Joel Galarraga
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 30 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 84 | .329/.417/.397 | 0 | 3 | 91 | — | .294/.369/.360 |
| 2013 | 31 | AAAPetroleros de… | 292 | .317/.394/.452 | 5 | 9 | 93 | — | .278/.324/.372 |
| 2015 | 33 | AAARojos del Agu… | 47 | .268/.333/.293 | 0 | 1 | 44 | — | .238/.289/.262 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 25 | AAA | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 197 | 177 | 63 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 356 | 412 | 480 | 893 | 124 | 387 | 10 | 8 | 392 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 26 | AAA | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 439 | 368 | 117 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 55 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 318 | 419 | 440 | 859 | 122 | 341 | 8 | 13 | 382 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 50 | 42 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 357 | 449 | 476 | 925 | 119 | 469 | 20 | 12 | 407 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 28 | A+ | Stockton Ports | — | 18 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 235 | 513 | 286 | 17 | 6 | 240 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 28 | ROK | AZL Athletics | — | 70 | 61 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 197 | 290 | 230 | 519 | 33 | 273 | 26 | 10 | 246 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 29 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 285 | 241 | 65 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 270 | 347 | 340 | 687 | 71 | 292 | 8 | 9 | 301 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 30 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 40 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 306 | 375 | 389 | 764 | 83 | 393 | 20 | 10 | 346 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 30 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 44 | 37 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 351 | 455 | 405 | 860 | 54 | 464 | 20 | 11 | 397 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 31 | AAA | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 292 | 252 | 80 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 40 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 317 | 394 | 452 | 847 | 135 | 362 | 14 | 10 | 369 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 33 | AAA | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 47 | 41 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 268 | 333 | 293 | 626 | 24 | 333 | 17 | 6 | 280 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 25 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 197 | 182 | 63 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 346 | 387 | 445 | 832 | 99 | 382 | 12 | 5 | 364 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 26 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 439 | 387 | 114 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 41 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 295 | 368 | 395 | 763 | 101 | 318 | 9 | 8 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 50 | 44 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 295 | 367 | 386 | 754 | 91 | 412 | 26 | 8 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 28 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 176 | 399 | 248 | 22 | 6 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 28 | ROK MLE | AZL Athletics | — | 70 | 64 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 125 | 188 | 141 | 329 | 16 | 216 | 37 | 6 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 29 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 285 | 250 | 65 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 260 | 317 | 328 | 645 | 68 | 271 | 11 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 30 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 40 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 270 | 325 | 351 | 676 | 81 | 340 | 25 | 8 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 30 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 44 | 38 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 316 | 409 | 368 | 778 | 53 | 422 | 25 | 9 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 31 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 292 | 266 | 74 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 46 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 278 | 324 | 372 | 696 | 94 | 318 | 16 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 33 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 47 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 289 | 262 | 551 | 24 | 288 | 19 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 25 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 197 | 182 | 63 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 346 | 387 | 445 | 832 | 99 | 389 | 12 | 5 | 364 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 25 | AAA RAW | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 197 | 177 | 63 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 356 | 412 | 480 | 893 | 124 | 387 | 10 | 8 | 392 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 26 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 439 | 387 | 114 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 41 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 295 | 368 | 395 | 763 | 101 | 323 | 9 | 8 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 26 | AAA RAW | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 439 | 368 | 117 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 55 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 318 | 419 | 440 | 859 | 122 | 341 | 8 | 13 | 382 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 50 | 44 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 295 | 367 | 386 | 754 | 91 | 419 | 26 | 8 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 27 | AAA RAW | Sacramento River Cats | — | 50 | 42 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 357 | 449 | 476 | 925 | 119 | 469 | 20 | 12 | 407 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 28 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 88 | 81 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 148 | 207 | 160 | 367 | 12 | 231 | 34 | 6 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 28 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 88 | 78 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 205 | 287 | 231 | 518 | 26 | 276 | 24 | 9 | 245 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 29 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 285 | 250 | 65 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 260 | 317 | 328 | 645 | 68 | 288 | 11 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 29 | AAA RAW | Sacramento River Cats | — | 285 | 241 | 65 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 270 | 347 | 340 | 687 | 71 | 292 | 8 | 9 | 301 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 30 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 84 | 76 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 276 | 345 | 329 | 674 | 53 | 382 | 25 | 7 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 30 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 84 | 73 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 329 | 417 | 397 | 814 | 68 | 429 | 20 | 11 | 373 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 31 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 292 | 266 | 74 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 46 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 278 | 324 | 372 | 696 | 94 | 327 | 16 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 31 | AAA RAW | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 292 | 252 | 80 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 40 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 317 | 394 | 452 | 847 | 135 | 362 | 14 | 10 | 369 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 33 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 47 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 289 | 262 | 551 | 24 | 303 | 19 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 33 | AAA RAW | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 47 | 41 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 268 | 333 | 293 | 626 | 24 | 333 | 17 | 6 | 280 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 25 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 197 | 183 | 63 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 344 | 387 | 443 | 829 | 98 | 382 | 12 | 5 | 364 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 26 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 439 | 391 | 114 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 41 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 292 | 368 | 391 | 759 | 100 | 318 | 9 | 8 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 50 | 45 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 289 | 367 | 378 | 745 | 89 | 412 | 26 | 8 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 28 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 88 | 82 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 146 | 207 | 159 | 365 | 12 | 223 | 34 | 6 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 29 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 285 | 262 | 65 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 248 | 317 | 313 | 630 | 65 | 271 | 11 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 30 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 84 | 76 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 276 | 345 | 329 | 674 | 53 | 383 | 25 | 7 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 31 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 292 | 272 | 74 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 46 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 272 | 324 | 364 | 688 | 92 | 318 | 16 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 33 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 47 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 289 | 250 | 539 | 23 | 288 | 19 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1482 | 1328 | 372 | 62 | 10 | 9 | 96 | 214 | 22 | 29 | 16 | 280 | 339 | 362 | 701 | 82 | 327 | 14 | 6 | 308 | 94 | -10 | -1 | +0 | +26 | +32 | 4.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 163 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 42 | 94 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 280 | 339 | 361 | 700 | 81 | 326 | 14 | 6 | 308 | 94 | -4 | -0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | 2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 47 PAwOBA .273 → .233 (−40)K% 17.0% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.02% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.38% | ÷1.121 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 3.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.13% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 1.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.30% | ÷0.998 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.942 | 26.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.074 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.942 | 2.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.920 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 100, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 102, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .273 → .233; ISO .024 → .019; BABIP .333 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAPetroleros de Minatitlan · 292 PAwOBA .354 → .305 (−49)K% 13.7% → 15.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.70% | ÷1.036 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.56% | ÷1.029 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 5.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.89% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | ×1.041 | ×0.962 | 24.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.02% | ÷1.101 | ×0.830 | ×1.041 | ×0.962 | 6.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷0.901 | ×0.920 | ×1.041 | ×0.962 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.36% | ÷1.083 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 1.47% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 102, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 107, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.
Result: wOBA .354 → .305; ISO .135 → .103; BABIP .362 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 44 PAwOBA .388 → .334 (−53)K% 20.5% → 24.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.45% | ÷1.037 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.36% | ÷0.943 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.948 | 8.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.55% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.948 | 3.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 39.29% | ÷0.994 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.948 | 36.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.987 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.948 | 5.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.019 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 99, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 107, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .388 → .334; ISO .054 → .045; BABIP .464 → .422. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAALas Vegas 51s · 40 PAwOBA .337 → .269 (−68)K% 20.0% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.004 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷0.985 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.972 | 7.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.14% | ÷0.985 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.972 | 28.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.085 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.972 | 2.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.994 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.972 | 2.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.059 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 97, 2B 117, 3B 99, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .337 → .269; ISO .083 → .062; BABIP .393 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAASacramento River Cats · 285 PAwOBA .293 → .274 (−19)K% 8.4% → 10.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.42% | ÷1.021 | ×1.290 | — | — | 10.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.42% | ÷0.991 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 5.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.40% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 1.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.96% | ÷0.995 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 22.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.07% | ÷0.916 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 4.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.048 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.92% | ÷0.936 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 0.75% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 99, 2B 83, 3B 110, K 104, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .293 → .274; ISO .071 → .067; BABIP .292 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 ROKAZL Athletics · 70 PAwOBA .244 → .166 (−78)K% 25.7% → 37.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.71% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 37.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 5.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.43% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 18.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 3.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .244 → .166; ISO .033 → .021; BABIP .273 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 A+Stockton Ports · 18 PAwOBA .234 → .188 (−46)K% 16.7% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.036 | ×1.340 | — | — | 21.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.062 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.948 | 3.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷0.992 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.948 | 24.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.951 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.928 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.183 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 98, 2B 90, 3B 86, K 107, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 22.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .234 → .188; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .286 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAASacramento River Cats · 50 PAwOBA .397 → .333 (−64)K% 20.0% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 8.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 1.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.003 | 31.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 7.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.003 | 2.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .397 → .333; ISO .119 → .096; BABIP .469 → .412. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).