Ricardo Olivar — OGILVIE

Ricardo OlivarC Wichita Wind Surge

Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 176 lbs AA BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 1.8 · 2029

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .299 / .347

PA320

HR8

K%26

BB%9

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

45→45

SPD

50→50

EYE

53↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.8peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.8	$16M	+$15M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.7	$15M	+$14M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.6	$15M	+$14M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+1.4	$13M	+$11M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+1.0	$10M	+$6M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.7	$4M	+$0.1M
Totals		$12M		$73M	+$61M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	FCL Twins	59	52	7	1	1	1	5	25	2	3	0	.135	.237	.250	.487	.115	.231	42	8	.204	14	-6	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2022	20	ROK	FCL Twins	154	136	33	10	2	2	11	46	5	5	5	.243	.322	.390	.712	.147	.344	30	7	.314	98	-0	-1	+0	+3	+4	0.6
2023	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	449	390	93	24	2	8	41	136	16	12	1	.238	.336	.372	.707	.133	.343	30	9	.316	100	+0	+2	+0	+8	+13	2.3
2024	22	A+	2 teams	433	386	84	14	2	9	43	115	2	6	0	.218	.299	.334	.634	.117	.284	27	10	.279	72	-14	+1	+0	+8	+12	0.7
2025	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	407	366	78	10	0	12	35	103	3	13	3	.213	.287	.339	.626	.126	.260	25	9	.274	68	-15	+1	+0	+7	+12	0.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	61	55	12	4	0	4	5	10	0	0	1	.218	.283	.509	.792	.291	.190	16	8	.318	102	+0	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.3
ROS	24	MLB	MIN	259	232	51	10	1	7	23	65	2	4	1	.220	.296	.362	.658	.142	.269	25	9	.297	85	-4	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.8
TOT	24	MLB	MIN	320	287	63	14	1	11	28	75	2	4	2	.220	.293	.390	.684	.171	.256	23	9	.301	88	-4	+0	+0	+6	+9	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB 11%	MIN	362	321	73	14	1	11	35	82	3	6	2	.227	.309	.380	.689	.153	.266	23	10	.307	93	-3	+0	+0	+6	+10	1.4
2028	26	MLB 26%	MIN	401	356	80	15	1	12	39	90	3	6	2	.225	.307	.374	.680	.149	.269	22	10	.310	95	-2	+0	+0	+7	+11	1.7
2029	27	MLB 44%	MIN	416	368	84	16	1	13	41	94	4	7	2	.228	.312	.383	.696	.155	.270	23	10	.310	96	-2	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.8
2030	28	MLB 53%	MIN	422	373	85	16	1	13	42	96	4	6	2	.228	.313	.381	.693	.153	.270	23	10	.310	95	-2	+0	-1	+8	+12	1.7
2031	29	MLB 64%	MIN	418	369	83	16	1	12	42	97	4	6	1	.225	.311	.371	.682	.146	.269	23	10	.308	94	-3	+1	-1	+7	+12	1.6
2032	30	MLB 73%	MIN	413	366	81	15	1	12	41	97	3	5	1	.221	.305	.366	.671	.145	.268	23	10	.304	91	-4	+1	-2	+7	+12	1.4
2033	31	MLB 81%	MIN	389	344	75	14	1	11	39	93	3	3	1	.218	.303	.360	.664	.142	.266	24	10	.301	88	-5	+0	-3	+7	+11	1.0
2034	32	MLB 88%	MIN	360	318	69	13	1	10	36	88	3	2	0	.217	.303	.358	.661	.142	.265	24	10	.296	85	-6	+0	-4	+6	+10	0.7
2035	33	MLB 94%	MIN	322	285	60	11	1	8	32	81	2	1	0	.211	.295	.340	.635	.130	.263	25	10	.290	80	-7	+0	-4	+6	+9	0.4
2036	34	MLB	MIN	274	243	51	9	1	7	27	71	2	1	0	.210	.294	.342	.636	.132	.261	26	10	.284	75	-8	+0	-5	+5	+8	0.0
2037	35	MLB	MIN	219	194	40	7	1	5	21	59	2	1	0	.206	.290	.330	.620	.124	.259	27	10	.276	70	-8	+0	-6	+4	+6	-0.3
2038	36	MLB	MIN	166	148	29	5	0	4	16	47	1	1	0	.196	.279	.311	.590	.115	.255	28	10	.267	63	-7	+0	-6	+3	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5923	5247	1156	220	19	157	569	1485	64	88	21	.220	.304	.359	.664	.139	.275	25	10	.297	86	-96	+9	-31	+106	+168	15.8
/ 162G	—			650	576	126	24	2	17	62	163	7	10	2	.219	.302	.356	.658	.137	.273	25	10	.297	86	-11	+1	-3	+12	+18	1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	FCL Twins	59	49	10	2	1	1	8	17	2	3	0	.204	.339	.347	.686	.143	.290	29	14	.318	101	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	20	ROK	FCL Twins	154	129	45	12	3	5	18	33	5	5	5	.349	.447	.605	1.052	.256	.430	21	12	.451	204	+18	-1	—	—	+4	2.2
2023	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	449	372	106	28	2	10	59	93	16	12	1	.285	.405	.452	.857	.167	.354	21	13	.385	152	+27	+2	—	—	+13	4.2
2024	22	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	77	67	15	2	0	1	9	18	1	3	0	.224	.325	.299	.623	.075	.292	23	12	.293	82	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	356	300	86	17	3	11	53	70	1	3	0	.287	.395	.473	.869	.187	.339	20	15	.385	153	+21	+1	—	—	+10	3.3
2025	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	407	352	93	13	0	13	49	74	3	13	3	.264	.359	.412	.771	.148	.299	18	12	.346	123	+11	+1	—	—	+12	2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ricardo Olivar (OGILVIE)	24	50	45	50	55	.221/.299/.347	.126	.284	8	6	26%	9%	83	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joey Ortiz 2022 · AA	24	45→55	44→50	53→50	44	.219/.285/.340	.121	.291	11	11	28%	7%	74	-0.1	.246/.301/.390	.144	.301	13	10	22%	7%	93	+1.3	.250/.313/.398	.148	.304	13	11	21%	7%	97	+1.3
✕Javier Valdes 2023 · AA	24	43	48→55	50→30	45	.219/.299/.355	.136	.271	16	5	25%	7%	85	+0.7	.219/.305/.373	.154	.269	18	5	25%	8%	92	+1.2	.210/.321/.386	.176	.261	20	2	26%	11%	100	+0.9
✕Corey Joyce 2023 · AAA	24	43	46→45	49→50	48	.214/.309/.343	.130	.291	14	12	30%	9%	87	+0.8	.210/.307/.314	.104	.303	9	14	31%	10%	79	+0.3	.210/.307/.291	.081	.310	5	16	30%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Alan Espinoza 2015 · AAA	24	47	45→55	49→45	43	.235/.283/.354	.119	.286	13	9	23%	5%	76	+0.1	.231/.277/.389	.158	.269	19	6	22%	5%	84	+0.6	.255/.294/.411	.157	.288	19	3	19%	4%	94	+0.7
✕Miguel Amaya 2023 · AA	24	46→42	46→50	50→40	46	.220/.304/.349	.130	.315	13	7	32%	9%	85	+0.7	.231/.307/.376	.145	.291	16	4	25%	8%	94	+1.3	.233/.304/.378	.146	.278	16	1	22%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Andre Lipcius 2023 · AAA	25	46→50	46→50	48→45	51	.229/.303/.360	.131	.280	13	9	23%	9%	87	+0.8	.227/.294/.363	.136	.282	16	7	24%	8%	84	+0.6	.216/.280/.352	.136	.265	17	5	25%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	46	49→50	52→50	42	.230/.311/.380	.151	.300	16	13	28%	6%	97	+1.5	.224/.309/.378	.154	.287	18	12	27%	8%	95	+1.4	.208/.294/.355	.146	.264	19	11	28%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Brendan Rodgers 2021 · MLB	24	46→54	47→50	49→45	40	.231/.280/.366	.135	.290	15	8	26%	5%	79	+0.3	.251/.303/.386	.135	.300	14	2	20%	6%	93	+1.3	.253/.308/.383	.131	.298	13	0	19%	6%	93	+0.8
✕Jake Lemmerman 2013 · AA	24	47→50	44→45	49→45	45	.227/.298/.347	.120	.303	10	7	27%	7%	82	+0.5	.198/.275/.306	.108	.278	10	9	30%	8%	62	-0.9	.173/.255/.273	.100	.244	10	9	32%	9%	42	-1.2
●Joshua Rodriguez 2009 · AA	24	45→55	45→50	51→50	48	.223/.285/.348	.125	.282	11	11	25%	8%	76	+0.0	.236/.300/.350	.114	.308	10	9	25%	8%	82	+0.5	.235/.301/.356	.121	.306	11	7	25%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Justin Miller 2013 · A	24	52→53	45	49→50	44	.252/.308/.374	.122	.324	12	13	26%	7%	92	+1.2	.230/.291/.325	.095	.312	9	15	27%	7%	72	-0.2	.195/.265/.228	.033	.277	3	24	28%	7%	33	-0.8
✕Mark Mathias 2020 · AAA	25	45→46	45→50	53→50	46	.220/.290/.350	.130	.280	12	13	25%	8%	79	+0.3	.239/.302/.384	.145	.307	15	16	26%	7%	93	+1.3	.255/.341/.389	.134	.350	16	20	29%	10%	109	+1.2
✕Patrick Frick 2022 · AA	25	50→51	43→45	49→45	46	.238/.315/.350	.112	.323	10	7	28%	8%	90	+1.0	.219/.285/.294	.075	.305	5	6	28%	7%	62	-0.9	.203/.265/.246	.043	.288	1	4	28%	6%	41	-0.9
✕Zelous Wheeler 2011 · AA	24	48→52	43→50	46→45	49	.235/.306/.346	.111	.285	10	8	21%	8%	85	+0.7	.241/.310/.372	.131	.289	13	8	20%	7%	93	+1.3	.241/.307/.379	.138	.286	14	6	20%	7%	90	+0.7
●Bryson Stott 2022 · AAA	24	49→56	47→45	48→55	47	.240/.306/.374	.134	.324	14	10	29%	9%	92	+1.2	.247/.306/.374	.127	.297	13	20	20%	8%	92	+1.2	.255/.321/.377	.122	.291	12	29	16%	8%	94	+1.3
●Connor Hollis 2019 · A	24	51→61	45	48→55	49	.251/.326/.377	.126	.310	13	9	22%	8%	101	+1.8	.231/.302/.342	.111	.300	9	10	25%	7%	82	+0.5	.261/.333/.378	.117	.343	9	15	24%	8%	100	+1.0
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	44	45	48→50	42	.218/.280/.341	.124	.281	13	11	27%	6%	73	-0.1	.212/.267/.334	.122	.269	14	7	26%	5%	66	-0.6	.195/.248/.310	.116	.241	15	5	25%	5%	48	-1.0
●Jeremy Peña 2022 · AAA	24	47→57	47→50	51→50	41	.233/.294/.365	.132	.308	14	14	28%	6%	85	+0.7	.251/.297/.399	.148	.305	18	13	23%	5%	95	+1.4	.274/.329/.411	.137	.319	14	17	18%	6%	107	+2.3
✕Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	45→50	45	49→50	43	.220/.290/.339	.119	.296	12	11	29%	7%	76	+0.1	.239/.311/.381	.142	.289	16	10	22%	8%	96	+1.5	.236/.316/.369	.133	.284	15	9	22%	8%	91	+0.9
✕Jaxx Groshans 2022 · A	24	46	48→50	47→30	45	.231/.293/.372	.141	.302	16	5	28%	8%	85	+0.7	.199/.264/.326	.127	.282	14	5	32%	8%	63	-0.9	.123/.199/.241	.118	.169	14	0	36%	8%	11	-1.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)