Kristian Campbell

Kristian Campbell2B Worcester Red Sox

Age 24 R/R 6'3" / 191 lbs AAA H +3% Svc 0.500 · Ctrl thru 2032 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION314 act + 209 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 8480vR 69

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .309 / .314

PA209

HR4

K%32

BB%11

BABIP303

ISO105

MLB%55%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025

CONTACT45

Whiff%

5310.7%

xwOBA

390.296

POWER40

Barrel%

265.1

Avg EV

4388.6

Bat Spd

6873.3

EYE60

Chase%

8025.9%

SPEED50

Sprint

4327.2

Platoon Splits2025 · 263 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

189

—

wRC+

101

◀◀L

wOBA

317

296

◀L

ISO

103

129

▶▶R

BABIP

256

312

▶▶R

20.3%

30.2%

◀◀L

BB%

16.2%

9.0%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.500 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$3M	—	—	—
2027	Ext	$8M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$10M		$-2M	-$11M

Options · projected decision
2033	CLUB OPT	$7.5M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2034	CLUB OPT	$19.0M / $4.0M buyout	DECLINE
2035	CLUB OPT	$21.0M / $4.0M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A+	2 teams	—	84	72	16	3	1	1	6	25	6	3	3	222	333	333	667	111	326	30	7	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	2 teams	—	84	68	21	4	2	1	10	18	6	3	3	309	440	471	911	162	408	21	12	411	172	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	3 teams	—	517	453	119	22	2	16	51	136	11	24	8	263	351	426	778	163	340	26	10	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	3 teams	—	517	430	142	32	3	20	74	103	11	24	8	330	441	558	999	228	395	20	14	437	193	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA	3 teams	—	644	570	126	21	2	14	59	188	14	8	1	221	309	339	648	118	304	29	9	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA	3 teams	—	644	549	137	25	3	14	80	168	14	8	1	250	359	383	742	133	334	26	12	339	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AAA	BOS	—	314	266	50	10	0	2	35	111	6	4	1	188	296	248	545	60	302	35	11	252	51	-17	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.7
YTD	24	AAA	BOS	—	314	251	55	12	0	2	50	92	6	4	1	219	362	291	652	72	325	29	16	306	92	-3	+0	+0	+1	+9	0.8
ROS	24	AAA	BOS	55%	209	181	38	7	0	4	22	66	4	3	1	210	309	314	623	105	300	32	11	287	78	-5	+0	-3	+1	+6	-0.2
ROS	24	MLB	BOS	55%	115	100	21	4	0	2	12	36	2	2	0	210	307	310	617	100	307	31	10	277	71	-4	+0	-2	+0	+3	-0.2
FULL	24	AAA	BOS	—	429	366	71	14	0	4	47	147	8	6	1	194	299	265	564	71	302	34	11	259	56	-21	+1	-2	+2	+12	-0.9
TOT	24	AAA	BOS	—	523	447	88	17	0	6	57	177	10	7	2	197	301	275	576	78	302	34	11	266	62	-23	+1	-3	+2	+15	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	BOS	63%	420	364	77	14	1	8	45	131	8	5	1	212	312	321	633	110	300	31	11	290	80	-10	+1	-7	+1	+12	-0.2
2027	25	MLB	BOS	63%	266	231	50	9	1	5	28	83	5	3	1	216	314	329	643	113	307	31	11	280	73	-8	+0	-4	+1	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	644	560	122	23	1	13	69	191	11	7	2	218	316	332	648	114	304	30	11	290	80	-15	+1	-13	+4	+18	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	123	23	1	13	70	193	11	7	2	218	316	331	647	113	304	30	11	290	80	-15	+1	-13	+4	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	1874	1640	376	67	6	43	183	546	43	43	14	229	323	356	679	127	315	29	10	304	91	-19	+3	-17	+7	+53	2.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	130	23	2	15	63	189	15	15	5	228	321	355	676	127	313	29	10	304	91	-7	+1	-6	+2	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	55	45	12	2	1	1	7	13	3	1	2	267	400	422	822	156	355	24	13	374	145	+3	-1	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	21	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	29	23	9	2	1	0	3	5	3	2	1	391	517	565	1.082	174	500	17	10	480	225	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2024	22	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	85	70	20	2	0	4	13	18	2	4	2	286	412	486	897	200	333	21	15	401	165	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2024	22	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	255	213	77	17	3	8	35	38	6	17	5	362	465	582	1.047	221	411	15	14	457	208	+31	+1	—	—	+7	4.0
2024	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	177	147	45	13	0	8	26	47	3	3	1	306	420	558	978	252	398	27	15	426	184	+17	+0	—	—	+5	2.2
2025	23	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	263	229	51	10	0	6	29	72	4	2	1	223	321	345	666	122	296	27	11	305	91	-3	+0	-7	+2	+7	0.1
2025	23	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	319	271	74	11	2	8	38	84	10	4	0	273	382	417	799	144	369	26	12	363	136	+13	+1	—	—	+9	2.3
2025	23	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	62	49	12	4	1	0	13	12	0	2	0	245	403	367	771	122	324	19	21	357	132	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	263	229	51	10	0	6	29	72	4	2	1	223	321	345	666	122	296	27	11	305	91	-3	+0	-7	+2	+7	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#2Daniel Descalsolast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,856 PA	9	2,856	48	25	235	320	363	+16	-36	3.5	4.0
	/162	664	11	6	235	320	363	+3.8	-8.3	0.8	pk7: 4
#3Jason Phillipslast yr '07 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,508 PA	5	1,508	29	0	248	314	368	+11	-10	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	13	0	248	314	368	+4.7	-4.4	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Conor Gillaspielast yr '17 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,503 PA	5	1,503	32	1	252	305	394	+5	-14	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	14	0	252	305	394	+2.4	-6.1	1.0	pk7: 2
#5Jose Castillolast yr '08 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,059 PA	5	2,059	39	13	254	296	379	+7	-14	1.9	1.9
	/162	664	13	4	254	296	379	+2.4	-4.5	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	670	15	7	220	314	341	+2	-13	1.2	1.2
	/162	664	15	7	220	314	341	+2.4	-12.9	1.2	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kristian Campbell (OGILVIE)	24	45	40	50	60	197/301/275	78	302	6	7	34%	11%	62	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carter Kieboom 2023 · MLB	25	44→50	45→50	43→45	52	220/315/340	120	274	14	5	24%	10%	89	+0.9	222/293/341	119	290	14	7	27%	8%	78	+0.2	231/290/331	100	300	10	7	25%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Corey Joyce 2023 · AAA	24	43	48→45	49→50	47	214/311/358	144	295	16	11	31%	10%	92	+1.2	211/307/316	105	308	10	14	32%	10%	79	+0.3	212/300/316	104	302	10	14	31%	9%	72	-0.1
✕Andrew Knizner 2020 · MLB	25	49	46→50	47→40	45	245/295/372	127	277	15	5	18%	5%	87	+0.8	221/293/330	109	267	11	5	21%	8%	76	+0.0	218/299/361	142	257	17	2	22%	7%	83	+0.2
●Luis Urías 2021 · MLB	24	47→57	47→55	46→45	48	233/309/369	136	296	14	7	25%	8%	92	+1.2	239/331/408	169	283	20	5	22%	10%	112	+2.6	232/333/399	167	273	21	3	22%	11%	108	+1.7
✕J.R. Towles 2009 · MLB	25	46→53	48→50	44→50	46	231/305/372	141	266	15	10	20%	6%	92	+1.2	216/298/346	130	255	13	8	20%	7%	82	+0.5	203/286/317	114	237	10	6	18%	7%	66	-0.2
✕Choo Freeman 2005 · MLB	25	46→49	45	49→45	57	223/312/353	130	268	11	9	21%	11%	89	+1.0	234/287/348	114	301	11	8	24%	7%	76	+0.1	234/285/336	103	304	9	7	25%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Nick Fortes 2022 · MLB	25	44	46→45	47→45	46	220/285/349	129	256	15	7	20%	6%	77	+0.1	226/286/352	126	257	15	8	18%	6%	78	+0.2	233/280/331	98	262	9	1	14%	4%	68	-0.2
✕Gabriel Arias 2023 · MLB	23	50→58	48→50	51→50	43	246/304/383	137	322	15	8	28%	7%	93	+1.3	231/285/376	145	322	15	12	31%	6%	83	+0.6	233/280/392	159	333	17	16	34%	5%	82	+0.3
✕Andre Lipcius 2023 · AAA	25	46→49	46→50	49→45	52	227/304/365	137	276	13	9	22%	10%	89	+0.9	230/295/372	142	285	17	7	24%	8%	87	+0.8	221/284/361	141	271	18	5	25%	7%	77	+0.1
✕German Duran 2009 · MLB	24	47→50	49→50	48→45	43	239/281/389	150	276	16	8	20%	5%	85	+0.7	214/257/311	97	256	9	6	20%	5%	54	-1.4	202/242/268	66	242	6	4	19%	4%	34	-1.2
✕Aaron Luna 2011 · AAA	24	43→44	49→50	50→45	49	217/325/371	154	268	16	7	25%	9%	101	+1.8	232/318/376	144	295	16	9	26%	8%	98	+1.6	231/316/372	142	294	19	8	27%	7%	96	+0.7
✕Lou Marson 2010 · MLB	24	55→54	39→40	45→50	51	257/328/347	90	331	6	5	23%	9%	93	+1.3	220/298/309	89	279	6	11	21%	10%	72	-0.2	205/295/288	83	258	5	13	21%	11%	63	-0.4
✕Bryan Lavastida 2023 · MLB	24	42→44	45	50→55	44	212/277/334	122	277	12	12	27%	7%	69	-0.4	218/287/339	121	283	12	21	26%	7%	75	-0.0	219/292/337	118	281	12	27	25%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Yairo Muñoz 2019 · MLB	24	50→55	48→50	47→55	43	249/295/388	138	305	16	13	24%	6%	91	+1.1	262/302/382	120	319	11	18	21%	5%	92	+1.2	270/297/370	100	322	9	23	19%	3%	82	+0.2
✕Ryan Lavarnway 2013 · MLB	25	44→45	49→55	45→30	46	227/290/370	143	279	17	2	25%	7%	85	+0.7	236/298/339	103	290	10	3	21%	7%	79	+0.3	231/300/392	161	282	20	0	25%	7%	90	+0.4
●Jonathan India 2022 · MLB	25	51→53	50	49→50	53	249/350/410	161	312	17	11	24%	10%	121	+3.2	245/339/392	147	295	16	11	21%	10%	111	+2.5	238/339/373	135	282	14	9	20%	11%	104	+2.0
✕Mark Mathias 2019 · AA	24	44→47	44→50	52→50	46	217/293/343	126	288	11	10	27%	8%	79	+0.3	231/291/365	134	292	12	13	24%	7%	83	+0.6	246/320/384	138	320	15	17	26%	9%	98	+1.0
●Luis Campusano 2023 · MLB	24	43→53	46→50	48→30	43	219/273/340	121	272	14	3	25%	6%	69	-0.4	251/306/402	151	289	19	3	20%	7%	99	+1.7	264/328/432	168	297	22	1	19%	8%	113	+1.5
●Bryson Stott 2022 · AAA	24	49→56	45	48→55	47	237/303/361	123	324	12	10	29%	9%	87	+0.8	247/306/373	126	296	13	20	20%	8%	91	+1.1	254/320/377	123	288	13	29	16%	8%	95	+1.4
✕Miguel Amaya 2023 · AA	24	46→42	46→50	50→40	46	219/306/348	129	321	13	6	33%	9%	86	+0.8	228/303/369	141	285	15	3	25%	7%	90	+1.0	228/299/368	140	271	16	1	22%	7%	86	+0.3