Henry Davis — OGILVIE

Henry DavisC Pittsburgh Pirates

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 225 lbs MLB Svc 2.215S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION188 act + 215 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 5948vR 21

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .277 / .337

PA215

HR7

K%24

BB%9

BABIP220

ISO147

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT35

Whiff%

609.9%

xwOBA

250.279

POWER50

Barrel%

609.7

Avg EV

3888.2

Bat Spd

9075.9

EYE45

Chase%

9023.8%

SPEED55

Sprint

6027.9

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 456 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

365

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

265

222

◀◀L

ISO

147

082

◀◀L

BABIP

207

213

—

25.3%

29.3%

◀L

BB%

9.9%

7.7%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.215 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.3	$1M	+$1.0M
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2028	Arb-3	$2M	+0.8	$3M	+$1.0M
2029	Arb-4	$2M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.5M
Totals		$6M		$10M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	24	21	4	0	1	1	2	10	0	1	0	190	261	429	689	238	273	42	8	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	24	19	5	0	1	2	4	8	0	1	0	263	391	684	1.076	421	300	33	17	432	189	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	4 teams	—	320	273	63	14	1	8	17	87	26	13	3	231	335	377	713	147	302	27	5	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	4 teams	—	320	259	69	18	1	11	31	61	26	13	3	266	399	471	870	205	304	19	10	386	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	MLB	3 teams	—	505	439	101	18	2	16	52	131	12	13	9	230	328	390	718	159	290	26	10	316	100	-0	-1	-5	-5	+14	0.3
2023	23	MLB	3 teams	—	505	421	108	20	2	19	70	117	12	13	9	257	378	449	827	192	311	23	14	370	141	+23	-1	-5	-5	+14	2.7
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	—	376	332	70	14	0	14	29	121	12	8	1	211	298	380	677	169	281	32	8	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	—	376	322	82	19	0	14	36	102	12	8	1	255	349	444	793	189	327	27	10	351	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB	2 teams	—	314	283	50	10	0	7	20	81	5	4	1	177	244	286	530	110	217	26	6	233	37	-22	+0	+10	+6	+9	0.3
2025	25	MLB	2 teams	—	314	280	50	10	0	7	21	80	5	4	1	179	247	289	536	111	219	25	7	241	42	-20	+0	+10	+6	+9	0.5
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	MLB	PIT	—	188	163	27	5	0	8	18	38	5	2	1	166	269	344	612	178	161	20	10	273	67	-7	+0	+2	+3	+5	0.4
YTD	26	MLB	PIT	—	188	163	27	5	0	8	18	38	5	2	1	166	269	344	612	178	161	20	10	276	70	-6	+0	+2	+3	+5	0.5
ROS	26	MLB	PIT	100%	215	190	36	7	0	7	19	52	4	3	1	189	277	337	614	147	220	24	9	278	71	-7	+0	+1	+4	+6	0.4
ROS	26	MLB	PIT	100%	215	190	36	7	0	7	19	52	4	3	1	189	277	337	614	147	219	24	9	262	59	-10	+0	+1	+4	+6	0.1
FULL	26	MLB	PIT	—	403	353	63	12	0	15	37	90	9	5	2	178	273	340	613	161	192	22	9	267	63	-17	+0	+4	+7	+11	0.6
TOT	26	MLB	PIT	—	403	353	63	12	0	15	37	90	9	5	2	178	273	340	613	161	192	22	9	276	69	-14	+0	+4	+7	+11	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	PIT	92%	428	379	73	14	1	14	38	103	8	6	2	193	280	346	626	153	220	24	9	279	71	-14	+0	+3	+8	+12	0.9
2028	28	MLB	PIT	92%	428	379	71	14	0	13	38	104	8	5	2	187	275	327	602	140	219	24	9	278	71	-14	+0	+2	+8	+12	0.8
2029	29	MLB	PIT	92%	419	371	69	13	0	13	37	102	8	5	1	186	274	326	600	140	218	24	9	276	69	-15	+1	+1	+7	+12	0.7
2030	30	MLB	PIT	92%	412	364	68	13	0	13	37	102	8	4	1	187	276	330	606	143	217	25	9	273	67	-15	+0	+0	+7	+12	0.5
2027	27	MLB	PIT	92%	394	348	66	13	1	12	35	95	8	5	2	190	279	336	615	147	219	24	9	263	59	-18	+0	+2	+7	+11	0.3
2028	28	MLB	PIT	92%	394	348	65	13	0	12	35	95	8	5	2	187	276	328	604	141	218	24	9	262	59	-18	+0	+2	+7	+11	0.2
2029	29	MLB	PIT	92%	385	340	63	12	0	12	34	94	8	5	1	185	275	326	601	141	217	24	9	260	57	-19	+1	+1	+7	+11	0.1
2030	30	MLB	PIT	92%	379	335	61	12	0	11	34	94	7	4	1	182	271	316	588	134	216	25	9	258	55	-19	+0	+0	+7	+11	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2427	2142	396	78	1	69	213	620	45	27	13	185	272	319	591	134	223	26	9	259	56	-120	+0	+12	+38	+69	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	105	21	0	18	57	166	12	7	3	183	270	314	584	131	221	26	9	259	56	-32	+0	+3	+10	+18	-0.0
Career	—			—	3441	3031	605	117	5	106	289	893	91	62	21	200	289	346	635	147	243	26	8	283	75	-98	+4	+12	+47	+97	6.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	114	22	1	20	55	169	17	12	4	199	289	346	634	147	242	26	8	283	75	-18	+1	+2	+9	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	24	19	5	0	1	2	4	8	0	1	0	263	391	684	1.076	421	300	33	17	432	189	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	22	AA	Altoona Curve	—	136	116	24	8	0	4	12	30	8	3	1	207	324	379	703	172	244	22	9	321	104	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2022	22	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	100	82	28	3	1	5	8	18	9	5	1	341	455	585	1.040	244	383	18	8	453	205	+12	+1	—	—	+3	1.6
2022	22	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	15	11	4	1	0	1	1	2	2	1	0	364	500	727	1.227	364	333	13	7	490	233	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2022	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	69	50	13	6	0	1	10	11	7	4	1	260	448	440	888	180	300	16	14	396	161	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2023	23	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	255	225	48	10	0	7	25	69	4	3	5	213	303	351	654	138	273	27	10	297	86	-4	-1	-5	-5	+7	-0.9
2023	23	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	63	48	18	3	1	2	13	13	1	3	1	375	516	604	1.120	229	485	21	21	481	226	+9	+0	—	—	+2	1.1
2023	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	187	148	42	7	1	10	32	35	7	7	3	284	433	547	980	264	311	19	17	431	188	+19	+0	—	—	+5	2.5
2024	24	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	122	104	15	4	0	1	13	45	1	0	0	144	244	212	455	67	233	37	11	214	22	-11	+0	-1	+7	+3	-0.1
2024	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	254	218	67	15	0	13	23	57	11	8	1	307	398	555	953	248	365	22	9	416	177	+22	+1	—	—	+7	3.1
2025	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	283	252	42	7	0	7	18	76	5	2	1	167	235	278	512	111	203	27	6	230	34	-21	+0	+10	+6	+8	0.3
2025	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	31	28	8	3	0	0	3	4	0	2	0	286	355	393	748	107	333	13	10	338	117	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	660	581	105	21	0	15	56	190	10	5	6	181	263	294	557	114	236	29	8	253	52	-36	-1	+5	+7	+19	-0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Henry Blancolast yr '13 career totals — 14 seasons, 2,779 PA	14	2,779	65	5	221	284	359	+27	+49	8.6	9.6
	/162	664	16	1	221	284	359	+6.6	+11.7	2.1	pk7: 11
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	10	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#5J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	2,803	83	32	187	271	325	+50	+14	2.3	2.8
	/162	664	20	8	187	271	325	+11.9	+3.4	0.5	pk7: 3
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Henry Davis (OGILVIE)	26	35	50	55	45	178/273/340	161	192	15	5	22%	9%	69	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Johan Mieses 2021 · AAA	26	37→33	51→55	50	40	202/258/351	149	255	20	7	30%	6%	67	-0.5	220/291/413	193	279	26	9	30%	7%	97	+1.5	205/284/416	211	247	30	7	31%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Brendon Davis 2023 · AAA	26	39→44	52→50	47→50	44	211/280/381	170	265	20	10	29%	8%	84	+0.6	191/268/323	132	263	14	14	31%	8%	64	-0.8	162/247/274	112	230	12	17	33%	8%	40	-1.3
✕Zack Short 2022 · MLB	27	36→38	50	47→45	50	192/289/343	151	253	19	7	31%	10%	79	+0.3	193/288/320	127	267	14	10	30%	11%	72	-0.2	180/282/293	113	252	12	11	31%	12%	61	-0.6
✕Rylan Bannon 2023 · MLB	27	37→42	49→50	52→50	48	196/278/340	144	250	18	12	29%	9%	72	-0.2	207/297/365	158	271	19	13	29%	11%	87	+0.8	195/295/355	161	251	20	12	30%	12%	82	+0.4
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2012 · AAA	26	41	48→45	51→50	43	212/269/344	132	264	17	14	27%	6%	69	-0.4	224/260/330	106	275	13	11	23%	4%	60	-1.0	210/243/303	94	257	13	9	24%	3%	42	-0.6
✕Peyton Burdick 2023 · MLB	26	35→32	51→55	50	44	187/277/350	163	274	19	12	37%	9%	75	-0.0	186/266/343	157	299	19	12	42%	8%	69	-0.4	165/248/320	156	268	21	12	44%	8%	53	-1.0
✕Xavier Fernández 2022 · AAA	27	42	49→50	47→40	42	221/270/356	135	268	18	6	25%	6%	72	-0.2	234/283/358	124	284	13	4	22%	6%	78	+0.2	239/288/363	124	285	12	1	20%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Jake Rogers 2021 · MLB	26	38→40	52→60	49→45	43	202/278/367	165	273	21	5	33%	8%	79	+0.3	237/301/444	207	322	27	7	33%	8%	108	+2.3	221/284/435	214	280	29	2	32%	7%	97	+0.7
✕Cam Devanney 2023 · AAA	26	37→41	50→55	45	40	199/260/351	152	262	18	6	31%	6%	67	-0.5	221/282/381	160	291	18	8	29%	6%	84	+0.6	219/280/381	162	289	19	7	30%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Jimmy Govern 2023 · AAA	26	39	47→50	49→45	39	203/247/337	133	251	15	8	26%	4%	57	-1.2	206/258/325	119	258	13	9	25%	5%	59	-1.1	184/241/285	100	222	12	6	23%	4%	38	-1.0
✕Nick Dini 2021 · MLB	28	41	51→50	49→50	42	220/270/377	157	256	20	12	24%	5%	79	+0.3	219/286/373	154	263	20	9	24%	7%	84	+0.6	177/272/313	136	213	19	8	27%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Donny Sands 2022 · AAA	26	44	49→45	44→40	45	228/276/374	147	261	18	5	21%	6%	79	+0.3	227/287/341	114	287	12	4	24%	8%	75	-0.0	221/288/316	95	287	9	2	25%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Wendell Rijo 2022 · AAA	26	40→41	55	48→50	39	219/270/401	182	272	25	9	30%	6%	85	+0.7	216/276/359	143	290	16	17	30%	6%	76	+0.1	215/276/365	150	278	15	27	28%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Nick Fortes 2023 · MLB	26	45→44	49→45	46→45	48	232/299/377	145	260	18	9	19%	7%	90	+1.0	225/280/341	116	255	13	6	17%	5%	72	-0.2	233/280/331	98	262	9	1	14%	4%	68	-0.2
✕César Salazar 2023 · AAA	27	40	50→45	47→45	40	213/272/360	147	258	19	9	26%	5%	76	+0.0	209/299/331	122	250	13	7	21%	8%	79	+0.3	202/308/314	111	241	11	6	20%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Coco Montes 2023 · AAA	26	39→43	47→50	51→50	41	200/265/338	138	281	14	10	33%	7%	66	-0.6	219/284/347	128	316	13	10	33%	8%	76	+0.0	220/284/337	117	317	11	9	32%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Chadwick Tromp 2022 · MLB	27	38	50	45→40	36	206/242/353	146	260	19	4	30%	4%	59	-1.1	217/266/361	144	268	18	3	26%	6%	72	-0.2	222/279/363	141	273	17	0	25%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Andrew Susac 2017 · MLB	27	41→40	47→50	47→30	43	210/272/345	135	276	15	3	29%	7%	70	-0.3	196/269/337	141	275	17	5	33%	9%	68	-0.5	165/254/305	140	229	19	0	35%	10%	53	-0.5
✕Ryan Cordell 2018 · AAA	26	41→42	50	51→50	40	214/262/365	151	274	18	14	29%	6%	71	-0.3	204/254/325	121	278	13	12	30%	6%	57	-1.2	179/233/303	124	254	15	13	35%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Willie MacIver 2023 · AAA	26	36→33	48→45	50→55	39	191/255/325	133	271	17	14	35%	6%	59	-1.1	215/291/341	126	313	13	16	33%	8%	78	+0.2	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3