Ricardo Olivar — OGILVIE

Ricardo OlivarC Wichita Wind Surge

Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 176 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION164 act + 156 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .290 / .390

PA156

HR6

K%26

BB%8

BABIP263

ISO170

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.8	$11M	+$11M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$10M	+$9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$8M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$7M	+$5M
2033	Arb-2	$3M	+1.0	$5M	+$3M
2034	Arb-3	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.2M
Totals		$12M		$43M	+$37M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	59	52	7	1	1	1	5	25	2	3	0	135	237	250	487	115	231	42	8	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	59	49	10	2	1	1	8	17	2	3	0	204	339	347	686	143	290	29	14	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	FCL Twins	—	154	136	33	10	2	2	11	46	5	5	5	243	322	390	712	147	344	30	7	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	FCL Twins	—	154	129	45	12	3	5	18	33	5	5	5	349	447	605	1.052	256	430	21	12	451	204	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	449	392	96	22	2	8	39	141	16	12	1	245	338	372	710	128	359	31	9	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	449	372	106	28	2	10	59	93	16	12	1	285	405	452	857	167	354	21	13	385	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	433	388	79	12	2	8	41	125	2	6	0	204	283	307	590	103	276	29	9	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	433	367	101	19	3	12	62	88	2	6	0	275	383	441	824	166	331	20	14	369	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	407	367	77	10	0	12	34	108	3	13	3	210	282	335	617	125	260	27	8	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	407	352	93	13	0	13	49	74	3	13	3	264	359	412	771	148	299	18	12	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	MIN	—	164	151	35	10	0	11	11	41	1	3	2	232	288	517	805	285	240	25	7	333	113	+2	-0	+0	+3	+5	1.0
YTD	24	AA	MIN	—	164	146	40	12	0	12	16	32	1	3	2	274	350	603	952	329	272	20	10	407	170	+13	-0	+0	+3	+5	2.1
ROS	24	AA	MIN	2%	156	141	31	6	0	6	13	41	1	3	1	220	290	390	680	170	270	26	8	304	91	-2	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.6
ROS	24	MLB	MIN	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						270	33	0	299	87	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	24	AA	MIN	—	167	154	35	10	0	11	11	42	1	3	2	227	283	506	790	279	235	25	7	332	112	+2	-0	+0	+3	+5	1.0
TOT	24	AA	MIN	—	320	292	66	16	0	17	24	82	2	6	3	226	289	455	745	229	251	26	8	318	102	+1	+0	+0	+6	+9	1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	MIN	43%	368	331	75	15	1	13	31	94	3	6	2	227	299	396	694	169	271	26	8	306	92	-3	+0	+0	+7	+10	1.4
2028	26	MLB	MIN	62%	406	366	82	16	1	14	34	102	3	7	2	224	295	388	683	164	272	25	8	308	94	-3	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.7
2029	27	MLB	MIN	69%	419	377	86	17	1	15	36	105	3	7	2	228	300	398	698	170	273	25	9	309	95	-2	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.8
2030	28	MLB	MIN	72%	424	381	87	17	1	15	37	107	3	7	2	228	302	396	698	168	273	25	9	308	94	-3	+1	-1	+8	+12	1.7
2031	29	MLB	MIN	72%	420	378	85	17	1	14	36	107	3	6	2	225	297	386	684	161	272	25	9	307	93	-3	+0	-1	+8	+12	1.5
2032	30	MLB	MIN	72%	414	372	83	16	1	14	36	106	3	6	2	223	297	384	681	161	271	26	9	304	91	-4	+0	-2	+7	+12	1.3
2033	31	MLB	MIN	72%	389	349	77	15	1	13	34	101	3	5	1	221	295	381	676	160	269	26	9	300	88	-5	+1	-3	+7	+11	1.0
2034	32	MLB	MIN	72%	361	324	70	13	1	12	31	95	3	3	1	216	291	373	664	157	265	26	9	294	83	-7	+0	-4	+6	+10	0.7
2027	25	MLB	MIN	43%	159	144	32	6	0	6	13	41	1	3	1	222	291	389	680	167	271	26	8	301	88	-2	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.6
2028	26	MLB	MIN	62%	253	228	52	10	1	9	21	64	2	4	1	228	299	399	698	171	273	25	8	303	90	-3	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.9
2029	27	MLB	MIN	69%	289	260	60	12	1	10	25	73	2	5	2	231	303	400	703	169	274	25	9	304	91	-3	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.1
2030	28	MLB	MIN	72%	306	275	63	12	1	11	26	77	2	5	2	229	300	400	700	171	274	25	8	303	90	-3	+0	-1	+5	+9	1.1
2031	29	MLB	MIN	72%	303	272	61	12	1	10	26	77	2	4	1	224	297	386	683	162	273	25	9	301	89	-4	+0	-1	+5	+9	1.0
2032	30	MLB	MIN	72%	298	268	60	12	1	10	26	77	2	4	1	224	297	388	685	164	271	26	9	299	87	-4	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.8
2033	31	MLB	MIN	72%	280	252	55	11	0	9	24	73	2	3	1	218	291	369	660	151	269	26	9	295	84	-5	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.6
2034	32	MLB	MIN	72%	259	233	50	10	0	8	22	68	2	2	1	215	288	361	648	146	265	26	8	289	79	-6	+0	-3	+5	+7	0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2150	1935	433	85	5	73	183	551	15	30	10	224	296	386	682	162	273	26	9	299	87	-31	+2	-8	+38	+61	6.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	132	26	2	22	55	167	5	9	3	226	298	390	687	164	276	26	8	299	87	-9	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.9
Career	—			—	4859	4354	968	187	15	147	418	1303	53	89	24	222	298	373	672	151	280	27	9	298	86	-74	+8	-10	+87	+138	15.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	130	25	2	20	56	174	7	12	3	223	299	376	675	153	281	27	9	298	86	-10	+1	-1	+12	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	59	49	10	2	1	1	8	17	2	3	0	204	339	347	686	143	290	29	14	318	101	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	20	ROK	FCL Twins	—	154	129	45	12	3	5	18	33	5	5	5	349	447	605	1.052	256	430	21	12	451	204	+18	-1	—	—	+4	2.2
2023	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	449	372	106	28	2	10	59	93	16	12	1	285	405	452	857	167	354	21	13	385	152	+27	+2	—	—	+13	4.2
2024	22	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	77	67	15	2	0	1	9	18	1	3	0	224	325	299	623	75	292	23	12	293	82	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	356	300	86	17	3	11	53	70	1	3	0	287	395	473	869	187	339	20	15	385	153	+21	+1	—	—	+10	3.3
2025	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	407	352	93	13	0	13	49	74	3	13	3	264	359	412	771	148	299	18	12	346	123	+11	+1	—	—	+12	2.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#4Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#5Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,154	74	31	225	295	389	+38	+20	7.7	7.4
	/162	664	23	10	225	295	389	+11.9	+6.2	2.4	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ricardo Olivar (OGILVIE)	24	50	45	50	55	226/289/455	229	251	17	6	26%	8%	102	+1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mark Mathias 2019 · AA	24	44→47	44→50	52→50	46	217/293/343	126	288	11	10	27%	8%	79	+0.3	231/291/365	134	292	12	13	24%	7%	83	+0.6	246/320/384	138	320	15	17	26%	9%	98	+1.0
✕Andre Lipcius 2023 · AAA	25	46→49	46→50	49→45	52	227/304/365	137	276	13	9	22%	10%	89	+0.9	230/295/372	142	285	17	7	24%	8%	87	+0.8	221/284/361	141	271	18	5	25%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Corey Joyce 2023 · AAA	24	43	48→45	49→50	47	214/311/358	144	295	16	11	31%	10%	92	+1.2	211/307/316	105	308	10	14	32%	10%	79	+0.3	212/300/316	104	302	10	14	31%	9%	72	-0.1
✕Joey Ortiz 2022 · AA	24	44→54	43→50	53→50	44	216/281/329	114	290	9	11	28%	7%	70	-0.3	243/299/384	141	299	12	10	22%	7%	91	+1.1	247/310/396	149	300	13	11	21%	7%	96	+1.2
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	47→45	48→50	52→50	41	230/312/373	143	305	15	13	28%	6%	95	+1.4	220/304/371	151	284	18	12	28%	8%	92	+1.2	207/291/353	147	263	19	11	28%	8%	78	+0.1
●Joshua Rodriguez 2009 · AA	24	45→55	44→50	51→50	47	220/282/343	123	279	11	11	25%	8%	73	-0.1	233/296/347	114	304	11	9	25%	8%	80	+0.4	244/304/360	116	311	11	6	24%	7%	84	+0.5
●Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	45→50	45→50	49→50	43	220/292/339	119	296	13	11	29%	7%	78	+0.2	243/315/397	154	291	18	10	22%	8%	102	+1.9	239/320/383	144	286	17	9	22%	9%	97	+1.2
✕Alan Espinoza 2015 · AAA	24	48	45→55	49→45	42	240/287/360	120	292	13	9	23%	5%	80	+0.4	235/279/400	165	270	20	6	21%	5%	88	+0.9	259/298/432	173	288	21	3	18%	4%	101	+0.9
●Luis Urías 2021 · MLB	24	47→57	47→55	46→45	48	233/309/369	136	296	14	7	25%	8%	92	+1.2	239/331/408	169	283	20	5	22%	10%	112	+2.6	232/333/399	167	273	21	3	22%	11%	108	+1.7
✕Justin Miller 2013 · A	24	52→53	45	49→50	44	254/311/379	125	328	13	13	26%	7%	95	+1.4	229/290/324	95	312	9	15	28%	7%	72	-0.2	197/265/228	31	279	3	24	28%	6%	34	-0.8
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	43	44→45	48→50	43	215/283/333	118	286	12	11	28%	7%	72	-0.2	206/263/326	120	268	13	7	28%	5%	62	-0.9	190/242/307	117	240	15	5	27%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Tommy Field 2011 · A	24	46→53	46→45	50→45	43	229/298/358	128	297	13	10	26%	6%	85	+0.7	228/292/348	120	297	12	8	26%	7%	79	+0.3	219/289/348	130	274	13	7	24%	8%	76	+0.1
✕Yairo Muñoz 2019 · MLB	24	50→55	48→50	47→55	43	249/295/388	138	305	16	13	24%	6%	91	+1.1	262/302/382	120	319	11	18	21%	5%	92	+1.2	270/297/370	100	322	9	23	19%	3%	82	+0.2
●Bryson Stott 2022 · AAA	24	49→56	45	48→55	47	237/303/361	123	324	12	10	29%	9%	87	+0.8	247/306/373	126	296	13	20	20%	8%	91	+1.1	254/320/377	123	288	13	29	16%	8%	95	+1.4
✕Nick Senzel 2019 · AAA	24	52→56	46→50	51→50	44	250/303/389	140	327	12	15	26%	7%	94	+1.3	239/295/378	139	300	13	15	24%	7%	88	+0.9	234/296/343	108	285	10	14	21%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Miguel Amaya 2023 · AA	24	46→42	46→50	50→40	46	219/306/348	129	321	13	6	33%	9%	86	+0.8	228/303/369	141	285	15	3	25%	7%	90	+1.0	228/299/368	140	271	16	1	22%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Jake Lemmerman 2013 · AA	24	46→50	42→45	50→45	45	221/296/333	112	299	9	8	28%	8%	78	+0.2	196/271/298	102	276	9	9	30%	8%	58	-1.2	174/252/267	93	244	10	9	31%	9%	39	-1.3
✕J.R. Towles 2009 · MLB	25	46→53	48→50	44→50	46	231/305/372	141	266	15	10	20%	6%	92	+1.2	216/298/346	130	255	13	8	20%	7%	82	+0.5	203/286/317	114	237	10	6	18%	7%	66	-0.2
✕Adam Rosales 2008 · AA	25	46→49	49→55	49→45	45	230/299/392	162	289	15	8	25%	7%	94	+1.3	239/299/381	142	288	13	8	21%	6%	91	+1.1	244/301/378	134	290	13	7	20%	6%	89	+0.6
✕Gabriel Arias 2023 · MLB	23	50→58	48→50	51→50	43	246/304/383	137	322	15	8	28%	7%	93	+1.3	231/285/376	145	322	15	12	31%	6%	83	+0.6	233/280/392	159	333	17	16	34%	5%	82	+0.3