Blaze Alexander — OGILVIE

Blaze AlexanderSS Baltimore Orioles

Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 200 lbs MLB HR +8%BB -5% Svc 1.308 · Ctrl thru 2030 peak 0.9 · 2027

wRC+†vL 10976vR 57

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .314 / .365

PA386

HR11

SB12

K%30

BB%9

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

50→50

SPD

60→60

EYE

51↘50

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.4peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.308 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$4M	+$3M
2028	Arb-1	$2M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2029	Arb-2	$2M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.4M
2030	Arb-3	$2M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$11M	+$5M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	19	ROK	Missoula Osprey	247	223	51	13	3	4	18	75	3	10	3	.229	.295	.368	.663	.139	.320	30	7	.292	82	-5	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.4
2019	20	A	Kane County Cougars	406	358	76	10	3	7	27	114	12	14	4	.212	.290	.316	.605	.103	.280	28	7	.267	63	-17	+1	+0	+1	+12	-0.3
2021	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	389	352	51	8	2	8	31	177	5	17	4	.145	.224	.247	.471	.102	.256	46	8	.210	19	-36	+2	+0	+1	+11	-2.2
2022	23	AA	2 teams	397	356	89	15	3	15	25	129	13	10	6	.250	.322	.435	.758	.185	.347	32	6	.325	107	+3	-0	+0	+1	+11	1.6
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	328	283	62	11	1	7	28	118	11	2	2	.219	.314	.339	.653	.120	.337	36	9	.294	83	-6	-0	+0	+1	+9	0.4
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	410	369	78	15	2	6	28	142	9	7	2	.211	.283	.312	.595	.100	.321	35	7	.267	63	-17	+1	-3	+4	+12	-0.4
2025	26	MLB	2 teams	507	434	102	21	2	14	50	161	16	15	7	.235	.336	.389	.725	.154	.336	32	10	.319	102	+1	+0	+2	+2	+14	2.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	61	55	10	1	0	0	4	19	1	3	1	.182	.250	.200	.450	.018	.278	31	7	.210	19	-6	+0	-2	+0	+2	-0.5
ROS	27	MLB	BAL	325	286	63	11	1	8	28	99	8	9	2	.220	.307	.350	.657	.129	.303	30	9	.298	86	-5	+1	+1	+1	+9	0.7
TOT	27	MLB	BAL	386	341	73	12	1	8	32	118	9	12	3	.214	.298	.326	.624	.111	.300	31	8	.284	76	-11	+1	-1	+1	+11	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB	BAL	451	397	86	15	1	11	40	120	11	12	3	.217	.306	.343	.648	.126	.282	27	9	.297	86	-7	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.9
2028	29	MLB	BAL	440	387	84	15	1	10	39	118	11	11	2	.217	.307	.339	.645	.121	.281	27	9	.295	84	-8	+1	-0	+2	+12	0.7
2029	30	MLB	BAL	430	378	81	14	1	10	38	117	11	9	2	.214	.304	.336	.640	.122	.280	27	9	.292	82	-9	+1	-1	+2	+12	0.5
2030	31	MLB	BAL	415	365	77	14	1	9	37	115	10	7	1	.211	.301	.329	.630	.118	.278	28	9	.288	79	-10	+1	-2	+1	+12	0.2
2031	32	MLB	BAL	396	348	73	13	1	8	35	112	10	5	0	.210	.300	.322	.622	.112	.277	28	9	.284	75	-11	+1	-3	+1	+11	-0.0
2032	33	MLB	BAL	366	322	65	11	1	7	32	106	9	3	0	.202	.292	.307	.599	.106	.275	29	9	.278	71	-12	+1	-3	+1	+10	-0.3
2033	34	MLB	BAL	321	282	57	10	1	6	28	95	8	2	0	.202	.292	.309	.601	.106	.273	30	9	.272	66	-12	+0	-4	+1	+9	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5828	5140	1095	196	24	130	484	1798	147	133	38	.213	.299	.336	.635	.123	.297	31	8	.286	77	-152	+11	-13	+24	+165	3.6
/ 162G	—			650	573	122	22	3	14	54	201	16	15	4	.213	.299	.335	.634	.122	.298	31	8	.286	77	-17	+1	-1	+3	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	19	ROK	Missoula Osprey	247	210	69	19	5	5	31	52	3	10	3	.329	.422	.538	.960	.210	.410	21	13	.417	177	+21	+1	—	—	+7	3.0
2019	20	A	Kane County Cougars	406	343	90	12	4	7	42	89	12	14	4	.262	.363	.382	.745	.120	.324	22	10	.333	113	+6	+1	—	—	+12	1.9
2021	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	389	339	74	16	3	10	44	126	5	17	4	.218	.317	.372	.689	.153	.314	32	11	.312	97	-1	+2	—	—	+11	1.2
2022	23	AAA	Reno Aces	34	27	7	1	0	2	4	8	3	0	0	.259	.412	.519	.930	.259	.294	24	12	.414	175	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2022	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	363	317	97	17	3	17	33	92	10	10	6	.306	.389	.539	.928	.233	.383	25	9	.404	167	+28	-0	—	—	+10	3.8
2023	24	AAA	Reno Aces	305	247	72	13	2	8	42	83	10	2	2	.291	.415	.457	.872	.166	.398	27	14	.385	153	+18	-0	—	—	+9	2.7
2023	24	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	23	22	6	2	0	2	0	5	1	0	0	.273	.304	.636	.941	.364	.267	22	0	.403	167	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	185	166	41	7	0	3	15	49	3	3	1	.247	.321	.343	.664	.096	.333	26	8	.302	90	-2	+0	-3	+4	+5	0.5
2024	25	AAA	Reno Aces	225	196	54	12	3	5	19	69	6	4	1	.276	.356	.444	.800	.168	.392	31	8	.352	127	+7	+0	—	—	+6	1.4
2025	26	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	266	230	53	12	1	7	22	86	10	4	6	.230	.324	.383	.707	.152	.333	32	8	.316	100	+0	-2	+2	+2	+8	1.0
2025	26	AAA	Reno Aces	241	194	55	12	1	8	38	59	6	11	1	.284	.416	.479	.895	.196	.364	24	16	.396	161	+17	+2	—	—	+7	2.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			451	396	94	19	1	10	37	135	13	7	7	.237	.323	.366	.689	.129	.333	30	8	.311	96	-2	-1	-1	+6	+13	1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Blaze Alexander (OGILVIE)	27	40	50	60	50	.218/.306/.346	.128	.283	9	11	26%	9%	86	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mark Mathias 2022 · MLB	27	47→46	46→50	53→50	44	.234/.289/.369	.135	.288	13	14	23%	6%	83	+0.6	.253/.329/.400	.147	.345	17	19	29%	9%	108	+2.3	.255/.341/.389	.134	.350	16	20	29%	10%	109	+1.2
✕Hoy Park 2023 · MLB	27	43→50	47→45	53→55	49	.217/.296/.348	.131	.283	16	16	28%	10%	82	+0.5	.222/.306/.335	.113	.303	11	17	28%	10%	82	+0.5	.222/.314/.322	.100	.305	9	19	27%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Tyler Greene 2011 · MLB	27	46→51	46→50	56→55	41	.229/.287/.360	.130	.307	13	20	29%	6%	80	+0.4	.234/.299/.380	.146	.318	15	24	30%	7%	91	+1.1	.228/.291/.376	.147	.315	15	26	31%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Jayson Nix 2010 · MLB	27	45→49	50→55	51→55	46	.234/.295/.391	.158	.277	18	19	23%	7%	92	+1.2	.216/.281/.377	.161	.260	20	11	25%	7%	83	+0.6	.204/.267/.354	.151	.250	18	9	26%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Jonathan Davis 2019 · MLB	27	47→52	43→45	54→55	47	.228/.304/.346	.118	.294	10	20	25%	8%	84	+0.6	.219/.304/.340	.121	.287	11	19	26%	8%	83	+0.6	.221/.303/.332	.112	.308	10	22	29%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Kyle Datres 2023 · AA	27	42→43	50	55	44	.216/.293/.366	.150	.294	18	23	32%	8%	85	+0.7	.212/.292/.349	.137	.297	17	21	32%	9%	80	+0.4	.195/.282/.319	.124	.275	16	21	33%	9%	66	-0.3
✕Scott Kingery 2020 · MLB	26	48→51	49→55	54→55	42	.239/.288/.396	.157	.302	16	17	26%	6%	90	+1.0	.212/.276/.348	.136	.298	13	15	31%	8%	72	-0.2	.172/.251/.279	.106	.266	8	18	36%	9%	41	-0.8
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA	27	43→45	48→45	53→55	48	.221/.296/.363	.142	.269	16	16	24%	8%	85	+0.7	.221/.293/.348	.127	.275	14	24	24%	8%	80	+0.4	.214/.285/.324	.111	.265	13	28	24%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Nick Franklin 2018 · MLB	27	44→49	47→50	53→50	45	.222/.280/.362	.140	.272	15	14	24%	7%	78	+0.2	.215/.284/.337	.122	.269	12	13	23%	8%	73	-0.1	.173/.252/.275	.102	.229	8	8	27%	9%	42	-1.2
✕Dylan Moore 2020 · MLB	27	42→48	47→50	49→65	44	.210/.276/.347	.137	.265	14	19	26%	7%	73	-0.1	.220/.311/.391	.171	.284	19	29	28%	9%	99	+1.7	.207/.329/.377	.170	.285	16	41	30%	12%	100	+0.9
✕Kevin Smith 2023 · MLB	27	40→45	49→55	54→50	39	.206/.260/.354	.148	.283	17	14	33%	6%	68	-0.5	.211/.255/.351	.140	.304	18	16	35%	5%	65	-0.7	.205/.244/.339	.134	.297	19	19	37%	4%	55	-0.7
✕Michael Helman 2023 · AAA	27	41	51→55	57→55	46	.215/.276/.371	.155	.258	19	25	25%	7%	79	+0.3	.221/.279/.380	.159	.267	19	22	24%	6%	82	+0.5	.213/.271/.381	.168	.251	20	20	24%	6%	76	+0.0
●Ha-Seong Kim 2023 · MLB	27	48→52	46→50	53→60	51	.238/.309/.374	.136	.279	12	12	19%	8%	93	+1.3	.243/.328/.376	.133	.284	14	25	19%	11%	102	+1.8	.237/.330/.361	.124	.274	14	31	18%	12%	95	+1.1
✕Michael Hollimon 2009 · MLB	27	43→48	49→55	53→50	45	.215/.282/.376	.161	.289	15	11	30%	8%	82	+0.5	.205/.272/.359	.154	.281	17	9	32%	8%	74	-0.1	.187/.258/.334	.147	.244	17	7	30%	9%	59	-0.5
✕Riley Unroe 2023 · AAA	27	45→47	44→45	54→55	48	.220/.290/.337	.117	.282	11	19	26%	8%	76	+0.0	.221/.300/.344	.123	.297	13	23	28%	10%	82	+0.5	.221/.306/.342	.121	.297	13	26	28%	10%	80	+0.2
✕Garrett Hampson 2022 · MLB	27	44→54	45	54→60	44	.221/.276/.343	.122	.283	13	21	26%	7%	71	-0.3	.230/.293/.334	.104	.305	8	20	25%	8%	76	+0.0	.236/.301/.316	.080	.322	3	22	25%	8%	71	-0.1
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2011 · MLB	27	43→48	49→55	52→50	40	.223/.269/.371	.148	.277	17	13	26%	5%	76	+0.0	.240/.292/.406	.166	.287	20	11	23%	6%	95	+1.4	.240/.297/.413	.174	.280	20	7	22%	7%	94	+0.9
✕Kramer Robertson 2023 · AAA	28	45→51	44→45	54→55	51	.219/.313/.337	.118	.275	12	21	24%	10%	86	+0.8	.204/.303/.288	.084	.276	7	21	26%	10%	70	-0.3	.178/.290/.225	.047	.253	3	23	27%	11%	47	-1.6
✕Blake Perkins 2023 · AAA	26	40→50	49→50	56→55	46	.206/.285/.351	.145	.281	17	19	32%	9%	78	+0.2	.229/.308/.355	.126	.310	12	21	28%	10%	88	+0.9	.235/.317/.343	.108	.318	10	25	27%	10%	83	+0.3
✕Derek Hill 2023 · MLB	27	47→53	44→50	55→60	39	.227/.275/.348	.121	.320	12	16	32%	6%	72	-0.2	.244/.292/.387	.143	.324	15	19	28%	6%	89	+1.0	.250/.300/.402	.152	.328	16	23	28%	6%	93	+0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)