—	—	+16	6.0
2023	25	INTL	Toros del Este	—	77	64	17	4	0	1	12	10	0	4	1	266	382	375	757	109	302	13	16	343	121	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	521	446	118	20	0	4	70	100	3	16	6	265	368	336	704	72	332	19	13	327	108	+5	+1	—	—	+15	2.1
2024	26	INTL	Toros del Este	—	49	38	7	1	0	0	7	7	1	3	1	184	326	211	537	26	212	14	14	252	51	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	495	400	92	15	2	7	77	73	5	17	7	230	361	330	691	100	260	15	16	315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+14	1.5
2025	27	INTL	Toros del Este	—	120	104	28	4	0	3	14	15	0	5	3	269	356	394	750	125	287	12	12	335	114	+2	-0	—	—	+3	0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rafael Lantigua (OGILVIE)	28	50	40	55	60	178/250/258	80	233	5	8	26%	8%	36	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2023 · MLB	28	55→56	39→40	53→55	48	261/310/342	81	294	7	20	14%	6%	84	+0.6	256/304/349	93	299	8	18	16%	5%	84	+0.6	264/305/353	89	308	7	18	16%	4%	83	+0.3
✕Jake Elmore 2015 · MLB	28	53→62	38→40	51→55	52	249/316/329	80	298	4	20	17%	8%	84	+0.6	224/297/281	57	269	4	15	17%	9%	64	-0.8	240/302/310	70	291	3	10	18%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Steve Tolleson 2012 · MLB	28	48→53	42→45	52→50	47	233/293/341	108	285	10	16	21%	7%	78	+0.2	233/297/338	105	295	9	15	23%	8%	79	+0.3	236/304/337	101	299	9	14	22%	8%	80	+0.2
✕Mike McCoy 2009 · AAA	28	50→58	39→40	51→60	50	237/301/319	82	290	7	19	20%	8%	75	-0.0	250/323/335	85	302	5	29	17%	10%	88	+0.9	250/331/325	75	301	4	35	17%	10%	87	+0.6
✕Jonathan Davis 2019 · MLB	27	47→52	43→45	54→55	46	228/302/343	115	291	10	20	24%	8%	82	+0.5	216/304/336	120	286	11	19	27%	8%	82	+0.5	224/306/341	117	313	11	22	29%	9%	81	+0.2
✕Willie Bloomquist 2005 · MLB	27	51→56	40	55→60	47	246/300/341	96	303	7	23	21%	7%	79	+0.3	247/298/327	80	294	5	26	17%	6%	76	+0.0	284/325/360	76	328	3	18	13%	5%	90	+0.5
✕Christian Lopes 2021 · AAA	28	46→50	44→45	47→50	49	225/299/344	120	279	11	13	23%	8%	82	+0.5	212/291/340	128	302	13	11	32%	8%	78	+0.2	192/281/315	123	279	13	9	33%	9%	65	-0.2
✕Carlos Febles 2003 · MLB	27	50→52	42→40	53→55	54	242/319/350	108	278	9	18	16%	9%	91	+1.1	237/308/330	93	275	8	17	16%	8%	81	+0.4	229/292/254	25	269	0	22	14%	6%	53	-0.6
✕Jason Donald 2013 · MLB	28	51→55	41→50	49→50	43	243/303/347	104	316	8	13	25%	6%	83	+0.6	213/257/310	97	303	7	9	31%	5%	54	-1.4	193/229/276	83	287	5	6	33%	4%	30	-1.3
✕Cliff Pennington 2012 · MLB	28	53→55	42→45	53→55	51	253/313/366	113	298	8	21	18%	8%	92	+1.2	239/304/337	98	289	7	15	19%	8%	81	+0.4	222/300/305	83	280	7	9	22%	9%	68	-0.2
✕Kramer Robertson 2023 · AAA	28	43→51	44→45	54→55	50	211/304/325	114	268	12	21	24%	9%	79	+0.3	200/298/284	84	273	7	21	27%	10%	67	-0.5	173/285/221	48	247	3	23	28%	11%	45	-1.8
✕Ed Lucas 2010 · AAA	28	51→56	44→50	53→50	48	246/308/363	117	306	11	17	23%	8%	89	+1.0	231/290/357	126	293	14	9	25%	7%	80	+0.4	258/309/329	70	334	5	3	23%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Josh Wilson 2009 · MLB	28	48→50	41→45	50	44	232/286/336	104	272	8	14	18%	5%	73	-0.1	227/278/327	100	275	7	9	20%	4%	67	-0.5	226/275/323	96	276	6	6	20%	4%	63	-0.4
✕Jeff Fiorentino 2011 · MLB	28	50→53	44→50	51→50	49	246/304/369	122	294	11	15	20%	8%	89	+1.0	227/292/357	130	274	12	10	21%	8%	82	+0.5	220/294/359	138	263	13	8	21%	9%	81	+0.2
✕Isaac Rodriguez 2019 · AAA	28	54→58	40	50→55	46	258/306/345	87	296	7	17	16%	5%	83	+0.6	259/314/361	102	295	10	20	15%	6%	92	+1.2	277/334/365	89	312	8	23	13%	6%	98	+1.4
✕Bryson Brigman 2023 · AAA	28	48→58	42→40	50	41	232/278/339	108	297	9	12	25%	5%	70	-0.3	229/282/320	91	289	8	12	22%	6%	67	-0.5	229/286/302	73	285	6	12	21%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Jose Duarte 2012 · AAA	27	50→56	39→40	49→55	50	235/300/329	94	296	6	16	22%	8%	77	+0.1	228/297/324	96	285	8	11	21%	9%	75	-0.0	217/292/293	76	259	8	8	19%	10%	63	-0.3
✕Fernando Rios 2007 · AAA	28	54	43→40	49→50	48	260/308/372	111	291	10	13	15%	6%	92	+1.2	245/301/335	90	281	7	12	15%	6%	79	+0.3	249/306/318	70	281	4	6	12%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Jamie Ritchie 2021 · AAA	28	49→52	43→40	49→45	48	237/309/350	112	307	9	7	24%	8%	87	+0.8	234/314/320	86	295	7	5	21%	9%	81	+0.4	228/317/289	61	289	4	2	21%	10%	72	-0.1
✕Abiatal Avelino 2022 · AAA	27	48→54	41→45	54→55	45	232/281/336	104	280	8	17	20%	6%	71	-0.3	228/279/351	123	277	13	16	22%	6%	74	-0.1	212/259/338	126	251	16	18	23%	4%	59	-0.4