Alexander AlbertusSS Kannapolis Cannon Ballers
Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 176 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION198 act + 132 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†79
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .305 / .319
PA132
HR2
K%25
BB%10
BABIP280
ISO103
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -11.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-12BATRUN: -1.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +9.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.01.12.10.71.11.41.51.61.61.51.31.10.9+$88M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED52
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.6$9M+$8M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.6$8M+$8M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.5$7M+$7M
2034Arb-1$3M+1.3$6M+$4M
2035Arb-2$4M+1.1$4M+$3M
2036Arb-3$4M+0.9$2M+$0.1M
Totals $14M $36M +$30M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 150122 30320 22294 60 246378303682 57316 1915 310 95
202217 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 150112 34320 32214 60 304473366839 62366 1421 391 157
202318 ROKACL Dodgers 170141 36404 23273 96 255371369740 113283 1614 333 113
202318 ROKACL Dodgers 170126 39505 38193 96 310479468947 159324 1122 422 181
202419 ROK2 teams 225196 43803 23513 62 219311306617 87276 2310 274 68
202419 ROK2 teams 225181 541103 37353 62 298423409832 110349 1616 376 146
202520 ROKACL White Sox 2520 5100 441 30 250400300700 50312 1616 326 108
202520 ROKACL White Sox 2518 6200 631 30 333520444964 111400 1224 444 198
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 ACWS 198175 36432 19543 35 206294297592 91283 2710 265 61 -9 -1 +0 +2 +6 -0.2
YTD21 ACWS 198164 40542 30383 35 244371360730 116304 1915 335 115 +3 -1 +0 +2 +6 1.0
ROS21 ACWS 0% 132116 25412 13332 22 216305319624 103286 2510 288 79 -3 -0 +0 +1 +4 0.2
ROS21 MLBCWS 0% 01 0000 000 00 287 280 73 +0 +0
FULL21 ACWS 198176 36432 19543 35 205294295590 91281 2710 265 61 -9 -1 +0 +2 +6 -0.2
TOT21 ACWS 330291 61844 32875 57 210299306605 96282 2610 275 68 -12 -2 +0 +4 +9 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBCWS 43% 305269 611126 29744 53 227311349661 123289 2410 297 86 -5 -0 +0 +3 +9 0.7
202823 MLBCWS 61% 391345 801438 38945 74 232317359676 128290 2410 303 90 -5 -0 +0 +4 +11 1.1
202924 MLBCWS 66% 446395 9216310 431065 84 233316365681 132291 2410 306 92 -4 +0 +0 +5 +13 1.4
203025 MLBCWS 69% 474419 9817410 461126 95 234318365684 131291 2410 308 94 -3 -0 +0 +5 +13 1.5
203126 MLBCWS 70% 489432 10218411 481156 95 236321373694 137291 2410 309 94 -3 -0 +0 +5 +14 1.6
203227 MLBCWS 69% 492435 10218411 481166 105 234319370689 136291 2410 309 94 -3 +0 +0 +5 +14 1.6
203328 MLBCWS 68% 489431 10118411 491166 95 234321371692 137291 2410 308 94 -3 -0 -1 +5 +14 1.5
203429 MLBCWS 73% 481424 9717310 481166 95 229316354670 125290 2410 306 92 -4 -0 -1 +5 +14 1.3
203530 MLBCWS 76% 471416 9517310 471145 84 228314356670 127289 2410 303 90 -5 +0 -2 +5 +13 1.1
203631 MLBCWS 78% 458404 911639 461135 84 225312347659 121287 2510 300 87 -7 +0 -3 +5 +13 0.9
203732 MLBCWS 79% 439387 861538 441105 74 222310339648 116284 2510 294 83 -8 -0 -4 +5 +12 0.5
202722 MLBCWS 43% 132116 26512 13322 21 224313336649 112290 2410 290 80 -3 +0 +0 +1 +4 0.2
202823 MLBCWS 61% 238210 49925 23573 42 233318367684 133291 2410 295 84 -4 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.5
202924 MLBCWS 66% 295262 601126 28703 53 229311355666 126292 249 299 87 -4 -0 +0 +3 +8 0.7
203025 MLBCWS 69% 325287 671227 31774 63 233317362679 129292 2410 301 88 -4 +0 +0 +3 +9 0.9
203126 MLBCWS 70% 341301 721338 33814 73 239322382705 143292 2410 301 89 -4 +0 +0 +4 +10 0.9
203227 MLBCWS 69% 339299 691228 33804 73 231315365680 134292 2410 301 89 -4 +0 +0 +4 +10 0.9
203328 MLBCWS 68% 335295 681227 33804 63 231316356672 125291 2410 300 88 -5 +0 -0 +4 +9 0.8
203429 MLBCWS 73% 350308 721328 35844 63 234320367687 133291 2410 299 87 -5 +0 -1 +4 +10 0.8
203530 MLBCWS 76% 356313 721328 36864 63 230317361678 131290 2410 296 85 -6 +0 -2 +4 +10 0.6
203631 MLBCWS 78% 356313 701227 36874 63 224312342653 118288 2410 292 82 -7 +0 -2 +4 +10 0.5
203732 MLBCWS 79% 347305 681227 35874 63 223311344655 121285 2510 287 78 -9 +0 -3 +4 +10 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 34143010 6931242273 33682140 6130 230316359675 129290 2410 297 85 -56 +0 -8 +37 +97 7.0
/ 162G 650573 13224414 641568 126 230317360676 129290 2410 297 85 -11 +0 -2 +7 +18 1.3
Career 56374952 114419739113 571133072 11558 231319355674 124291 2410 304 91 -60 -0 -10 +60 +160 15.3
/ 162G 650571 13223413 661538 137 231319354673 123291 2410 304 91 -7 -0 -1 +7 +18 1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 150112 34320 32214 60 304473366839 62366 1421 391 157 +10 +1 +4 1.5
202318 ROKACL Dodgers 170126 39505 38193 96 310479468947 159324 1122 422 181 +16 -1 +5 2.0
202419 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 8270 16401 10150 10 229325329654 100268 1812 294 84 -2 +0 +2 0.1
202419 ROKACL Dodgers 143111 38702 27203 52 342479459938 117400 1419 423 182 +13 +0 +4 1.8
202520 ROKACL White Sox 2518 6200 631 30 333520444964 111400 1224 444 198 +3 +1 +1 0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
93,5577465231313359+38+279.78.4
/1626641412+7.1+5.01.8pk7: 7
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Alexander Albertus (OGILVIE) 21 45→50 35→40 47→52 60 210/299/306 96282 45 26% 10% 68 -0.1
Jesus Rodriguez
2023 · A
21 50→55 41→45 50 49 236/301/346 110285 612 19% 7% 82 +0.5 249/307/362 113307 914 21% 7% 89 +0.9 254/315/36210830991620%7%88+0.7
Henry Henry
2008 · A
21 52 41→40 50→60 53 246/331/344 98291 814 18% 9% 95 +1.4 238/298/316 78271 521 13% 6% 72 -0.2 250/305/3176727743011%6%72-0.1
Leo Jiménez
2023 · A
22 47→49 41→45 49→45 50 221/327/317 97287 89 24% 9% 88 +0.9 227/313/341 114287 117 24% 7% 88 +0.9 227/317/34211428611523%7%86+0.4
Luis Alvarez
2011 · A
21 47 42→45 48→45 45 228/296/337 109289 96 24% 7% 78 +0.2 219/274/328 109275 105 24% 5% 66 -0.6 209/262/31710825012121%4%55-0.3
Agustín Ramírez
2023 · A
21 43→45 45→55 51→55 44 215/274/342 127287 1211 29% 7% 70 -0.3 231/293/393 162278 1913 24% 7% 92 +1.2 232/295/411179268221622%7%94+1.3
Tony Granadillo
2006 · A
21 48→58 42→45 49→30 45 231/301/336 105304 95 26% 7% 80 +0.4 241/305/362 121297 103 21% 7% 89 +0.9 240/307/3601202939220%7%86+0.6
Juan Mora
2021 · A
21 43 42→45 53→55 49 209/289/317 108255 914 21% 8% 71 -0.3 228/292/345 117310 1010 28% 6% 79 +0.3 224/280/33311029810827%5%68-0.2
Carlos Vidal
2017 · A
21 48 43→45 49→50 48 234/302/348 114288 1012 22% 7% 83 +0.6 232/278/326 94303 67 24% 5% 66 -0.6 237/281/332953085624%5%65-0.3
Nacho Alvarez Jr.
2023 · A
20 51→53 39→40 54→50 56 239/327/329 91293 614 19% 11% 89 +1.0 243/317/334 91314 814 23% 8% 86 +0.8 243/318/3318831381423%8%83+0.4
Blaze Alexander
2019 · A
20 48 42→45 52→50 43 226/288/345 119321 810 30% 7% 76 +0.1 200/266/306 106300 1011 34% 7% 57 -1.2 237/319/364126339121531%8%92+0.8
José Caballero
2019 · A
22 47→45 44→45 47→70 45 231/292/348 118278 109 21% 6% 79 +0.3 221/292/340 119284 1226 25% 7% 78 +0.2 225/318/339114299106326%9%86+0.5
Alexander Campos
2022 · A
22 43 41→40 46→45 48 206/290/308 102278 86 27% 9% 69 -0.4 221/302/309 88318 76 30% 9% 74 -0.1 242/332/316743358627%10%86+0.3
Luis Torrens
2017 · A
21 44→47 41→55 46→30 49 214/288/307 93266 96 22% 8% 67 -0.5 214/267/310 96270 83 23% 6% 58 -1.2 231/286/39516429821029%7%87+0.4
Lou Marson
2007 · A
21 45→54 39→40 53→50 45 216/280/308 93293 65 27% 8% 63 -0.8 250/320/346 96332 74 24% 9% 90 +1.0 263/336/352903446423%9%96+1.1
Nick Senzel
2017 · A
22 47→56 44→50 51→50 46 228/291/356 128301 916 26% 8% 81 +0.4 248/302/388 140329 1214 27% 7% 93 +1.3 253/307/401148331141626%7%96+0.9
Steve Tolleson
2006 · A
22 42→52 44→45 50 51 209/292/329 120248 128 20% 9% 75 -0.0 236/309/339 103302 812 23% 9% 84 +0.6 255/312/378123303111219%7%91+0.9
Luis Santana
2019 · A
20 54 40→45 51→50 51 257/326/355 98290 610 14% 7% 95 +1.4 225/291/314 89282 78 22% 6% 70 -0.3 207/265/33312627415829%5%61-0.5
Sam McMillan
2019 · A
20 47 41→40 47→45 49 227/314/329 102280 86 21% 8% 85 +0.7 215/317/292 77291 47 25% 10% 77 +0.1 211/334/282712734721%12%79+0.1
Tyler Nevin
2018 · A
21 47→54 40→50 47→45 44 225/278/324 98286 79 23% 6% 66 -0.6 220/272/317 97284 96 24% 6% 63 -0.9 244/321/39314929318422%8%101+1.2
Blake Ochoa
2007 · A
21 45 40→45 46→40 44 215/280/308 92280 65 24% 6% 64 -0.8 216/268/311 95281 74 24% 6% 59 -1.1 233/296/37614228016222%7%87+0.3