Ricardo Olivar — OGILVIE

Ricardo OlivarC Wichita Wind Surge

Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 176 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION164 act + 24 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .292 / .409

PA24

HR0

K%25

BB%8

BABIP268

ISO182

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$37M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$6M	+$6M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$6M	+$5M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.6M
2033	Arb-2	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$3M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$19M	+$14M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	59	49	10	2	1	1	8	17	2	3	0	204	339	347	686	143	290	29	14	318	101	+0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	20	ROK	FCL Twins	—	154	129	45	12	3	5	18	33	5	5	5	349	447	605	1.052	256	430	21	12	451	192	+17	-1	—	—	+3	2.0
2023	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	449	372	106	28	2	10	59	93	16	12	1	285	405	452	857	167	354	21	13	385	146	+25	+2	—	—	+10	3.7
2024	22	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	77	67	15	2	0	1	9	18	1	3	0	224	325	299	623	75	292	23	12	293	84	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	356	300	86	17	3	11	53	70	1	3	0	287	395	473	869	187	339	20	15	385	147	+20	+1	—	—	+8	2.9
2025	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	407	352	93	13	0	13	49	74	3	13	3	264	359	412	771	148	299	18	12	346	120	+10	+1	—	—	+9	2.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	59	52	7	1	1	1	5	25	2	3	0	135	237	250	487	115	223	42	8	206	26	-5	+1	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	154	136	33	9	2	3	11	47	5	5	5	243	322	404	727	162	328	31	7	312	97	-0	-1	—	—	+3	0.2
2023	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	449	390	94	24	2	8	41	136	16	12	1	241	338	374	712	133	340	30	9	316	100	+0	+2	—	—	+10	1.2
2024	22	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	77	70	12	2	0	1	6	23	1	3	0	171	247	243	490	71	239	30	8	222	36	-6	+1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	356	317	69	12	2	7	36	97	1	3	0	218	299	334	634	117	287	27	10	285	79	-9	+1	—	—	+8	-0.1
2025	23	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	407	367	80	11	0	10	34	96	3	13	3	218	290	330	619	112	262	24	8	275	72	-13	+1	—	—	+9	-0.3
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	59	52	7	1	1	1	5	25	2	3	0	135	237	250	487	115	231	42	8	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	59	49	10	2	1	1	8	17	2	3	0	204	339	347	686	143	290	29	14	318	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	154	136	33	9	2	3	11	47	5	5	5	243	322	404	727	162	341	31	7	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	154	129	45	12	3	5	18	33	5	5	5	349	447	605	1.052	256	430	21	12	451	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	449	390	94	24	2	8	41	136	16	12	1	241	338	374	712	133	347	30	9	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	449	372	106	28	2	10	59	93	16	12	1	285	405	452	857	167	354	21	13	385	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	433	387	82	14	2	8	42	120	2	6	0	212	292	320	613	109	284	28	10	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	433	367	101	19	3	12	62	88	2	6	0	275	383	441	824	166	331	20	14	369	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	407	367	80	11	0	10	34	96	3	13	3	218	290	330	619	112	265	24	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	—	407	352	93	13	0	13	49	74	3	13	3	264	359	412	771	148	299	18	12	346	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	59	52	7	1	1	1	5	25	2	3	0	135	237	250	487	115	223	42	8	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	154	137	33	9	2	3	11	47	5	5	5	241	322	401	724	161	328	31	7	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	449	389	94	24	2	8	41	136	16	12	1	242	338	375	713	134	340	30	9	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	433	386	82	14	2	8	42	120	2	6	0	212	292	321	614	109	278	28	10	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	407	367	80	11	0	10	34	96	3	13	3	218	290	330	619	112	262	24	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	449	389	94	24	2	8	41	136	16	12	1	242	338	375	713	134	340	30	9	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	433	386	82	14	2	8	42	120	2	6	0	212	292	321	614	109	278	28	10	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	407	367	80	11	0	10	34	96	3	13	3	218	290	330	619	112	262	24	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	MIN	—	164	151	33	10	0	9	11	39	1	3	2	219	276	464	740	245	231	24	7	317	101	+0	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA RAW	MIN	—	137	119	33	10	0	10	16	26	1	2	2	277	368	613	981	336	274	19	12	418	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AAA RAW	MIN	—	27	27	7	2	0	2	0	6	0	1	0	259	259	556	815	296	263	22	0	350	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	AA MLE	MIN	2%	24	22	5	1	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	227	292	409	701	182	268	25	8	300	89	-0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
TOT	24	AA MLE	MIN	—	188	173	38	11	0	10	13	45	1	3	2	220	278	457	735	237	235	24	7	315	99	-0	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIN	43%	368	331	75	15	1	12	31	88	3	6	2	227	299	387	685	160	270	24	8	304	92	-3	+0	+0	+7	+8	1.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIN	62%	406	365	83	17	1	13	35	97	3	7	2	227	300	386	687	159	272	24	9	307	94	-3	+1	+0	+7	+9	1.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIN	69%	419	377	86	17	1	14	36	100	3	7	2	228	300	390	690	162	272	24	9	308	95	-3	+1	+0	+7	+9	1.5
2030	28	MLB MLE	MIN	72%	424	381	87	17	1	14	37	101	3	7	2	228	302	388	690	160	272	24	9	307	94	-3	+1	-1	+8	+9	1.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	MIN	72%	420	377	85	17	1	13	37	101	3	6	2	225	300	379	679	154	272	24	9	305	93	-4	+0	-1	+8	+9	1.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	MIN	72%	414	372	84	17	1	13	36	101	3	6	2	226	299	382	681	156	270	24	9	303	91	-4	+0	-2	+7	+9	1.0
2033	31	MLB MLE	MIN	78%	389	349	77	15	1	12	34	96	3	5	1	221	295	372	668	152	268	25	9	299	88	-5	+1	-3	+7	+8	0.8
2034	32	MLB MLE	MIN	83%	361	323	71	14	1	11	32	91	3	3	1	220	296	372	668	152	264	25	9	293	84	-7	+0	-4	+6	+8	0.4
2035	33	MLB MLE	MIN	86%	323	290	61	12	0	9	28	83	2	2	1	210	284	345	629	134	260	26	9	286	80	-8	+0	-4	+6	+7	0.1
2036	34	MLB MLE	MIN	81%	274	246	49	9	0	7	24	72	2	1	0	199	276	321	597	122	254	26	9	277	73	-9	+0	-5	+5	+6	-0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIN	43%	159	144	32	7	0	5	13	38	1	3	1	222	291	375	666	153	270	24	8	299	92	-1	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIN	62%	253	227	53	11	1	8	22	60	2	4	1	233	307	396	703	163	272	24	9	302	94	-2	+0	+0	+5	+5	0.9
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIN	69%	289	260	59	12	1	9	25	69	2	5	2	227	300	385	684	158	273	24	9	303	95	-2	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	MIN	72%	306	274	63	13	1	10	27	73	2	5	2	230	304	394	698	164	273	24	9	302	94	-2	+0	-1	+5	+7	1.0
2031	29	MLB CTX	MIN	72%	303	271	62	12	1	10	27	73	2	4	1	229	303	391	694	162	272	24	9	300	93	-3	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.9
2032	30	MLB CTX	MIN	72%	298	268	60	12	1	9	26	73	2	4	1	224	297	377	674	153	271	24	9	297	91	-3	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.8
2033	31	MLB CTX	MIN	78%	305	273	61	12	1	9	27	75	2	4	1	223	298	374	672	150	268	25	9	293	88	-4	+0	-2	+5	+7	0.6
2034	32	MLB CTX	MIN	83%	298	268	57	11	0	9	26	75	2	3	1	213	287	354	642	142	265	25	9	288	84	-6	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.4
2035	33	MLB CTX	MIN	86%	276	248	52	10	0	8	24	71	2	2	1	210	285	347	631	137	260	26	9	281	80	-7	+0	-4	+5	+6	0.1
2036	34	MLB CTX	MIN	81%	222	200	41	8	0	6	19	58	1	1	0	205	277	335	612	130	254	26	9	272	73	-7	+0	-4	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2709	2433	540	108	6	83	236	665	18	35	11	222	295	374	669	152	269	25	9	294	87	-37	+3	-16	+48	+59	5.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	129	26	1	20	57	160	4	8	3	221	295	372	666	151	268	25	9	294	87	-9	+1	-4	+12	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5324	4765	1059	210	15	149	465	1360	56	89	24	222	299	366	665	144	277	26	9	297	87	-49	+4	-20	+68	+83	8.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	130	26	2	18	57	166	7	11	3	223	300	368	668	144	279	26	9	297	87	-8	+1	-3	+12	+14	1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.1	2,716	84	35	223	294	375	+48	+28	8.6	8.0
/162	664	20	9	+11.9	+6.8	2.1	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ricardo Olivar (OGILVIE)	24	50	45	50	55	221/291/376	154	268	10	6	24%	8%	89	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Javier Valdes 2023 · AA	24	44	47→50	50→30	46	221/305/356	134	275	16	5	25%	8%	89	+0.5	218/303/357	139	268	16	5	24%	8%	89	+0.5	207/319/359	152	258	16	2	25%	11%	94	+0.4
✕Corey Joyce 2023 · AAA	24	43	46→40	49→50	48	212/311/342	130	291	14	11	30%	10%	88	+0.5	210/308/308	98	303	8	14	30%	10%	80	-0.2	211/297/302	91	294	9	15	29%	9%	71	-0.5
✕Miguel Amaya 2023 · AA	24	46→41	45→50	50→40	47	220/307/345	125	312	12	6	31%	9%	87	+0.4	229/305/371	142	285	16	3	24%	7%	93	+0.8	229/300/373	144	272	16	1	22%	7%	90	+0.2
✕Andre Lipcius 2023 · AAA	25	47→49	45	49→45	52	229/303/355	126	278	11	9	22%	9%	87	+0.4	225/291/354	129	281	15	7	24%	8%	82	+0.0	213/278/342	129	264	16	5	25%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Joey Ortiz 2022 · AA	24	45→55	43→50	54→50	44	218/283/334	116	289	10	11	27%	7%	75	-0.5	243/298/379	136	297	11	10	21%	7%	91	+0.6	246/308/389	142	298	12	11	21%	7%	94	+0.8
✕Alan Espinoza 2015 · AAA	24	47	44→50	49→45	43	233/284/346	113	284	12	9	22%	6%	78	-0.3	226/272/369	143	266	17	6	22%	5%	79	-0.2	247/287/387	140	284	16	3	19%	4%	87	+0.2
✕Ryan Ortiz 2012 · AA	24	47	43→45	50→40	49	227/310/336	110	300	11	6	27%	9%	86	+0.3	199/286/301	102	272	10	4	28%	10%	70	-0.9	179/276/270	91	247	8	0	29%	10%	57	-0.9
✕Jason Donald 2009 · AA	24	53→55	46→45	49→50	46	257/322/397	140	335	13	8	26%	8%	103	+1.6	242/302/353	111	319	8	13	25%	6%	86	+0.3	250/313/355	105	326	6	15	23%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Brett Harris 2023 · AA	25	48→52	50→45	47→50	47	243/307/397	154	289	18	11	23%	7%	99	+1.3	237/314/361	124	288	13	10	21%	8%	93	+0.8	231/315/345	114	280	12	10	21%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	45	45	48→50	43	224/290/348	124	291	13	11	27%	6%	81	-0.1	210/266/326	116	267	13	7	26%	5%	68	-1.0	191/245/302	111	237	14	5	25%	5%	51	-1.2
✕Jake Lemmerman 2013 · AA	24	47→50	43→45	50→45	46	224/297/338	114	298	9	8	26%	8%	82	-0.0	199/274/302	103	276	9	9	29%	8%	65	-1.2	178/257/272	94	246	9	9	30%	9%	50	-1.2
✕Ricardo Ruiz 2006 · AAA	24	50	45→40	47→50	50	246/308/364	119	283	13	11	18%	7%	91	+0.7	237/289/321	84	281	5	10	17%	5%	74	-0.6	247/297/313	66	293	1	8	15%	4%	72	-0.2
✕Jimmy Govern 2021 · AAA	24	49	47→50	49→45	51	244/320/391	147	286	13	8	20%	8%	102	+1.5	210/258/331	121	260	12	7	24%	5%	65	-1.2	196/242/311	115	239	12	7	24%	4%	51	-1.0
✕Adam Rosales 2008 · AA	25	46→48	48→55	49→45	45	230/299/387	158	288	14	8	25%	7%	93	+0.8	237/297/373	136	287	12	8	21%	6%	89	+0.5	242/299/371	128	289	12	7	20%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Joshua Rodriguez 2009 · AA	24	45→54	44→45	51→50	48	221/283/342	121	278	10	11	24%	8%	76	-0.4	234/297/342	108	304	9	9	24%	8%	82	-0.0	241/303/338	98	310	10	6	24%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Patrick Frick 2022 · AA	25	50→52	42→45	49→45	46	239/316/347	107	323	10	7	27%	8%	91	+0.6	223/287/296	73	305	5	7	26%	7%	68	-1.0	214/274/258	44	294	1	4	26%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Justin Miller 2013 · A	24	52	45	49→50	43	251/306/372	122	324	12	13	26%	6%	92	+0.7	228/289/322	94	309	9	15	27%	7%	74	-0.5	200/268/232	33	280	3	24	27%	6%	43	-0.8
✕Tony Delmonico 2011 · A	24	48	43→45	50→40	48	234/313/340	107	300	10	6	24%	8%	88	+0.5	220/309/329	109	304	10	4	29%	9%	84	+0.2	217/314/341	124	292	13	1	28%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Chris Nelson 2010 · AA	24	46→56	45→50	51→50	45	227/283/359	132	281	12	13	23%	7%	80	-0.1	247/292/377	130	299	13	9	21%	5%	88	+0.4	257/301/390	133	311	13	7	21%	5%	91	+0.5
✕Zelous Wheeler 2011 · AA	24	50→53	42→45	46→45	50	240/314/345	105	290	9	8	20%	8%	89	+0.5	239/308/362	123	285	12	8	20%	7%	91	+0.6	237/303/364	127	281	13	6	20%	7%	86	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps