Austin Wells — OGILVIE

Austin WellsC New York Yankees

Age 27 L/R 6'1" / 220 lbs MLB HR +8% Svc 2.180S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION220 act + 239 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 7185vR 91

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .287 / .363

PA239

HR8

K%26

BB%10

BABIP243

ISO160

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

619.9%

xwOBA

520.311

POWER50

Barrel%

569.1

Avg EV

5589.5

Bat Spd

6873.2

EYE50

Chase%

8524.9%

SPEED45

Sprint

1325.7

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 937 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

245

692

—

wRC+

102

▶▶R

wOBA

274

319

▶R

ISO

126

203

▶▶R

BABIP

260

244

◀L

25.3%

22.7%

▶R

BB%

7.8%

10.0%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.180 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.9M
2027	Arb-2	$4M	+2.2	$16M	+$13M
2028	Arb-3	$6M	+2.0	$14M	+$9M
2029	Arb-4	$9M	+1.7	$11M	+$4M
Totals		$20M		$42M	+$27M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	3 teams	—	548	473	95	21	5	14	57	185	12	17	0	201	303	355	658	154	289	34	10	292	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	3 teams	—	548	446	123	28	7	18	84	133	12	17	0	276	404	491	895	215	349	24	15	393	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	3 teams	—	402	355	79	16	1	16	39	118	5	16	0	223	308	408	717	186	281	29	10	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	3 teams	—	402	336	93	17	1	20	56	90	5	16	0	277	386	512	898	235	319	22	14	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	4 teams	—	504	458	94	28	0	18	35	136	6	7	1	205	271	384	655	179	246	27	7	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	4 teams	—	504	441	105	30	0	21	51	111	6	7	1	238	325	449	774	211	268	22	10	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB	New York Yankees	—	414	354	79	17	1	12	47	87	5	1	2	223	323	379	701	155	256	21	11	310	96	-2	-1	+19	+7	+12	3.6
2024	25	MLB	New York Yankees	—	414	354	81	18	1	13	47	87	5	1	2	229	328	395	723	167	261	21	11	320	103	+2	-1	+19	+7	+12	4.0
2025	26	MLB	New York Yankees	—	448	402	86	21	1	20	30	118	5	5	1	214	277	420	697	206	240	26	7	296	84	-8	+1	+18	+8	+13	3.2
2025	26	MLB	New York Yankees	—	448	401	88	22	1	21	30	118	5	5	1	219	281	436	718	217	245	26	7	308	94	-3	+1	+18	+8	+13	3.7
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	MLB	NYY	—	220	194	30	2	0	6	24	61	0	1	0	155	248	258	505	103	188	28	11	226	31	-17	+0	+3	+4	+6	-0.4
YTD	27	MLB	NYY	—	220	194	30	2	0	6	24	61	0	1	0	155	248	258	505	103	188	28	11	235	38	-15	+0	+3	+4	+6	-0.3
ROS	27	MLB	NYY	100%	239	212	43	10	0	8	23	61	2	2	0	203	287	363	650	160	243	26	10	294	83	-5	+0	+5	+4	+7	1.2
ROS	27	MLB	NYY	100%	239	212	44	11	0	8	23	61	2	2	0	208	291	373	664	165	245	26	10	293	82	-5	+0	+5	+4	+7	1.2
FULL	27	MLB	NYY	—	459	406	74	13	0	14	47	122	2	3	0	182	270	318	588	135	221	27	10	261	58	-22	+1	+7	+8	+13	0.7
TOT	27	MLB	NYY	—	459	406	73	12	0	14	47	122	2	3	0	180	268	313	581	133	217	27	10	262	58	-22	+1	+7	+8	+13	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	NYY	100%	454	405	84	20	1	15	43	116	3	3	1	207	288	373	661	165	250	26	9	298	86	-7	+0	+8	+8	+13	2.3
2028	29	MLB	NYY	100%	443	395	82	20	1	15	42	114	3	3	1	208	289	377	666	170	249	26	9	296	84	-8	+0	+7	+8	+13	2.1
2029	30	MLB	NYY	100%	433	385	79	19	1	14	42	113	3	3	1	205	288	369	657	164	247	26	10	293	82	-9	+0	+7	+8	+12	1.8
2030	31	MLB	NYY	100%	405	361	73	18	0	13	39	106	2	2	1	202	284	360	644	158	244	26	10	288	79	-10	+0	+5	+7	+11	1.5
2027	28	MLB	NYY	100%	454	405	86	21	1	16	43	116	3	3	1	212	293	388	680	175	252	26	9	296	85	-8	+0	+8	+8	+13	2.2
2028	29	MLB	NYY	100%	443	395	82	20	1	15	42	114	3	3	1	208	289	377	666	170	251	26	9	295	84	-8	+0	+7	+8	+13	2.0
2029	30	MLB	NYY	100%	433	385	80	19	1	15	42	113	3	3	1	208	291	379	670	171	249	26	10	292	81	-9	+0	+7	+8	+12	1.8
2030	31	MLB	NYY	100%	405	361	73	18	0	13	39	106	2	2	1	202	284	360	644	158	246	26	10	287	78	-10	+0	+5	+7	+11	1.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2911	2583	550	135	5	105	269	729	23	19	7	213	293	391	684	178	250	25	9	300	87	-41	+1	+70	+60	+82	17.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	122	30	1	23	60	163	5	4	2	211	291	386	677	175	249	25	9	300	87	-9	+0	+16	+13	+18	3.9
Career	—			—	4290	3800	794	190	11	145	397	1154	46	59	8	209	292	379	671	170	255	27	9	296	84	-75	+9	+70	+77	+122	20.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	121	29	2	22	60	175	7	9	1	210	292	382	674	172	257	27	9	296	84	-11	+1	+11	+12	+18	3.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	170	146	40	6	1	7	20	55	4	5	0	274	376	473	849	199	393	32	12	378	148	+9	+1	—	—	+5	1.5
2021	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	299	236	61	17	4	9	51	62	7	11	0	258	405	479	884	220	306	21	17	387	155	+18	+2	—	—	+8	3.0
2021	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	79	64	22	5	2	2	13	16	1	1	0	344	462	578	1.040	234	426	20	16	448	201	+9	+0	—	—	+2	1.2
2022	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	247	211	55	8	1	12	29	58	5	7	0	261	363	479	842	218	301	23	12	371	142	+12	+1	—	—	+7	2.0
2022	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	121	99	32	7	0	6	19	27	0	9	0	323	425	576	1.001	253	388	22	16	429	187	+12	+2	—	—	+3	1.7
2022	23	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	34	26	6	2	0	2	8	5	0	0	0	231	412	538	950	308	211	15	24	415	176	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	24	MLB	New York Yankees	—	75	70	16	6	0	4	3	14	0	0	0	229	257	486	742	257	226	19	4	314	98	-0	+0	+1	+9	+2	1.2
2023	24	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	146	126	32	10	0	5	16	34	3	2	1	254	352	452	804	198	307	23	11	356	131	+5	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2023	24	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	263	228	54	14	0	11	29	60	3	5	0	237	331	443	774	206	269	23	11	340	119	+6	+1	—	—	+7	1.4
2023	24	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	20	17	3	0	0	1	3	3	0	0	0	176	300	353	653	176	154	15	15	299	87	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	25	MLB	New York Yankees	—	414	354	81	18	1	13	47	87	5	1	2	229	328	395	723	167	261	21	11	320	103	+2	-1	+19	+7	+12	4.0
2025	26	MLB	New York Yankees	—	448	401	88	22	1	21	30	118	5	5	1	219	281	436	718	217	245	26	7	308	94	-3	+1	+18	+8	+13	3.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	937	825	185	46	2	38	80	219	10	6	3	224	300	423	723	199	250	23	9	314	98	-2	+0	+38	+24	+27	8.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Zuninolast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,098 PA	11	3,098	149	2	199	271	406	+55	+123	22.4	21.9
	/162	664	32	0	199	271	406	+11.9	+26.4	4.8	pk7: 21
#2Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	12	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
	/162	664	19	1	227	312	387	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#3Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#4Nick Ahmedlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,391 PA	11	3,391	72	43	234	287	371	+36	+129	19.3	18.8
	/162	664	14	8	234	287	371	+7.1	+25.2	3.8	pk7: 18
#5Roberto Pérezlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,752 PA	9	1,752	55	2	207	298	360	+31	+105	15.9	15.5
	/162	664	21	1	207	298	360	+11.9	+39.7	6.0	pk7: 15
#6Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	3,351	118	22	210	286	381	+60	+91	10.0	10.1
	/162	664	23	4	210	286	381	+11.9	+18.1	2.0	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Austin Wells (OGILVIE)	27	45	50	45	50	180/268/313	133	217	14	3	27%	10%	58	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryan McMahon 2022 · MLB	27	41→51	51→55	46→45	50	216/296/371	155	269	19	6	27%	10%	88	+0.9	213/296/354	141	279	16	6	28%	10%	83	+0.6	206/298/347	141	281	17	4	31%	11%	79	+0.3
✕Jonah Heim 2023 · MLB	28	42→50	52→55	48→40	50	221/284/384	163	243	20	5	20%	8%	85	+0.7	232/290/381	149	263	18	4	19%	7%	87	+0.8	227/283/361	135	257	17	3	19%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Curt Casali 2017 · MLB	28	40	51→50	46→30	49	209/293/363	154	262	19	3	28%	9%	85	+0.7	231/298/356	125	286	15	3	23%	8%	84	+0.6	240/318/389	149	300	17	0	25%	9%	95	+0.6
✕Matt Thaiss 2021 · MLB	26	42→50	50→55	48→45	50	217/288/374	157	261	18	5	25%	9%	85	+0.7	233/307/396	163	291	20	6	26%	9%	98	+1.6	228/309/386	157	285	19	5	26%	9%	94	+0.9
✕Hunter Feduccia 2023 · AAA	26	40→50	51→50	47→40	44	213/275/372	159	274	20	3	30%	8%	79	+0.3	228/307/361	133	307	14	3	28%	10%	89	+1.0	232/319/354	122	311	11	2	27%	11%	90	+0.7
✕Ryan Flaherty 2014 · MLB	28	43→45	52→55	47→45	42	227/279/388	161	270	21	6	25%	6%	85	+0.7	216/284/353	137	268	15	4	25%	8%	78	+0.2	224/293/354	130	292	15	4	27%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Christian Villanueva 2018 · MLB	27	43→47	52→55	44→50	46	227/287/395	168	263	21	5	23%	7%	90	+1.0	242/303/441	199	292	26	8	26%	6%	109	+2.4	245/307/473	228	285	34	5	27%	6%	118	+1.9
✕Rio Ruiz 2021 · MLB	27	44→51	49→50	40	49	226/287/370	144	265	17	3	22%	8%	82	+0.5	216/276/351	135	263	14	8	23%	7%	73	-0.1	197/254/312	115	243	10	7	23%	6%	52	-1.0
●Freddy Fermin 2023 · AAA	28	44	51→55	46→40	48	229/294/385	156	266	20	4	23%	8%	90	+1.0	258/311/405	147	303	18	4	20%	7%	102	+1.8	269/319/399	130	314	16	2	19%	6%	100	+1.0
✕Landon Powell 2009 · AAA	27	42→41	51→50	43→30	50	219/296/372	153	271	20	3	27%	10%	88	+0.9	217/294/352	135	271	16	4	25%	10%	82	+0.5	208/287/321	113	254	14	1	23%	10%	68	-0.1
✕Jeremy Brown 2007 · AAA	27	43	52→55	46→30	44	226/287/392	166	271	21	3	25%	6%	89	+1.0	230/290/377	147	287	17	4	25%	7%	86	+0.8	229/294/374	145	283	16	0	24%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Carson Kelly 2021 · MLB	27	45→47	53→55	46→40	53	234/314/407	173	266	21	3	21%	10%	105	+2.1	228/311/378	150	268	18	4	21%	10%	96	+1.5	248/332/397	148	279	19	1	18%	10%	107	+1.2
✕Austin Hedges 2021 · MLB	28	38→40	53→60	46→45	44	206/274/371	166	257	22	6	29%	8%	79	+0.3	183/243/297	114	223	16	5	26%	6%	46	-2.0	190/259/290	100	237	13	5	25%	7%	49	-0.5
✕Patrick Mazeika 2021 · AA	27	43→51	49→50	48→30	47	219/278/368	149	248	17	4	20%	7%	79	+0.3	216/278/330	114	246	12	3	17%	6%	69	-0.4	202/266/292	90	229	9	0	16%	6%	51	-0.7
✕Domingo Leyba 2023 · MLB	27	45→50	50	50→45	51	232/295/384	152	255	19	9	18%	8%	90	+1.0	233/293/361	128	275	15	8	20%	7%	83	+0.6	235/290/339	104	280	13	2	20%	7%	72	-0.1
✕César Salazar 2023 · AAA	27	40	50→45	47→45	40	213/272/360	147	258	19	9	26%	5%	76	+0.0	209/299/331	122	250	13	7	21%	8%	79	+0.3	202/308/314	111	241	11	6	20%	9%	77	+0.1
●Zach McKinstry 2022 · MLB	27	46→54	54→55	46→55	44	239/294/425	186	286	22	9	25%	6%	101	+1.8	236/301/379	143	292	13	15	23%	8%	91	+1.1	243/315/392	149	299	12	23	22%	8%	98	+1.2
✕Ian Stewart 2012 · MLB	27	39→49	51→60	46→45	49	206/288/366	160	263	20	8	29%	10%	83	+0.6	180/261/310	130	264	15	5	35%	9%	57	-1.2	146/232/263	117	224	13	2	39%	9%	28	-1.2
✕Hank Conger 2017 · MLB	29	39→49	48→50	41→45	46	203/267/344	141	251	16	3	26%	8%	69	-0.4	205/266/331	126	278	14	6	30%	7%	64	-0.8	171/234/264	93	245	11	0	34%	7%	33	-1.0
✕Kyle Higashioka 2018 · MLB	28	42→43	50→60	41→40	44	221/264/375	154	252	19	3	22%	6%	74	-0.1	206/253/371	165	241	22	4	25%	5%	69	-0.4	229/285/425	196	263	28	4	25%	7%	95	+0.6