Henry Davis — OGILVIE

Henry DavisC Pittsburgh Pirates

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 225 lbs MLB BB +7% Svc 2.215S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 peak 1.3 · 2027

wRC+†vL 5663vR 19

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .275 / .324

PA403

HR11

SB6

K%27

BB%8

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

50→50

SPD

55→55

EYE

47↘45

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.5peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.215 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.2	$10M	+$9M
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+1.3	$11M	+$8M
2028	Arb-3	$4M	+1.2	$10M	+$6M
2029	Arb-4	$5M	+1.0	$9M	+$4M
Totals		$12M		$39M	+$27M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	24	20	4	0	1	1	3	11	0	1	0	.200	.304	.450	.754	.250	.333	46	12	.332	112	+0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.2
2022	22	AA	4 teams	320	273	63	14	1	9	17	85	26	13	3	.231	.335	.388	.724	.158	.295	27	5	.307	93	-2	+1	+0	+6	+9	1.4
2023	23	MLB	3 teams	505	438	104	18	2	17	53	130	12	13	9	.237	.336	.404	.740	.167	.298	26	10	.324	106	+4	-1	-5	-5	+14	0.7
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	376	333	70	14	0	13	28	118	12	8	1	.210	.295	.369	.664	.159	.279	31	7	.292	81	-8	+1	-1	+7	+11	1.0
2025	25	MLB	2 teams	314	283	49	9	0	7	20	81	5	4	1	.173	.240	.279	.519	.106	.212	26	6	.227	32	-24	+0	+10	+6	+9	0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	57	48	8	3	0	0	6	11	2	1	0	.167	.286	.229	.515	.062	.216	19	11	.243	45	-4	+0	+2	+1	+2	0.2
ROS	26	MLB	PIT	346	306	59	12	0	9	30	91	7	5	1	.193	.280	.320	.600	.127	.239	26	9	.271	66	-13	+1	+7	+6	+10	1.0
TOT	26	MLB	PIT	403	354	67	15	0	9	36	102	9	6	1	.189	.281	.308	.589	.119	.237	25	9	.268	63	-17	+1	+9	+7	+11	1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB	PIT	428	380	73	14	1	11	37	102	8	7	1	.192	.278	.321	.599	.129	.230	24	9	.272	66	-16	+1	+9	+8	+12	1.3
2028	28	MLB	PIT	428	379	72	14	1	10	38	103	8	6	1	.190	.278	.311	.589	.121	.229	24	9	.270	65	-17	+1	+8	+8	+12	1.2
2029	29	MLB	PIT	419	371	70	14	0	10	37	102	8	5	1	.189	.276	.307	.584	.119	.228	24	9	.268	64	-17	+1	+7	+7	+12	1.0
2030	30	MLB	PIT	412	364	67	13	0	10	37	102	8	4	0	.184	.274	.302	.576	.118	.227	25	9	.265	61	-18	+1	+6	+7	+12	0.8
2031	31	MLB	PIT	385	341	62	12	0	9	34	97	7	2	0	.182	.270	.296	.566	.114	.225	25	9	.261	58	-18	+0	+5	+7	+11	0.5
2032	32	MLB	PIT	355	314	56	11	0	8	31	91	7	0	0	.178	.267	.290	.557	.111	.223	26	9	.257	55	-18	+0	+4	+6	+10	0.2
2033	33	MLB	PIT	317	280	49	10	0	6	28	83	6	0	0	.175	.264	.275	.539	.100	.221	26	9	.251	51	-18	+0	+2	+6	+9	-0.1
2034	34	MLB	PIT	268	238	40	8	0	5	23	73	5	0	0	.168	.256	.265	.520	.097	.219	27	9	.245	46	-16	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4897	4320	838	163	6	125	416	1269	119	68	18	.194	.283	.321	.604	.127	.241	26	8	.273	67	-183	+6	+52	+73	+139	8.9
/ 162G	—			650	573	112	22	1	17	55	168	16	9	2	.195	.284	.326	.611	.131	.242	26	8	.273	67	-24	+1	+7	+10	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	24	19	5	0	1	2	4	8	0	1	0	.263	.391	.684	1.076	.421	.300	33	17	.432	189	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	22	AA	Altoona Curve	136	116	24	8	0	4	12	30	8	3	1	.207	.324	.379	.703	.172	.244	22	9	.321	104	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2022	22	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	100	82	28	3	1	5	8	18	9	5	1	.341	.455	.585	1.040	.244	.383	18	8	.453	205	+12	+1	—	—	+3	1.6
2022	22	A	Bradenton Marauders	15	11	4	1	0	1	1	2	2	1	0	.364	.500	.727	1.227	.364	.333	13	7	.490	233	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2022	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	69	50	13	6	0	1	10	11	7	4	1	.260	.448	.440	.888	.180	.300	16	14	.396	161	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2023	23	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	255	225	48	10	0	7	25	69	4	3	5	.213	.303	.351	.654	.138	.273	27	10	.297	86	-4	-1	-5	-5	+7	-0.9
2023	23	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	63	48	18	3	1	2	13	13	1	3	1	.375	.516	.604	1.120	.229	.485	21	21	.481	226	+9	+0	—	—	+2	1.1
2023	23	AA	Altoona Curve	187	148	42	7	1	10	32	35	7	7	3	.284	.433	.547	.980	.264	.311	19	17	.431	188	+19	+0	—	—	+5	2.5
2024	24	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	122	104	15	4	0	1	13	45	1	0	0	.144	.244	.212	.455	.067	.233	37	11	.214	22	-11	+0	-1	+7	+3	-0.1
2024	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	254	218	67	15	0	13	23	57	11	8	1	.307	.398	.555	.953	.248	.365	22	9	.416	177	+22	+1	—	—	+7	3.1
2025	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	283	252	42	7	0	7	18	76	5	2	1	.167	.235	.278	.512	.111	.203	27	6	.230	34	-21	+0	+10	+6	+8	0.3
2025	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	31	28	8	3	0	0	3	4	0	2	0	.286	.355	.393	.748	.107	.333	13	10	.338	117	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			660	581	105	21	0	15	56	190	10	5	6	.181	.263	.294	.557	.114	.236	29	8	.253	52	-36	-1	+5	+7	+19	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Henry Davis (OGILVIE)	26	35	50	55	45	.190/.276/.314	.124	.230	10	6	24%	9%	66	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rylan Bannon 2022 · AAA	26	37→45	48→50	49→50	47	.194/.263/.334	.140	.233	16	11	25%	8%	64	-0.8	.199/.286/.346	.147	.258	18	13	29%	10%	77	+0.1	.193/.292/.339	.145	.253	18	12	29%	11%	76	+0.0
✕Jimmy Govern 2023 · AAA	26	41	47→50	49→45	39	.209/.253/.345	.135	.257	15	9	25%	4%	62	-0.9	.207/.258/.322	.115	.261	12	9	25%	5%	58	-1.2	.188/.244/.279	.091	.234	10	6	24%	4%	38	-1.0
✕Zack Short 2022 · MLB	27	36→39	49→50	47→45	49	.192/.289/.338	.146	.258	18	7	32%	10%	77	+0.1	.192/.286/.318	.126	.265	14	10	31%	11%	70	-0.3	.179/.280/.288	.109	.251	11	11	31%	12%	58	-0.7
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2012 · AAA	26	41	45→40	51→50	42	.208/.266/.324	.116	.265	14	13	27%	6%	62	-0.9	.220/.258/.320	.100	.276	11	12	24%	4%	56	-1.3	.203/.238/.291	.088	.255	12	9	25%	3%	36	-0.6
✕Cody Puckett 2013 · AAA	26	38→40	49→55	50	39	.202/.253/.347	.145	.266	16	11	30%	6%	63	-0.8	.213/.255/.360	.147	.248	19	10	23%	5%	67	-0.5	.211/.245/.368	.157	.220	24	8	18%	4%	62	-0.6
✕Ryan Ortiz 2014 · AAA	26	40	43→45	46→40	47	.199/.281/.306	.107	.269	11	4	29%	9%	65	-0.7	.203/.295/.294	.091	.287	7	4	29%	10%	67	-0.5	.185/.302/.243	.058	.271	3	0	28%	13%	55	-0.7
✕Óscar Hernández 2018 · MLB	25	36	47→55	49→40	40	.191/.241/.320	.129	.242	15	5	28%	6%	51	-1.7	.190/.242/.301	.111	.247	12	5	28%	6%	46	-2.0	.165/.220/.257	.092	.214	9	1	27%	5%	23	-1.1
✕David Sheaffer 2021 · AAA	26	41	47→55	50→40	38	.209/.254/.341	.132	.283	15	6	32%	5%	61	-1.0	.202/.249/.301	.099	.291	9	5	32%	5%	48	-1.9	.174/.220/.258	.084	.252	7	1	32%	5%	24	-1.0
✕Dustin Garneau 2014 · AA	26	38	46→50	43→45	47	.195/.262/.327	.131	.223	14	5	20%	7%	62	-0.9	.205/.265/.338	.133	.234	15	6	20%	6%	66	-0.6	.184/.263/.355	.171	.225	21	0	29%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Johan Mieses 2021 · AAA	26	36→32	50→55	49→50	39	.197/.252/.341	.144	.250	19	6	30%	6%	62	-0.9	.217/.289/.407	.190	.277	26	8	31%	7%	95	+1.4	.205/.284/.414	.208	.252	29	7	31%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Dan Butler 2013 · AAA	26	44→39	44→45	47→40	47	.216/.286/.333	.117	.265	11	3	22%	7%	73	-0.1	.211/.274/.329	.118	.263	11	3	23%	7%	67	-0.5	.214/.284/.310	.095	.269	9	0	22%	8%	63	-0.3
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	39	46→50	48→40	48	.200/.287/.330	.129	.255	14	5	26%	9%	73	-0.1	.215/.296/.335	.120	.285	13	7	27%	9%	79	+0.3	.199/.298/.266	.067	.267	9	0	27%	12%	60	-0.2
✕Brendon Davis 2023 · AAA	26	39→44	52→50	47→50	44	.210/.278/.378	.167	.268	20	10	30%	7%	82	+0.5	.192/.269/.327	.135	.262	15	13	31%	8%	66	-0.6	.163/.251/.275	.112	.231	11	17	33%	8%	43	-1.2
✕Nick Fortes 2022 · MLB	25	43	45	47→45	45	.214/.278/.334	.119	.252	13	7	21%	6%	70	-0.3	.223/.283/.346	.123	.253	15	8	18%	6%	76	+0.0	.217/.272/.326	.109	.242	13	6	16%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	40	45	51→50	44	.199/.282/.323	.124	.278	13	13	32%	8%	70	-0.3	.204/.293/.301	.097	.284	9	11	29%	9%	69	-0.4	.196/.289/.271	.075	.275	6	10	28%	9%	57	-0.6
✕Brian Serven 2022 · AAA	27	35	49→50	46→30	38	.191/.245/.335	.144	.238	18	5	29%	5%	57	-1.2	.196/.257/.319	.123	.257	15	4	29%	6%	57	-1.2	.182/.252/.278	.096	.251	12	0	31%	7%	42	-0.9
✕Jake Rogers 2021 · MLB	26	37→40	52→55	49→45	43	.199/.274/.359	.160	.270	20	5	34%	8%	76	+0.0	.230/.296/.426	.196	.314	25	7	33%	8%	102	+1.8	.213/.276/.413	.200	.269	28	2	32%	7%	88	+0.4
✕Erick Monzon 2008 · AA	26	42	44→45	51→50	44	.209/.262/.329	.120	.261	11	9	24%	6%	61	-1.0	.191/.243/.292	.101	.264	11	12	30%	6%	43	-2.2	.166/.216/.251	.085	.234	11	14	33%	6%	18	-1.6
✕JJ Schwarz 2022 · AA	26	38	44→45	47→30	44	.195/.260/.302	.108	.268	12	4	31%	8%	54	-1.4	.216/.284/.346	.130	.306	15	4	32%	9%	76	+0.0	.206/.279/.334	.128	.290	16	1	33%	9%	68	-0.3
✕Andrew Knizner 2022 · MLB	27	43	45→50	49→40	49	.215/.292/.335	.120	.252	13	6	20%	8%	76	+0.1	.217/.288/.330	.113	.269	12	4	23%	8%	73	-0.1	.225/.294/.342	.116	.277	13	3	22%	6%	77	+0.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)