Rafael Lantigua — OGILVIE

Rafael Lantigua2B Buffalo Bisons

Age 28 R/R 5'7" / 153 lbs AAA HR +12%BB +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.4 · 2027

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .318 / .332

PA250

HR3

SB7

K%21

BB%10

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

40→40

SPD

55→55

EYE

54↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.5peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.9M	+$0.0M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.7M		$-2M	-$2M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	19	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	256	231	50	6	4	0	20	46	2	11	12	.216	.285	.277	.562	.061	.266	18	8	.257	55	-13	-3	+0	+1	+7	-0.8
2018	20	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	237	211	49	8	2	1	20	57	5	8	5	.232	.314	.303	.617	.071	.314	24	8	.270	65	-9	-0	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
2019	21	A	2 teams	394	370	77	13	5	3	17	83	3	10	9	.208	.249	.295	.543	.086	.257	21	4	.237	40	-27	-2	+0	+1	+11	-1.6
2021	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	347	310	71	18	1	10	32	104	4	26	6	.229	.309	.390	.700	.161	.310	30	9	.304	91	-4	+3	+0	+1	+10	1.0
2022	24	AA	2 teams	547	504	127	29	1	6	38	130	2	15	12	.252	.307	.349	.656	.097	.326	24	7	.291	81	-12	-2	+0	+2	+15	0.4
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	655	561	152	39	0	13	78	150	5	32	10	.271	.365	.410	.775	.139	.342	23	12	.342	120	+15	+2	+0	+2	+19	3.9
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	570	509	125	20	0	4	52	131	4	19	7	.246	.320	.308	.629	.063	.321	23	9	.278	71	-19	+1	+0	+2	+16	0.0
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	615	533	114	16	3	8	62	109	5	22	10	.214	.302	.300	.602	.086	.250	18	10	.272	66	-23	+0	+0	+2	+17	-0.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	67	62	11	2	0	3	4	19	0	2	0	.177	.227	.355	.582	.177	.200	28	6	.229	33	-5	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.3
ROS	28	MLB	TOR	183	163	37	7	0	3	17	40	1	5	2	.227	.304	.325	.629	.098	.281	22	9	.291	81	-4	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.2
TOT	28	MLB	TOR	250	225	48	9	0	6	21	59	1	7	2	.213	.283	.333	.617	.120	.261	24	8	.274	68	-9	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB 20%	TOR	323	286	66	12	1	6	32	61	2	9	3	.231	.312	.343	.655	.112	.271	19	10	.297	85	-5	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.4
2028	30	MLB 33%	TOR	343	305	70	13	1	6	33	66	2	9	3	.230	.309	.338	.647	.108	.271	19	10	.296	84	-6	+1	-2	+1	+10	0.3
2029	31	MLB 43%	TOR	342	304	69	13	1	6	33	68	2	7	2	.227	.307	.336	.642	.109	.271	20	10	.293	83	-7	+1	-3	+1	+10	0.2
2030	32	MLB 52%	TOR	332	295	66	12	1	6	32	68	2	6	1	.224	.304	.332	.636	.108	.270	20	10	.290	80	-8	+1	-4	+1	+9	0.0
2031	33	MLB 64%	TOR	308	274	60	11	1	5	29	65	2	4	1	.219	.298	.321	.620	.102	.268	21	9	.284	76	-8	+0	-4	+1	+9	-0.3
2032	34	MLB 73%	TOR	268	239	51	9	1	4	25	59	2	3	1	.213	.293	.310	.603	.096	.267	22	9	.278	71	-9	+0	-5	+1	+8	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5720	5095	1184	226	22	81	520	1237	43	186	84	.232	.309	.333	.642	.101	.289	22	9	.288	78	-139	+4	-19	+20	+162	2.8
/ 162G	—			650	579	134	26	2	9	59	141	5	21	10	.231	.308	.330	.638	.098	.288	22	9	.288	78	-16	+0	-2	+2	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	19	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	256	218	62	8	6	0	33	32	2	11	12	.284	.383	.376	.760	.092	.328	12	13	.343	121	+6	-3	—	—	+7	1.1
2018	20	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	237	198	57	10	2	1	33	40	5	8	5	.288	.403	.374	.776	.086	.357	17	14	.357	132	+8	-0	—	—	+7	1.5
2019	21	A	Lansing Lugnuts	364	335	85	16	6	4	23	58	2	9	8	.254	.306	.373	.679	.119	.292	16	6	.301	88	-5	-1	—	—	+10	0.4
2019	21	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	30	26	5	1	0	0	3	7	1	1	1	.192	.300	.231	.531	.038	.263	23	10	.258	55	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	347	300	84	22	1	11	42	76	4	26	6	.280	.376	.470	.846	.190	.341	22	12	.375	145	+18	+3	—	—	+10	3.1
2022	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	179	161	46	8	0	2	16	35	0	9	3	.286	.350	.373	.723	.087	.349	20	9	.325	107	+1	+1	—	—	+5	0.7
2022	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	368	328	88	27	1	5	37	70	2	6	9	.268	.346	.402	.748	.134	.327	19	10	.336	116	+6	-2	—	—	+10	1.5
2023	25	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	578	465	142	40	0	12	98	107	5	28	9	.305	.431	.469	.900	.163	.366	19	17	.398	162	+41	+2	—	—	+16	6.0
2023	25	INTL	Toros del Este	77	64	17	4	0	1	12	10	0	4	1	.266	.382	.375	.757	.109	.302	13	16	.343	121	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	521	446	118	20	0	4	70	100	3	16	6	.265	.368	.336	.704	.072	.332	19	13	.327	108	+5	+1	—	—	+15	2.1
2024	26	INTL	Toros del Este	49	38	7	1	0	0	7	7	1	3	1	.184	.326	.211	.537	.026	.212	14	14	.252	51	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	495	400	92	15	2	7	77	73	5	17	7	.230	.361	.330	.691	.100	.260	15	16	.315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+14	1.5
2025	27	INTL	Toros del Este	120	104	28	4	0	3	14	15	0	5	3	.269	.356	.394	.750	.125	.287	12	12	.335	114	+2	-0	—	—	+3	0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rafael Lantigua (OGILVIE)	28	50	40	55	60	.236/.318/.332	.096	.294	3	7	21%	10%	87	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jason Donald 2013 · MLB	28	51→55	42→45	50	44	.244/.305/.353	.108	.314	8	14	24%	6%	85	+0.7	.216/.263/.316	.100	.303	8	9	30%	5%	58	-1.2	.193/.231/.278	.084	.285	5	6	33%	4%	31	-1.3
✕Jake Elmore 2015 · MLB	28	55→62	38→40	52→55	53	.258/.325/.343	.086	.302	4	21	16%	8%	91	+1.1	.230/.304/.290	.060	.275	4	15	17%	9%	69	-0.4	.242/.306/.310	.068	.294	3	10	17%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Jeff Fiorentino 2011 · MLB	28	50→54	44→50	51→50	49	.245/.303/.363	.118	.294	10	15	20%	8%	87	+0.8	.225/.290/.353	.128	.271	12	10	21%	8%	79	+0.3	.216/.288/.345	.130	.258	13	8	21%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Steve Tolleson 2012 · MLB	28	49→53	42→45	51→50	48	.237/.297/.343	.106	.283	9	16	20%	7%	79	+0.3	.234/.297/.337	.103	.295	9	15	22%	8%	78	+0.2	.235/.301/.332	.097	.298	8	14	23%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Kramer Robertson 2023 · AAA	28	45→51	44→45	54→55	51	.219/.313/.337	.118	.275	12	21	24%	10%	86	+0.8	.204/.303/.288	.084	.276	7	21	26%	10%	70	-0.3	.178/.290/.225	.047	.253	3	23	27%	11%	47	-1.6
✕Ed Lucas 2010 · AAA	28	50→56	43→45	52→50	47	.241/.303/.355	.114	.301	11	16	23%	8%	85	+0.7	.231/.290/.353	.122	.293	13	10	25%	7%	79	+0.3	.256/.307/.325	.069	.332	5	3	23%	6%	75	-0.0
✕Jonathan Davis 2019 · MLB	27	47→52	43→45	54→55	47	.228/.304/.346	.118	.294	10	20	25%	8%	84	+0.6	.219/.304/.340	.121	.287	11	19	26%	8%	83	+0.6	.221/.303/.332	.112	.308	10	22	29%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Josh Wilson 2009 · MLB	28	48→50	42→45	51→50	45	.234/.288/.340	.106	.273	9	15	18%	5%	75	-0.0	.226/.277/.326	.100	.273	7	9	19%	5%	66	-0.6	.224/.273/.319	.094	.274	6	6	19%	4%	61	-0.5
✕Eric Fryer 2015 · MLB	29	43→53	41→45	55→50	46	.210/.272/.311	.101	.268	8	13	24%	7%	61	-1.0	.235/.301/.316	.081	.307	6	8	23%	8%	74	-0.1	.257/.324/.311	.054	.337	3	1	22%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Cole Gillespie 2012 · MLB	28	47→57	44→50	55→50	49	.228/.301/.354	.126	.287	11	17	24%	8%	85	+0.7	.234/.302/.359	.125	.290	12	14	22%	8%	86	+0.8	.252/.314/.361	.109	.301	9	13	19%	8%	90	+0.6
✕Mike McCoy 2009 · AAA	28	49→58	38→40	51→60	50	.233/.299/.310	.077	.288	6	19	20%	8%	72	-0.2	.250/.322/.336	.086	.302	5	28	17%	9%	88	+0.9	.250/.331/.326	.077	.300	4	35	17%	10%	87	+0.6
✕Drew Ferguson 2021 · AAA	28	50→49	43→45	53→55	49	.235/.322/.351	.115	.318	11	20	27%	9%	93	+1.3	.213/.284/.318	.105	.330	10	21	35%	8%	68	-0.5	.152/.242/.192	.040	.277	4	35	42%	11%	16	-0.8
✕Carlos Febles 2003 · MLB	27	51→52	42→40	52→55	54	.243/.320/.347	.104	.277	9	19	16%	9%	91	+1.1	.236/.308/.328	.092	.274	8	18	16%	8%	81	+0.4	.229/.292/.254	.025	.269	0	22	14%	6%	53	-0.6
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2023 · MLB	28	56→57	39→40	53→55	48	.266/.314/.351	.086	.299	7	20	14%	6%	89	+0.9	.258/.306/.351	.093	.301	8	18	16%	6%	85	+0.7	.258/.302/.348	.090	.304	7	18	17%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Garrett Hampson 2023 · MLB	28	43→53	44→45	55→60	46	.215/.277/.330	.116	.278	11	21	26%	8%	68	-0.5	.236/.300/.330	.094	.316	6	18	25%	8%	77	+0.1	.253/.313/.333	.080	.340	3	18	24%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Isaac Rodriguez 2019 · AAA	28	54→58	39→40	50→55	46	.259/.307/.343	.084	.299	6	17	16%	5%	83	+0.6	.258/.314/.358	.100	.296	9	20	15%	6%	91	+1.1	.274/.332/.364	.090	.312	8	23	14%	6%	97	+1.3
✕Jamie Ritchie 2021 · AAA	28	49→53	42→40	49→45	48	.233/.307/.341	.107	.305	8	7	25%	8%	84	+0.6	.237/.316/.324	.087	.301	6	5	21%	9%	83	+0.6	.233/.321/.292	.060	.298	4	2	21%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Luis Martinez 2013 · MLB	28	52→57	38→40	48→40	47	.243/.303/.331	.087	.313	5	5	23%	7%	79	+0.3	.223/.278/.313	.090	.289	5	4	23%	6%	64	-0.8	.208/.265/.281	.073	.270	3	1	23%	6%	47	-0.9
✕Brent Abernathy 2006 · MLB	28	52→53	44→40	49→50	51	.252/.306/.365	.113	.268	12	14	12%	6%	89	+1.0	.245/.292/.322	.077	.277	7	17	14%	6%	71	-0.3	.241/.287/.297	.056	.276	4	19	13%	6%	59	-0.8
✕Christian Lopes 2021 · AAA	28	45→51	44→45	47→50	50	.221/.297/.341	.120	.272	12	14	23%	8%	80	+0.4	.210/.289/.335	.125	.304	12	11	32%	8%	76	+0.0	.189/.277/.305	.116	.284	11	9	35%	9%	61	-0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)