LuJames Groover3B Reno Aces
Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 212 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION335 act + 223 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†90
AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .321 / .346
PA223
HR3
K%20
BB%9
BABIP302
ISO100
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -6.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +2.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +15.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+16REPTotal WAR: +1.20+1.2WAR
0.01.02.00.51.31.51.51.31.1+$41M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026
CONTACT55
xwOBA
310.286
POWER45
Barrel%
7011.1
Avg EV
6390.0
EYE49
scouting grade only
SPEED40
Sprint
3626.8
DEFENSE47
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2026
Service   0.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSPre-Arb$0.3M+0.5$2M+$2M
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.3$10M+$9M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.5$10M+$10M
2029Arb-1$3M+1.5$10M+$7M
2030Arb-2$5M+1.3$8M+$4M
2031Arb-3$6M+1.1$6M+$2M
Totals $16M $45M +$34M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202321 A+Hillsboro Hops 10090 20411 5133 11 222286322608 100244 135 264 60
202321 A+Hillsboro Hops 10087 23511 893 11 264347379726 115278 98 324 106
202422 A+4 teams 339310 6912112 21674 41 223281384664 161243 206 288 78
202422 A+4 teams 339293 8613110 38494 41 294382447829 154319 1411 368 140
202523 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles 547490 1171607 4310810 32 239313314627 76290 208 279 72
202523 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles 547470 14523012 637910 32 309401434836 126347 1412 375 145
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD24 AAAARI 335292 721514 31724 30 247327346673 99306 219 302 89 -4 +1 +0 +1 +9 0.7
YTD24 AAAARI 335279 811815 44584 30 290394416810 125342 1713 359 133 +13 +1 +0 +1 +9 2.4
ROS24 AAAARI 100% 223199 49913 19453 20 246321346667 100298 209 302 90 -3 +0 -1 +1 +6 0.4
ROS24 MLBARI 100% 223199 49913 19453 20 246321347668 101300 209 295 84 -4 +0 -1 +1 +6 0.3
FULL24 AAAARI 558491 1212427 501177 50 246325346671 100305 219 299 87 -8 +1 -1 +2 +16 1.0
TOT24 AAAARI 558491 1212427 501177 50 246325346671 100305 219 302 89 -7 +1 -1 +2 +16 1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBARI 82% 622556 13625111 531258 51 245319353672 108295 209 304 91 -6 +1 -1 +2 +18 1.3
202826 MLBARI 82% 609544 13525212 521238 51 248323368690 119295 209 308 94 -4 +1 -1 +2 +17 1.5
202927 MLBARI 82% 597533 13124212 521227 51 246321366687 120295 209 309 95 -4 +1 -1 +2 +17 1.5
203028 MLBARI 82% 585522 12824112 511207 41 245321364685 119294 219 308 94 -4 +0 -2 +2 +17 1.3
203129 MLBARI 82% 574511 12423111 511197 41 243320356676 114293 219 306 93 -5 +0 -3 +2 +16 1.1
203230 MLBARI 82% 562500 12122111 501187 41 242320356676 114292 219 303 90 -6 +0 -3 +2 +16 0.9
203331 MLBARI 82% 405361 861617 36865 20 238316346662 108290 219 299 87 -6 +0 -4 +1 +11 0.4
202725 MLBARI 82% 510456 1132119 431026 41 248321357678 110297 208 297 86 -8 +0 -1 +2 +14 0.7
202826 MLBARI 82% 499447 11121110 431016 41 248323367689 119297 209 302 89 -6 +0 -1 +2 +14 0.9
202927 MLBARI 82% 490438 10820110 431006 41 247322365688 119297 209 303 90 -6 +0 -1 +2 +14 0.9
203028 MLBARI 82% 480429 10620110 42996 41 247323368691 121297 219 302 89 -6 +0 -2 +2 +14 0.8
203129 MLBARI 82% 471420 1031919 42986 31 245323360682 114296 219 300 88 -7 +0 -2 +2 +13 0.7
203230 MLBARI 82% 461411 1001819 41976 30 243321358679 114295 219 297 86 -8 +1 -3 +2 +13 0.5
203331 MLBARI 82% 332296 711316 29714 20 240316351667 111292 219 293 82 -7 +0 -3 +1 +9 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 34663096 761141866 30271343 265 246321360682 115298 219 299 87 -51 +3 -14 +12 +98 5.1
/ 162G 650581 14226212 571348 51 244321358679 114297 219 299 87 -9 +1 -3 +2 +18 0.9
Career 51634616 11162001299 433104669 3910 242316355671 113290 208 301 88 -68 +4 -17 +18 +146 8.6
/ 162G 650581 14025212 551329 51 241317353670 112290 208 301 88 -9 +1 -2 +2 +18 1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202321 A+Hillsboro Hops 10087 23511 893 11 264347379726 115278 98 324 106 +1 -0 +3 0.3
202422 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles 5550 17403 590 10 3404006001.000 260368 169 435 191 +6 +0 +2 0.8
202422 A+Hillsboro Hops 175151 41707 20242 30 272364457821 185279 1411 362 135 +7 +1 +5 1.3
202422 ROKACL D-backs 3427 6110 531 01 222364333697 111240 915 316 100 -0 -0 +1 0.1
202422 INTLSalt River Rafters 7565 22100 8131 00 338419354773 15415 1711 355 130 +3 +0 +2 0.5
202523 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles 547470 14523012 637910 32 309401434836 126347 1412 375 145 +28 -0 +15 4.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Logan Forsythelast yr '19
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA
93,5027042246327370+5-118.69.2
/162664138+0.9-2.21.6pk7: 10
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9
#3Casey McGeheelast yr '16
career totals — 7 seasons, 3,061 PA
73,061677258318386+3+78.38.3
/162664152+0.7+1.41.8pk7: 8
#4Damion Easleylast yr '08
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,995 PA
92,9957733247323396-2-157.88.3
/162664177-0.5-3.31.7pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
83,4846625244316358+12-97.77.6
/162664135+2.4-1.61.5pk7: 7
#5Desi Relafordlast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA
62,4433464246329356-1-75.15.1
/162664917-0.3-1.81.4pk7: 5
#6Jason Phillipslast yr '07
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,508 PA
51,508290248314368+11-102.72.7
/162664130+4.7-4.41.2pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
LuJames Groover (OGILVIE) 24 42→55 38→45 40 49 246/325/346 100305 75 21% 9% 89 +1.2
Carter Kieboom
2023 · MLB
25 44→50 45→50 43→45 52 220/315/340 120274 145 24% 10% 89 +0.9 222/293/341 119290 147 27% 8% 78 +0.2 231/290/33110030010725%7%70-0.2
Eric Campbell
2011 · AA
24 50→57 44→45 40→50 48 243/302/362 119287 105 19% 7% 86 +0.8 240/314/351 111298 98 21% 9% 89 +1.0 258/338/376118323101121%9%103+1.3
Luis Torrens
2021 · MLB
25 47 43→55 43→30 44 230/279/346 115285 113 23% 6% 72 -0.2 235/290/393 158304 193 28% 7% 90 +1.0 231/286/39516429821029%7%87+0.4
Elias Díaz
2015 · AAA
24 49→56 42→50 41→45 46 238/286/341 103284 95 20% 6% 74 -0.1 242/281/337 95288 85 18% 5% 70 -0.3 245/304/37813327215016%7%89+0.5
Rob Brantly
2013 · MLB
24 52→57 42→50 37→30 45 250/293/359 109290 93 17% 5% 82 +0.5 230/268/319 89278 72 19% 5% 60 -1.0 245/311/35511028311117%6%87+0.3
Zelous Wheeler
2011 · AA
24 50→52 42→50 46→45 50 239/313/348 109290 98 20% 8% 89 +0.9 239/308/372 133285 138 20% 7% 92 +1.2 245/304/37813329314421%6%88+0.6
Jake Smolinski
2013 · AA
24 47→50 43→55 45 52 227/302/341 114268 98 19% 9% 82 +0.5 229/298/355 126278 128 21% 8% 84 +0.6 243/303/40316127617619%6%96+1.0
Christian Vázquez
2014 · AA
23 48→55 43→50 42→45 48 237/298/346 110287 106 21% 8% 81 +0.4 243/296/330 87304 64 21% 7% 76 +0.0 256/308/40214529318819%7%96+1.0
Brian Rey
2022 · AAA
24 48 46→50 40→45 44 238/300/363 125275 147 19% 5% 87 +0.8 222/278/326 104275 109 23% 5% 68 -0.5 193/242/264712396921%2%32-0.8
Lou Marson
2010 · MLB
24 55→54 39→40 45→50 51 257/328/347 90331 65 23% 9% 93 +1.3 220/298/309 89279 611 21% 10% 72 -0.2 205/295/2888325851321%11%63-0.4
Andrew Knizner
2019 · AAA
24 53 43→50 40 44 257/301/367 110294 102 17% 5% 87 +0.8 231/292/350 119272 136 20% 6% 80 +0.4 218/299/36114225717222%7%83+0.2
Hank Conger
2011 · MLB
23 49→56 45→50 41→45 49 243/298/368 125280 123 18% 7% 86 +0.8 232/288/363 131272 153 20% 7% 82 +0.5 230/302/38315428218024%8%90+0.4
Chad Wallach
2017 · AA
25 47→57 44→50 41→40 49 230/302/348 118288 113 23% 8% 83 +0.6 205/268/323 118277 134 30% 7% 63 -0.8 186/257/33014425920235%8%58-0.5
Carson Kelly
2019 · MLB
25 47 43→55 40 51 229/299/336 107268 112 19% 8% 79 +0.3 234/319/402 168270 213 21% 10% 105 +2.1 248/332/39714827919118%10%107+1.2
Wyatt Mathisen
2019 · AAA
25 46→53 44→50 42→40 48 227/301/342 115283 115 23% 8% 82 +0.5 211/309/370 159275 195 29% 9% 94 +1.3 171/279/32815623019133%9%69-0.2
David Freitas
2013 · AA
24 46→56 43→45 45→40 48 223/294/338 114281 112 24% 8% 78 +0.2 217/275/345 128255 153 21% 6% 72 -0.2 277/336/39712033311019%7%107+1.2
Taylor Davis
2015 · AA
25 49→54 43→45 45→40 48 237/287/348 111271 105 17% 6% 76 +0.1 255/301/376 121290 103 15% 6% 89 +1.0 261/310/3771162939114%6%90+0.6
Roberto Valenzuela
2019 · AAA
24 50→58 41→45 46→45 49 238/291/338 100263 98 14% 6% 76 +0.0 262/308/370 108300 1110 16% 5% 91 +1.1 281/326/3779631911815%5%95+1.2
Christian Colonel
2006 · A
24 52→55 43→50 41→45 48 250/315/374 124309 94 21% 8% 95 +1.4 253/300/387 134299 137 19% 6% 92 +1.2 257/299/39513829714818%5%91+0.9
Blake Ochoa
2010 · A
24 47 42→45 41→40 43 231/284/340 109291 104 24% 6% 73 -0.1 240/301/405 165289 207 24% 7% 98 +1.6 236/311/47824124634421%9%122+0.9